Egypt Expects $12 Bn in Gas Revenues in 2022

A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
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Egypt Expects $12 Bn in Gas Revenues in 2022

A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)
A view of a gas plant seen from the desert road of Suez outside Cairo. (Reuters)

Egypt's gas revenues are expected to reach $12 billion, and about $7 billion from oil derivatives and petrochemicals, announced petroleum minister Tarek el-Molla.

Molla spoke to Skynews Arabia on Monday on the sidelines of his participation in the Abu Dhabi International Petroleum Exhibition and Conference (ADIPEC).

He said that Egypt aims to increase liquified natural gas (LNG) exports to eight million tons this year, adding that the country can export up to 12 million tons of LNG annually.

Egypt depends on gas exports to increase the foreign currency when the country is suffering from a scarcity of the dollar, which causes problems for exporters.

For the third time since 2016, Egypt has liberalized the exchange rate, causing the pound to lose about 50 percent of its value since the beginning of this year.

On Thursday, Egyptian authorities liberalized the exchange rate to end the black market, where the dollar price reached 24 to 25 EGP, coupled with the Central Bank of Egypt's (CBE) decision to raise interest rates by two percent.

An International Monetary Fund (IMF) official said that Egypt's move to raise interest rates is a step in the right direction, and a flexible exchange rate will help protect its economy from shocks during tightening global financial conditions.

Egyptian authorities pledged a "durably flexible" exchange rate with a staff-level agreement for a $3 billion IMF extended fund facility.

The central bank also raised interest rates by 200 basis points in an out-of-cycle meeting.

"The measures that the central bank took last week in hiking interest rates goes in the right direction. It is very important to control inflation," the director of the IMF's Middle East and Central Asia Department, Jihad Azour, told Reuters.

"The move to a flexible exchange rate will help the Egyptian economy to be protected from term-of-trade shocks as well as external shocks, especially at a time when global financial conditions have tightened and become more challenging," he said.

Egypt has been struggling to cope with the impact of the war in Ukraine, which led to rapid outflows of portfolio investments, a hike in the commodity import bill, and a drop in tourism revenues.

The IMF said on Thursday that a flexible exchange rate regime should be "a cornerstone policy" for rebuilding and safeguarding Egypt's external resilience.

It confirmed a staff-level agreement on a $3 billion, 46-month Extended Fund Facility.

It said the deal was expected to catalyst a large, multi-year financing package, including about $5 billion in the fiscal year ending June 2023, reflecting "broad international and regional support for Egypt."

Asked if there were assurances on assistance from wealthy Gulf states, Azour said: "Yes, and some of the Gulf authorities already issued statements in support of the program."

He said the $5 billion for FY2022-23 would be in addition to the extension of Gulf states' deposits in Egypt's central bank.

He said that any steps by Egypt that increase predictability and bring confidence back are welcomed and allow Egypt to cover its financing needs.

"We see that through these programs, there are enough financing assurances to cover their (Egypt's) external financing needs," he added.



Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
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Gold Hits Four-week Peak on Safe-haven Demand

A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk
A view shows ingots of 99.99 percent pure gold in a workroom during production at Krastsvetmet precious metals plant in the Siberian city of Krasnoyarsk, Russia, May 23, 2024. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk

Gold prices rose to a near four-week high on Thursday, supported by safe-haven demand, while investors weighed how US President-elect Donald Trump's policies would impact the economy and inflation.

Spot gold inched up 0.4% to $2,672.18 per ounce, as of 0918 a.m. ET (1418 GMT). US gold futures rose 0.7% to $2,691.80.

"Safe-haven demand is modestly supporting gold, offsetting downside pressure coming from a stronger dollar and higher rates," UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said.

The dollar index hovered near a one-week high, making gold less appealing for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield stayed near eight-month peaks, Reuters reported.

"Market uncertainty is likely to persist with the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump as the next US president," Staunovo said.

Trump is considering declaring a national economic emergency to provide legal justification for a series of universal tariffs on allies and adversaries, CNN reported on Wednesday, citing sources familiar with the matter.

Trump will take office on Jan. 20 and his proposed tariffs could potentially ignite trade wars and inflation. In such a scenario, gold, considered a hedge against inflation, is likely to perform well.

Investors' focus now shifts to Friday's US nonfarm payrolls due at 08:30 a.m. ET for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's interest rate path.

Non-farm payrolls likely rose by 160,000 jobs in December after surging by 227,000 in November, a Reuters survey showed.

Gold hit a near four-week high on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected US private employment report hinted that the Fed may be less cautious about easing rates this year.

However, minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting showed officials' concern that Trump's proposed tariffs and immigration policies may prolong the fight against rising prices.

High rates reduce the non-yielding asset's appeal.

The World Gold Council on Wednesday said physically-backed gold exchange-traded funds registered their first inflow in four years.

Spot silver rose 0.7% to $30.32 per ounce, platinum fell 0.8% to $948.55 and palladium shed 1.4% to $915.75.