Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
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Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)

The General Authority for Statistics announced on Sunday that Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 8.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

This growth was driven by the rise of oil-related activity by 14.2 percent, and non-oil activities by 6 percent, while government activities recorded a growth of 2.5 percent on an annual basis.

In the quarterly comparison, the seasonally adjusted real GDP grew by 2.1 percent on a quarterly basis, as oil activities grew by 4.5 percent, government activities by 1.5 percent, while non-oil activities decreased by 0.5 percent, on a quarterly basis.

The General Authority for Statistics noted that GDP at current prices amounted to 1.036 trillion riyals ($275.53 billion) in the third quarter, with crude petroleum and natural gas activities contributing 35.2 percent, followed by government service activities, at a rate of 14.1 percent, then manufacturing activities, with the exception of oil refining, with a contribution of 7.8 percent.

In this context, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammad Al-Jadaan said that non-oil revenues contributed to covering 40 percent of the volume of government expenditures until the end of 2021, thanks to the new fiscal policy that seeks to curb dependence on volatile oil revenues.

Speaking during the Budget 2023 Forum, which kicked off on Sunday in Riyadh, the minister said: “There were great challenges, as the deficit 5 years ago amounted to 15 percent of the budget’s financial domestic product.”

“We had to withdraw SR1 trillion from reserves, and borrow an additional SR1 trillion from the markets, to cover the deficit,” he noted

He added that Saudi Arabia has achieved the goal of the Fiscal Balance Program, which is considered one of the most important economic reform programs within Vision 2030.

“Let us now move to the Financial Sustainability Program, which is based on financial planning, whether in terms of revenues or expenditures, for a period of three years, and in some sectors for ten years,” he said.

According to the minister, work achieved during the past years helped improve services and raise their efficiency.

He stressed that Saudi Arabia took proactive steps to set a ceiling on energy prices, while Saudi Aramco was supported with tens of billions to avoid exporting inflation to the Saudi economy.

According to Al-Jadaan, the government has pumped 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) to provide support for beneficiaries of social security, the Citizen Account, and livestock breeders, stressing that abundance was more important than rising prices during the inflation stage.

The Saudi minister underlined the need to empower the private sector, by promoting structural reforms and changing regulations, as well as providing a legislative environment that contributes to the development of the sector.

For his part, Faisal Al-Ibrahim, Minister of Economy and Planning, explained that the Saudi budget supported the implementation and achievement of Vision 2030. He stressed that one of the factors of success was long-term economic planning, coupled with the adequate financial strategies.

Al-Ibrahim touched on the role of development funds, which he said contributed to economic mobility and diversification and empowered the private sector.

The Minister of Economy and Planning added that the private sector was the government’s first strategic partner, and the most important axis in diversifying the sources of growth.

He explained that the private sector’s contribution to the Kingdom has now reached 43 percent, with the target of 65 percent by the end of 2030.

In a dialogue session entitled, “The Impact of Enabling Investment on Economic Growth,” Eng. Khaled Al-Falih, Minister of Investment, stated that the Saudi economy, despite the various world challenges, has achieved the highest growth among the Group of Twenty, reaching 10.3 percent in the first three quarters of the year.

He noted that the global economic total debt rate was increasing and exceeded 100 percent in many leading economies, while the Kingdom’s debt rate registered a decline of 25 percent.



Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
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Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)

Iraq produces more than 5 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), Oil Minister Basim Mohammed told state news agency INA on Saturday.

According to Reuters, Iraq is pushing for a higher OPEC production quota as the economic fallout from the Iran war and new investment by oil majors increase pressure on Baghdad to boost output, potentially putting it at odds with the producer group.

The conflict has hit Iraq particularly hard, forcing major export cuts and depriving the state of oil revenue, which accounted for 88% of government income last year.


IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.