Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
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Saudi Economy Grows by 8.8% in Third Quarter

Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)
Saudi Minister of Finance speaks during the Budget 2023 Forum on Sunday in Riyadh (Photo: Saleh Al-Ghannam)

The General Authority for Statistics announced on Sunday that Saudi Arabia’s economy grew by 8.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022.

This growth was driven by the rise of oil-related activity by 14.2 percent, and non-oil activities by 6 percent, while government activities recorded a growth of 2.5 percent on an annual basis.

In the quarterly comparison, the seasonally adjusted real GDP grew by 2.1 percent on a quarterly basis, as oil activities grew by 4.5 percent, government activities by 1.5 percent, while non-oil activities decreased by 0.5 percent, on a quarterly basis.

The General Authority for Statistics noted that GDP at current prices amounted to 1.036 trillion riyals ($275.53 billion) in the third quarter, with crude petroleum and natural gas activities contributing 35.2 percent, followed by government service activities, at a rate of 14.1 percent, then manufacturing activities, with the exception of oil refining, with a contribution of 7.8 percent.

In this context, Saudi Finance Minister Mohammad Al-Jadaan said that non-oil revenues contributed to covering 40 percent of the volume of government expenditures until the end of 2021, thanks to the new fiscal policy that seeks to curb dependence on volatile oil revenues.

Speaking during the Budget 2023 Forum, which kicked off on Sunday in Riyadh, the minister said: “There were great challenges, as the deficit 5 years ago amounted to 15 percent of the budget’s financial domestic product.”

“We had to withdraw SR1 trillion from reserves, and borrow an additional SR1 trillion from the markets, to cover the deficit,” he noted

He added that Saudi Arabia has achieved the goal of the Fiscal Balance Program, which is considered one of the most important economic reform programs within Vision 2030.

“Let us now move to the Financial Sustainability Program, which is based on financial planning, whether in terms of revenues or expenditures, for a period of three years, and in some sectors for ten years,” he said.

According to the minister, work achieved during the past years helped improve services and raise their efficiency.

He stressed that Saudi Arabia took proactive steps to set a ceiling on energy prices, while Saudi Aramco was supported with tens of billions to avoid exporting inflation to the Saudi economy.

According to Al-Jadaan, the government has pumped 20 billion riyals ($5.3 billion) to provide support for beneficiaries of social security, the Citizen Account, and livestock breeders, stressing that abundance was more important than rising prices during the inflation stage.

The Saudi minister underlined the need to empower the private sector, by promoting structural reforms and changing regulations, as well as providing a legislative environment that contributes to the development of the sector.

For his part, Faisal Al-Ibrahim, Minister of Economy and Planning, explained that the Saudi budget supported the implementation and achievement of Vision 2030. He stressed that one of the factors of success was long-term economic planning, coupled with the adequate financial strategies.

Al-Ibrahim touched on the role of development funds, which he said contributed to economic mobility and diversification and empowered the private sector.

The Minister of Economy and Planning added that the private sector was the government’s first strategic partner, and the most important axis in diversifying the sources of growth.

He explained that the private sector’s contribution to the Kingdom has now reached 43 percent, with the target of 65 percent by the end of 2030.

In a dialogue session entitled, “The Impact of Enabling Investment on Economic Growth,” Eng. Khaled Al-Falih, Minister of Investment, stated that the Saudi economy, despite the various world challenges, has achieved the highest growth among the Group of Twenty, reaching 10.3 percent in the first three quarters of the year.

He noted that the global economic total debt rate was increasing and exceeded 100 percent in many leading economies, while the Kingdom’s debt rate registered a decline of 25 percent.



UK Growth Revised Down in Second Quarter 

Shoppers fill the pavement on Regent Street in central London on December 21, 2025. (AFP)
Shoppers fill the pavement on Regent Street in central London on December 21, 2025. (AFP)
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UK Growth Revised Down in Second Quarter 

Shoppers fill the pavement on Regent Street in central London on December 21, 2025. (AFP)
Shoppers fill the pavement on Regent Street in central London on December 21, 2025. (AFP)

Britain's economy expanded less than initially estimated in the second quarter, according to revised official data released Monday, dealing a fresh setback to the Labour government.

Gross domestic product was revised down to 0.2 percent in the April-June period from a previous estimate of 0.3 percent, the Office for National Statistics said in a statement.

Growth in the third quarter stood at an unrevised 0.1 percent, the ONS said, marking a sustained slowdown from the 0.7 percent expansion recorded in the first three months of the year.

"The economy is still pretty weak and is heading into 2026 with very little momentum," noted Alex Kerr, UK economist at Capital Economics.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has struggled to revive Britain's sluggish economy since his Labour party came to power in July 2024.

Finance minister Rachel Reeves raised taxes on businesses in her inaugural budget last year -- a decision widely blamed for causing weak UK economic growth and rising unemployment.

She returned in her November budget with fresh tax hikes to bring down government debt, this time hitting workers.

The Bank of England last week cut its key interest rate to 3.75 percent after UK inflation eased faster than expected and as the economy weakens.


Saudi Finance Minister Says New Financial Control System Protects Public Funds

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. Asharq Al-Awsat
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Saudi Finance Minister Says New Financial Control System Protects Public Funds

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. Asharq Al-Awsat
Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan. Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Minister of Finance Mohammed Al-Jadaan has said that the new Financial Control System constitutes a “fundamental shift” in the control methodology and the improvement of the legislative framework for financial work in government agencies, through a more flexible and comprehensive model that focuses on empowerment and the protection of public funds.

Speaking at the 1st edition of the Financial Supervision Forum held at the General Court of Audit in Riyadh on Sunday, Al-Jadaan said the Kingdom must invest in national talent alongside regulatory reforms to build a modern financial oversight system.

He stressed the importance of enhancing institutional integration between the relevant authorities, especially between the Finance Ministry and the General Court of Audit, which contributes to unifying oversight efforts and reducing duplication.

According to Al-Jadaan, the success of this transformation depends on concerted efforts between regulatory authorities on the one hand, and authorities dealing with public money on the other hand, in a way that maximizes the impact in protecting public money and enhancing the efficiency of financial oversight.

President of the General Court of Audit Hussam Alangari also said that organizing the forum in partnership with the Finance Ministry comes within the qualitative transformation that Saudi Arabia is witnessing in financial oversight during an era in which the country holds a leading global position in the management of public finances, characterized by governance, responsibility, and a high level of transparency.

He told the forum that the General Court of Audit has had strong foundations that have strengthened its role and independence as the supreme authority for public financial oversight and auditing.

Alangari pledged to strengthen the “deep partnership” with the Finance Ministry, describing it as a partnership cemented by trust and built on the foundations of cooperation across various fields.

The partnership has resulted in qualitative leaps, most notably what has been achieved in the exchange of information through full technical integration between the Etimad and Shamel platforms, he said.


Trump Shook up Global Trade This Year; Some Uncertainty May Persist in 2026 

Containers are seen at the port in Shanghai, China, Oct. 13, 2025. (AFP)
Containers are seen at the port in Shanghai, China, Oct. 13, 2025. (AFP)
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Trump Shook up Global Trade This Year; Some Uncertainty May Persist in 2026 

Containers are seen at the port in Shanghai, China, Oct. 13, 2025. (AFP)
Containers are seen at the port in Shanghai, China, Oct. 13, 2025. (AFP)

President Donald Trump's return to the White House in 2025 kicked off a frenetic year for global trade, with waves of tariffs on US trading partners that lifted import taxes to their highest since the Great Depression, roiled financial markets and sparked rounds of negotiations over trade and investment deals.

His trade policies - and the global reaction to them - will remain front and center in 2026, but face some hefty challenges.

WHAT HAPPENED IN 2025

Trump's moves, aimed broadly at reviving a declining manufacturing base, lifted the average tariff rate to nearly 17% from less than 3% at the end of 2024, according to Yale Budget Lab, and the levies are now generating roughly $30 billion a month of revenue for the US Treasury.

They brought world leaders scrambling to Washington seeking deals for lower rates, often in return for pledges of billions of dollars in US investments. Framework deals were struck with a host of major trading partners, including the European Union, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, Japan, South Korea, Vietnam and others, but notably a final agreement with China remains on the undone list despite multiple rounds of talks and a face-to-face meeting between Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

The EU was criticized by many for its deal for a 15% tariff on its exports and a vague ‌commitment to big ‌US investments. France's prime minister at the time, Francois Bayrou, called it an act of submission ‌and ⁠a "somber day" for the ‌bloc. Others shrugged that it was the "least bad" deal on offer.

Since then, European exporters and economies have broadly coped with the new tariff rate, thanks to various exemptions and their ability to find markets elsewhere. French bank Societe Generale estimated the total direct impact of the tariffs was equivalent to just 0.37% of the region's GDP.

Meanwhile, China's trade surplus defied Trump's tariffs to surpass $1 trillion as it succeeded in diversifying away from the US, moved its manufacturing sector up the value chain, and used the leverage it has gained in rare earth minerals - crucial inputs into the West's security scaffolding - to push back against pressure from the US or Europe to curb its surplus.

What notably did not happen was the economic calamity and high inflation that legions ⁠of economists predicted would unfold from Trump's tariffs.

The US economy suffered a modest contraction in the first quarter amid a scramble to import goods before tariffs took effect, but quickly rebounded and ‌continues to grow at an above-trend pace thanks to a massive artificial intelligence investment boom ‍and resilient consumer spending. The International Monetary Fund, in fact, twice ‍lifted its global growth outlook in the months following Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs announcement in April as uncertainty ebbed and deals were struck to reduce ‍the originally announced rates.

And while US inflation remains somewhat elevated in part because of tariffs, economists and policymakers now expect the effects to be more mild and short-lived than feared, with cost sharing of the import taxes occurring across the supply chain among producers, importers, retailers and consumers.

WHAT TO LOOK FOR IN 2026 AND WHY IT MATTERS

A big unknown for 2026 is whether many of Trump's tariffs are allowed to stand. A challenge to the novel legal premise for what he branded as "reciprocal" tariffs on goods from individual countries and for levies imposed on China, Canada and Mexico tied to the flow of fentanyl into the US was argued before the US Supreme Court in late 2025, ⁠and a decision is expected in early 2026.

The Trump administration insists it can shift to other, more-established legal authorities to keep tariffs in place should it lose. But those are more cumbersome and often limited in scope, so a loss at the high court for the administration might prompt renegotiations of the deals struck so far or usher in a new era of uncertainty about where the tariffs will end up.

Arguably just as important for Europe is what is happening with its trading relationship with China, for years a reliable destination for its exporters. The depreciation of the yuan and the gradual move up the value chain for Chinese companies have helped China's exporters. Europe's companies meanwhile have struggled to make further inroads into the slowing domestic Chinese market. One of the key questions for 2026 is whether Europe finally uses tariffs or other measures to address what some of its officials are starting to call the "imbalances" in the China-EU trading ties.

Efforts to finally cement a US-China deal loom large as well. A shaky detente reached in this year's talks will expire in the second half of 2026, and Trump and Xi are tentatively set to meet twice over the course of the ‌year.

And lastly, the free trade deal with the two largest US trading partners - Canada and Mexico - is up for review in 2026 amid uncertainty over whether Trump will let the pact expire or try to retool it more to his liking.