Saudi Oil Exports Hit 30-Month High in October

 General view of Aramco tanks and oil pipe at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. May 21, 2018. (Reuters Archive)
General view of Aramco tanks and oil pipe at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. May 21, 2018. (Reuters Archive)
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Saudi Oil Exports Hit 30-Month High in October

 General view of Aramco tanks and oil pipe at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. May 21, 2018. (Reuters Archive)
General view of Aramco tanks and oil pipe at the Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal in Saudi Arabia. May 21, 2018. (Reuters Archive)

Saudi Arabia’s crude oil exports rose for a fifth straight month in October to the highest in 30 months, the International Energy Forum (IEF) said on Monday, citing data from the Joint Organizations Data Initiative (JODI).

Crude exports rose about 0.7% to 7.773 million barrels per day (bpd) in October, the highest since April 2020, from 7.721 million bpd in September.

The world’s largest oil exporter’s crude production, however, fell to 10.957 million bpd in October from 11.041 million bpd in the previous month.

Monthly export figures are provided by Riyadh and other members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to JODI, which publishes them on its website.

The data provided for October represents more than 70% of global oil demand and crude production.

The IEF indicated that Russian oil production fell by 107,000 bpd to 9.88 million bpd in October.

The Kremlin said on Monday it was still considering what measures it would adopt in response to the West's imposition of a $60-a-barrel price cap on Russia's oil exports, the state-run TASS news agency reported.

Moscow had originally planned to publish a presidential decree outlining its response - including a possible ban on selling oil to countries that comply with the cap - last week, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov had told reporters.

“We still have the task of working out what measures will best suit our interests. The work is ongoing, but it is close to completion.”

Russia's Urals crude blend has been trading at a steep discount to the global benchmark Brent since Russia invaded Ukraine, and most recently below $60 cap, according to Russian government data.

Global crude production declined by 228 kb/d in October, led by losses in Russia, Saudi Arabia and the US, IEF said.

According to the report, global demand was at 99 percent of pre-COVID levels in October, while crude production was at 96 percent of pre-pandemic levels.

Meanwhile, oil prices rose on Monday, as optimism around China relaxing its COVID-19 restrictions outweighed fears of a global recession that would weigh on energy demand.

China, the world's top crude oil importer, is experiencing its first of three expected waves of COVID-19 cases after Beijing relaxed mobility restrictions but said it plans to step up support for the economy in 2023.

Brent crude increased by 1.7% to settle at $80.41 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.9% to $75.77 a barrel.

Oil surged toward its record high of $147 a barrel earlier in the year after Russia invaded Ukraine in February. It has since unwound most of this year's gains as supply concerns were edged out by recession fears.

Oil was supported by the US Energy Department saying on Friday that it will begin repurchasing crude for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve - the first purchases since releasing a record 180 million barrels from the reserve this year.



Saudi Energy Minister Discusses Market Stability with Iraqi, Libyan Counterparts

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
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Saudi Energy Minister Discusses Market Stability with Iraqi, Libyan Counterparts

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).

As global oil markets anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting next week, attention is focused on economic uncertainties, including weak economic data from China and US President Donald Trump’s calls for lower oil prices.

On Monday, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman met with Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani and Libyan Oil and Gas Minister Khalifa Abdul Sadiq in Riyadh. Their discussions centered on boosting cooperation to stabilize global energy markets and serving the mutual interests of their countries.

The OPEC+ alliance, comprising OPEC members and non-OPEC allies like Russia, is scheduled to hold its Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting on February 3.

The meeting was held amid US President Donald Trump’s renewed pressure on OPEC to lower oil prices, arguing that such a move could help end the war in Ukraine. However, OPEC+ has already planned a gradual increase in oil production starting in April, signaling a phased rollback of earlier production cuts.

Saudi Arabia has consistently worked towards oil market stability, a commitment reaffirmed by Prince Abdulaziz. Similarly, Saudi Economy Minister Faisal Alibrahim, when asked about Trump’s remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, emphasized that Saudi Arabia and OPEC prioritize long-term market stability over short-term price fluctuations.

Prince Abdulaziz also held discussions with Egyptian Petroleum Minister Karim Badawi on enhancing energy cooperation, particularly in energy efficiency, with Saudi Arabia sharing its expertise in the field.

Oil prices saw modest gains on Tuesday, but remained near a two-week low, affected by weak Chinese economic data and forecasts of warmer weather dampening demand expectations. On Monday, Brent crude closed at its lowest level since January 9, while WTI hit its lowest since January 2.

China, the world’s largest crude importer, reported an unexpected contraction in manufacturing activity in January, raising concerns about slowing global oil demand. The latest US sanctions on Russian oil trade are also expected to disrupt China’s crude supply.

According to analysts at FGE, refineries in Shandong could lose up to 1 million barrels per day due to US restrictions on Russian oil tankers. While alternative crude sources are being explored, these come at significantly higher costs.

Oil price movements remain intertwined with broader financial market trends, including increased investor interest in DeepSeek, a Chinese company that recently launched a low-cost AI model, influencing overall market sentiment.