Daniel Moss

Daniel Moss

US Versus China Isn’t a ‘Cold War’

The collapse of a summit of Asia-Pacific leaders last weekend in Papua New Guinea isn’t the end of the world. In fact economic relations between the 21 nations won’t change much. Most need both China and the US — and that’s what they will continue to get. For the first time since leaders of the…

Businesses Expect Long Trade Fight Even After Trump

Let’s not get too excited in response to talks about talks among officials from the US and China. Tussles over trade are likely to be the norm no matter who wins the midterm elections or sits in the Oval Office. That was the view of most people polled by Chan Chun Sing, Singapore’s trade…

Behind 'Trade War' Slogans, a Few Routes to Peace

The flashy term “trade war” is being thrown around with abandon, but thankfully for now it’s actually more of a frontier skirmish. While announcements fly back and forth between Washington and Beijing, what's been said -- and not said -- offers opportunities to de-escalate. Consider the Trump…

The End of the 'Strong Dollar' Policy

The end of US leadership is on everyone's lips. Today's installment is the Treasury secretary's endorsement of a weaker dollar. Not so fast. Despite the way the ideal of a "strong dollar" has been thrown around in official rhetoric the last couple of decades, the reality is that Treasury…

The Great Trade War That Didn't Happen in 2017

The trade war didn't happen. Prepare for a few skirmishes. It was high on many observers' lists of things that could go badly wrong in 2017. Buying and selling of goods and services across borders not only increased this year, but also grew more than anticipated. Next year may test whether that…

Emerging Markets Don't Control Their Own Destiny

For all the hype about the decline of the West, it still largely controls whether emerging markets thrive or suffer. The broad global pick-up in growth this year propelled emerging markets toward the biggest gains in stocks and currencies in almost a decade. China's debt binge did add ballast…

Forecasts for the New World Order of 2030

At a global economic conference in Dubai last weekend, the US was everywhere and nowhere. In conversations at the World Economic Forum's Global Future Councils, people wrestled with challenges to the global trading system, developing infrastructure for the 21st century, and restoring trust in…

Bank of England Governor Takes a Crack at the Inflation Mystery

A domestic view won't explain the disconnect between employment and prices. Central bank sleuths are on the case. What explains the "mystery," to use Janet Yellen's word, behind low inflation and strong employment? It's a question that requires global detective work, a point amplified by the…