Jonathan Levin

Inflation Surprises Are Bad Even When They’re Good

Inflation finally surprised markets in good way, and traders are understandably enthusiastic that the worst price pressures may finally be in the rear-view mirror. But the true turn for the better will come when inflation ceases to be shocking altogether — positively or negatively — and can fade…

Jobs Report Gives Powell a Little More Runway on Rates

The Federal Reserve’s runway for raising interest rates to tackle the worst inflation in 40 years just got a little bit longer after a Labor Department report Friday showed unemployment remained near generational lows in June. That means the Fed is likely to deliver on another 75-basis-point…