Satyajit Das

Can Banks Survive Negative Rates?

The declining economic outlook and increasing political pressure are pushing central banks into more aggressive unconventional monetary policies. Simultaneously, fears are growing that such steps, especially negative interest rates, actually threaten the stability of the financial system. They risk…

The Global Wealth Illusion Is Paper-Thin

The world is wealthier now than it’s ever been — but only on paper. Much of this prosperity may prove illusory as a global shift toward less liquid investments undermines the basis of valuation. Private equity, infrastructure, and private credit have become a bigger share of investment…

We May Be Facing a Textbook Emerging-Market Crisis

Emerging-market stresses have been building since at least 2013. Investors may have forgotten the effect of the “taper tantrum” on the so-called Fragile Five — Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa — a term coined by Morgan Stanley to describe their vulnerability to capital outflows…

How the US Has Weaponized the Dollar

While the US accounts for about 20 percent of the world’s economic output, more than half of all global currency reserves and trade is in dollars. This is the result of the 1944 Bretton Woods agreement, the effect of which was enhanced when the link between the dollar and gold ended in the 1971…

Who Will Profit Off the Next Crash?

Current debates about stock valuations resemble the arcane meditations of medieval monks. But the real drivers are more mundane. Traders, weaned on tales of financial derring-do like "The Big Short," want to be the ones who profit from the next crash. The problem is that it may be easier to predict…