Gulf States Hold Closed-Door Talks in Berlin to Change ‘Image’ of Iran Relations

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
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Gulf States Hold Closed-Door Talks in Berlin to Change ‘Image’ of Iran Relations

Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)
Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel earlier this month. (WAM)

Gulf countries apprehensively approach Germany given its seemingly close political ties with Iran and its somewhat “lenient” approach towards its regime. Efforts have been increasing in Berlin to change this image among Gulf countries. To that end, a forum, described as the first of its kind, was held in the German capital to discuss the ties with the Gulf. The meeting brought together decision-makers from the Gulf and Germany to hold frank, rather than diplomatic, talks.

The two-day meeting was organized by the Federal Academy for Security Policy and the German-Arab Friendship Association and held away from the media spotlight. Iran took center stage at the discussions given recent tensions in the Gulf. The situation in each of Yemen, Syria and Iraq were also covered. Gulf officials did not hesitate in blaming Iran for stoking tensions, while also accusing Germany of failing to play a bigger role in easing them. They also spoke of “economic interests” binding Berlin to Tehran that was limiting Germany’s political policy.

German officials at the talks, however were keen to underline that Berlin and Tehran did not enjoy a “special” relationship. German officials included figures from the defense and foreign ministries and lawmakers. They stressed that economic relations do not dictate Germany’s behavior.

Accusations of “special” relations between Germany and Iran are not unfounded and date back to several decades and continued even after the 1979 revolution. In 1984, then German Foreign Minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher visited Tehran, becoming the first European official to do so since the revolution. Since then, Germany became a main trade partner to Iran. In 2014, it was estimated that German exports to Iran exceeded more than 3.5 billion euros.

After the 2015 nuclear deal, this exchange increased even further. German Economy Minister Sigmar Gabriel was among the first European officials to visit Tehran after the deal was signed. In 2015, the trade exchange between the two countries reached 2.5 billion euros and these numbers increased in early 2016. They have, however, started to steadily decline after the US withdrew from the nuclear accord in May 2018.

Despite this, Germany remains one of the greatest defenders of the nuclear pact and it was among the European countries that reaped the most benefits from it, which explains why Berlin is working tirelessly to salvage it, prompting accusations that its relations with Tehran were dictated by its economic interests.

Officials at the forum refuted these claims, saying that their country was seeking to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, which would lead to an arms race in the region. They said that the 2015 pact was the best solution to the situation, reiterating their opposition to Washington’s withdrawal from the deal.

MP Johann David Wadephul told Asharq Al-Awsat that disputes between Germany and the Gulf were not a big as they are being portrayed. He pointed out that two sides are in agreement that Iran should not acquire nuclear arms, but they had differences over how to implement this. They were also in agreement that Iran’s policies in the Middle East were aggressive and hostile, which is a danger to peace in the region. On whether Germany and Iran enjoy special relations, he said: “We do not share any strategic values or goals with Iran.”

Moreover, Wadephul said that after the US withdrawal from the nuclear deal, many opportunities were available to reach a common strategy on Iran. “We must seize the opportunity to draft a new pact because the old agreement is over.”

“This will give us a chance to reach a comprehensive deal that covers all of Iran’s policies, including its hostile behavior that allows it to make gains in Syria and other areas,” he remarked.

In addition, he said that economic ties were not dictating relations between Berlin and Tehran. “We do not have an important economic relationship with Iran. We have very important economic ties with the Gulf states, especially Saudi Arabia,” he stressed.

According to the German Foreign Ministry, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are Berlin’s two greatest trade partners in the region. In 2017, German imports to the Kingdom exceeded 6.5 billion euros.

Relations between Riyadh and Berlin have returned to normal after previous tensions that saw the Kingdom withdraw its ambassador in 2017 over the then German foreign minister’s accusation that Saudi Arabia was behind the resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri from his post. Relations went back on track after current Foreign Minister Heiko Maas offered a public apology during a joint press conference with then Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir on the sidelines of the United Nations General Assembly.

Saudi Arabia has since then appointed a new ambassador, Prince Faisal bin Farhan al-Saud, who was born in Germany.

The envoy took part in the opening of the Berlin forum. He told Asharq Al-Awsat that since assuming his post earlier this year, he sensed “great interest” from Germany in relations with Saudi Arabia and the important role it plays. He echoed Wadephul’s comments that Germany was not close to Iran.

“I think they realize that the greatest source of instability in the region is currently Iran,” he stated.

Indeed, the side discussions at the forum focused on Yemen and Tehran’s role there. The Gulf participants said that Tehran is the main backer of the Houthi militias and it was obstructing the UN-sponsored political dialogue. They urged Germany to exploit its relationship with Iran to pressure the Houthis to accept political dialogue based on international resolutions. They also called on it to “quit playing the role of silent mediator and play an active one.”

Despite German officials’ acknowledgment that Iran was involved in the conflict, they asserted that the Yemenis alone could end the war. They did admit, however, that Tehran has a hand in hindering progress, in contrast to Riyadh and Abu Dhabi’s positive role that facilitated the Stockholm agreement.

Head of the Federal Academy for Security Policy Karl-Heinz Kamp said that the forum served as a platform for Gulf-German talks, acknowledging the problems between the two sides. He hoped that the forum would be held on an annual basis.

“We realize that Iran poses a danger to us too,” he added, saying that Germany’s foreign policy was closest to the Gulf policy.



Israel’s Far-Right Ben-Gvir Seeks New Ground in Election

In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
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Israel’s Far-Right Ben-Gvir Seeks New Ground in Election

In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)
In this picture taken on October 20, 2026, a torn up election banner for Israel's national security minister's Itamar Ben Gvir far-right Otzma Yehudit (Jewish Power) party is displayed along the side of a highway outside Beit Shemesh in Israel's southern district. (AFP)

A turbo-charged election campaign by Israel's far-right national security minister has seen gun-shaped keychains distributed to high school students and a promotional video threatening to "put to death" a Palestinian inmate.

His policy pledges include encouraging Palestinians to leave the occupied West Bank and war-ravaged Gaza, as well as enforcing the death penalty on Palestinians convicted of deadly attacks against Israelis.

Days ahead of polls which many Israelis consider crucial to deciding the future character of their country, the divisive influence of Itamar Ben-Gvir -- once considered a provocateur on Israel's extremist fringes -- shows no sign of dimming.

Polls show his Otzma Yehudit, or Jewish Power, party winning eight or nine seats in the 120-member parliament, making it the first time it will win a mandate running as a standalone entity.

In 2022, it was allocated six seats after running on a joint list with other far-right parties.

Ben-Gvir, who has been convicted at least eight times in Israeli courts before becoming minister, on charges including supporting a terror organization and incitement to racism, has become the firebrand face of Israel's far-right -- whose political clout has skyrocketed since joining Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition four years ago.

"In short, he speaks straight. We really love him," 23-year-old Or Nahman told AFP in Jerusalem's bustling Mahane Yehuda market, where a huge banner bearing Ben-Gvir's face hangs over shop stalls.

"We want to fight and vote for a person like this, who serves our ideology and the things we believe in, whether it's the Jewish character of the country, the victory of Israel, strong economic security, whether it's a country where everyone can walk here freely in their land without any fear of anyone," he added.

Nahman's friend, armed with an automatic weapon, smiled in agreement beside him.

As national security minister with responsibility over the police, Ben-Gvir has helped more than 200,000 Israelis gain access to firearms and boasts frequently about the worsening conditions for Palestinian detainees in Israeli jails.

And he has used his place in the cabinet to push the government to take more maximalist positions in Israel's multi-front wars.

He proudly sports a lapel pin in the shape of a hangman's noose after spearheading a death penalty law tailored to apply to Palestinians, popping champagne upon its approval in parliament and celebrating his 50th birthday with a noose-adorned cake.

The lawyer-turned-politician was barred from serving in the military in his youth over his support for extremist right-wing groups.

Now, he says he will demand the defense minister post if Netanyahu's bloc wins again on October 27.

- 'Not a stupid man' -

The upcoming vote is expected to be close, with more than half a million young Israelis due to vote for the first time. Surveys show they overwhelmingly identify as center-right or right-wing.

A poll of 543 first-time voters published by Israeli outlet Ynet showed some 16 percent supporting either Ben-Gvir's Otzma Yehudit or the far-right Religious Zionism party of Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich.

At a mock election event attended by Ben-Gvir and other candidates at a high school near Tel Aviv in September, Otzma Yehudit activists handed out gun-shaped keychains to students -- evoking his liberalization of gun licensing rules.

Footage shared by Ben-Gvir showed dozens of teenage boys dressed in black, cheering and waving the party's flag.

In the run-up to the vote, Ben-Gvir -- who lives in the radical West Bank settlement of Kiryat Arba -- has campaigned in areas outside his traditional support base.

"When you behave like the boss, people respect you," he said at a recent event for English speakers in Tel Aviv, considered Israel's secular, liberal heartland.

Making a heart gesture after walking onto the stage to whistles and applause, Ben-Gvir boasted of demolishing Bedouin homes and cutting food for Palestinian detainees.

"They come in fat and they come out skinny," he bragged, smiling and making a joke about his own weight.

Ben-Gvir recently deleted a heavily criticized AI-generated video showing smiling Palestinians entering an Israeli prison on a conveyor belt, before exiting crying and emaciated.

In October, Israel's elections committee fined the minister over another video showing him confronting a convicted Hamas official in prison and saying he wanted to kill him, ruling that the footage was electoral propaganda.

His latest slew of AI videos included one showing an elderly Palestinian man sitting in the rubble of Gaza before a genie in the form of Ben-Gvir grants his wish to move to Paris. The French government rebuked the video and noted that Ben-Gvir is banned from France.

For punters at the Jerusalem market, the far-right seemed an appealing prospect, although some were concerned by Ben-Gvir's provocative stunts.

"He's too violent," said 42-year-old Shlomo from Ramat Gan, who previously voted for Netanyahu, but this year said he might cast his ballot for Smotrich.

"We need somebody like him," he said, but cautioned that Israel still needed to work with the rest of the world.

Michael, a 37-year-old from Jerusalem, agreed.

"I believe he's not a stupid man, but the fact is he says stupid things to get votes," he said. "It's very effective but it does a lot of damage to Israel's economy and diplomacy."


How Are Ukraine Strikes, Middle East War Driving US Fuel Prices?

A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
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How Are Ukraine Strikes, Middle East War Driving US Fuel Prices?

A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)
A truck is filled with diesel fuel at a gas station on October 16, 2026, in Bayonne, New Jersey. (Getty Images/AFP)

Ahead of next month's midterm US elections, Donald Trump has increasingly blamed Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries for surging energy prices back home, which are causing the president political headaches.

However, analysts say the main driver of higher fuel prices remains the US-Iran war.

- Which Russian sites have been targeted? -

Ukraine has intensified its drone attacks on Russia's energy industry over the past 18 months, seeking to cut the Kremlin's revenues and undermine its ability to finance the war.

The strikes have targeted "mostly refineries", Julien Mathonniere, an economist at Energy Intelligence, told AFP.

On average, one Russian refinery was hit every three days during the first eight months of the year, according to the International Energy Agency.

"Russia's net diesel exports fell by approximately 80 percent year on year in the third quarter of 2026, from around 1.05 million barrels per day to just 200,000 barrels per day," said Viktor Kurilov, an analyst at Rystad Energy.

In response to the disruption in domestic fuel supplies, Moscow introduced a ban on diesel exports from July until the end of October.

- Why does this concern Trump? -

Trump has repeatedly condemned the attacks on Russian refineries, saying Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelensky disobeyed his orders to halt the strikes.

By contrast, Trump has not commented on the intensification in recent months of Russian strikes against Ukrainian territory, which have caused a surge in civilian casualties.

Trump's frustrations come as the Republicans face dim prospects in the November midterm elections, partly because of soaring fuel prices.

US diesel prices at the pump climbed to a record of $6.53 per gallon at the end of September, up from $3.75 per gallon before the war, according to the American Automobile Association.

Energy price rises are also fueling inflation across the economy.

- What is the Middle East role? -

Ukraine's strikes explain "about one-third of the global diesel shortfall, currently estimated at 1.7 to 1.8 million barrels per day", said Mathonniere.

But "the impact of previous drone strikes (by Kyiv) on global product prices before the Middle East crisis was minimal", James Henderson, a researcher at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, told AFP.

Energy exports from the Gulf have plunged since US-Israeli strikes on Iran from February caused Tehran to respond by choking off the Strait of Hormuz, a vital waterway for oil and gas transit.

At the same time, maritime freight costs have soared and major refining capacity in the Middle East has been hit, adding to upward pressure on oil prices.

- Can prices fall before midterms? -

Relations between Kyiv and Washington soured further this month after Trump announced a controversial agreement with Moscow to lift certain sanctions and allow Russian diesel imports, supposedly to ease prices.

The US president said Wednesday that he believed an end to the Russia-Ukraine war could be closer than ever, as the Kremlin said it was willing to restart trilateral talks with Kyiv and Washington next month.

For now, however, the strikes continue.

"There's not much that can be done in the very short term to lower diesel prices," said Jorge Leon, an analyst at Rystad Energy.

Even if the Russia conflict ended or an energy ceasefire was reached, the impact "wouldn't really move the needle massively for the US midterm elections", he added.

Repairs to damaged infrastructure take time, while continued hostilities in the Middle East drive energy prices higher.


‘Generational Rage’: Young Europeans Fight to Be Heard

 Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
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‘Generational Rage’: Young Europeans Fight to Be Heard

 Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)
Demonstrators take part in a protest organized by student collectives and trade unions in Paris, France, October 22, 2026. (Reuters)

From blockaded schools in Rome to tent camps in Madrid and street protests in France, young people across Europe are turning their anger on a political class they say is not listening.

Their demands vary, but they are united in wanting to make their often marginalized voices heard, sometimes even with radical methods in the face of heavy-handed policing.

"We are fighting and taking our future in our hands," said Damiano Fusa, 18, a student at Rome's Cavour high school, the first to be occupied in a wave of student takeovers that has spread across the Italian capital.

"We're not represented by anyone," Fusa told AFP, criticizing both Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's hard-right coalition and previous center-left governments for cutting education funding and ignoring young people's needs.

Hundreds of thousands of high school and university students have rallied in France, Italy, Spain and other European countries in recent weeks, with some protests descending into violence.

Governments have largely focused on restoring order, with France imposing partial curfews and Italy deploying soldiers, responses protesters say obscure their demands and could make things even worse.

"Politicians are responding in ways that are completely disconnected from reality, completely absurd," said Luis Marques, a 19-year-old psychology student in Lisbon.

Students are demanding action on soaring rents, more spending on education instead of defense and more job opportunities for young people.

But experts say the unrest reflects a broader sense among many young Europeans that they have been shut out of politics and sidelined.

"These young people do not just feel like they do not have a place in politics, they feel they are not being heard at all," said Geoffrey Pleyers, president of the International Sociological Association.

Rosario Forlenza, a professor at Rome's Luiss University, called it a "European generational revolt" rooted in a social and economic crisis "to which politicians cannot give a substantive response".

"Young people are a minority of the population that is shrinking and so their social, economic, cultural, political and electoral weight is becoming ever more irrelevant," he said.

- 'Inspiring other people' -

The anger has been particularly palpable in France and Italy, where fresh demonstrations are planned for Saturday.

"People are very angry, they've had enough. Working hard all day and still not being able to fill up their shopping cart," a 20-year-old student who gave his name as Eddy told AFP at a protest in Bordeaux last weekend.

"Will smashing everything change anything? I think it can be a jolt to wake up the politicians. We don't know what else to do to make ourselves heard. The ballot box? We don't believe in it anymore," he said.

Protest movements across Europe are increasingly drawing inspiration from one another, and even looking to youth-led movements further afield in places like Bangladesh, India and Nepal.

In Italy, one student slogan last week urged protesters to "do as in France", while shared symbols, including the Jolly Roger pirate flag, have become common across youth rallies.

Marcos Navarro, 22, a laboratory quality-control technician from Madrid, said protesters across Europe were meeting to share tactics.

"They've come to ask us: 'How did you do it? How do you organize yourselves?' We've already exchanged ideas," said Navarro, who has been camping with hundreds of others in Madrid's central Puerta del Sol square since September to protest housing costs and evictions.

Ayla Herrero, a 26-year-old anthropologist helping at the camp's infirmary, said it was "inspiring for us to know that we're inspiring other people, that it doesn't just stay here".

- 'Not acceptable' -

Concern about the rise in military spending in Europe following the Russian invasion of Ukraine has also been a rallying point.

Nikos Mavroudis, a 17-year-old high school student in Athens' Exarchia neighborhood, said the money could be better spent on his school, where chunks of plaster are falling.

"It's not acceptable for classrooms to be dangerous," said Mavroudis, who hopes to become a cook and plans to move elsewhere in Europe to "countries where things are better".

At Rome's occupied Morgagni high school, where students have barricaded entrances with desks, protesters pointed to the crumbling infrastructure as evidence of neglect.

An 18-year-old, who did not want to be named, said the media and politicians in Italy were focusing too heavily on looting and vandalism by some protesters.

"It turns hatred against the students who are victims of this system," he said.

Asked about the violence, Sabrina Brizzola, 24, coordinator of the Italian University Students' Union, said organizations like hers should "organize and channel this generational rage".

"We have shared concerns, even if our ways of protesting differ," she said.