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Morocco’s Industry Minister: Turkey Approved to Amend Free Trade Agreement

Moroccan Minister of Industry, Trade, Investment and Digital Economy Moulay Hafid Elalamy
Moroccan Minister of Industry, Trade, Investment and Digital Economy Moulay Hafid Elalamy
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Morocco’s Industry Minister: Turkey Approved to Amend Free Trade Agreement

Moroccan Minister of Industry, Trade, Investment and Digital Economy Moulay Hafid Elalamy
Moroccan Minister of Industry, Trade, Investment and Digital Economy Moulay Hafid Elalamy

Morocco has succeeded in convincing Turkey to review a list of Moroccan complaints on a free trade agreement between the countries, said the trade minister late on Monday.

Minister of Industry, Trade, Investment and Digital Economy Moulay Hafid Elalamy told a parliament session that his country has informed Ankara on its losses over an imbalance in the agreement’s clauses.

He said the Kingdom would unilaterally withdraw from the deal unless Turkey provides a solution that does not harm Morocco’s interests.

Elalamy explained that a comprehensive study of all the free trade agreements concluded by Morocco showed a deficit in its trade with three main partners, namely Europe, the US and Turkey.

He pointed out, however, that the deficit caused by the Moroccan-Turkish free trade deal comes amid a lack in Turkish investments in Morocco.

The Kingdom considers the free trade deal it struck with Turkey in 2004 as responsible for part of its $1.2 billion trade deficit with the country.

Elalamy indicated that the volume of Turkish investments in Morocco do not exceed one percent.

The minister stressed that the dispute between Morocco and Turkey is “commercial” and mainly focused on textiles, noting that the number of jobs lost by Morocco in this sector amounted to 19,000 in 2014, 24,000 in 2015, 35,000 in 2016 and 44,000 in 2017.

The deficit with Europe is around 77 billion dirhams annually ($8.11 billion), Elalamy stressed, attributing it to the import of fuels (more than 20 billion dirhams; $2.1 billion) and cars (more than 18 billion dirhams; $1.9 billion).

Morocco, meanwhile, exports 60 billion dirhams ($6.32 billion) worth of cars to Europe.

European Union investment represents more than 71 percent of the volume of foreign investments in Morocco, he added, pointing out that the support provided by EU countries to Morocco has amounted to about $2 billion between 2014 and 2020.

Regarding the trade exchange agreement with the US, Elalamy revealed that the deficit amounted to 20 billion dirhams ($2.11 billion), of which 15 billion dirhams ($1.6 billion) are allocated for hydrocarbons and 3.5 billion dirhams ($368 million) to purchase Boeing aircraft.

US investments in Morocco reached six percent of the total foreign investments, while US support for the Kingdom stood at $1.2 billion.

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Dollar Resumes Upward Trend, Euro Hits Lowest since Nov 2022

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Resumes Upward Trend, Euro Hits Lowest since Nov 2022

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar hit new multi-month highs against the euro and the pound on Thursday, the first day of 2025 trading, as it built on last year's strong gains on expectations US interest rates will remain high relative to peers.

The euro fell to as low as $1.0314, its lowest since November 2022, down around 0.3% on the day. It is now down nearly 8% since its late September highs above $1.12, one major victim of the dollar's recent surge.

Traders anticipate deep interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank in 2025, with markets pricing in at least four 25 basis point cuts, while not being certain of even two such moves from the US Federal Reserve, Reuters reported.

The dollar was hitting milestones across the board and the pound was last down 0.65% at $1.2443, its lowest since April, with its fall accelerating after it broke through resistance around $1.2475.

"It's more of the same at the start of the new calendar year with the dollar continuing to extend its advances in anticipation of Trump putting in place friendly policies at the start of his term," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG.

US President-elect Donald Trump's policies are widely expected to not only boost growth but also add to upward price pressure. That will lead to a Fed cautious about cutting rates too much further, in turn underpinning US Treasury yields and boost dollar demand.

A weaker growth outlook outside the US, conflict in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine war have also added to demand for the dollar.

The dollar also reversed an early loss on Thursday to climb against the Japanese yen, and was last up 0.17% at 157.26.

It reached a five-month high above 158 yen in late December, potentially putting pressure on the Bank of Japan, which is expected to raise interest rates early this year, but possibly not immediately.

"If dollar/yen were to break above 160 ahead of the next BOJ meeting, that could be a catalyst for the BOJ to hike in January rather than wait until March," said Hardman.

"Though for now markets are leaning towards March after the dovish comments from (governor Kazuo) Ueda at his last press conference."

Even those who are more cautious about sustained dollar strength think it could take a long time to play out.

"The dollar may be vulnerable – but only if the US data confound market expectations that the Fed doesn’t cut rates more than once in the first half of this year, and not by more than 50bp in the whole of 2025," said Kit Juckes chief FX strategist at Societe Generale in a note.

"There's a good chance of that happening, but it seems very unlikely that cracks in US growth will appear early in the year – hence my preference for taking any bearish dollar thoughts with me into hibernation until the weather improves."

China's yuan languished at 14-month lows as worries about the health of the world's second-biggest economy, the prospect of US import tariffs from the Trump administration and sliding local yields weighed on investor sentiment.

Elsewhere, the Swiss franc, another victim of the recent dollar strength, gave back early gains to last trade flat at 0.90755 per dollar.

The Australian and New Zealand dollars, however, managed to break away from two-year lows touched on Tuesday. The Aussie was 0.36% higher at $0.6215 having dropped 9% in 2024, its weakest yearly performance since 2018.

The kiwi rose 0.47% to $0.5614.