Sudan’s Ex-Foreign Minister Mansour Khalid Dies

Former Sudanese foreign minister Mansour Khalid.
Former Sudanese foreign minister Mansour Khalid.
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Sudan’s Ex-Foreign Minister Mansour Khalid Dies

Former Sudanese foreign minister Mansour Khalid.
Former Sudanese foreign minister Mansour Khalid.

Sudan’s prominent intellectual, veteran politician and former foreign minister Mansour Khalid died at age 89 in one of Khartoum’s hospitals, leaving behind a long and rich legacy.

Khalid was a published author with books, written both in English and Arabic, focused on Sudan’s political spectrum, which he was famous for sharply criticizing. In one of his books, “The Sudanese political elite and the addiction of failure,” he discussed deeply the failures of the political ruling class in post-1956 Sudan.

He was raised by a Sufi family in the city of Omdurman, where he was born in 1931.

A fierce intellectual, Khalid received a Bachelor of Laws degree in 1957. It was followed by a Master of Laws from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania three years later. Khalid earned a Doctor of Philosophy degree from the University of Paris in a couple of years.

At the University of Colorado, Khalid lectured on international law, comparative law and the law of international aid.

Khalid’s literary talent shined bright since his school days. He soon drew attention to his excellence in research and investigation, the accuracy of analysis, and his high writing and language integrity capabilities.

He worked as an independent press correspondent for a number of dailies, then as a reporter for AFP from Khartoum.

After his graduation, he practiced law in the office of the late lawyer and politician Farouk Abu Issa, and after that he moved to work as a secretary in the office of former Prime Minister Abdullah Khalil.

Khalid served as the minister of youth and social affairs at the government of Sudan. In the early 1970s, President Jaafar Nimeri appointed Khalid as Foreign Minister.

Khalid stirred a lot of political, intellectual and cultural controversy, especially after deciding to join the 1969 seizure of power under Nimeri.

Khalid also set up a long collaboration with the United Nations, first as a law officer at its New York City secretariat. More so, Khalid achieved a transfer to Paris where he worked with UNESCO as an officer responsible for Arab states in the bureau of relations with member states for four years.

In the 1980s, Khalid shared close ties with the late South Sudan politician John Garang.

Khalid became close to Garang, which made him contribute to theorizing the idea of the "New Sudan", a political project that the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) was proposing to end the ongoing war and political turmoil.

Khalid had joined the SPLM which had been fighting against the rule of now ousted President Omar al-Bashir, before signing peace agreement in 2005, that later led to the separation of the South from the North in 2011.



Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
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Lancet Study Estimates Gaza Death Toll 40% Higher Than Recorded

Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)
Palestinians walk through the destruction in the wake of an Israeli air and ground offensive in Khan Younis, southern Gaza Strip, Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2025. (AP Photo/Abdel Kareem Hana)

Research published in The Lancet medical journal on Friday estimates that the death toll in Gaza during the first nine months of the Israel-Hamas war was around 40 percent higher than recorded by the Palestinian territory's health ministry.

The number of dead in Gaza has become a matter of bitter debate since Israel launched its military campaign against Hamas in response to the Palestinian militant group's unprecedented October 7, 2023 attack.

Up to June 30 last year, the health ministry in Hamas-run Gaza reported a death toll of 37,877 in the war.

However, the new peer-reviewed study used data from the ministry, an online survey and social media obituaries to estimate that there were between 55,298 and 78,525 deaths from traumatic injuries in Gaza by that time, AFP reported.

The study's best death toll estimate was 64,260, which would mean the health ministry had under-reported the number of deaths to that point by 41 percent.

That toll represented 2.9 percent of Gaza's pre-war population, "or approximately one in 35 inhabitants," the study said.

The UK-led group of researchers estimated that 59 percent of the deaths were women, children and the elderly.

The toll was only for deaths from traumatic injuries, so did not include deaths from a lack of health care or food, or the thousands of missing believed to be buried under rubble.

AFP is unable to independently verify the death toll.

On Thursday, Gaza's health ministry said that 46,006 people had died over the full 15 months of war.

In Israel, the 2023 attack by Hamas resulted in the deaths of 1,208 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Israel has repeatedly questioned the credibility of the Gaza health ministry's figures, but the United Nations have said they are reliable.

- 'A good estimate' -

The researchers used a statistical method called "capture-recapture" that has previously been used to estimate the death toll in conflicts around the world.

The analysis used data from three different lists, the first provided by the Gaza health ministry of the bodies identified in hospitals or morgues.

The second list was from an online survey launched by the health ministry in which Palestinians reported the deaths of relatives.

The third was sourced from obituaries posted on social media platforms such as X, Instagram, Facebook and Whatsapp, when the identity of the deceased could be verified.

"We only kept in the analysis those who were confirmed dead by their relatives or confirmed dead by the morgues and the hospital," lead study author Zeina Jamaluddine, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, told AFP.

The researchers scoured the lists, searching for duplicates.

"Then we looked at the overlaps between the three lists, and based on the overlaps, you can come up with a total estimation of the population that was killed," Jamaluddine said.

Patrick Ball, a statistician at the US-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group not involved in the research, has used capture-recapture methods to estimate death tolls for conflicts in Guatemala, Kosovo, Peru and Colombia.

Ball told AFP the well-tested technique has been used for centuries and that the researchers had reached "a good estimate" for Gaza.

Kevin McConway, a professor of applied statistics at Britain's Open University, told AFP there was "inevitably a lot of uncertainty" when making estimates from incomplete data.

But he said it was "admirable" that the researchers had used three other statistical analysis approaches to check their estimates.

"Overall, I find these estimates reasonably compelling, he added.

- 'Criticism' expected from both sides -

The researchers cautioned that the hospital lists do not always provide the cause of death, so it was possible that people with non-traumatic health problems -- such as a heart attack -- could have been included, potentially leading to an overestimate.

However, there were other ways that the war's toll could still be underestimated.

The study did not include missing people. The UN humanitarian agency OCHA has said that around 10,000 missing Gazans are thought to be buried under rubble.

There are also indirect ways that war can claim lives, such as a lack of healthcare, food, water, sanitation or the spread of disease. All have stricken Gaza since October 2023.

In a contentious, non-peer-reviewed letter published in The Lancet in July, another group of researchers used the rate of indirect deaths seen in other conflicts to suggest that 186,000 deaths could eventually be attributed to the Gaza war.

The new study suggested that this projection "might be inappropriate due to obvious differences in the pre-war burden of disease" in Gaza compared to conflicts in countries such as Burundi and East Timor.

Jamaluddine said she expected that "criticism is going to come from different sides" about the new research.

She spoke out against the "obsession" of arguing about death tolls, emphasizing that "we already know that there is a lot of high mortality.”