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OPEC+ Output Cuts Likely to be Extended Until End of 2020

FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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OPEC+ Output Cuts Likely to be Extended Until End of 2020

FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed OPEC logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Saudi Arabia and some other OPEC oil producers are considering extending record high output cuts until the end of 2020 but have yet to win support from Russia, OPEC+ and Russian industry sources told Reuters.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and other producers led by Russia, a group known as OPEC+, agreed last month to cut output by 9.7 million barrels per day (bpd) in May and June.
The coronavirus pandemic has worsened oversupply in the oil market by slashing demand which has in turn hammered prices.

So instead of easing their output cuts come July, several OPEC+ sources told Reuters there are discussions led by de facto OPEC leader Saudi Arabia about sustaining those cuts.

“The Saudis see that the market still needs support and want to roll over the same cuts until end of the year. The Russians also want the same but the problem again is with the oil companies,” one OPEC+ source said.

Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak met with domestic major oil companies on Tuesday to discuss the possible extension of the current level of cuts beyond June.

Sources familiar with Russian oil thinking said no decision was made as opinions are divided, with some arguing Moscow should wait to see demand levels as airlines begin to fly again.

“Of course if we are told to continue with the cuts, we will obey. But if the demand is OK, we don’t see a reason to change the deal,” said one source at a Russian oil company, referring to the current pact calling for cuts through June.

Russia’s Novak had said he expected the oil market to balance out in June/July as oil demand recovers amid easing lockdowns.

The Russian source agreed with that assessment, which may show that Moscow sees no need for changes to the current deal.

Russian President Vladimir Putin and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman agreed during a telephone call on further “close coordination” on oil output restrictions.

The OPEC+ group is due to hold an online conference in the second week of June to discuss their output policy.

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Business

G7 Trade Talks Target Critical Minerals as US-EU Tariff Rift Strains Unity

(L-R): EU commissioner for trade and economic security Maros Sefcovic, German Economy and Energy Minister Katarina Reiche, British State Secretary in charge of Trade Peter Kyle, US representative for Trade Jamieson Greer, French minister for trade Nicolas Forissier, Canadian state secretary in charge of international trade Maninder Sidhu, Italian Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Maria Tripodi and Japanese Foreign Affairs delegate Minister Iwao Horii and Japanese Economy and Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa prepare to pose for a group picture during the G7 Trade ministerial meeting in Paris, France, 06 May 2026. EPA/CHRISTOPHE PETIT TESSON / POOL
(L-R): EU commissioner for trade and economic security Maros Sefcovic, German Economy and Energy Minister Katarina Reiche, British State Secretary in charge of Trade Peter Kyle, US representative for Trade Jamieson Greer, French minister for trade Nicolas Forissier, Canadian state secretary in charge of international trade Maninder Sidhu, Italian Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Maria Tripodi and Japanese Foreign Affairs delegate Minister Iwao Horii and Japanese Economy and Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa prepare to pose for a group picture during the G7 Trade ministerial meeting in Paris, France, 06 May 2026. EPA/CHRISTOPHE PETIT TESSON / POOL
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G7 Trade Talks Target Critical Minerals as US-EU Tariff Rift Strains Unity

(L-R): EU commissioner for trade and economic security Maros Sefcovic, German Economy and Energy Minister Katarina Reiche, British State Secretary in charge of Trade Peter Kyle, US representative for Trade Jamieson Greer, French minister for trade Nicolas Forissier, Canadian state secretary in charge of international trade Maninder Sidhu, Italian Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Maria Tripodi and Japanese Foreign Affairs delegate Minister Iwao Horii and Japanese Economy and Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa prepare to pose for a group picture during the G7 Trade ministerial meeting in Paris, France, 06 May 2026. EPA/CHRISTOPHE PETIT TESSON / POOL
(L-R): EU commissioner for trade and economic security Maros Sefcovic, German Economy and Energy Minister Katarina Reiche, British State Secretary in charge of Trade Peter Kyle, US representative for Trade Jamieson Greer, French minister for trade Nicolas Forissier, Canadian state secretary in charge of international trade Maninder Sidhu, Italian Vice-Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation Maria Tripodi and Japanese Foreign Affairs delegate Minister Iwao Horii and Japanese Economy and Trade Minister Ryosei Akazawa prepare to pose for a group picture during the G7 Trade ministerial meeting in Paris, France, 06 May 2026. EPA/CHRISTOPHE PETIT TESSON / POOL

Group of Seven trade ministers meeting in Paris on Wednesday sought common ground on securing critical mineral supplies that are dominated by China, but fresh US tariff threats against European Union-made cars risked straining unity.

France wants critical minerals supplies to be among the most concrete deliverables during its G7 presidency as ministers prepare for a leaders' summit in mid-June, Foreign Trade Minister Nicolas Forissier ‌said as ‌he arrived for talks.

"I believe we will ‌make ⁠very concrete progress ⁠on rare earths and critical minerals, securing our supply chains and ensuring we are not held hostage by certain countries," he said.

Officials involved in the discussions said there was broad agreement on the need to reduce reliance on China, but significant differences remained about how to do so, said Reuters.

G7 unity is also being ⁠tested by comments from US President Donald Trump, who ‌said Washington would raise tariffs on ‌EU-made cars to 25% from 15%, arguing that Brussels was ‌not complying with a trade deal that was agreed upon ‌in Turnberry, Scotland, last year.

German Economy Minister Katherina Reiche said that she was in intensive talks with US officials over the tariffs. Germany's export-dependent automotive sector has already been under strain from weakening demand in China, ‌slower global growth and higher input and labor costs.

EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic said he and ⁠US Trade Representative ⁠Jamieson Greer had discussed the Turnberry agreement at a meeting in Paris on Tuesday and that he would be heading to the European Parliament, where negotiations on EU legislation related to the trade deal will take place later on Wednesday.

"We both clearly concluded that it's important to respect the deal from Turnberry from both sides, so we have to deliver on what was promised in Scotland," Sefcovic said.

The trade ministers are also expected to discuss industrial overcapacity - China being the main source - and reform of the World Trade Organization, Forissier said.

Business

Gulf Markets Higher as US-Iran Ceasefire Holds

An investor watches a stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange in Riyadh (AFP)
An investor watches a stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange in Riyadh (AFP)
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Gulf Markets Higher as US-Iran Ceasefire Holds

An investor watches a stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange in Riyadh (AFP)
An investor watches a stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange in Riyadh (AFP)

Saudi Arabia's ⁠benchmark stock ⁠index rose 0.4% on Wednesday, with most constituents trading in positive territory. Gains were led by information technology, materials and healthcare stocks.

Saudi Arabian Mining Co added 4.5%, while Arabian Mills for Food Products surged 8% after reporting a 32% rise in first-quarter net profit.

US President Donald Trump said he would briefly pause an operation escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway that carries about a fifth of global oil supplies and has been blockaded by Iran since late February, triggering a global energy crisis.

So the fragile US-Iran ceasefire held firm despite a fresh flare-up in tensions, allowing investors to turn their attention back to corporate earnings.

Dubai's benchmark stock index rose 1.5%, rebounding from losses in the previous session.

Among individual stocks, blue-chip developer Emaar Properties gained 1.7%, while Dubai's largest lender, Emirates NBD, added 1.5%.

The Abu Dhabi benchmark index advanced 0.5%, with most constituents trading higher. ⁠Gains were led by utilities, healthcare and technology shares.

Presight AI Holding jumped 5%, while Alpha Dhabi climbed 2.3%.

The Qatari benchmark index edged up 0.3%, as most stocks traded higher. Industries Qatar gained 0.7%, while Qatar Fuel Co added 0.6%.

Business

Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Defies ‘Hormuz Winds’, Regains Growth Momentum

A commercial street in Riyadh (AFP) 
A commercial street in Riyadh (AFP) 
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Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Defies ‘Hormuz Winds’, Regains Growth Momentum

A commercial street in Riyadh (AFP) 
A commercial street in Riyadh (AFP) 

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector posted a notable positive shift in April 2026, regaining growth momentum despite escalating geopolitical pressures and disruptions to international shipping routes — described as the “winds of Hormuz” — that affected supply chains and market expectations.

The Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) rose to 51.5 points, surpassing the neutral 50-point mark. The recovery reflected companies’ ability to increase output levels in response to an influx of new business and progress on existing projects, despite continuing geopolitical challenges in the region and ongoing global supply chain disruptions that continued to weigh on customer spending decisions.

In this context, Riyad Bank Chief Economist Naif Alghaith said the results confirmed that the non-oil sector remained on a constructive and resilient trajectory, supporting the strategic goals of economic diversification under Saudi Vision 2030.

He added that the return of the index to expansion territory demonstrated that underlying business conditions remained fundamentally strong, with domestic demand and purchasing power offsetting the noticeable weakness in export orders. This, he noted, highlighted the growing importance of the Kingdom’s domestic economic engine in reducing reliance on external cycles.

Operationally, April saw a rapid and unprecedented increase in cost burdens, with input prices rising at the fastest pace since the survey began in August 2009. Sharp increases in raw material prices, shipping costs and logistics expenses resulting from regional disruptions pushed companies to implement near-record increases in selling prices in an effort to pass costs on to customers.

Alghaith said supply chain dynamics remained a key area of focus, particularly as delivery times continued to lengthen, prompting companies to adopt proactive behavior by increasing inventories as a precautionary measure to ensure business continuity.

Although the pace of overall business expansion remained slow by historical standards due to investor and customer caution surrounding the conflict in the Middle East, future expectations remained optimistic. The survey showed an improvement in business confidence regarding activity over the next 12 months, driven by long-term expansion prospects and major domestic infrastructure projects.

Alghaith said the Kingdom’s stable and robust economic fundamentals positioned it strongly to sustain long-term growth and stability, adding that optimism and strong domestic demand continued to reinforce confidence in Saudi Arabia’s economic transformation path.

For his part, Osama bin Ghanem Al-Obaidy, adviser and professor of commercial law, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the rise in the Purchasing Managers’ Index reflected the ability of Saudi companies to deal with the Strait of Hormuz crisis and its repercussions on the economy and global supply chains.

He said the improvement was driven by increased domestic demand, national economic diversification programs, Vision 2030 projects and infrastructure development, as well as stronger purchasing activity, reflecting the growing positive momentum of the Kingdom’s non-oil economic activities.

Al-Obaidy added that the improvement came despite mounting cost pressures resulting from higher raw material prices, transportation costs and rising wages.