Lebanon: Political Parties Begin Preparations for Next Year’s Parliamentary Race

A man stands next to graffiti at the damaged port area in the aftermath of a massive explosion in Beirut, Lebanon August 11, 2020. REUTERS/Hannah McKay
A man stands next to graffiti at the damaged port area in the aftermath of a massive explosion in Beirut, Lebanon August 11, 2020. REUTERS/Hannah McKay
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Lebanon: Political Parties Begin Preparations for Next Year’s Parliamentary Race

A man stands next to graffiti at the damaged port area in the aftermath of a massive explosion in Beirut, Lebanon August 11, 2020. REUTERS/Hannah McKay
A man stands next to graffiti at the damaged port area in the aftermath of a massive explosion in Beirut, Lebanon August 11, 2020. REUTERS/Hannah McKay

A year before the parliamentary elections of May 2022, most political parties and civil society groups began preparing for the electoral race, which constitutes a great challenge for the ruling parties, after the October 17, 2019 uprising, the August 4 explosion, and the ongoing financial and economic collapse.

With the exception of the Progressive Socialist Party (PSP), all the main parties asserted that they have already started electoral preparations, despite talks about a possible postponement of parliamentary and presidential elections in 2022.

PSP MP Bilal Abdallah said that his party has not started preparing for the elections, pointing out that party members and partisans were mobilized to help people face the Covid-19 pandemic and the deteriorating economic and social conditions.

“Until now, there is no direction to prepare for the elections, and I believe that whoever works on the electoral race lives in another world, given that if the current situation continues, there will be no country, and no minister or deputy will be of use,” Abdallah told Asharq Al-Awsat.

On the other hand, MP Asaad Dargham, a member of the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), said that his party began working “on the basis that the elections would be held on time.”

“I think it is too early to talk about the slogans of our electoral campaign… After the economic and financial crises and after the October 2019 protests, all parties must reformulate their discourse and project,” the FPM deputy stated.

Charles Jabbour, head of the media apparatus in the Lebanese Forces, noted that his party was always on alert to prepare for the elections, which he described as “the only means for change during peacetime.”

For his part, the general coordinator of elections in the Future Movement, Fadi Saad, pointed to “permanent and continuous work for the parliamentary elections.”

“We are preparing for them on the basis of the electoral law on which the last elections were held, even if we still hope for the holding of early elections,” he said.

Saad continued: “There are some forces who wish that the elections never take place, fearing a decline in their popularity. As for us, we adhere to the polls regardless of the results, because they are an essential door to the renewal of power, and it is the right of the people to hold their representatives accountable.”

As for the Shiite duo, which is represented by Hezbollah and Amal Movement, sources said that the latter had begun preparations a month ago and “named a central figure in each region to form a group that would launch the actual work on the ground.”

“The upcoming elections will pose a real challenge for us, in light of the work of civil society groups and the NGOs. At the end of the day, were have partisans that are committed to us, but the majority is not, and here lies the main challenge to push these people to vote for us,” the source from the Shiite duo told Asharq Al-Awsat.



Israel Poised to Approve Ceasefire with Hezbollah, Israeli Official Says

 A photo shows destruction at the site of an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the southern Lebanese city of Nabatieh on November 26, 2024, amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hezbollah. (AFP)
A photo shows destruction at the site of an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the southern Lebanese city of Nabatieh on November 26, 2024, amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hezbollah. (AFP)
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Israel Poised to Approve Ceasefire with Hezbollah, Israeli Official Says

 A photo shows destruction at the site of an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the southern Lebanese city of Nabatieh on November 26, 2024, amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hezbollah. (AFP)
A photo shows destruction at the site of an overnight Israeli airstrike that targeted the southern Lebanese city of Nabatieh on November 26, 2024, amid the ongoing war between Israel and Hezbollah. (AFP)

Israel looks set to approve a US plan for a ceasefire with the Iran-backed Hezbollah on Tuesday, a senior Israeli official said, clearing the way for an end to the war which has killed thousands of people since it was ignited by the Gaza conflict 14 months ago.

Israel's security cabinet is expected to convene later on Tuesday to discuss and likely approve the text at a meeting chaired by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the official said.

This would pave the way for a ceasefire declaration by US President Joe Biden and French President Emmanuel Macron, four senior Lebanese sources told Reuters on Monday.

In Washington, White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said on Monday, "We're close" but "nothing is done until everything is done". The French presidency said discussions on a ceasefire had made significant progress.

The agreement has already won approval in Beirut, where Lebanon's deputy parliament speaker official told Reuters on Monday there were no serious obstacles left to start implementing it - unless Netanyahu changed his mind.

Netanyahu's office declined on Monday to comment on reports that Israel and Lebanon had agreed to the text of a deal.

Hezbollah, seen as a terrorist group by Washington, has endorsed its ally Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri to negotiate.

The plan requires Israeli troops to withdraw from south Lebanon and Lebanese army troops to deploy in the border region - a Hezbollah stronghold - within 60 days, Elias Bou Saab, Lebanon's deputy parliament speaker, and a second Israeli official told Reuters.

Signs of a breakthrough have been accompanied by military escalation, with Israeli airstrikes demolishing more of Beirut's Hezbollah-controlled southern suburbs on Monday.

The destruction across wide areas of Lebanon brings into focus a huge reconstruction bill awaiting cash-strapped Lebanon, with more than 1 million people displaced.

In Israel, a ceasefire will pave the way for 60,000 people to return to homes in the north, which they evacuated as Hezbollah began firing rockets in support of its Palestinian ally Hamas a day after that group's Oct. 7, 2023 assault.

PAINFUL BLOWS

Israel has dealt Hezbollah massive blows since going on the offensive against the group in September, killing its leader Hassan Nasrallah and other top commanders, and pounding areas of Lebanon where the group holds sway. The group has kept up rocket fire into Israel, firing some 250 rockets on Sunday.

Israel's ambassador to the United Nations, Danny Danon, said on Monday that Israel would maintain an ability to strike southern Lebanon under any agreement. Lebanon has previously objected to Israel being granted such a right, and Lebanese officials have said such language is not included in the draft proposal.

Israel would be able to strike against "imminent threats" only, the second Israeli official said.

US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller said on Monday gaps between the two parties have narrowed significantly but there are still steps they need to take to reach an agreement.

"Oftentimes the very last stages of an agreement are the most difficult because the hardest issues are left to the end," he said. "We are pushing as hard as we can."

In Beirut, Bou Saab told Reuters on Monday there were "no serious obstacles" left to start implementing a US-proposed ceasefire with Israel, "unless Netanyahu changes his mind".

Over the past year, more than 3,750 people have been killed and over one million have been forced from their homes, according to Lebanon's health ministry, which does not distinguish between civilians and combatants in its figures.

Hezbollah strikes have killed 45 civilians in northern Israel and the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights. At least 73 Israeli soldiers have been killed in northern Israel, the Golan Heights and in combat in southern Lebanon, according to Israeli authorities.

Biden's administration, which leaves office in January, has emphasized diplomacy to end the Lebanon conflict, even as all negotiations to halt the parallel war in Gaza are frozen.

Diplomacy over Lebanon has focused on restoring a ceasefire based on UN Security Council Resolution 1701, which ended the last major war between Hezbollah and Israel in 2006.

It requires Hezbollah to pull its fighters back around 30 km (20 miles) from the Israeli border, behind the Litani River, and the regular Lebanese army to enter the frontier region.

Israel has long complained that 1701 was never properly implemented, pointing to the presence of Hezbollah fighters and weapons at the border. Lebanon has also complained that Israel has violated the agreement, noting regular violations of Lebanese airspace by Israeli warplanes.