Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
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Emir of Qatar Says Global Economy to Shrink by a Third

Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)
Sheikh Tamim delivers a speech at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022. (QNA)

Emir of Qatar Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani warned on Tuesday of a wave of global economic stagnation and inflation that the world has not seen in 45 years, citing a slowdown of growth in the global economy by about a third this year.

Speaking at the opening of the Qatar Economic Forum 2022, Sheikh Tamim said the economic forecasts indicating a slowdown of growth in the global economy could be a prelude to an inflationary recession the world has never seen since the period between 1976 and 1979, according to the world bank reports.

Back then, sharp rises in the interest rates to combat inflation led to the economic recession of the early 1980s.

International indicators

He said positive health indicators have risen after the lifting of coronavirus pandemic restrictions, recovery of trade flow, increase in public spending, and growth in global demand at all levels.

However, the confusion that has impacted the supply chains is still among the significant factors that are driving up prices, in addition to the devastating effects of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

"The pandemic has revealed the extent of the gap between the rich and poor nations and contributed to its expansion, especially during the faltering efforts to achieve development and reduce poverty," said Sheikh Tamim.

He called on the international community to adopt an approach to achieve equality in economic recovery between countries and save sustainable development goals.

Ukrainian crisis

Sheikh Tamim addressed the impact of the Ukrainian crisis and the rise in energy and grain prices, which have affected the global economy.

He warned of the immediate humanitarian repercussions resulting from the war in Ukraine on crises in Ethiopia, Yemen, and Syria, which "may immediately result in exposing hundreds of thousands of people to the risk of starvation."

He admitted that some issued had no economic solution, including the war and its devastating consequences on Ukraine and many other countries and peoples.

He proposed a politically-oriented solution, warning that the food crisis should neither be left to the law of supply and demand, nor should the issue of extreme poverty be left to developing countries to face alone.

Qatar's economy

Sheikh Tamim tackled economic growth in his country, saying Qatar's gross domestic product growth outlook in 2022 is forecasted to be 4.9 percent.

He attributed this growth to the rise in energy prices and the positive impact of the policies and procedures adopted by the government to support the economic sectors, boosting the private sector's production capacity and adapting to regional and global variables.

He recalled the measures taken by the authorities in economic diversification, noting that some legislative amendments were introduced to facilitate commercial transactions, bolster competition, protect the consumer, encourage the industrial and technological sector, support the national products' competitiveness and increase the foreign direct investment by allowing full foreign investors ownership of companies.

Sheikh Tamim noted that these efforts led to a significant increase in domestic and foreign investment volume in recent years, especially in foreign direct investment, which increased by 27 percent during 2021 compared to 2020.

"We hope this growth will continue to rise in the coming years in accordance with the adopted plans."

Qatari-Egyptian relationship

Meanwhile, Minister of Finance Ali al-Kuwari announced at the Forum that Qatar would continue its investments in Egypt, describing the relations between Doha and Cairo as "brotherly and historic".

He stressed that Qatar also wants to get investment returns in Egypt.

Egypt's Minister of Trade and Industry Nevine Gamea revealed that both countries are discussing ways of increasing investment volume and expanding them in new areas.

Qatar and Egypt agreed to launch a joint business council which will consist of businessmen who will work on boosting economic relations, investment, and trade between the two countries.

ExxonMobil

Meanwhile, QatarEnergy signed an agreement with the US company, ExxonMobil, to further develop Qatar's North Field East project, the world's largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.

The Qatar News Agency stated that ExxonMobil boasts a 6.2 percent share in the $30 billion North East Field expansion project.

Qatar, the world's largest exporter of liquefied natural gas, has partnered with several international companies to participate in the project, which will boost Doha's position as the biggest LNG exporter in the world.

The North Field expansion includes six LNG trains that will increase Qatar's annual LNG capacity from 77 million tons per year to 110 million tons by 2026, cementing its position as the world's largest producer.



Iraq Says Kurdish Authorities Refusing to Let It Send Oil Through Their Pipeline

A truck drives at the Iraq-Iran border crossing of Bashmagh near Sulaimaniyah in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region on March 11, 2026. (AFP)
A truck drives at the Iraq-Iran border crossing of Bashmagh near Sulaimaniyah in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region on March 11, 2026. (AFP)
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Iraq Says Kurdish Authorities Refusing to Let It Send Oil Through Their Pipeline

A truck drives at the Iraq-Iran border crossing of Bashmagh near Sulaimaniyah in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region on March 11, 2026. (AFP)
A truck drives at the Iraq-Iran border crossing of Bashmagh near Sulaimaniyah in Iraq's autonomous Kurdistan region on March 11, 2026. (AFP)

Iraq’s oil ministry said the Kurdistan Regional Government had refused to let it use a pipeline as an alternative route for crude flows disrupted by the Iran conflict, accusing authorities there of putting up irrelevant conditions.

A senior Kurdish government official told Reuters authorities there would be happy for the Iraqi government to use the pipeline, but said Baghdad first needed to lift what he called a "dollar ‌embargo" on the ‌region.

"We want a deal. We ‌want ⁠to help Iraq ⁠and bring relief to the markets, but this embargo must end first," the official said.

Oil production from Iraq's main southern oilfields, where most of its crude is produced and exported, has plunged 70% to just 1.3 million bpd, sources told Reuters on March 8, ⁠as the Iran conflict effectively shut off ‌the vital Strait of ‌Hormuz.

Iraq's oil ministry sent a letter in early March to ‌the Kurdistan Regional Government seeking permission to pump ‌at least 100,000 barrels per day of crude from Kirkuk oilfields through the Kurdistan pipeline network to Türkiye's Ceyhan energy hub, two oil officials told Reuters last week.

The Kurdish official ‌said they had been pressing for an end to what he said was ⁠a bar ⁠on the region's banks accessing dollars for goods imported through its borders and airports.

Kurdish officials say tensions with Baghdad have risen after the federal government moved to implement a new electronic customs system, allowing it to monitor imports and revenues, a step the KRG sees as undermining its autonomy and control over trade.

Iraq's oil ministry said the Kurdistan Regional Government's Ministry of Natural Resources had "set a number of conditions unrelated to the issue of crude oil exports."


Over 400 Million Barrels of Emergency Oil Reserves to Flow to Global Markets Soon, IEA Says

 A woman holds a fuel pump as she fills her car tank at a gas station in the Manhattan borough of New York City on March 14, 2026. (AFP)
A woman holds a fuel pump as she fills her car tank at a gas station in the Manhattan borough of New York City on March 14, 2026. (AFP)
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Over 400 Million Barrels of Emergency Oil Reserves to Flow to Global Markets Soon, IEA Says

 A woman holds a fuel pump as she fills her car tank at a gas station in the Manhattan borough of New York City on March 14, 2026. (AFP)
A woman holds a fuel pump as she fills her car tank at a gas station in the Manhattan borough of New York City on March 14, 2026. (AFP)

Oil from the International Energy Agency emergency reserves will begin flowing to global markets soon, with member countries pledging to make available 411.9 million barrels, ‌the agency ‌said in ‌a ⁠statement on Sunday.

Governments have ⁠committed to make available 271.7 million barrels of oil from government stocks, 116.6 million ⁠barrels from obligated industry ‌stocks ‌and 23.6 million barrels ‌from other sources, the ‌statement said.

It added that 72% of planned releases are in ‌the form of crude oil and 28% ⁠are ⁠oil products.

Stocks from Asia Oceania countries will be available immediately and stocks from Europe and the Americas will be available at the end of March.


Saudi Economy Accelerates as Diversification and Legal Reforms Drive Growth

Quality of life represents a strategic national priority in Saudi Arabia (SPA). 
Quality of life represents a strategic national priority in Saudi Arabia (SPA). 
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Saudi Economy Accelerates as Diversification and Legal Reforms Drive Growth

Quality of life represents a strategic national priority in Saudi Arabia (SPA). 
Quality of life represents a strategic national priority in Saudi Arabia (SPA). 

Saudi Arabia’s economy has undergone nearly a decade of transformation under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, as sweeping reforms and diversification efforts reshape the country’s economic landscape.

Since the launch of Saudi Vision 2030 in April 2016, the Kingdom has embarked on its most significant economic shift in decades. The transformation has extended far beyond fiscal adjustments or limited diversification programs, evolving instead into a broad structural reform aimed at reducing reliance on oil and building a more diverse and dynamic economy.

Economic indicators suggest the strategy is gaining traction. Saudi Arabia’s gross domestic product (GDP) rose from about SAR 2.6 trillion in 2016 to nearly SAR 4.7 trillion in recent years, roughly $1.3 trillion, according to the latest official figures. That represents an average cumulative annual growth rate of about 8 percent, placing the Kingdom among the fastest-growing major economies globally during this period.

The shift reflects Vision 2030’s broader strategy to expand non-oil industries and widen the country’s production base beyond hydrocarbons.

 

Faisal Al-Fadhel, a legal expert in economic legislation and a member of the board of trustees of the Riyadh Economic Forum, said the reforms launched under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman have introduced a more diversified and sustainable economic model.

“Saudi Arabia has moved toward reducing its dependence on oil while expanding promising sectors such as tourism, technology, logistics and advanced industries,” Al-Fadhel told Asharq Al-Awsat. “This approach enhances the resilience of the national economy and increases the attractiveness of the Saudi market for both domestic and foreign investors.”

Recent economic indicators support that assessment. Non-oil activities have recorded strong growth, the private sector’s contribution to GDP has expanded, and foreign direct investment inflows have increased. At the same time, Saudi Arabia has improved its standing in global competitiveness indicators, reinforcing its ambitions to become a regional hub for business and investment.

Al-Fadhel noted that the transformation has also been supported by a broad legislative reform agenda designed to modernize the regulatory environment. Key economic and commercial laws — including the Companies Law, Investment Law, and Bankruptcy Law — have been updated, alongside regulations related to corporate governance, investor protection and competition. The reforms aim to improve transparency, regulatory certainty and the efficiency of the investment environment.

Non-Oil Sectors Lead Growth

One of the most visible outcomes of the economic shift is the rising contribution of non-oil sectors, which now account for 56 percent of GDP. Data show that non-oil activities were the primary driver of real economic growth in 2025.

Saudi Arabia ended 2025 with its strongest growth in two years, with GDP expanding 4.5 percent, according to estimates by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT). The economy grew 5 percent in the fourth quarter, with all major sectors contributing to the expansion compared with 2024.

Labor Market Changes

The Saudi labor market has also seen notable shifts. Unemployment among Saudi nationals has declined, while female participation in the workforce has reached record levels following a series of labor and regulatory reforms.

More than 2.48 million Saudis have joined the private sector in recent years, reflecting the impact of job localization policies. Economic transformation programs have also generated roughly 800,000 new jobs, with strong growth in engineering professions.

Employment opportunities have expanded particularly in tourism, supported by major entertainment and tourism projects, as well as in the pharmaceutical and medical manufacturing industries, where job numbers have doubled.

Investment at the Center

Investment has become a central pillar of the Kingdom’s economic strategy. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has positioned both domestic and foreign investment as key drivers of growth and diversification.

The government established the Ministry of Investment and launched the National Investment Strategy as a comprehensive framework to boost capital formation. Total investment — measured by fixed capital formation — has risen from about SAR 672 billion in 2017 to roughly SAR 1.44 trillion by the end of 2024, more than doubling in less than a decade.

Al-Fadhel emphasized that the private sector is a critical partner in achieving Vision 2030 goals through expanded investment, technological adoption, innovation, and entrepreneurship.

Public Investment Fund Expands Role

The Public Investment Fund (PIF) has emerged as a central instrument of the transformation. With assets estimated at SAR 3.47 trillion, it has become one of the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds.

PIF is leading major investments in tourism, renewable energy, industry, technology and entertainment while launching large-scale development projects designed to create new industries and strengthen Saudi Arabia’s position as a global economic hub.