IMF Expects Yemen to Achieve 2% Economic Growth

The IMF warned that humanitarian assistance continues to fall short of Yemen’s needs. (Photo: EPA)
The IMF warned that humanitarian assistance continues to fall short of Yemen’s needs. (Photo: EPA)
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IMF Expects Yemen to Achieve 2% Economic Growth

The IMF warned that humanitarian assistance continues to fall short of Yemen’s needs. (Photo: EPA)
The IMF warned that humanitarian assistance continues to fall short of Yemen’s needs. (Photo: EPA)

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission expected that Yemen would achieve a modest economic growth of about two percent this year and 3.2 percent in 2023.

However, the Fund called for more reforms, especially with regard to the customs dollar rate, support for the electricity sector, transparency in financial management, and accountability in the use of scarce financial resources.

The announcement came at the end of a visit by an IMF team, headed by Brett Rayner, to Jordan, that met with representatives of the Yemeni government, from Sept. 27 to Oct. 6.

Discussions covered recent economic developments in Yemen, the outlook, and progress on key reforms, a statement read.

“Higher global commodity prices have compounded inflationary pressures and exacerbated food insecurity. Annual inflation in August was estimated at around 45 percent, with food inflation at around 58 percent. Yemen has also faced a decline in wheat import volumes and has been unable to fully substitute for imports from Russia and Ukraine, which constituted around 40 percent of Yemen’s wheat,” the statement quoted Rayner as saying.

The IMF warned that humanitarian assistance continued to fall short of Yemen’s needs, saying: “As a result, food insecurity is on the rise with the UN projecting the number of people in need of humanitarian assistance to reach 23.4 million by end-2022, with 19 million facing acute food insecurity.”

On the other hand, the IMF pointed to “some encouraging developments” that have paved the way to greater macroeconomic stability.

“In particular, the truce has supported a period of relative calm, including reduced conflict casualties and greater exchange rate stability,” the statement underlined.

It continued: “Looking ahead, a more stable exchange rate and the recent decline in global food prices are expected to translate into lower inflation towards the end of the year. Economic output is expected to broadly stabilize with modest economic growth of around 2 percent in 2022 and 3.2 percent in 2023, albeit with considerable uncertainty regarding the evolution of the conflict and availability of external financing.”



Egypt Calls for Safe Shelter, Humanitarian Access to Sudanese

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi during the reception of Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Cairo last month (Egyptian Presidency)
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi during the reception of Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Cairo last month (Egyptian Presidency)
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Egypt Calls for Safe Shelter, Humanitarian Access to Sudanese

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi during the reception of Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Cairo last month (Egyptian Presidency)
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi during the reception of Abdel Fattah al-Burhan in Cairo last month (Egyptian Presidency)

Cairo on Wednesday affirmed the need to provide safe shelter and unimpeded humanitarian access to Sudanese, condemning the massacres and serious violations against civilians in El Fasher and North Kordofan.

Egypt’s position was conveyed by Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty during a phone call with Tom Fletcher, the United Nations (UN) Under-Secretary-General for Humanitarian Affairs and Emergency Relief Coordinator.

Abdelatty called for urgent measures to protect civilians and affirmed Egypt’s full support for the work of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA) and its central role in strengthening effective responses to humanitarian crises in the region, whether in the occupied Palestinian territories or Sudan.

Recently, Egypt has intensified contacts to support Sudan's sovereignty, protect its national institutions, and push towards a comprehensive ceasefire within the framework of the “Quad Mechanism.”

Last August, the Mechanism, comprising Saudi Arabia, Egypt, United States, and United Arab Emirates, proposed a roadmap in which it called for a three-month initial humanitarian truce, then an inclusive and transparent transition process within nine months to meet the aspirations of the Sudanese people towards smoothly establishing an independent, civilian-led government with broad-based legitimacy and accountability.

During the phone call on Wednesday, Abdelatty stressed the importance of close coordination with the UN and its specialized agencies to ease civilian suffering and support regional stability.

On Dec. 28, the Egyptian Red Crescent (ERC), in coordination with the Sudanese Red Crescent Society, sent a humanitarian aid convoy to support the Sudanese people, carrying around 70 tons of food, medical supplies, and other relief items.

Last month, the Egyptian presidency issued a statement on the war in Sudan outlining three points it described as “red lines.”

Egypt would not allow any of them to be crossed or compromised, as they directly affect Egypt’s national security, which it said is inseparable from Sudan’s national security.

The reference to activating the joint defense agreement between the two countries was seen as a signal that Egypt could bring its military, political, and diplomatic weight in support of the Sudanese army.

President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi had received last month Lt. Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, Chairman of Sudan’s Transitional Sovereignty Council in Cairo.

El-Sisi reaffirmed Egypt’s “full support for the Sudanese people in overcoming the current critical phase,” stressing his country’s unwavering commitment to Sudan’s unity, sovereignty, security, and stability.

Meanwhile, Egypt’s Foreign Ministry said Abdelatty discussed with Fletcher the humanitarian situation in Gaza.

The minister urged intensified international action to ensure full and unhindered access for humanitarian, medical, and relief aid into Gaza, calling for the removal of Israeli restrictions that he said were blocking sufficient aid deliveries as winter conditions worsen.

He also stressed the need to protect civilians and speed up the entry of essential supplies, including relief materials and mobile housing units, to mitigate civilian suffering in the Gaza Strip.


Yemen’s Al-Alimi Removes Several Officials from their Positions

Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi. saba
Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi. saba
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Yemen’s Al-Alimi Removes Several Officials from their Positions

Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi. saba
Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi. saba

Yemen’s Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi has issued a series of decisions, including dismissals, referrals for investigation, and new appointments to sensitive military, security, and local positions.

The move reflects a firm approach to reassert control over state institutions.

Al-Alimi issued Decree No. 7 of 2026 concerning the dismissal of the Commander of the Second Military Region and the Commander of the Al-Ghaydah Axis and Military Police Brigade in Al-Mahra Governorate.

Article One of the decree stipulates the dismissal of Major General (Staff) Talib Saeed Abdullah Barjash from his position as Commander of the Second Military Region and his referral for investigation in accordance with legally prescribed procedures and regulations.

Article Two stipulates the dismissal of Major General Mohsen Ali Nasser Marsa from his positions as Commander of the Al-Ghaydah Axis and Commander of the Military Police Brigade in Al-Mahra Governorate. It also stipulates his referral for investigation in accordance with legally prescribed procedures and regulations.

In decree No. 5 he appointed Abdulrahman Sheikh Abdulrahman Al-Yafie as Minister of State and Governor of Aden Governorate.

Al-Alimi relieved Ahmed Hamed Lamlas, Minister of State and Governor of Aden Governorate, of his post and referred him for investigation.

He also dismissed Abdul Salam Saleh Humaid Hadi, Minister of Transport, and Waed Abdullah Badeeb, Minister of Planning and International Cooperation, from their posts and referred them for investigation.

Decree No, 9 stipulated the appointment of Salem Ali Sa’ad Ahmed Makhbal Keddah as Commander of the Al-Ghaydah Military Axis, with promotion to the rank of Brigadier General.

In Decree No. 10, Al-Alimi appointed Brigadier General Khaled Yoslam Ali Al-Qathmi as Commander of the Second Presidential Special Guard Brigade.

Earlier, Head of the Southern Transitional Council (STC) Aidrous Al-Zubaidi was expelled from the PLC for high treason, Al-Alimi announced.

In a decree, Al-Alimi referred Al-Zubaidi to the general prosecutor for committing high treason and harming the unity and security of the state.


Yemen Minister Says Efforts Underway to Bring Capital Back to Hadhramaut

 Yemeni National Shield forces during the recapture of military camps in Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah (Reuters)
Yemeni National Shield forces during the recapture of military camps in Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah (Reuters)
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Yemen Minister Says Efforts Underway to Bring Capital Back to Hadhramaut

 Yemeni National Shield forces during the recapture of military camps in Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah (Reuters)
Yemeni National Shield forces during the recapture of military camps in Hadhramaut and Al-Mahrah (Reuters)

At a critical moment when the Yemeni government is seeking to rebuild confidence in the national economy, official indicators suggest a tangible improvement in the investment climate, particularly in provinces where the internationally recognized government has regained control, most notably Hadhramaut and Socotra.

These moves come as part of a broader government effort to reassure traders and investors and to create a safe and stable environment for the return of capital that left the country in recent years, amid improving security conditions, the spread of state institutions, and growing interest among local and regional business leaders in resuming investment activity in liberated areas.

Monitoring stocks and price stability

Yemen’s Minister of Industry and Trade Mohammed al-Ashwal told Asharq Al-Awsat that the ministry issued official instructions the day before yesterday aimed at reassuring southern communities about the availability of essential commodities and price stability.

He stated that three separate memoranda were sent to the heads of the ministry’s offices in Mukalla, Seiyun, and al-Mahrah, containing clear directives to closely monitor commodity stocks and continuously track market activity on a daily basis.

Al-Ashwal said the instructions emphasized the importance of ensuring that Saudi aid reaches its intended beneficiaries and is not diverted or sold in markets, underscoring that the ministry gives this issue top priority due to its direct impact on market stability and food security.

Reassurances in three provinces

On security, the minister said conditions were reassuring and that security was stable in Hadhramaut, Seiyun, and Al Mahrah. He said the measures taken had helped boost confidence among citizens and traders alike, creating a sense of stability in market activity.

He pointed to ongoing communication with the Yemeni Saudi Business Council, noting that a meeting in Mecca resulted in a set of joint projects that reflect the strength of economic ties between the two countries and open new horizons for investment and cooperation across several vital sectors.

Normalizing the situation in Aden

Regarding the situation in Aden, the minister stated that the government is currently working to fully normalize conditions until security is firmly established, particularly in the temporary capital.

He added that the deployment of the National Shield forces would lead to the unification of the security authority in charge, which would have a positive impact on security and administrative stability and provide investors and traders with a clear counterpart to deal with.

Capital between flight and resilience

Regarding investors and business leaders in the south, al-Ashwal stated that following the Houthi coup, significant capital left the southern areas; however, some local businessmen remained resilient despite the volatility and challenges, continuing their commercial activities under extremely difficult conditions and helping to preserve a minimum level of economic activity.

He said local business leaders demonstrated honorable positions in the darkest circumstances and played a positive role in maintaining the economic cycle.

He called on traders who had left the country after the Houthi coup to return, especially to Hadhramaut, stating that the province would not be the same as it was before, given the expansion of state institutions and the consolidation of security through the army, security agencies, and local authorities.

Al-Ashwal said the country is witnessing notable economic momentum during a period in which conditions have stabilized in many southern provinces.

He said there is clear interest among business leaders who left Yemen about a decade ago and who now show a desire and readiness to return and invest again, amid improved security and economic conditions and an expanding area of stability.

Progress in Hadhramaut

He added that in recent hours, he had been in contact with the heads of chambers of commerce in Aden, Mukalla, and Taiz, reassuring them about security and stability.

He said he met with the governor of Hadhramaut on Monday, who confirmed that several practical steps had been taken to ensure the smooth functioning of commercial activity in the province.

Al-Ashwal said the impact of these steps is now clearly visible in Hadhramaut, where social and economic life has returned at a good pace, reflecting an improved business environment and a gradual revival of commercial activity.

Confidence signals to investors

Regarding government efforts to strengthen the local economy, al-Ashwal stated that the government, through the Ministry of Industry and Trade, is preparing to launch an industrial zone in Aden as a clear indicator of economic stability, alongside three other industrial zones in Hadhramaut and two in Socotra.

He said signing the contract for the Aden industrial zone would send a practical message that the economic situation is stable and developing dynamically.

Saudi role

In this context, al-Ashwal spoke at length about the importance of Saudi Arabia’s role, thanking the kingdom for its efforts to support stability in Yemen.

He said this support is ongoing and has directly contributed to strengthening economic stability and supporting state institutions.