Saudi Arabia Warns against Upcoming Economic Pressure

Economy, trade and investment ministers presented their ideas and strategies to adapt to the current global situation at the FII forum in Riyadh. (Photo: Bashir Saleh)
Economy, trade and investment ministers presented their ideas and strategies to adapt to the current global situation at the FII forum in Riyadh. (Photo: Bashir Saleh)
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Saudi Arabia Warns against Upcoming Economic Pressure

Economy, trade and investment ministers presented their ideas and strategies to adapt to the current global situation at the FII forum in Riyadh. (Photo: Bashir Saleh)
Economy, trade and investment ministers presented their ideas and strategies to adapt to the current global situation at the FII forum in Riyadh. (Photo: Bashir Saleh)

As the ongoing Future Investment Initiative forum in Riyadh is discussing ways to address the turbulent conditions and the immediate economic pressures in the world, economy, trade, and investment ministers presented their ideas and strategies to adapt to the current global situation.

- Proactive outlook

Eng. Khalid Al-Falih, the Saudi Minister of Investment, affirmed that his government has adopted a proactive outlook to counter accelerating challenges that have raised global concern. He listed three main challenges facing the world's governments, including long-term political and security transition, energy shift and transformation of trade and supply chains.

“Governments adapt and succeed in these turbulent times. The first realistic transition is the security and political shift. Of course, Europe is the main player in light of the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, while the matter moves to China and Taiwan.”

The Saudi minister continued: “We are starting to see that countries have started strengthening their national and international security, as these challenges may continue for years…”

Al-Falih considered that the transformation at the level of energy, oil and gas represented the second challenge, which he said was inevitable due to climate change. The European crisis will increase its pace and will pave the way for the shift towards other types of energy, such as hydrogen.

Moreover, the minister saw that the third challenge was the transformation of trade and supply chains in light of globalization.

The three challenges highlight the urgent need for countries, companies and individuals for guarantees and security, he underlined, explaining that countries were spending huge amounts on defense technology and industries, which have become essential given the current conditions.

- Investment cooperation

Al-Falih said: “I discussed with the Finnish Minister of Investment the means to exchange ideas and experiences and reviewed the expenditures that we provide for defense.”

He admitted that energy would become expensive, as renewable energy sources would require new networks and modern infrastructure.

“These matters are controlled by the economic transformation and cause high inflation, elevated interest rates and high subscriptions, all of which lead to reduced growth and income,” he warned, stressing the need to focus on growth and exploitation of opportunities in technologies and investments.

- Standby mode

For his part, Ville Skinnari, Finnish Minister of Development Cooperation and Foreign Trade, said: “The recent crises made us ready for all future crises, as we faced the pandemic, worked on comprehensive security and strengthened health care, so we became among the top 5 countries in terms of GDP.”

He added: “I see in the Investment Initiative forum, the commitment to a better future. This is what our governments are doing, as they focus on investments, the first of which investing in defense.”

He stressed that the forum constituted an opportunity to talk about the new era with partners, praising Saudi Arabia’s remarkable path of development and progress.

- Hong Kong and the capital

Paul Chan, Financial Secretary of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, stressed that the Hong Kong system would continue to support capital, in the presence of an independent judicial system.

“We will maintain our dealings with the US dollar and Hong Kong will continue to function as a free and best legally regulated financial market and international financial center,” he told the conference.

He continued: “Despite some external pressures and challenges, we consider 2023 as the year of security and opportunities because we have a wealth of experience that makes us excel. We have an urban area in the southwestern region with 9 million people and a per capita income of 70,000 dollars annually… We are also seeing significant progress in neighboring cities.”

Chan added that Hong Kong’s financial policy enjoyed high flexibility in communicating with the world.



Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
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Iraq Oil Output Exceeds 5 million bpd

Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)
Majnoon oil field near the Iraqi city of Basra (Reuters)

Iraq produces more than 5 million barrels of oil per day (bpd), Oil Minister Basim Mohammed told state news agency INA on Saturday.

According to Reuters, Iraq is pushing for a higher OPEC production quota as the economic fallout from the Iran war and new investment by oil majors increase pressure on Baghdad to boost output, potentially putting it at odds with the producer group.

The conflict has hit Iraq particularly hard, forcing major export cuts and depriving the state of oil revenue, which accounted for 88% of government income last year.


IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
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IMF: Any Slowdown in AI-driven Growth Would be Factor for Central Banks

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)
IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva speaks during the Annual Meetings Plenary at the Annual Meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank Group (WBG) at the Queen Sirikit National Convention Center (QSNCC) in Bangkok on October 16, 2026. (Photo by Lillian SUWANRUMPHA / AFP)

Central bankers around the world would need to consider any slowdown in AI-driven growth as they assess steps in their fight against inflation, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Friday.

Georgieva said concerns about dependence on the AI investment boom and high valuations were impacting markets around the world.

"Things are going up and down, and this is likely to continue," she told an audience at IMF headquarters in Washington, adding that the volatility would complicate the job of central banks at a time when risks to price stability had been growing.

A steep rout in technology stocks on Thursday rippled through markets on fears that ⁠the Democrats' victory ⁠in the US midterm elections would increase regulatory scrutiny of AI and slow the data center build-out, sending investors to the safety of bonds.

The political jitters are hitting an AI trade already on shaky footing due to worry about return on massive spending on AI-related infrastructure, with the meltdown spurring margin calls and spooking retail investors and hedge ⁠funds alike.

Georgieva said the AI investment boom was lifting growth in some countries, helping to offset a negative oil-supply shock triggered by the war in the Middle East, but it was also adding to inflationary pressures and financial stability concerns.

The IMF last month flagged significant growth and financial stability risks from a potential ending of the AI investment boom, among other factors, including a prolonged Middle East war. At the time, it warned that a steep drop in AI investment could lead to a sharp fall in asset prices, ultimately cutting global GDP ⁠by 1.1% ⁠by 2028, including a 1.8% drop in US output.

Georgieva did not repeat the downside forecast on Friday, but acknowledged the recent market volatility.

"Should there be a slowdown in the AI-driven growth impulse, it would need to be factored in as central banks assess the necessary steps in the fight against stubborn inflation," she said.

Democrats are planning to unleash a flood of new legislation targeting artificial intelligence systems and data-center development when they take control of the US Congress in January, Reuters reported on Friday, citing congressional aides and advocates.

That would mark a sharp shift from the Republican-led Congress, where lawmakers largely focused on promoting AI development and declined to pass legislation restricting the technology.


World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
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World Food Prices Dip in October, but Remain Higher Than a Year Ago

A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)
A worker carries loaves of bread for sale at a bakery in the capital city of Cairo, Egypt November 4, 2026. (Reuters)

World food prices edged lower in October as weaker import demand contributed to monthly declines in cereal, dairy and meat prices, but were still nearly 6% higher than a year earlier, the United Nations' Food and Agriculture Organization said on Friday.

The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, ‌averaged 133.9 points ‌in October, down from a revised ‌135.6 ⁠in September.

The index ⁠was 5.9% higher than a year earlier, but remained 16.4% below its March 2022 peak.

FAO's cereal price index fell 4.5% from September and was 12.6% lower than a year ago, as wheat and maize quotations declined. Wheat prices eased on weak import demand ⁠and improved production prospects, especially in Argentina.

"Expectations of ‌easing constraints on Black ‌Sea export flows added to the downward pressure on prices, ‌although continued disruptions to Black Sea logistics limited the decline," ‌FAO said in a statement.

Maize prices also eased after reaching a three-year high in September, pressured by the US harvest, expectations of ample supplies in South America and renewed ‌prospects of easing tensions in the Black Sea region.

Vegetable oil prices edged up 0.3%, ⁠as ⁠higher soybean and sunflower oil prices more than offset a fall in rapeseed oil prices.

Sugar prices rose 6.6%, their fourth straight monthly increase, to the highest level since December 2024, after rainfall disrupted harvesting in Brazil. They were now 28.8% above a year ago.

The dairy index fell 1.1%, as lower butter and cheese prices linked to ample supplies and subdued demand outweighed gains in milk powder.

The meat index declined 1.2%, while still slightly above its year-earlier level, as ovine and bovine meat prices fell.