Strategic Political Challenges Facing the US in 2023

US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet at the G20 summit in Bali on November 14. (Reuters)
US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet at the G20 summit in Bali on November 14. (Reuters)
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Strategic Political Challenges Facing the US in 2023

US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet at the G20 summit in Bali on November 14. (Reuters)
US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet at the G20 summit in Bali on November 14. (Reuters)

Iran remains one of the United States’ most pressing national security challenges, even while much of the world’s attention in 2022 has been focused on Russia’s brutal war against Ukraine. Despite this enduring reality, the lack of a consistent American policy on Iran has only served to embolden the Iranian regime. As legislators look ahead to a new year and a new Congress, there is an opportunity to chart a new path forward.

The ever-changing US approach to Iran over the years has called into question our willingness to confront the regime. However, Iran supplying armed drones to Russia, coupled with protests against the Iranian regime, represents a potential “sea change” in American policy. It’s time the United States forge a more comprehensive Iran strategy that goes beyond a nuclear negotiation and encompasses all instruments of national power.

An effective Iran strategy must have clear diplomatic, economic, and military deterrence components, and must address all aspects of the regime’s bad conduct.

As many Americans go about their holiday plans, the Iranian regime is violently quashing protests inside its borders, plotting to kill former and current American officials both at home and abroad, making every effort to provide Lebanese Hezbollah with the means to destroy Israel, dramatically accelerating nuclear enrichment, and flooding the Ukrainian battlefield with armed drones. An effective US strategy must be scoped and resourced to address these problems and more.

On the economic front, Iran’s resistance economy must once again feel the full weight of the international community’s economic pressure. While the Biden Administration has announced additional sanctions against oil smugglers and Chinese purchases of Iranian oil, more must be done to enforce existing sanctions and close sanctions loopholes in coordination with our allies.

The US must also attack drone supply chains, to include components made in the United States and by our partners, and sanction those companies that fail to comply. The US Congress has so far failed to enact the Stop Iranian Drones Act, a powerful sanctions tool which would add Iran’s drone program to the Countering America’s Adversaries through Sanctions Act. It is critical to demonstrate the political will to address this deficiency as soon as possible.

Military deterrence has been sorely lacking, largely stemming from efforts to keep nuclear negotiations on life support. With only minor exceptions, the Biden Administration has failed to respond to repeated attacks against Americans and our interests. Moving forward, Iranian leadership must understand that the United States and our partners have the capability and the will to respond forcefully to attacks, and that we will not distinguish between attacks from the regime or the proxies it supports.

While deterrence often plays out in Iraq or Syria, the Iranian regime must also understand its borders are no longer sacrosanct. The United States should reach agreement with like-minded partners on appropriate nuclear redlines that would garner an international response. Israel has a clear role to play here, and I’ve welcomed Israel’s participation in joint exercises tailored against Iran.

However, if we’re to achieve true integrated deterrence, the United States must also ensure our partners have the capability and equipment to contain the Iranian threat. The US must expedite arms sales and address critical capability gaps – to include a credible joint US-Israeli military option to take Iran’s nuclear program off the table. 

On the diplomatic front, the death of the nuclear deal and Iran’s rush to enrich uranium provide opportunities for diplomatic incentives and disincentives. Censures of the Iranian regime at International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Board of Governors meetings were a good start. As Iran continues to resist the IAEA’s legitimate oversight functions, the United States should hit the regime with more, stronger censures.

Additionally, Iran must become a renewed topic of discussion at the United Nations Security Council – to include invoking snapback of sanctions under UNSCR 2231. While I do not support the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), this snapback provision allows any original JCPOA signatory to “snap back” all prior resolutions on Iran by notifying the Security Council that Iran is not compliant with its commitments. Again, the United States and its allies must be on the same page as to what constitutes significant nuclear non-compliance and must advertise these red lines to the regime.

Finally, as protests enter their fourth month, the US government must better support the aspirations of the Iranian people. The American response thus far has been embarrassingly muted. The Biden Administration and international community must signal more full-throated support for the Iranian people who are dying on the streets as they march for freedom. Additionally, we must increase efforts to allow ordinary Iranians to access each other, the internet, and the outside world. These efforts must be paired with effective sanctions against Iranian censors and those who enable the Islamic Republic of Iran Broadcasting, and expand sanctions of human rights abusers.

Many of us in Washington have long advocated for a holistic approach to Iran that is more than a nuclear negotiation. It’s time to put the nuclear deal out of its misery and focus on the way ahead. I look forward to advancing these efforts in the next Congress.

*US Senator Jim Risch is a ranking member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.



Trump Says Strait of Hormuz Has Been Demined, Warns Iran Not to Plant More

Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz are visible near the beach of Bandar Abbas, Iran, August 25, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz are visible near the beach of Bandar Abbas, Iran, August 25, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
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Trump Says Strait of Hormuz Has Been Demined, Warns Iran Not to Plant More

Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz are visible near the beach of Bandar Abbas, Iran, August 25, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS
Vessels in the Strait of Hormuz are visible near the beach of Bandar Abbas, Iran, August 25, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS

US President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that all mines had been detonated or removed from international waters of the Strait of Hormuz and that Iran has been told that any ship or boat placing new mines will be destroyed.

In a post ⁠on Truth Social, ⁠Trump said the United States, through its Space Force, was watching "every square inch" of the Strait, a key waterway in the global energy supply chain.

"There is ⁠a Zero Tolerance policy on mine placement in full force and effect," Trump said.

The US and Iran have not conducted air strikes on each other's militaries for weeks, but attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz have continued as the two sides vie for ⁠control of ⁠the narrow maritime passage.

Oil transits through the strait were at 5 million barrels per day on Monday, provisional data from shiptracker Vortexa showed, down from more than 20 million per day before the war or about one of every five barrels consumed worldwide.


Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Sees Window for US Mediation Until Summer 2027

 Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attends a press conference following a meeting of the so-called Coalition of the Willing group, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine August 24, 2026. (Reuters)
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attends a press conference following a meeting of the so-called Coalition of the Willing group, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine August 24, 2026. (Reuters)
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Ukraine’s Zelenskiy Sees Window for US Mediation Until Summer 2027

 Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attends a press conference following a meeting of the so-called Coalition of the Willing group, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine August 24, 2026. (Reuters)
Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskiy attends a press conference following a meeting of the so-called Coalition of the Willing group, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kyiv, Ukraine August 24, 2026. (Reuters)

Ukraine sees a window of opportunity for US mediation to end Russia's war in Ukraine until the end of next summer and has drafted one page of ideas with US and European officials to be presented to Moscow, President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said.

Zelenskiy said that a ceasefire and a previously discussed US proposal for a free economic zone in Ukraine's eastern Donbas area — to be administered by a third party — were among the ideas in the ‌document.

"It contains ‌one of the ideas for a ceasefire — that ‌is ⁠the main point. The ⁠second part concerns what the Americans proposed regarding a free economic zone," Zelenskiy told reporters in a weekend briefing.

Zelenskiy said that he saw a window to end the nearly four-and-a-half years of fighting that stretched from the G20 summit in the US in December this year until the end of summer 2027, given the looming campaign for the ⁠2028 presidential election in the US.

Zelenskiy said earlier this ‌month that Ukraine had handed proposals to ‌US negotiators for a plan to end the war, without providing more detail.

US-led ‌peace talks fell apart earlier this year as Ukraine refused Russian ‌demands to cede more territory and as Washington became increasingly preoccupied with the conflict with Iran.

US negotiators Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were last in Moscow in January and have not yet visited Kyiv.

Zelenskiy said the third ‌element in the draft proposal was the role that the European Union and NATO would play and ⁠what "Ukraine is ⁠prepared to do to achieve this". He did not elaborate further.

"These three ideas I've mentioned are not exclusively Ukrainian ideas," Zelenskiy said, adding they were developed jointly with the Americans and the Europeans, with some stemming from previous talks US negotiators had with Ukraine and Russia.

Russia was open to listening to new proposals on how to reach a settlement on the Ukraine conflict, but they should reflect the "realities on the ground", a senior Russian diplomat said in an interview published last week.

Moscow's key objective is capturing the remainder of Donbas, where it has been making a push to advance into Ukraine's so-called fortress belt of eastern cities.


UN, Red Cross Chiefs: World Must Rein in Autonomous Weapons

FILE PHOTO: United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres leaves after a press conference at a UN compound in the Nicosia airport area, Cyprus, July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres leaves after a press conference at a UN compound in the Nicosia airport area, Cyprus, July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou/File Photo
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UN, Red Cross Chiefs: World Must Rein in Autonomous Weapons

FILE PHOTO: United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres leaves after a press conference at a UN compound in the Nicosia airport area, Cyprus, July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres leaves after a press conference at a UN compound in the Nicosia airport area, Cyprus, July 29, 2026. REUTERS/Yiannis Kourtoglou/File Photo

The United Nations and Red Cross warned Tuesday the world is "dangerously close" to a future where autonomous weapons -- so-called "killer robots" -- could target humans, and issued an urgent appeal for international regulations.

The warning follows a call in 2023 from UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres and Mirjana Spoljaric, president of the International Committee of the Red Cross, for countries to establish specific bans and restrictions on the rapidly developing technology by this year.

"Today, we renew this call with even greater urgency," they said in a joint statement, adding that while their "fundamental concerns remain unchanged... the risks have intensified.”

"We are now dangerously close to crossing a moral red line: the autonomous targeting of humans by machines," they warned.

Lethal autonomous weapon systems are generally understood as weapon systems that select targets and apply force without human intervention.

There has to date been no confirmed use of fully autonomous weapons.

But with global tensions soaring and conflicts raging in the Middle East and Ukraine, where drone warfare has become a major feature of the battlefield, fears abound that it could soon happen.

There is currently no specific treaty on autonomous and artificial intelligence-enabled weapons.

"Autonomous weapon systems are not part of a distant future: a race towards greater autonomy in weapons systems is already well under way," AFP quoted Guterres and Spoljaric as saying.

"Future generations will ask whether leaders acted when there was still a chance to set limits before these weapons proliferated beyond control."

They highlighted that scientists and engineers involved in developing such systems had, in many cases, raised the alarm themselves.

"When the architects of this technology are calling for limits, states cannot afford to remain passive," they said.

Discussions have been running for a decade around a possible future treaty regulating the use of autonomous weapons.

After three years of discussions, countries are due to decide in November whether to launch full-on treaty negotiations.

The UN and Red Cross chiefs called for "political courage,” saying: "A failure to act quickly and decisively will cost lives."

The need for clearly defined rules was "urgent,” they said, insisting that "innovation must serve humanity -- not endanger it.”