Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
TT

Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)

Türkiye’s trade deficit continued to rise in January while the economic confidence index witnessed a sharp decline.

Türkiye’s foreign trade deficit widened 38.4 percent year-on-year to $14.237 billion in January, official data showed on Monday, with imports surging 20.7 percent and exports up 10.3 percent.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said imports climbed to $33.606 billion in January, while exports rose to $19.369 billion.

The overall foreign trade deficit surged 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022 in Türkiye, the data showed.

The Institute said that Türkiye's exports rose 12.9 percent to $254.1 billion last year, while imports rose 34 percent to $363.7 billion.

Under an economic program unveiled in 2021, Türkiye aims to shift to a current account surplus through stronger exports and low-interest rates, despite soaring inflation and a currency that has tumbled in recent years.

Türkiye's economic confidence index fell 0.3 percent month-on-month in February to 99.1 points, following massive earthquakes that devastated the country's southern region, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed on Monday.

The index, which points to an optimistic outlook when above 100 and pessimistic when below, hit a record low in 2020 before recovering as coronavirus measures were eased.

The government introduced a series of measures to ease quake fallout that is expected to cost at least $50 billion. But economists have predicted it will shave some 1-2.5 percentage points off economic growth this year.

Türkiye’s sovereign wealth fund plans to channel cash into the nation’s main stock exchange via exchange-traded funds, in an open-ended attempt to keep the equities market from falling, according to Bloomberg.

The fund will allocate at least $1 billion initially to ETFs run by a state bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The move differs from previous attempts to support equities since the Borsa Istanbul resumed trading following a halt caused by two devastating earthquakes on February 6. The government initially channeled pension funds’ money into the stock market to reverse the rout after the natural disaster.

The plan is to use ETFs currently run by Ziraat Portfoy, the asset-management arm of state lender T.C. Ziraat Bankasi A.S., the people said. The funds track the performance of various indexes related to Borsa Istanbul.

Domestic investors have become the dominant force in Borsa Istanbul in the past several years as they sought protection against rampant inflation.

The exact size of the fund at its inauguration will be determined once all the TVF companies, such as Turkish Airlines, report 2022 earnings, one of the people said.

Ziraat has several ETFs tracking Türkiye’s main stock exchange, with some focusing on large companies only, such as those listed in the Borsa Istanbul 30 index. Ziraat Portfoy’s BIST 30 Index Fund, the biggest local ETF for Turkish stocks, has already seen 8.1 billion liras ($430 million) in inflows since February 15, according to Bloomberg data.

The Istanbul exchange’s main index, the BIST 100, has a market cap of about $220 billion.

The average trading volume in the past month was about $160 million a day, according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Indexes tracking larger companies will likely be the priority target for the sovereign wealth fund and the buying program has no expiration date, the people said.



Gold Falls on Investor Caution ahead of Key US Economic Data

Gold bars being washed after removal from molds at a refinery in Sydney (AFP)
Gold bars being washed after removal from molds at a refinery in Sydney (AFP)
TT

Gold Falls on Investor Caution ahead of Key US Economic Data

Gold bars being washed after removal from molds at a refinery in Sydney (AFP)
Gold bars being washed after removal from molds at a refinery in Sydney (AFP)

Gold fell on Tuesday, though held above the $5,000-per-ounce level, as investors stayed cautious ahead of key US jobs and inflation data due later this week that could help gauge the US Federal Reserve's interest rate trajectory.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $5,030.80 per ounce by 0716 GMT. The metal gained 2% on Monday, as the dollar weakened to its lowest level in more than ‌a week. ‌Gold scaled a record high of $5,594.82 on ‌January ⁠29.

US gold ‌futures for April delivery lost 0.5% to $5,051.70 per ounce.

Spot silver slipped 2.1% to $81.63 an ounce, after rising nearly 7% in the previous session. It had hit an all-time high of $121.64 on January 29.

"We're in a situation where gold has something of a built-in upside bias broadly, and now it's a question of ⁠just how much will short-term Fed policy expectations matter," said Ilya Spivak, head of ‌global macro at Tastylive.

The US dollar ‍edged higher on Tuesday, ‍making greenback-priced metals more expensive for overseas buyers.

Spivak added that ‍gold is being pulled back to the $5,000 level from both the upper and lower price ranges, while silver is showing more volatility on speculative trading.

Investors are awaiting a string of US economic data - retail sales due Tuesday, the nonfarm payrolls report on Wednesday and inflation data on Friday. Markets are currently pricing ⁠in at least two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2026, with the first expected in June.

The non-yielding bullion tends to do well in a low-interest-rate environment.

White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said on Monday that US job gains could be lower in the coming months.

For gold, "$5,000 is a support and $80 for silver. But intraday, both metals will be broadly range-bound, with a slight tilt towards negativity because of profit booking," Jigar Trivedi, a senior research analyst at IndusInd Securities, said, adding that investors are ‌cautious given recent volatility.

Spot platinum shed 2% to $2,080.30 per ounce, while palladium lost 1.1% to $1,721.75.


Macron Calls on Europe to Invest in Its Strategic Sectors

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech during a meeting with students from the "Prepas Talents du service public" as part of a program that aims to give every young person an opportunity to join the civil service, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, 06 February 2026. (EPA)
French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech during a meeting with students from the "Prepas Talents du service public" as part of a program that aims to give every young person an opportunity to join the civil service, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, 06 February 2026. (EPA)
TT

Macron Calls on Europe to Invest in Its Strategic Sectors

French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech during a meeting with students from the "Prepas Talents du service public" as part of a program that aims to give every young person an opportunity to join the civil service, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, 06 February 2026. (EPA)
French President Emmanuel Macron delivers a speech during a meeting with students from the "Prepas Talents du service public" as part of a program that aims to give every young person an opportunity to join the civil service, at the Elysee Palace in Paris, France, 06 February 2026. (EPA)

French President Emmanuel Macron has called on Europe to boost investment in strategic sectors or risk being "swept aside" in the face of competition from the United States and China, in an interview published on Tuesday.

The French leader warned that US "threats" and "intimidation" were not over and urged against complacency, in an interview with several European publications including Le Monde, The Economist and The Financial Times.

Ahead of a European Union meeting, he advocated for "simplifying" and "deepening the EU's single market", and for "diversifying" trade partnerships.

"There are threats and intimidation. And then, suddenly, Washington backs down. And we think it's over. But don't believe it for a second. Every day, there are threats against pharmaceuticals, digital technology..." he said.

"When there is blatant aggression... we must not bow down or try to reach a settlement," he said.

"We tried this strategy for months, and it's not working. But above all, it strategically leads Europe to increase its dependence."

He said that the EU's public and private investment needed "some EUR1.2 trillion ($1.4 trillion) per year", including green and digital technologies, defense and security.

He also renewed his call for common European debt, an idea France has championed for years, but other countries have rejected.

"Now is the time to launch a common borrowing capacity for these future expenditures, future-oriented Eurobonds," Macron said.


World Defense Show Sees Surge in Agreements, Strategic Partnerships

Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef witnesses the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between the National Industrial Development Center and Airbus (Asharq Al-Awsat). 
Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef witnesses the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between the National Industrial Development Center and Airbus (Asharq Al-Awsat). 
TT

World Defense Show Sees Surge in Agreements, Strategic Partnerships

Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef witnesses the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between the National Industrial Development Center and Airbus (Asharq Al-Awsat). 
Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef witnesses the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between the National Industrial Development Center and Airbus (Asharq Al-Awsat). 

The second day of the third edition of the World Defense Show 2026 in Riyadh witnessed intensified momentum in the signing of defense agreements and strategic partnerships with international entities.

It reflects Saudi Arabia’s drive to localize technology, build national capabilities in the military and defense sectors, and deepen local supply chains in line with Vision 2030.

On the sidelines of the exhibition, the Saudi Ministry of Defense signed 28 contracts with local and international companies specializing in military industries.

Four contracts were signed by Dr. Khaled Al-Biyari, Assistant Minister of Defense for Executive Affairs, with chief executives of France’s MBDA, Raytheon Saudi Arabia, South Korea’s Hanwha Aerospace, and Italy’s Leonardo.

Al-Biyari also attended the signing of eight additional contracts concluded by Ibrahim Al-Suwayed, Undersecretary of Defense for Procurement and Armament, with local and global companies from France, Türkiye, South Korea, and Italy.

A further 16 contracts were signed by executive directors at the Ministry’s Procurement and Armament Agency with representatives of defense firms.

The agreements aim to enhance the readiness and combat efficiency of the armed forces, ensure the sustainability of military systems, and support the localization of defense manufacturing. These efforts align with Vision 2030 targets to localize more than 50 percent of spending on military equipment and services.

In a parallel development, Al-Biyari and German State Secretary at the Federal Ministry of Defense Jens Plötner signed draft arrangements for defense cooperation between the two countries.

The exhibition also highlighted efforts to localize the aviation industry. The Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources oversaw the signing of a memorandum of cooperation between the National Industrial Development Center and European aerospace company Airbus.

The memorandum includes plans to establish engineering centers for manufacturing, assembly, and maintenance, transfer technology and expertise, and develop a logistics ecosystem to support the aviation industry.

It also covers attracting global suppliers to invest locally, exploring procurement and export options, and identifying incentives and financing mechanisms to support joint projects. Training programs and educational partnerships are also planned to qualify Saudi talent to lead the aviation sector and related industries.

Innovation and integration were the central themes of the exhibition’s second day. Eng. Ahmad Al-Ohali, Governor of the General Authority for Military Industries, reaffirmed Saudi Arabia’s commitment to developing integrated and globally competitive defense industries.

He noted that the exhibition reflects national goals to advance localization, strengthen supply chains, and enhance operational readiness across defense and security sectors.

Chief of the General Staff General Fayyadh Al-Ruwaili outlined strategic directions for developing the national defense system in light of evolving global operational conditions. Senior local and international officials participated in discussions on building a resilient defense framework capable of addressing future challenges.

The program also featured “Thought Leadership” sessions focusing on the evolution of defense industries, investment opportunities in aviation and space, and supply chain development.

Activities continued at the Defense Industry Lab and the Saudi Supply Chain Zone, designed to strengthen collaboration among manufacturers and accelerate technology transfer.

Exhibition Chief Executive Officer Andrew Pearcey said the strong international participation reflects Saudi Arabia’s growing role in shaping the future of defense technologies. The World Defense Show brings together 1,468 exhibitors from 89 countries, with live demonstrations and strategic programs covering air, land, sea, space, and security domains.

Further strengthening industrial capabilities, GE Aerospace signed an industrial participation agreement with the General Authority for Military Industries to enhance repair and maintenance capabilities for F110 engines.

A separate memorandum of understanding was also signed to explore building a globally competitive aviation industrial base and accelerating the Kingdom’s manufacturing roadmap. The authority said the agreement would support knowledge transfer, international certification, and the localization of engine component manufacturing.

Major global defense and aerospace companies also reaffirmed their commitment to supporting Saudi Arabia’s localization agenda. Boeing highlighted its support for enhancing readiness and domestic capabilities, while RTX, through Raytheon Saudi Arabia, showcased advanced defense systems and emphasized workforce development and integrated solutions aligned with the exhibition’s theme, “The Future of Defense Integration.”

The World Defense Show continues to consolidate its role as a global platform connecting manufacturers, investors, entrepreneurs, and decision-makers.

Supported by regulatory development, incentive programs, and human capital initiatives, Saudi Arabia has made tangible progress in localization. By 2024, localized military spending had reached nearly 25 percent, local content stood at 40.7 percent, and Saudization reached 63 percent, reinforcing the Kingdom’s ambition to become a regional hub for defense and aviation industries by 2030.