US, Qatar, Egypt Supply Europe’s LNG Demand

The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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US, Qatar, Egypt Supply Europe’s LNG Demand

The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)

European imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) rose by 63 % in 2022, to compensate for the interruption of supplies through Russian gas pipelines.

LNG imported by Europe increased by 66 bcm, according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

While the US supplied approximately two-thirds (43 bcm) of the incremental LNG inflows into Europe, other “swing suppliers” were also able to redirect significant flexible volumes to the European market, with Qatar (5 bcm), Egypt (5 bcm), Norway (3 bcm), Angola (2 bcm), Russia (2 bcm) and Trinidad and Tobago (2 bcm) providing the bulk of the remaining one-third.

The increase in European demand raised prices and doubled the value of the global LNG market in 2022 to an all-time high of USD 450 billion. Traded volumes, however, increased by 6%.

The agency expects the growth of the global market in 2023 to increase by an additional 4.3 %.

“Europe was the primary driver behind the increase in LNG demand as it pivoted away from the Russian pipeline. LNG cargoes delivered to Europe increased by 63% last year,” said the IEA.

At one point in Q4, infrastructure bottlenecks combined with mild winter temperatures and full storage sites (reflected in wide price differentials) prompted more than “30 laden LNG tankers to wait for available regasification slots in Europe rather than sell their cargoes elsewhere at a discount,” according to the report.

Moreover, the war in Ukraine increased the need for LNG terminals and tankers.

LNG carrier orders reached an all-time high of 165 in 2022, according to data from Refinitiv, which represents a staggering 130% increase in 2021. This has boosted the presence of Chinese players in the LNG shipbuilding market.

Natural gas markets worldwide continued to tighten last year despite global consumption declining by an estimated 1.6% in 2022.

Meanwhile, EU energy ministers met on Tuesday to discuss issues ranging from security of supply to the upcoming electricity market reform. They touched on the renewal of the mechanism for reducing gas consumption during the coming winter.

French Energy Minister Agnes Pannier-Runache revealed that the 27 ministers discussed “extending several emergency measures” so gas stocks could be swiftly replenished and enable the countries to face potential tensions, including putting consumption under control.

In the face of the energy crisis that resulted from the war in Ukraine and the decline in Russian supplies, EU countries agreed last July to reduce their demand for gas during the period between August 2022 and March 2023 by 15 %.



Gold Jumps, on Track for Best Week in Over a Year on Safe-haven Demand

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
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Gold Jumps, on Track for Best Week in Over a Year on Safe-haven Demand

FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bullions are displayed at GoldSilver Central's office in Singapore June 19, 2017. REUTERS/Edgar Su/File Photo

Gold prices rose over 1% to hit a two-week peak on Friday, heading for the best weekly performance in more than a year, buoyed by safe-haven demand as Russia-Ukraine tensions intensified.

Spot gold jumped 1.3% to $2,703.05 per ounce as of 1245 GMT, hitting its highest since Nov. 8. US gold futures gained 1.1% to $2,705.30.

Bullion rose despite the US dollar hitting a 13-month high, while bitcoin hit a record peak and neared the $100,000 level.

"With both gold and USD (US dollar) rising, it seems that safe-haven demand is lifting both assets," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

Ukraine's military said its drones struck four oil refineries, radar stations and other military installations in Russia, Reuters reported.

Gold has gained over 5% so far this week, its best weekly performance since October 2023. Prices have gained around $173 after slipping to a two-month low last week.

"We understand that the price setback has been used by 'Western world' investors under-allocated to gold to build exposure considering the geopolitical risks that are still around. So we continue to expect gold to rise further over the coming months," Staunovo said.

Bullion tends to shine during geopolitical tensions, economic risks, and a low interest rate environment. Markets are pricing in a 59.4% chance of a 25-basis-points cut at the Fed's December meeting, per the CME Fedwatch tool.

However, "if Fed skips or pauses its rate cut in December, that will be negative for gold prices and we could see some pullback," said Soni Kumari, a commodity strategist at ANZ.

The Chicago Federal Reserve president reiterated his support for further US interest rate cuts on Thursday.

On Friday, spot silver rose 1.8% to $31.34 per ounce, platinum eased 0.1% to $960.13 and palladium fell 0.6% to $1,023.55. All three metals were on track for a weekly rise.