Iran: Scenarios for Nuclear Negotiations after Shamkhani’s Dismissal

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Ali Shamkhani during a government meeting (Mehr News Agency)
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Ali Shamkhani during a government meeting (Mehr News Agency)
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Iran: Scenarios for Nuclear Negotiations after Shamkhani’s Dismissal

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Ali Shamkhani during a government meeting (Mehr News Agency)
Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi and Ali Shamkhani during a government meeting (Mehr News Agency)

Ali Shamkhani took on the role of Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council on September 10, 2013, coinciding with the delegation of nuclear negotiation responsibilities to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

While not directly involved in the nuclear negotiations, Shamkhani served as a crucial link between the Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the nuclear negotiating team, playing a pivotal role in advancing the progress of the talks.

Due to his role in the negotiations that resulted in the 2015 nuclear agreement, Shamkhani faced pressure from opponents of the deal, particularly after the talks stalled in September 2022.

In recent days, Iranian officials have discussed the possibility of resuming nuclear negotiations with the US, given the exchange of messages between the two sides.

Iranian news websites have been reporting on potential alterations to the Iranian negotiators’ team, with speculation surrounding the potential comeback of former chief negotiator Abbas Araqchi.

However, the likelihood of a replacement for Shamkhani remains uncertain, although not entirely ruled out.

Shamkhani’s involvement in foreign policy has intensified during the final months of his tenure, fueling speculation about the potential restoration of direct negotiation authority to the Supreme National Security Council.

This remains one of the scenarios under consideration even after Shamkhani's potential replacement.

With Iran’s growing stockpile of 60% enriched uranium, reviving the negotiations remains a strongly considered scenario. This is due to growing Western concerns about the shift in the trajectory of Iran’s nuclear program.

In recent weeks, the risks of a potential military confrontation between Iran and Israel have increased. Israel has informed Western powers that it may launch a unilateral strike on Iranian facilities if Tehran continues enriching uranium at a 60% level.

After US National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan hinted at giving Israel the green light in the event of Iran’s proximity to nuclear weapons, Iranian officials have indirectly warned of potential withdrawal from the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.

This possibility is also on the table if nuclear negotiations are officially declared unsuccessful, prompting Western powers to trigger the mechanism for the reinstatement of UN sanctions.

Shamkhani’s departure from the Supreme National Security Council is expected to influence nuclear negotiations, particularly with the arrival of influential leader Ali Akbar Ahmadian.

This shift may favor proponents of enhanced Iranian “deterrence,” including the possibility of nuclear weapon production, despite the Iranian Supreme Leader's fatwa against weapons of mass destruction.

 



More Than 400,000 Protest Across France

Protesters light flares at the Porte de Vincennes during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by Dimitar DILKOFF / AFP)
Protesters light flares at the Porte de Vincennes during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by Dimitar DILKOFF / AFP)
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More Than 400,000 Protest Across France

Protesters light flares at the Porte de Vincennes during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by Dimitar DILKOFF / AFP)
Protesters light flares at the Porte de Vincennes during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by Dimitar DILKOFF / AFP)

Clashes erupted in Paris as a mass march drew to a close Saturday, with more than 400,000 people rallying across France over school funding and soaring living costs in a fresh challenge to President Emmanuel Macron’s government.

The Paris march began peacefully, a week after widespread rioting and looting during protests across the country. Near its endpoint at Porte de Vincennes, some protesters threw projectiles while police fired volleys of tear gas and used water cannons to disperse people.

The Interior Ministry put nationwide turnout at 410,000, while the CGT union estimated nearly 800,000. The ministry’s estimate included 110,000 in Paris, where authorities had confined the march to the city’s southeastern edge, away from the center.

Elsewhere in France, police used tear gas in Lyon, Clermont-Ferrand and Strasbourg and water cannons in Nice and Nantes, French media reported. In Marseille, officers fired tear gas during clashes with several dozen people near the march’s endpoint.

The Paris prosecutor’s office said 64 people had been arrested in connection with Saturday’s demonstration and 40 placed in police custody. Those arrested included six minors. Most arrests concerned suspected weapons offenses or participation in a group preparing violence or property damage, the office said.

The unrest is testing Macron's authority in the final months of his presidency before voters choose his successor in May. The stakes are high: the far-right National Rally has accused his government of failing to protect the public and urged people to channel their anger into votes for them.

Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez had announced a nationwide deployment of up to 70,000 officers, backed by helicopters, armored vehicles and water cannons.

Protesters take cover behind a wooden panel as a water canon is launched during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by Sameer AL-DOUMY / AFP)

Trade unions led the procession, followed by protesters in raincoats carrying flags and handmade placards.

Camille Chesnier, 27, said she had been unable to find work despite having an engineering degree and a master’s degree.

“There are enormous numbers of people in the same situation as me but who aren’t privileged and who find themselves living on the streets and in squats and, frankly, it’s very tough,” she said.

A small protest became a national movement What began last month as a protest over staff shortages at one high school southeast of Paris has spread nationwide, drawing students demanding better schools and workers seeking higher wages and pensions.

In Paris, Bénédicte Pittion, a 46-year-old teacher, marched through steady rain with her 16-year-old daughter, Garance, a high school student. Both had supported the movement from the start, but this was their first protest together.

“The young people who have been demonstrating have not been heard, and as a parent and as a teacher, I stand with them,” The Associated Press quoted Pittion as saying.

Garance said she had been “really scared” to attend after seeing images of last weekend’s violence, but argued that staying away would hand the government a victory.

Public middle and high schools lost 15.4 million teaching hours in the 2024-25 school year because absent teachers were not replaced, according to Education Ministry figures. That amounted to 7.5% of scheduled teaching time.

Macron met high school representatives Friday. They said he had promised to overhaul university admissions, but called for protests to continue until concrete measures are announced.

Organizers from the “yellow vest” protest movement called for another day of rallies Oct. 31 to defend the right to demonstrate.

Some protests were banned Soumaya Abed, a 58-year-old nurse wearing a red CGT union vest, said she had been joining protests for more than 30 years, but had never seen one start at Porte d’Italie, on the capital's outskirts.

“They are using what happened last week as an excuse to quiet protesters,” she said. “But it won’t stop the movement. It won’t stop students from demanding better conditions in schools.”

In Marseille, police put attendance at 17,000, while the CGT union estimated 100,000. In the southwestern city of Toulouse, 26,500 people joined the protests, according to authorities. Authorities had banned rallies in cities including Lyon, Nice and Montpellier.

Trade unions have criticized the bans, calling them violations of freedom of expression, which is protected by the constitution.

Thousands also marched Saturday in Orléans, south of Paris, in a separate peaceful protest against the far right as Marine Le Pen’s National Rally held a two-day congress in the city.

Macron, a centrist, has entered the crisis in the final stretches of his term with his popularity at its lowest since he took office in 2017. He has said that the measures are needed to protect city centers, businesses and public buildings.

Nuñez acknowledged Monday that police had lost control in some cities during last weekend’s unrest, when more than half a million people took to the streets and some 3,000 shops across France were damaged or looted amid street violence not seen in years.

He offered to resign, but Macron refused the offer.

Shops board up and museums close Gendarmes stood guard Saturday beneath the Arc de Triomphe and shopkeepers boarded up storefronts across Paris. Near the Saint-Lazare train station Saturday, Akram Ahmed, a 34-year-old contractor, was boarding up an optician’s shop.

“I got the call last night,” he said. “The owner seemed desperate. He said I was saving his life.”

Major museums, including the Louvre, Orsay Museum, Picasso Museum and Grand Palais — where a major Cézanne exhibit is on display — were shuttered Saturday.

Police officers face protesters near Porte de Vincennes during a demonstration in favor of purchasing power, the protection of public services, and fiscal and social justice, in Paris on October 24, 2026. (Photo by NICOLAS TUCAT / AFP)

Art Basel, one of the world’s most prestigious contemporary art fairs, opened to the public Friday, but only for the day, with the threat of unrest prompting organizers to cancel the weekend program.

Students and workers are angry Student groups want 250,000 more places in higher education and an end to selection through Parcoursup, the national admissions system.

Their joint 10-point plan also calls for more teachers and repairs to schools and universities.

They are also seeking help with everyday costs: an extra 200 euros ($224) a month in student grants and a rent freeze in public student housing.

Energy prices in France were 21.3% higher in September than a year earlier, helping drive overall inflation to 3.1%, according to the national statistics agency, INSEE.

Paris protester Louis Ledoux--Xatard voiced frustration over inequality.

“Looking at countries like the United States, we don’t want to end up like them, where part of the population has everything and the others have nothing,” he said.

“I never imagined that I’d be taking to the streets so much before my thirties.”


North Korea's Kim Returns Home after Visit to Chinese Border City

01 October 2026, North Korea, Pyongyang: FILE PHOTO - A photograph released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on September 30, 2026, shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un addressing a ceremony at Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang marking the 80th anniversary of the country's top university. Photo: -/YNA/dpa
01 October 2026, North Korea, Pyongyang: FILE PHOTO - A photograph released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on September 30, 2026, shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un addressing a ceremony at Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang marking the 80th anniversary of the country's top university. Photo: -/YNA/dpa
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North Korea's Kim Returns Home after Visit to Chinese Border City

01 October 2026, North Korea, Pyongyang: FILE PHOTO - A photograph released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on September 30, 2026, shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un addressing a ceremony at Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang marking the 80th anniversary of the country's top university. Photo: -/YNA/dpa
01 October 2026, North Korea, Pyongyang: FILE PHOTO - A photograph released by North Korea's official Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) on September 30, 2026, shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un addressing a ceremony at Kim Il Sung University in Pyongyang marking the 80th anniversary of the country's top university. Photo: -/YNA/dpa

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un returned home on Saturday after making a day-long trip to the Chinese border city of Dandong, Beijing's state media reported, though the purpose of the unannounced visit was not immediately clear and there was no mention of talks with his counterpart Xi Jinping.

Kim is thought to have crossed into China via a major border bridge that officially opened last week, 12 years after its completion, deepening economic ties between China and diplomatically isolated North Korea.

Neither North Korea nor China disclosed Kim's visit in advance. South Korean lawmaker Youn Kun-young said Kim was "understood" to have met Chinese Premier Li Qiang on Saturday.

A readout from China's Xinhua news agency did not mention talks between Kim and Xi or Li. Instead, it said Wang Huning, Beijing's top political advisor, accompanied Kim in Dandong and "saw him off" at the bridge at the end of the trip.

The aims and outcomes of Kim's visit were murky, but China is North Korea's largest trading partner and a vital source of diplomatic, economic and political support for Pyongyang.

Xinhua quoted Wang as saying the visit was significant for "consolidating public goodwill towards the friendship... (and) deepening political mutual trust and jointly pursuing cooperation and development".

He also said China and North Korea should expand personnel exchanges, economic cooperation and strategic coordination, "to foster a peaceful and stable external environment for safeguarding their respective sovereignty, security and development interests", according to Xinhua.

Wang conveyed Xi's "cordial greetings and best wishes" to the North Korean leader.

The trip fell near the date both countries use to mark the entry of Chinese troops into the Korean War. Kim attended a memorial ceremony to fallen soldiers and visited an automobile factory, Xinhua said.

China's top diplomat, Wang Yi, also took part in the events, it added.

Youn, the South Korean lawmaker, said he had been briefed on Friday that a visit was likely.

The trip could send a "positive signal" about a possible US-North Korea summit, he said in a statement sent to AFP.

World leaders are preparing for November's APEC summit in China's Shenzhen, where it has been speculated that Kim may meet US President Donald Trump.


Iran's Pezeshkian Blames US for Interim Deal Failure, Urges New Try

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attends the leaders' summit of the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), in the Armenian capital of Yerevan on October 16, 2026. (Photo by AFP)
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attends the leaders' summit of the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), in the Armenian capital of Yerevan on October 16, 2026. (Photo by AFP)
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Iran's Pezeshkian Blames US for Interim Deal Failure, Urges New Try

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attends the leaders' summit of the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), in the Armenian capital of Yerevan on October 16, 2026. (Photo by AFP)
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian attends the leaders' summit of the 17th meeting of the Conference of the Parties (COP 17) to the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), in the Armenian capital of Yerevan on October 16, 2026. (Photo by AFP)

Iranian President Massoud Pezeshkian, in remarks broadcast on state TV on Saturday, blamed the United States for the failure of an interim deal with Iran, but said there should be a new attempt at concluding it.

"We were having negotiations, the (Americans) messed everything up...I still think we should go and conclude it," Pezeshkian said.

Washington is preparing for the possibility of a prolonged confrontation with Tehran, amid growing reports that the United States could launch fresh strikes against Iran before or after the US congressional midterm elections, despite President Donald Trump's insistence that the war could end soon.

US Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz said Washington could maintain its blockade of Iranian ports for the foreseeable future and continue increasing economic pressure on Tehran, while expressing hope that Iran would return to meaningful negotiations over its nuclear program.

Trump, meanwhile, said the United States could take control of Iran and seize its oil. US Ambassador to Türkiye Tom Barrack did not rule out an American strike against Iran as early as this weekend, saying Trump had repeatedly given Tehran opportunities to reach an agreement.