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Private Sector Boom Continues in Saudi Arabia, UAE

Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
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Private Sector Boom Continues in Saudi Arabia, UAE

Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)
Economic growth in Saudi Arabia compared to G20 countries (SPA)

Private non-state oil-producing companies in Saudi Arabia and the UAE witnessed a powerful resurgence in June, fueled by a surge in production and new orders.

The notable surge in production and new orders in Saudi Arabia, reaching the highest levels in several years, prompted companies in the Kingdom to ramp up their purchasing activities swiftly, aiming to meet the growing demands for inventory support.

These insights are based on Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index report, compiled by S&P Global.

June’s headline PMI number came in at 59.6, up on May’s 58.5 and again indicative of a strong, above trend rate of growth.

According to the index, PMI readings above the 50-mark show non-oil private sector growth, while those below 50 signal contraction.

“The Kingdom’s non-oil private sector remained on a steeply upward growth trajectory by the end of the second quarter, as inflows of new business accelerated, particularly in construction and tourism activities,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, the chief economist at Riyad Bank.

The sub-index for new orders rose to 69.5 in June from 67.3 in the previous month, marking its highest level since September 2014. This increase was driven by strong demand and favorable market conditions.

The Saudi government is injecting billions of dollars into the development of non-oil sectors, aiming to diversify revenue sources away from hydrocarbons. Special emphasis is placed on creating employment opportunities for the youth.

“Ultimately, government-backed investments, especially in construction and infrastructure projects, remain crucial for the business sector,” said Al-Ghaith.

He further added that the sentiment towards future activity remains positive.

Commenting on the recent figures, Saudi Shura Council member Fadhel Al-Buainain told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Saudi economy has entered an important phase of growth after recovering from the coronavirus pandemic.

According to Al-Buainain, the witnessed recovery is a result of the government’s measures to mitigate the pandemic’s negative impacts on the economy.

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Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar weakened broadly on Thursday, while the euro rallied after President Donald Trump announced harsher-than-expected tariffs on US trading partners, unsettling markets as investors flocked to safe havens such as the yen and Swiss franc.

The highly anticipated tariff announcement sent shockwaves through markets, with global stocks sinking and investors scrambling to the safety of bonds as well as gold.

Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country's biggest trading partners.

The new levies ratchet up a trade war that Trump kicked off on his return to the White House, rattling markets as fears grow that a full-blown trade war could trigger a sharp global economic slowdown and fuel inflation, Reuters reported.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, fell 1.6% to 102.03, its lowest since early October.

The euro, the largest component in the index, gained 1.5% to a six-month high of $1.1021.

Trump has already imposed tariffs on aluminium, steel and autos, and has increased duties on all goods from China.

"Eye-watering tariffs on a country-by-country basis scream 'negotiation tactic', which will keep markets on edge for the foreseeable future," said Adam Hetts, global head of multi-asset and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar added 0.56% to $0.63365, while the New Zealand dollar climbed 0.9% to $0.5796.

The yen strengthened to a three-week high against the dollar and was last up 1.7% at 146.76 per dollar, while the Swiss franc touched its strongest level in five months at 0.86555 per dollar.

"Negotiations are now going to be front of mind. This is probably the other big part of why we're seeing some of these currencies outperform," said Nicholas Rees, Head Of Macro Research at Monex Europe.

"It's very difficult actually to see how other countries make concessions that would encourage the US to lift these tariffs. And I think that's a big underpriced risk."

Investors are worried that some US trading partners could retaliate with measures of their own, leading to higher prices.

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen described the tariffs as a major blow to the world economy and said the 27-member bloc was prepared to respond with countermeasures if talks with Washington failed.

Worries about a global trade war have intensified since Trump stepped into the White House in January, combining with a slew of weaker-than-expected US data to stoke recession fears and undermine the dollar.

The dollar index is down more than 5.7% this year.

"These tariffs have certainly significantly increased the risks to the downside for global growth, so on balance we think that will eventually start to become more supportive again for the dollar," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG.

In Asia currencies, China's onshore yuan slid to its weakest level against the dollar since February 13. China's offshore yuan also hit a two-month low.

The Vietnamese dong slumped to a record low.

Elsewhere, the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar strengthened.

Canada and Mexico, the two largest US trading partners, already face 25% tariffs on many goods and will not face additional levies from Wednesday's announcement.