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Alibrahim to Asharq Al-Awsat: Private Sector Driving Transformation in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
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Alibrahim to Asharq Al-Awsat: Private Sector Driving Transformation in Saudi Arabia

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)
Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim participating at the World Economic Forum in Davos (WEF)

Saudi Economy and Planning Minister Faisal Alibrahim has highlighted that the private sector is driving growth in the Kingdom, contributing 44.79% to the Kingdom’s economy by the end of Q3, 2023.

In an exclusive interview with Asharq Al-Awsat at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Alibrahim commended the private sector for achieving its highest-ever contribution to the real GDP.

He also noted that women now make up 36% of the workforce in the Kingdom, surpassing the 30% target set in Saudi Arabia’s national transformation plan, “Vision 2030.”

Alibrahim revealed significant growth in the social services sector, which includes sports and cultural activities, predicting over 10% growth in 2023.

Other sectors, such as transport, logistics, tourism, and entertainment, are also expected to see substantial growth.

The minister estimated the Saudi entertainment market to be worth $2.31 billion in 2023, projecting it to reach $3.8 billion by 2028, with an annual growth rate of 10.44%.

Regarding Saudi Arabia’s efforts to host regional headquarters for global companies, Alibrahim revealed that 275 international companies have been attracted, with over 89% choosing Riyadh as their primary location.

Advancements in Economic Diversification

Alibrahim praised Saudi Arabia’s strides in diversifying its economy, highlighting a positive 3.5% growth in non-oil economic activities during Q3 2023 compared to the same period in 2022.

The share of non-oil activities in the total nominal GDP also increased to 48%, and government activities saw a 2.3% rise compared to the previous year.

Alibrahim noted the ongoing positive performance of the Purchasing Managers' Index for the non-oil private sector, hitting 57.5 points in December 2023. This was backed by a continuous influx of new business and a rapid surge in exports, despite international economic challenges.

The minister explained that, according to data released with the announcement of the Saudi state budget for 2024, the initial estimates suggest a 4.4% growth in the country’s real GDP for the current year (2024).

This growth is driven by the non-oil sector, with the private sector expected to lead economic expansion. The Kingdom aims for a more favorable trade balance and remains committed to implementing initiatives aligned with Vision 2030 and regional strategies.

“The positive outlook for the Saudi economy continues the favorable trends seen since the beginning of 2021,” affirmed Alibrahim.

The Kingdom anticipates revenues of about SAR 1.17 trillion for the current year (2024), with expenses estimated at around SAR 1.25 trillion.

Private Sector’s Strong Role

Alibrahim praised 2023 as an outstanding year for the private sector in Saudi Arabia, noting its growth for the eleventh consecutive quarter since early 2021.

By the end of Q3 2023, the private sector's contribution to the Saudi economy reached a record 44.79%.

“This growth aligns with Saudi Vision 2030, aiming to increase the private sector's share of the total GDP from 40% to 65%,” said the minister.

Alibrahim also confirmed the private sector’s unprecedented contribution to the Kingdom’s real GDP, surpassing 322 billion riyals by the end of Q3 2023.

This marked its highest-ever contribution, with the GDP reaching SAR719.09 billion during the quarter.

Highlighting the private sector’s increasing role, Alibrahim mentioned the addition of over 44,000 citizens to the private workforce in the past month, bringing the total to 10.9 million workers in December 2023, including 2.3 million citizens.

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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.

Business

Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.

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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.