Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
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Behind Sinwar’s Selection: Internal, Regional, and Israeli Factors

Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)
Yahya Sinwar participating in a previous march in support of Al-Aqsa Mosque in Gaza City (AFP)

Sources familiar with the internal discussions that led to the selection of Yahya Sinwar as the new leader of Hamas in Gaza revealed several key factors behind his appointment.
Sinwar succeeded Ismail Haniyeh, who was assassinated by Israel in Tehran. Sinwar’s own ambitions, Khaled Meshaal's decision to step aside, and strategic considerations involving Israel and regional dynamics were all influential in this decision.
Hamas unanimously chose Sinwar in a decisive meeting on Tuesday after two days of discussions.
Sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that most Hamas leaders abroad, including those from Gaza, the West Bank, and members of the political bureau and Shura Council based in Lebanon, Türkiye, and Qatar, participated in these crucial meetings and supported Sinwar’s appointment.
Initially, Sinwar’s name was not proposed right after Haniyeh’s assassination. The focus was on appointing Khaled Meshaal as a temporary leader until the Gaza conflict ended.
However, Meshaal declined due to health issues and unspecified pressures related to various foreign relations. Some noted that Meshaal was seen as more aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood than with Iran.
Sources revealed that Hamas aimed to send several clear messages with Sinwar’s appointment.
The main message was defiance towards Israel, showing unity within Hamas and dismissing any internal conflicts, including the October 7 attack, which Sinwar and Qassam Brigades leader Mohammed Deif masterminded.
This move also signals a return of leadership to the battlefield and reaffirms Hamas’ role in the Iran-led “axis of resistance.”
Sources, who requested anonymity, stated that Sinwar’s selection was primarily a response to the assassination of Haniyeh.
“The key message to Netanyahu and Israel is that by killing Haniyeh, a negotiator willing to make concessions to stop the war, you now face Sinwar, your primary enemy and a war instigator. If Israel’s government wants to continue the conflict, this is our reply,” explained the sources.
Additionally, the sources mentioned that truce negotiations are now in Sinwar’s hands, meaning Israel must negotiate with him. They also confirmed that with Sinwar’s appointment, the decision was made to resume ceasefire talks in Gaza, with Sinwar personally overseeing them.
Other factors behind Sinwar’s selection involve Hamas’s external situation and its relationships with various countries.
“One reason was to ease the immense pressure on the external leadership from mediators and host countries to expel Hamas leaders. Shifting decision-making to Gaza reduces these pressures,” a source, who asked to remain anonymous, told Asharq Al-Awsat.
“It’s easier to assassinate someone abroad, so choosing a leader from Gaza is the best option to handle the movement’s external challenges. It’s unclear if Sinwar’s appointment will succeed, as some countries welcomed it while others remained silent,” the source explained.
Meanwhile, Israel has vowed to kill Sinwar, using his appointment to justify military control over Gaza and the West Bank.

 



Egypt Supports EU ASPIDES to Protect Security of Red Sea Navigation

Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty met with Vasileios Gryparis, operation commander of the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission. (Egypt’s Foreign Ministry)
Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty met with Vasileios Gryparis, operation commander of the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission. (Egypt’s Foreign Ministry)
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Egypt Supports EU ASPIDES to Protect Security of Red Sea Navigation

Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty met with Vasileios Gryparis, operation commander of the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission. (Egypt’s Foreign Ministry)
Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty met with Vasileios Gryparis, operation commander of the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission. (Egypt’s Foreign Ministry)

Egypt expressed on Wednesday its support for the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission, established in February to protect navigation in the Red Sea.

Tensions escalated in the Red Sea region at the end of November, with Yemen’s Houthi militias targeting ships passing through the shipping lane in response to the Israeli war in the Gaza Strip.

These attacks prompted international shipping companies to change their route and avoid passing through the Red Sea canal, which had repercussions on the economy and global trade.

Egyptian Foreign Minister Badr Abdelatty emphasized the need to strengthen efforts to secure navigation in the Red Sea amid escalating regional tensions, according to a statement from the Egyptian Foreign Ministry.

His remarks came during a meeting in Cairo with Vasileios Gryparis, operation commander of the European Union’s ASPIDES naval mission.

The minister pointed to the necessity of ensuring a safe environment for commercial vessels, adding that threats to navigation in the Red Sea have significantly impacted the Egyptian economy by reducing Suez Canal revenues.

“Egypt is one of the most impacted countries in the world because of this situation,” he underlined.

The Suez Canal is one of the main sources of hard currency in Egypt. Its revenues last year amounted to $10.3 billion, according to official data.

But these revenues have witnessed a decline in recent months, due to regional perturbations. Egyptian Prime Minister Dr. Mostafa Madbouly said in a press conference last week that his country was losing between $500 and $550 million a month due to the Red Sea tensions.”

Gryparis expressed commitment to engaging with the affected countries, particularly Egypt and reviewing successful operations against Houthi attacks.

Stressing the need for coordinated efforts to secure navigation in the Red Sea, the EU official pointed to “the defensive nature of the European naval operation in the face of threats,” reviewing the successes it achieved in deterring many Houthi attacks.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, strategic expert and head of the Arab Foundation for Development and Strategic Studies, Brigadier General Samir Ragheb, said: “Egypt is concerned with protecting the security of navigation in the Red Sea, and believes that the only way to do so is to stop the escalation and war on the Gaza Strip.”

“Cairo’s support for the European mission falls within this context,” he added.