Sources to Asharq Al-Awsat: Delays in Reaching Sinwar Cost Three Key Negotiation Chances

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar (AFP)
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar (AFP)
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Sources to Asharq Al-Awsat: Delays in Reaching Sinwar Cost Three Key Negotiation Chances

Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar (AFP)
Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar (AFP)

Sources within Hamas told Asharq Al-Awsat that the Palestinian group’s political leader, Yahya Sinwar, recently sent a message to mediators through the movement’s leadership.

The message reaffirmed Hamas’ demands, including Israel’s complete withdrawal from Gaza, reconstruction of the area, lifting the blockade, the return of displaced people without obstacles, and a dignified prisoner exchange deal.

The sources, who requested anonymity, stressed that Sinwar is kept informed about events within and outside Hamas, though there have been some delays in decisions and messages.

However, sources familiar with the negotiations said these delays led to “at least three missed opportunities for a final agreement.”

Since late August, negotiations mediated by the US, Egypt, and Qatar between Hamas and Israel have largely stalled, with both sides accusing each other of changing the terms of the proposed ceasefire and prisoner exchange.

Sinwar’s Communication Style

Hamas insiders clarified that Sinwar’s communication with the group’s leadership was never fully cut off but has been delayed for security reasons. Sinwar follows a specific strategy, deciding when and how to communicate with mediators on his own terms.

Other sources pointed out that difficulties in reaching Sinwar and Hamas' military wing had previously disrupted negotiation efforts.

One such case occurred in December when Israel agreed to most terms of a new proposal. However, delays in Hamas’ response, due to issues in contacting Sinwar and other leaders, resulted in a “missed opportunity.”

These delays frustrated mediators, occasionally leading Israel to backtrack on agreements.

In August, senior Hamas official Osama Hamdan admitted there were “some communication difficulties” due to the conflict with Israel but assured that contact remained and that Hamas was managing its affairs effectively.

Hamdan also mentioned that leadership arrangements with Sinwar were progressing, although they might take time due to security concerns.

Sinwar was appointed as Hamas leader on August 6, following the assassination of the former leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran. Recently, Sinwar has remained out of the public eye, with no messages sent on the first anniversary of the October 2023 “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation.

Israeli reports have speculated that Sinwar was killed, citing his lack of communication in recent weeks.

Meanwhile, Axios reported that an Israeli official confirmed Sinwar had resumed contact with the Hamas leadership in Qatar, but it’s unclear whether the discussions involve military or truce matters.

Despite a large Israeli operation in the city of Khan Younis in the southern Gaza Strip over the past three months, Sinwar has avoided capture.

Sources have said that only a few people know his whereabouts, and he has been issuing orders during the conflict, sending instructions every few weeks, often via handwritten or typed messages delivered through secure channels.

Hamas sources outside Gaza added that Sinwar had sent written and audio messages to mediators at least twice during critical points in the negotiations.



Hezbollah Targets Israeli Troops on Lebanese Border, Sirens Sound in Northern Israel

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli air strike that targeted the southern Lebanese village of Khiam on October 9, 2024. (AFP)
Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli air strike that targeted the southern Lebanese village of Khiam on October 9, 2024. (AFP)
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Hezbollah Targets Israeli Troops on Lebanese Border, Sirens Sound in Northern Israel

Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli air strike that targeted the southern Lebanese village of Khiam on October 9, 2024. (AFP)
Smoke rises from the site of an Israeli air strike that targeted the southern Lebanese village of Khiam on October 9, 2024. (AFP)

Hezbollah fighters targeted Israeli soldiers near the Lebanese border village of Labbouneh with artillery shells and rockets on Wednesday, the group said, a day after Israel said it had killed two successors to Hezbollah's slain leader.

The Iran-backed group, which has been launching rockets against Israel for a year in parallel with the Gaza war and is now fighting it in ground clashes, said it had pushed the troops back.

The escalation in Lebanon and the ongoing one-year-old war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza has raised fears of a wider Middle East conflict that could suck in Iran and Israel's superpower ally the United States.

The Israeli military said three of its troops were severely injured on Tuesday and Wednesday during combat in southern Lebanon. Sirens sounded in northern Israel on Wednesday morning after Israel renewed bombing of Beirut's southern suburbs, a Hezbollah stronghold, overnight.

The conflict in Lebanon has escalated dramatically in recent weeks as Israel has carried out a string of assassinations of top Hezbollah leaders and launched ground operations into southern Lebanon that expanded further this week.

An Israeli military spokesperson declined to say how many troops were in Lebanon, but the military has announced four divisions are operating on the border, meaning that thousands of soldiers are deployed.

Overnight, Israel again bombed Beirut's southern suburbs and said it had killed a figure responsible for budgeting and logistics, Suhail Hussein Husseini.

The suburbs, once a densely-populated and thriving district, has been emptied of many of its residents by Israeli evacuation warnings. Many Lebanese draw parallels between the warnings and those seen in Gaza over the last year, prompting fears that Beirut could face the same scale of destruction.

BIDEN-NETANYAHU CALL

US President Joe Biden is expected to speak on Wednesday with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, according to a person familiar with the matter, with talks set to include discussion of any plans to strike Iran.

The Middle East has been on edge awaiting Israel's response to a missile attack from Iran last week that Tehran carried out in retaliation for Israel's military escalation in Lebanon. The Iranian attack ultimately killed no one in Israel and Washington called it ineffective.

Israel's retaliation will be a key subject of the call, with Washington hoping to weigh in on whether the response is appropriate, a separate person briefed on the discussions said.

The White House did not respond to a request for comment.

Biden has said he would think about alternatives to striking Iranian oil fields if he were in Israel's shoes. Last week, he also said he would not support Israel striking Iranian nuclear sites.

The bombardment has left more than 2,100 people dead in Lebanon, most of them in the last two weeks, and displaced roughly 1.2 million across the country.

Netanyahu said on Tuesday Israeli airstrikes had killed two successors to Hezbollah's slain leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed in an Israeli air attack on Beirut's southern suburbs on Sept. 27.

Netanyahu did not name them, but Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said Hashem Safieddine, the man expected to succeed Nasrallah, had probably been "eliminated". It was not clear whom Netanyahu meant by the second replacement.

Later, Israeli military spokesman Daniel Hagari said Israel knew Safieddine was in Hezbollah's intelligence headquarters when fighter jets bombed it last week and Safieddine's status was "being checked and when we know, we will inform the public."

Safieddine has not been heard from since that strike.

Hezbollah's deputy leader Naim Qassem said on Tuesday the group's capabilities were intact despite the "painful blows" inflicted by Israel's mounting military pressure.

Qassem said the group endorsed efforts by Lebanon's speaker of parliament and Hezbollah ally to secure a ceasefire, and conspicuously left out an oft-repeated condition of the group - that a Gaza ceasefire would have to be reached before Hezbollah put down its arms.

Netanyahu's office declined to comment on Qassem's remarks.

US State Department spokesperson Matthew Miller told a briefing in Washington that Hezbollah had "changed their tune and want a ceasefire" because the group is "on the back foot and is getting battered" on the battlefield.

Hezbollah is the most formidably armed of Iran's proxy forces across the Middle East and has been acting in support of Palestinian fighters Israel in Gaza.

The heightened regional tensions kindled a year ago by Palestinian armed group Hamas' attack from Gaza on southern Israel have escalated to include Lebanon and prompt several direct confrontations between Israel and Iran.

On Oct. 1, Iran fired missiles at Israel. On Tuesday, Iran warned Israel not to follow through on threats of retaliation.