Oil Prices Flat as Investors Await US Inventory Data

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
TT

Oil Prices Flat as Investors Await US Inventory Data

A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo
A pumpjack brings oil to the surface in the Monterey Shale, California, US April 29, 2013. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson/File Photo

Oil prices traded flat on Thursday as investors eye developments in the Middle East and more details on China's stimulus plans, and await the release of official US oil inventory data.
Brent crude futures were down 4 cents to $74.18 a barrel by 0648 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were at $70.37 a barrel, down 2 cents.
Both benchmarks settled down on Wednesday, closing at their lowest levels since Oct. 2 for a second day in a row, said Reuters.
The benchmarks are down 6-7% so far this week after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and the International Energy Agency cut demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025.
Prices have also fallen as risk premiums have cooled with fears having eased that a retaliatory attack by Israel on Iran could disrupt oil supplies, though uncertainty remains over conflict in the Middle East.
"We are now playing a waiting game for two things. Firstly, the China NPC (National People's Congress) standing committee to flesh out the details and the size of the fiscal stimulus package which I believe is coming," Tony Sycamore, IG market analyst in Sydney, said.
Investors are waiting for further details from Beijing on its broad plans announced on Oct. 12 to revive its ailing economy.
China said on Thursday it would expand a "white list" of housing projects eligible for financing and increase bank lending for such developments to 4 trillion yuan ($562 billion) as it aims to shore up its ailing property market.
Sycamore said Israel's response to Iran's recent attack was the second major focus for the market.
"It's coming, we know that but we don't know when," he said, adding that both factors created upside risks for crude oil prices.
In Iran, the authorities are working to control an oil spill off Kharg Island, the country's IRNA news agency reported on Wednesday.
"It appears to be unrelated to the Israel-Hamas war, but it drew attention to Iran's oil export facilities," ANZ analysts said in a note.
In the US, crude oil and fuel stocks fell last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday, against expectations of a build-up in crude stockpiles.
Crude stocks fell by 1.58 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 11, the sources said on condition of anonymity. Gasoline inventories fell by 5.93 million barrels, and distillate stocks fell by 2.67 million barrels, they said.
Ten analysts polled by Reuters had estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 1.8 million barrels in the week to Oct. 11.
"Any signs of weak demand in EIA's weekly inventory report could put further downward pressure on oil prices," ANZ analysts said.
The Energy Information Administration, the statistical arm of the US Department of Energy, will release its data at 11 a.m. EDT (1500 GMT) on Thursday.
Also supporting oil prices, the European Central Bank is likely to lower interest rates again on Thursday, the first back-to-back rate cut in 13 years, as it shifts focus from cooling inflation in the euro zone to protecting economic growth.



World Bank Sees Saudi Budget Deficit Halving, Current Account Surplus of 3.3% in 2026

 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
TT

World Bank Sees Saudi Budget Deficit Halving, Current Account Surplus of 3.3% in 2026

 Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)
Riyadh, Saudi Arabia (Reuters)

As regional economies reel from a complex and uncertain geopolitical landscape, with shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz adding pressure, the latest World Bank report points to standout resilience in Saudi Arabia’s economy.

The data show the kingdom on a fiscal consolidation path to strengthen its fiscal position, with the budget deficit set to halve and the current account shifting from deficit to surplus.

April data from the World Bank indicate Saudi Arabia has not only built solid “economic buffers,” but is also leveraging geopolitical pressures to advance structural reforms.

While much of the region faces sharp fiscal strain and negative growth, the kingdom is moving steadily ahead, recording the strongest growth among regional peers and reinforcing its role as a pillar of regional stability.

Despite broad downward revisions, Saudi Arabia remains the region’s top performer. Growth forecasts for the wider region have been cut to 1.8%, while the kingdom is expected to expand by 3.1%.

Current account shifts to a 3.3% surplus

World Bank data point to a shift in Saudi Arabia’s current account. After a projected deficit of 2.7% of GDP in 2025, forecasts for 2026 point to a surplus of 3.3%.

A current account surplus means exports of goods and services exceed imports, strengthening the balance of payments. It also reflects rising net foreign assets and stronger financing capacity, supported by solid export performance and moderate domestic demand.

The shift carries broader weight. Moving from deficit to surplus positions, Saudi Arabia becomes a net lender to the global economy, with oil export revenues, fast-growing non-oil sectors, and returns on foreign investments outpacing spending on imports and services.

Beyond the headline figures, the surplus acts as an external buffer, supporting currency stability and generating strong liquidity flows. This gives financial institutions and sovereign funds greater room to sustain investment in major development projects, while helping shield the economy from disruptions in global supply chains and shipping routes.

Deficit set to halve

Fiscal data show improved expenditure control and revenue growth. The World Bank expects the deficit to narrow from 6.4% of GDP in 2025 to 3.0% in 2026, below the Finance Ministry’s estimate of 3.3%.

The shift reflects tighter fiscal discipline. Despite the cost of regional tensions, the gap between revenue and spending is set to shrink by half in one year.

This reflects effective fiscal policy, including stronger tax collection and public financial management, rising non-oil revenues that reduce reliance on energy price swings, and more efficient public spending focused on high-impact development projects, limiting the need for external borrowing and supporting long-term fiscal balance.

Saudi Arabia leads per capita growth

The April 2026 report also shows a sharp divergence in per capita growth across the region. While countries such as Kuwait (-7.7%) and Qatar (-7.4%) face steep contractions, Saudi Arabia stands out with an expected per capita growth rate of 1.4%.

Inflation remains contained at 2.8%, helping preserve purchasing power despite global increases in energy and shipping costs driven by maritime disruptions. This stability protects the broader economy from imported inflation pressures.


European Development Bank Unveils 5 Bn Euros for War-hit Economies

A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
TT

European Development Bank Unveils 5 Bn Euros for War-hit Economies

A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)
A Lebanese man walks past destruction at the site of an Israeli airstrike the day before that targeted a building in Beirut on April 9, 2026. (Photo by Ibrahim AMRO / AFP)

The European development bank said Thursday it was unlocking five billion euros ($5.9 bn) to help shore up economies hit by the Middle East war.

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) said it will "deploy EUR5 billion in 2026 in economies impacted by Middle East conflict".

The funds would be focused on Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, the West Bank and Gaza "and affected neighboring economies" including Egypt, Türkiye, Armenia and Azerbaijan, the bank said in a statement.

"The economic and social impact of the conflict is already being felt across many of the bank's economies in the form of disrupted trade routes, energy and commodity shocks, weakened investor confidence and broader costs to the population," it added.

Established in 1991 to help former Soviet bloc nations embrace free-market economies, the bank later extended its reach to the Middle East and Africa.

"In a time of rising uncertainty, we are stepping up where others may pull back," said EBRD president Odile Renaud Basso.

"We are here to support economies, clients and people in our countries of operation in tough times," she added.

The bank said "the volume of conflict response investment will be demand driven due to the fast-changing nature of the situation".

The funds will provide immediate relief "by supporting economic activity" and "fostering financial sector stabilization".

EBRD will aim to strengthen energy security and aid state-owned enterprises to "ensure the uninterrupted provision of essential goods and services".

On Thursday it had approved "a project to support Lebanon's retail chain," it said, adding it also aimed to safeguard access to jobs, finance and essential services.

Since starting operations in the southern and eastern Mediterranean in 2012, the EBRD has invested more than EUR26.5 billion in 489 projects in the region.

In Türkiye alone, the lender has committed more than 23 billion euros since 2009.


Saudia to Partially Resume Flights To, From Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman on Saturday

One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
TT

Saudia to Partially Resume Flights To, From Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman on Saturday

One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)
One of Saudia’s aircraft (company website)

Saudia announced on Thursday the partial resumption of its operations to and from Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Amman starting Saturday, April 11.

In a post on its official account on the social media platform X, the airline said the resumption will be carried out through the operation of exceptional daily flights to and from those destinations.

Saudia advised passengers to check the status of their flights before heading to the airport, noting that further updates will be published through its official channels.