Oil Wavers as Trump's Colombia Sanctions Threat Rattles Markets

Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
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Oil Wavers as Trump's Colombia Sanctions Threat Rattles Markets

Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson
Pump Jacks are seen at sunrise near Bakersfield, California October 14, 2014. REUTERS/Lucy Nicholson

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Oil market momentum was kept in check on Monday as prices fluctuated in and out of negative territory, with traders on edge despite the US pulling back from initial sanctions threats against Colombia, reducing immediate concern over oil supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures fell 36 cents, or 0.5%, to $78.14 a barrel by 1200 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $74.27, down 39 cents, or 0.5%.

Both benchmarks oscillated between moderate gains and losses in early trading.

The US swiftly reversed plans to impose sanctions and tariffs on Colombia after the South American nation agreed to accept deported migrants from the United States, the White House said late on Sunday, Reuters reported.

Colombia last year sent about 41% of its seaborne crude exports to the US, data from analytics firm Kpler shows.

"Even if the sanctions didn't take place, this still creates nervousness that Trump will bully whoever needs to be bullied to get his way," said Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB.

"Fundamentally, the market is surprisingly tight," said Schieldrop, referring to time spreads showing that the price of crude oil for quicker delivery is rising.

Gains were limited by Trump's repeated call on Friday for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) to cut oil prices to hurt oil-rich Russia's finances and help to end to the war in Ukraine.

"One way to stop it quickly is for OPEC to stop making so much money and drop the price of oil ... That war will stop right away," Trump said.

Trump has also threatened to hit Russia "and other participating countries" with taxes, tariffs and sanctions if a deal to end the war in Ukraine is not struck soon.

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday that he and Trump should meet to talk about the Ukraine war and energy prices.

"They are positioning for negotiations," said John Driscoll at Singapore-based consultancy JTD Energy, adding that this creates volatility in oil markets.

He added that oil markets are probably skewed a little bit to the downside, with Trump looking to boost US output and try to secure overseas markets for US crude.

"He's going to want to muscle into some of the OPEC market share; so in that sense he's kind of a competitor," Driscoll said.

However, OPEC and its allies including Russia have yet to react to Trump's call, with OPEC+ delegates pointing to a plan already in place to start raising oil output from April.

Both oil benchmarks registered their first weekly decline in five weeks on easing concern last week over potential supply disruptions resulting from the latest sanctions on Russia.

Goldman Sachs analysts said they do not expect a big hit to Russian production because higher freight rates have encouraged non-sanctioned ships to move Russian oil while the deepening discount on the affected Russian ESPO grade attracts price-sensitive buyers.

Still, JP Morgan analysts said some risk premium is justified given that nearly 20% of the global Aframax fleet currently faces sanctions.

"The application of sanctions on the Russian energy sector as leverage in future negotiations could go either way, indicating that a zero risk premium is not appropriate," they added in a note.

Elsewhere, Chinese manufacturing data on Monday was weaker than expected, adding fresh concerns over energy demand.



Iraq Seeks Saudi Firm List to Streamline Iraqi Exports

Jadidat Arar border crossing, the logistics gateway between Saudi Arabia and Iraq (SPA)
Jadidat Arar border crossing, the logistics gateway between Saudi Arabia and Iraq (SPA)
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Iraq Seeks Saudi Firm List to Streamline Iraqi Exports

Jadidat Arar border crossing, the logistics gateway between Saudi Arabia and Iraq (SPA)
Jadidat Arar border crossing, the logistics gateway between Saudi Arabia and Iraq (SPA)

The Iraqi government is moving to tighten the framework for exporting its goods to Saudi Arabia by compiling a list of Saudi companies interested in importing Iraqi products, a step aimed at streamlining trade procedures and boosting shipments to the kingdom.

The list will be circulated to all relevant Iraqi authorities and used as a reference in the export process, according to the information.

Trade between the two countries remains heavily tilted in Saudi Arabia’s favor. In 2024, Saudi exports to Iraq reached 6.5 billion riyals ($1.7 billion), while imports from Iraq totaled 180.4 million riyals ($48.1 million), resulting in a trade surplus of 6.3 billion riyals ($1.6 billion).

Saudi Arabia’s General Authority for Foreign Trade has informed the Saudi private sector of a request from Iraqi authorities to provide a list of companies willing to import goods from Iraq.

Push to raise Iraqi exports

The Iraqi government has also asked for details on Saudi market requirements and standards, seeking clarity that would allow it to set specifications for products, goods, and services and, in turn, increase its exports to the kingdom.

Fuel products, oils, and mineral waxes accounted for the largest share of Iraqi exports to Saudi Arabia at 49.1%. Aluminum and aluminum products accounted for 32.7%, while pulp from wood or other fibrous cellulosic materials accounted for 7.3%. The remaining share was spread across other goods and services.

Overall trade between Saudi Arabia and Iraq continues to expand in both volume and diversity, with Saudi exports clearly dominant. Both sides have stepped up efforts to ease trade flows and improve infrastructure to support more sustainable growth.

Border bottleneck eased

As part of its efforts to smooth access for Saudi products to regional markets, the General Authority for Foreign Trade recently stepped in to resolve a technical and logistical issue that had been hampering Saudi exporters at the Jadidat Arar border crossing with Iraq.

The intervention was aimed at safeguarding export flows through the only land route linking the two countries, which has grown in importance after an 81.3% rise in truck traffic in the first half of 2024.

The authority resolved a dispute over the Iraqi side’s refusal to accept electronic authentication of documents, reaffirming its commitment to strengthening trade ties with Baghdad.

The issue had been flagged as a recurring obstacle for Saudi companies exporting to Iraq via the crossing, prompting swift action by the authority to clear the backlog and ease private sector access to the Iraqi market.

Strategic gateway

Opened in 2020, the Jadidat Arar crossing is the sole economic and logistics gateway between Saudi Arabia and Iraq. It has played a key role in cutting export costs by 15% and reducing shipping times to less than 48 hours.

The Arar Chamber of Commerce said in a recent statistical report that total truck movements, arrivals, and departures combined reached about 33,300 in the first half of 2024.

By comparison, the number of trucks stood at about 4,084 in the first half of 2021, rose to 12,954 in the same period of 2022, and increased further to 18,729 in the first half of 2023.


Saudi Industry Minister Explores Localization Opportunities with Airbus Helicopters

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef and other officials during the meeting. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef and other officials during the meeting. (SPA)
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Saudi Industry Minister Explores Localization Opportunities with Airbus Helicopters

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef and other officials during the meeting. (SPA)
Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef and other officials during the meeting. (SPA)

Saudi Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef held talks Airbus Helicopters CEO Bruno Even on the sidelines of the World Defense Show 2026 in Riyadh to discuss joint opportunities for localizing aerospace industries and their supply chains in the Kingdom.

The meeting reviewed ways to strengthen industrial cooperation and expand strategic partnership opportunities in the localization of aircraft and helicopter manufacturing in Saudi Arabia, said a ministry statement on Tuesday.

It addressed ongoing efforts to localize the production of aluminum panels and titanium processing to support the requirements of the aerospace sector.

The talks underscored the importance of developing enabling models that attract Airbus Helicopters’ global suppliers and facilitate the establishment or expansion of their operations in the Kingdom, contributing to the resilience and sustainability of global aviation supply chains.

Separately, Alkhorayef met with leaders of the Technology Equipment Trading Establishment, which specializes in military industries. They discussed opportunities to localize defense industries in the Kingdom, the enablers supporting local content development, and initiatives to boost national capabilities in military manufacturing.


Bessent Says US, China Could Have Very Productive Relationship

US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, left, shakes hands with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, right, during a bilateral meeting between the United States and China, in Geneva, Switzerland, on Saturday, May 10, 2025. (KEYSTONE/EDA/Martial Trezzini) /Handout via Reuters
US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, left, shakes hands with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, right, during a bilateral meeting between the United States and China, in Geneva, Switzerland, on Saturday, May 10, 2025. (KEYSTONE/EDA/Martial Trezzini) /Handout via Reuters
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Bessent Says US, China Could Have Very Productive Relationship

US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, left, shakes hands with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, right, during a bilateral meeting between the United States and China, in Geneva, Switzerland, on Saturday, May 10, 2025. (KEYSTONE/EDA/Martial Trezzini) /Handout via Reuters
US Secretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent, left, shakes hands with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, right, during a bilateral meeting between the United States and China, in Geneva, Switzerland, on Saturday, May 10, 2025. (KEYSTONE/EDA/Martial Trezzini) /Handout via Reuters

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Tuesday that the US relationship with China could be very productive and welcomed Beijing as a rival.

"The US-China relationship now is in a very comfortable place. We are going to be rivals, but we want the rivalry to be fair," Bessent said during an appearance at the ‌BTG Pactual ‌CEO Conference, held in Sao Paolo, Brazil. "We ‌do ⁠not want ‌to decouple from China, but we do need to de-risk."

Bessent is preparing to meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in coming weeks ahead of a planned visit to China by US President Donald Trump in April.

The Treasury has not given details about the timing or venue for Bessent's meeting with He.

Bessent told the conference ⁠that the US was working on "retaking sovereignty" from China in strategic industries including ‌critical minerals, semiconductors and medicines.

"We're always ‍going to be competitors," he ‍said. "And I'm of the view that competition makes you better, ‍keeps you from stagnating."

In the long run, he said China would have to rebalance its economy, adding, "The world cannot have a situation where China persistently runs a $1 trillion trade surplus. That's just not possible."

Bessent and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer spoke with He by phone in December, and both sides agreed to promote the ⁠stable development of bilateral trade and economic ties, China's official Xinhua news agency reported at the time.

Bessent last met with He in Malaysia in October, when both sides discussed a framework agreement under which Beijing agreed to defer export controls on rare earth supplies and Washington dropped a 100% US tariff on Chinese goods.

The US Treasury Secretary has said in recent weeks that China is on track to meet its commitments under a US-China trade agreement, including the purchase of 12 million metric tons ‌of US soybeans, by the end of February.