Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
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Dollar Dithers as Safety Bid Flows to the Yen

US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo
US Dollar and Euro banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/ File Photo

The yen was investors' safe harbour of choice on Tuesday and it touched a five-month high as fears about a tariff-driven slowdown in US economic growth have rattled US stocks and the dollar.

The Nasdaq fell 4% overnight and the S&P 500 slid 2.7% as equities caught up with what bonds and currencies have been saying for weeks: US growth is going to slow down.

The yen made a five-month peak of 146.55 per dollar before steadying around 147.24. China's yuan also rose, ticking 0.2% higher to 7.2426 per dollar, Reuters reported.

Other moves in the foreign exchange market were more muted, and analysts noted that a lot of the shifts in currencies had already happened. The dollar is down more than 7% from a six-month high it hit in January versus the yen and the greenback's apparently dulled lustre as a safe-haven coincides with a big rally in the euro and a broader re-think of how tariffs and a trade war play out in FX markets, Reuters reported.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar was a modest loser on Monday and loitered around its 50-day moving average at $0.6266 on Tuesday. Sterling was holding on above its 200-day moving average at $1.2875 and the euro was steady just above $1.08.

The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are actually stronger since US President Donald Trump hit the two countries with 25% tariffs. Europe's common currency is riding high on German plans to borrow and spend on defence and infrastructure.

"Historically, the dollar outperforms when we get a solid rise in volatility, but when the US economy and US equity market are the central point of concern, this is now limiting the attractiveness of the dollar," said Chris Weston, head of research at broker Pepperstone in Melbourne.

The turmoil in equities was triggered by a Trump Fox News interview, in which the president talked about a "period of transition," dashing investor bets he would back away from his aggressive policies.

The dollar index, however, had a hard time rallying and was mostly flat as small rises against the Aussie and sterling were offset by losses on the yen, leaving it at 103.8.

In a week, as US bond yields have gone down and global yields rose, the gap between 10-year US and German yields has shrunk 33 basis points and the gap between US and Japanese yields has shrunk 17 bps.

Germany's Greens vowed on Monday to block plans for a massive increase in state borrowing to revamp the military, but forwarded rival proposals in a bid for compromise and the euro handed back hardly any of its massive gains from last week.



Arcapita, Hines to Explore Joint investments in GCC Industrial and Logistics Real Estate

Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
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Arcapita, Hines to Explore Joint investments in GCC Industrial and Logistics Real Estate

Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat
Arcapita's headquarters in Manama, Bahrain. Photo: Asharq Al-Awsat

Arcapita Group Holdings Limited, the global alternative investment firm, and Hines, one of the world’s largest real assets investment managers, announced on Wednesday a partnership to together explore the creation of an institutional-grade platform focused on industrial and logistics real estate assets across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

The platform would seek to combine Hines’ global real estate investment, development and operating standards with Arcapita’s regional investment, structuring and asset management expertise, supported by Lintara, Arcapita’s local operating platform, a joint statement said.

Through the partnership, the two companies would focus on jointly originating, structuring and executing investments across both development opportunities and stabilized income-producing assets, it added.

Arcapita is headquartered in Manama, Bahrain. It also operates from its offices in the United States, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Singapore.

Hines is based in Houston, Texas.

Martin Tan, Arcapita’s Chief Investment Officer, said: “This strategic partnership marks an important step in our approach to the GCC industrial and logistics opportunity. Market fundamentals across the region have reached a depth and maturity that support the case for a dedicated, institutional-scale platform rather than a transaction-led strategy.”

“As GCC countries continue to focus on supply chain resilience and national self-sufficiency, we see a compelling opportunity to help deliver modern logistics infrastructure at scale. By bringing together Arcapita’s long standing regional track record, sourcing and asset management capabilities with Hines’ globally recognized development expertise, the platform would be well positioned to pursue high-quality opportunities across the sector.”

As for Hines’ Global Head of Real Estate, Steve Luthman, he said that the GCC represents one of the most compelling logistics growth markets globally.

He welcomed “the opportunity to partner with Arcapita to explore the development of a structured, platform-led entry into a rapidly growing market, backed by deep local relationships and execution capability.”


Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
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Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)

Airlines ‌should continue to avoid the airspace over Iran, Iraq and Lebanon and remain cautious across the region despite the framework deal between Washington and Tehran, because violations remained possible, the ‌EU aviation safety ‌agency EASA said.

EASA ‌said ⁠on Wednesday it ⁠was extending its conflict-zone advisory for the region until July 1.

Short-term violations of the US-Iran ceasefire remain possible, ⁠in particular in ‌and ‌around the Strait of ‌Hormuz and neighboring airspace, the ‌agency said.

The agency also flagged the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, creating ‌the potential for military activity impacting the airspace ⁠of ⁠Lebanon.


Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
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Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan warned that the world is facing increasingly difficult economic conditions shaped by uncertainty, fragmentation, geopolitical conflicts, trade tensions, debt risks, and challenges related to energy security and broader security concerns, factors he said threaten to undermine global development goals.

Addressing the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna, held to mark the 50th anniversary of the OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID), Al-Jadaan described the milestone as an opportunity not only to celebrate the institution’s achievements over the past half-century, but also to reflect on lessons learned and consider the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Over the past five decades, the OPEC Fund has helped tackle some of the world’s most pressing development challenges, supporting sustainable development, economic growth, and prosperity while improving living standards in low- and middle-income countries, he noted. Its efforts have enabled millions to gain access to electricity, quality education, and clean energy solutions, while expanding economic opportunities and improving essential services.

Al-Jadaan outlined three priorities for preventing setbacks in global development progress.

The first is placing resilience at the center of development strategies. Rather than serving merely as a response to crises, resilience must become a long-term, proactive approach.

Building systems capable of withstanding shocks requires investment in infrastructure, energy, food security, healthcare, education, and institutional capacity, he argued. It also demands inclusive policies tailored to local needs that diversify sources of income, improve livelihoods, and stabilize fragile markets.

The second priority is strengthening partnerships. No country can confront development challenges alone, Al-Jadaan said, emphasizing the critical role of development finance institutions in mobilizing resources, sharing knowledge, and fostering innovation. The private sector, he added, remains essential for driving investment, creating jobs, and delivering practical solutions.

Greater cooperation among development partners can improve coordination, attract additional capital, and maximize development impact.

Turning to his third priority, Al-Jadaan stressed that trust and national ownership must remain at the heart of development efforts. Development financing is most effective when aligned with national priorities, responsive to local realities, and built on genuine partnerships.

Expanding the OPEC Fund’s activities and deepening cooperation with partner countries would help align financing strategies with national development plans, improve the efficiency of resource allocation, strengthen implementation, and deliver measurable results, he said.

Al-Jadaan also underscored the importance of candid feedback from development partners and their support for bold, long-term structural reforms that enhance resilience, growth, and prosperity.

Fifty years is not a limit to what can be achieved. It is the foundation on which we build, he stated. He added that stronger partnerships and shared commitments will help safeguard the gains of the past five decades and advance sustainable development in the decades ahead.