Amid rapid growth in Saudi Arabia’s real estate sector, fueled by the country’s economic diversification strategy, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has introduced a series of regulatory measures in Riyadh. These steps aim to balance the capital’s real estate market, demonstrating the leadership’s commitment to providing sustainable and effective solutions for challenges in this vital sector.
Experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that rising property prices remain one of the biggest challenges in the real estate market. According to the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT), the Real Estate Price Index increased by 3.6% in Q4 2024—the highest quarterly growth in six quarters—mainly driven by the residential sector, which accounts for 72.7% of the index.
Several factors are contributing to rising prices, including high demand for housing in major cities, large-scale development projects attracting investment, and improvements in infrastructure that increase property values.
Following an in-depth study by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City and the Council of Economic and Development Affairs, the Crown Prince’s directives focus on increasing housing supply and regulating market fluctuations to ensure fairness and stability.
Key Real Estate Measures
The newly announced policies include lifting restrictions on real estate transactions and development in several areas of Riyadh, covering 81.48 square kilometers. To meet housing demand, authorities plan to allocate between 10,000 and 40,000 residential plots annually over the next five years, with a price cap of SAR1,500 per square meter. Priority will be given to married citizens and individuals over 25 who do not own property, with applications processed through a new digital platform developed by the Royal Commission for Riyadh City.
To prevent speculative trading, new regulations restrict the sale, leasing, or mortgaging of land for ten years, except for construction financing. If a project is not completed within this period, the land will be reclaimed at its original purchase price.
Minister of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing Majid Al-Hogail emphasized that these measures will help balance supply and demand while also revising the White Land Tax program to encourage property development. He also confirmed a comprehensive review of rental regulations, with amendments expected within 90 days.
Strong Demand for Real Estate
A report by JLL, a global real estate services firm, highlighted that despite a slowdown in construction projects across the Middle East and Africa in 2024, Saudi Arabia remained a strong performer. The Kingdom accounted for SAR29.5 billion in construction contracts, with significant activity in the hospitality, mixed-use, and entertainment sectors. The residential sector also performed well, with SAR7.9 billion in awarded contracts.
As Saudi Arabia prepares to host major global events, it may face challenges related to capacity and rising costs between 2025 and 2028. However, the government is addressing these issues by localizing industries, expanding infrastructure investments, accelerating digital transformation, and implementing regulatory reforms, with a focus on renewable energy and sustainability.
JLL’s Head of Projects and Development Services in Saudi Arabia, Maroun Dib, noted that strategic projects under Vision 2030 will continue attracting massive investments, creating expansion opportunities in the real estate sector. He added that major events like the FIFA World Cup and Expo will drive significant capital inflows, strengthening infrastructure development and setting the real estate sector on a solid growth trajectory beyond 2025.
Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Khaled Al-Mobayed, CEO of Manassat Real Estate, stressed the importance of increasing housing supply to meet growing demand. He warned that failing to do so could lead to rising rental prices. Al-Mobayed suggested that expanding real estate development into smaller cities near major urban centers could ease pressure on large cities while providing affordable housing options.
Riyadh’s hospitality sector is experiencing rapid growth, driven by business tourism and international events. Average hotel room rates rose by 13.3% in 2024 to SAR239 per night, with 2,312 new hotel rooms expected in 2025. In Jeddah, religious and leisure tourism remains strong, supporting long-term growth despite minor market fluctuations.
Meanwhile, the retail sector in Riyadh is shifting toward experiential shopping, as consumers seek entertainment-driven retail experiences. Traditional shopping malls—especially enclosed malls—are facing declining occupancy rates. While large malls saw a 1.8% increase in lease rates in Q4 2024, community malls experienced stronger growth at 5.5%, whereas regional malls declined by 9.3%. A similar trend is visible in Jeddah, highlighting the need for more diverse and interactive retail spaces.
Industrial and Logistics Sectors on the Rise
Rising rental rates in the industrial and logistics sectors in Riyadh and Jeddah indicate strong market demand, fueled by economic diversification and the growth of e-commerce.
Additionally, the data center sector is rapidly expanding, driven by 5G technology and artificial intelligence. Riyadh, Dammam, and Jeddah now rank third in the Middle East and Africa for operational co-location data centers, contributing 12.6% of the region’s total IT capacity (1,050 megawatts) by the end of 2024. This positions Saudi Arabia for further digital infrastructure expansion.
