Saudi Arabia Pushes Owners of White Land to Revive Properties, Boost Supply

 A housing project in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A housing project in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Pushes Owners of White Land to Revive Properties, Boost Supply

 A housing project in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A housing project in Saudi Arabia (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Real estate experts have described the Saudi Cabinet's decision to amend the White Land Tax system as a significant shift in balancing the supply and demand of the property market.
The move is expected to influence investor and landowner behavior, encouraging them to develop their properties and increase the availability of residential units, thereby revitalizing real estate development projects.
It will also support government efforts to accelerate urban development and offer diverse housing solutions.
The experts predict that the effects of this amendment will begin to be felt in the real estate market by the third quarter of 2025, with the most significant impact expected in the first half of 2026, as a higher number of properties fall under the tax.
On Tuesday, the Saudi Cabinet approved the amendment to the White Land Tax system, following directives from Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in March to take urgent action within 60 days to address the white land crisis.
The goal is to increase land supply, curb price inflation, balance supply and demand, and provide affordable residential land.
The recent amendments to Saudi Arabia's White Land Tax system introduce three phased implementation stages. The first phase targets undeveloped land measuring 10,000 square meters or more, located within a designated area set by the Ministry.
The second phase includes developed land of the same size, as well as developed land owned by a single entity within a single plot.
The third phase addresses developed land of at least 5,000 square meters, along with a total of 10,000 square meters or more of developed land owned by a single entity within a city, within the designated area.
The changes also allow for multiple phases to be applied within a single city. The Ministry will periodically review the situation in each city to determine whether to impose, suspend, or adjust the tax phases, allowing cities to bypass a stage and move to the next when necessary.
Currently, the White Land Tax is being implemented in Riyadh, Jeddah, Dammam, and Makkah as part of its first phase, with a total of approximately 5,500 payment orders covering over 411 million square meters of land. The program recently expanded to include several other cities, including Madinah, Asir, Jazan, Taif, and Tabuk.
Real Estate Development
Commenting on the decision, real estate consultant and expert Al-Aboudi Bin Abdullah told Asharq Al-Awsat that the move marks a significant shift in balancing supply and demand within the real estate market.
He highlighted that the system’s transition from fixed, low-impact fees (set at 2.5%) to a more dynamic, incentivizing tool could see fees rise up to 10%, depending on development progress and land use.
The inclusion of vacant properties under the tax and the consolidation of tax stages will help address the issue of land hoarding within cities, while also expanding the range of land that can be developed within urban boundaries.
Bin Abdullah believes the amendments will address several challenges, including land hoarding and urban stagnation caused by undeveloped plots held for years.
Additionally, the new system aims to reduce the unjustified rise in land prices, curb urban distortions due to vacant plots in fully developed areas, and accelerate both residential and commercial development projects by offering better incentives for land activation.
The changes are expected to increase the supply of land and developed projects in the coming periods, gradually lowering the prices of some white land, particularly in major cities.
This will encourage developers to focus on actual construction rather than holding land passively, while also supporting the government's efforts to speed up urban development and provide a broader range of housing options.
Bin Abdullah predicts that the initial effects of these changes will be felt by the third quarter of 2025, especially once the 90-day registration deadline for white land passes and a year has passed since vacant properties were first registered.
However, the most significant impact on land prices and availability will likely become evident in the first half of 2026, as more properties fall under the tax’s scope.
Investor Behavior Shift
Meanwhile, Khaled Almobid, CEO of Menassat Real Estate, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the current rise in property prices is detrimental to developers, end-users, and the economy, especially in the long term.
He views the amendments to the White Land Tax as a positive step for the real estate market, coming at a timely moment to tackle the sector's challenges.
Almobid emphasized that the primary objective of the changes is to shift investor behavior.
The amendments are designed to encourage investors to move away from using white land as a store of wealth and instead focus on developing these properties, thereby increasing the supply of residential units in the market.
He added that the changes will revitalize development projects, creating jobs across around 150 sectors that work in parallel with the real estate industry, benefiting the overall economic system in cities covered by the White Land Tax.
Almobid also pointed out that the inclusion of vacant properties under the tax is a crucial development.
This measure creates an incentive for property owners and developers to retain tenants, thus preventing vacancies and avoiding further tax burdens.
The move is expected to reduce the previously common practice of raising rents without considering tenants’ financial capabilities.



UK Suffers OECD's Biggest Growth Downgrade as Iran War Pushes Up Energy Costs

This overhead view shows buildings along the River Thames in London on March 25, 2026. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP)
This overhead view shows buildings along the River Thames in London on March 25, 2026. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP)
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UK Suffers OECD's Biggest Growth Downgrade as Iran War Pushes Up Energy Costs

This overhead view shows buildings along the River Thames in London on March 25, 2026. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP)
This overhead view shows buildings along the River Thames in London on March 25, 2026. (Photo by JUSTIN TALLIS / AFP)

Britain's economic ‌growth prospects this year received the sharpest downgrade of any major economy in the OECD's interim forecast update on Thursday following the US-Israeli war ​on Iran, while inflation is set to rise faster too.

The Paris-based international body cut its 2026 forecast for British economic growth by half a percentage point to 0.7%, compared with a 0.4 percentage point downgrade for the euro zone and a 0.3 percentage point upgrade for the United States.

"Planned fiscal tightening and higher energy prices ‌are anticipated to keep ‌growth subdued in the United ​Kingdom, ‌though the ⁠impact ​will be ⁠attenuated by lower policy rates next year," Reuters quoted the OECD as saying in its report.

Following are further highlights from the report and other context:

Britain's growth forecast for 2027 is unchanged at 1.3%.

Britain's inflation forecast for 2026 is revised up by 1.5 percentage points from December to 4.0%, the ⁠biggest upward revision of any large, advanced ‌economy.

UK inflation in 2027 ‌is forecast to be 2.6%, 0.5 percentage ​points higher than in ‌December and above the Bank of England's 2% target.

Poorer UK households spend more on gas and electricity than in other rich countries, though total energy spending makes up a smaller share of UK inflation than elsewhere.

The OECD expects the ‌BoE to keep interest rates unchanged this year then cut in Q1 2027 as inflation ⁠eases.

⁠Britain's Office for Budget Responsibility, in forecasts finalized just before the start of the conflict, predicted GDP growth of 1.1% this year and 1.6% in 2027.

The BoE this month forecast inflation would rise to 3.0-3.5% over the next couple of quarters.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has made boosting growth and reducing the cost of living top goals for his government.

Finance minister Rachel Reeves said the forecasts showed the war in the Middle East ​was affecting Britain but ​she would still focus on "regional growth, embracing AI and innovation, and establishing a closer relationship with the EU."


Gold Drops More than 1% as Markets Assess Mideast Ceasefire Prospects

FILED - 16 March 2023, Bavaria, Munich: Gold bars and coins lie on the table at the Precious metal dealership Pro Aurum. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa
FILED - 16 March 2023, Bavaria, Munich: Gold bars and coins lie on the table at the Precious metal dealership Pro Aurum. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa
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Gold Drops More than 1% as Markets Assess Mideast Ceasefire Prospects

FILED - 16 March 2023, Bavaria, Munich: Gold bars and coins lie on the table at the Precious metal dealership Pro Aurum. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa
FILED - 16 March 2023, Bavaria, Munich: Gold bars and coins lie on the table at the Precious metal dealership Pro Aurum. Photo: Sven Hoppe/dpa

Gold prices fell on Thursday, weighed down by increased expectations of US Federal Reserve rate hikes this year as elevated oil prices stoked inflation worries, with investors awaiting clarity on Middle East de-escalation efforts.

Spot gold fell 1.2% to $4,451.47 per ounce by 0811 GMT. US gold futures for April delivery lost 2.3% to $4,448.

"You're ‌seeing an ‌acceleration of the idea that... this war will ‌mean ⁠inflation and inflation ⁠will mean a response from central banks, which will mean higher interest rates," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

Brent crude futures climbed back above $100 a barrel on concerns that protracted fighting in the Middle East will further disrupt energy flows.

Higher crude prices tend to fuel inflation, and while rising inflation typically boosts gold's appeal ⁠as a hedge, high interest rates weigh on ‌demand for the non-yielding asset.

Markets see ‌a 37% chance of a US rate hike by December this year ‌with almost no chance of a cut now, according to ‌CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Before the conflict, markets were expecting at least two rate cuts.

US President Donald Trump said Iran was desperate to make a deal to end nearly four weeks of fighting, contradicting the Iranian foreign ‌minister who said his country was reviewing a US proposal but had no intention of holding talks ⁠to wind down ⁠the conflict.

"In the next 24 to 48 hours, (gold prices) will just be about reacting to headlines about negotiations," said Kyle Rodda, a senior financial market analyst at Capital.com.

"The really big moves will happen probably at the start of next week when it becomes clearer whether the US launches a ground invasion in Iran over the weekend."

Trump has vowed to hit Iran harder if Tehran fails to accept that the country has been "defeated militarily", White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt said on Wednesday.

Spot silver fell 2.7% to $69.36 per ounce. Spot platinum was down 2.3% at $1,874.90, while palladium dropped 2.5% to $1,387.53.


Oil Climbs and Equities Sink amid Mixed Messages on 'Talks'

FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
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Oil Climbs and Equities Sink amid Mixed Messages on 'Talks'

FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil refinery in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

Oil prices jumped and equities fell Thursday as investors tracked developments in the Middle East amid hopes that US and Iranian officials will bring an end to a conflict that has ramped up fears of an unprecedented global energy crisis.

Markets have been buoyed since late Monday after Donald Trump backed down on a threat to destroy Iran’s energy infrastructure and said the two sides were in peace talks.

But while crude prices are down from last week and the mood on trading floors has been better than most of March, uncertainty and the virtual closure of the Strait of Hormuz -- through which around 20 percent of oil and gas passes -- continue to cast a dark shadow.

Washington presented a 15-point plan to end the war, including Iran giving up its enriched uranium and opening up the waterway, while Tehran's state-run TV reported officials had put forward their own five conditions for hostilities to end.

Trump on Wednesday threatened to "unleash hell" if Iran did not strike a deal, but Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said his country does not intend to negotiate.

But the US president also said Iran was taking part in peace talks and the denials were because negotiators feared being killed by their own side.

"Pressure on energy prices, shipping flows and broader financial conditions remains one of the few meaningful sources of leverage (Iran) retains," said Saxo Markets' Charu Chanana.

"There is therefore little incentive to relinquish that leverage prematurely, particularly if market stress strengthens its negotiating position.

However, she added: "It would be imprudent to assume diplomacy is absent simply because it is not visible. In conflicts of this nature, public rhetoric and private negotiation often diverge materially.

"Markets understand this dynamic, and they also tend to inflect before the political endgame is formally in place."

With investors holding on to hope that a deal can be struck, oil prices have stabilized this week, with Brent just above $100 and WTI around $90.

Both contracts rallied Thursday.

Stocks in Wall Street and Europe rose but Asian markets struggled after a two-day rally.

Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai, Seoul, Sydney, Taipei, Singapore, Manila, Bangkok and Jakarta fell along with London, Paris and Frankfurt.

City Index's Fiona Cincotta said for any recovery to gain traction, "investors will want to see clearer signs of de-escalation, including the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz".

Her remarks come after the head of the International Chamber of Commerce, John Denton, warned the conflict could cause the "worst industrial crisis" in decades.

"The head of the International Energy Agency has warned that the world is facing an energy crisis more severe than the oil shocks of the 1970s," he added.

"From a business perspective, we believe this could yet become the worst industrial crisis in living memory."

Meanwhile, the World Trade Organization said disruptions to fertilizer supplies posed a double threat to global food security through scarcity and high prices, with a third of the global fertilizer supply normally transiting the Strait of Hormuz.