Britain's Pound, Stocks and Bonds Fall on Political Uncertainty, Global Inflation Angst

A view of 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 May 2026. EPA/NEIL HALL
A view of 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 May 2026. EPA/NEIL HALL
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Britain's Pound, Stocks and Bonds Fall on Political Uncertainty, Global Inflation Angst

A view of 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 May 2026. EPA/NEIL HALL
A view of 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 14 May 2026. EPA/NEIL HALL

British government bonds, stocks and sterling fell on Friday, as domestic political uncertainty clashed with global worries about an inflationary shock, leaving UK assets in the mire.

Sterling fell to a five-week low and is down almost 2% against the dollar this week, set for its biggest weekly drop since November 2024.

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer was in a battle to hold on to power after his health minister Wes Streeting resigned from government, while others positioned themselves to challenge his leadership, following disastrous local election results last week.

Markets are concerned that a ⁠new leader may ⁠be willing to loosen fiscal policy more, with British government borrowing costs up sharply again and UK bank stocks selling off on Friday.

Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has been offered a path for a possible leadership challenge after another Labour lawmaker said he would resign his parliamentary seat. If Burnham were to win the seat, he could then challenge for ⁠the party leadership.

"Market's fear is that Burnham would be more left leaning, and we could see further increase in deficits," Reuters quoted Jefferies economist Mohit Kumar as saying.

"Our base case is one of a managed exit for Starmer and Burnham likely becoming the next PM," he added.

The domestic political drama has coincided with another rise in energy prices on Friday and growing evidence that the economic damage from the Iran war is hurting.

US inflation data this week has shown consumers and factories are starting to see big increases in price pressures as a result of the war, which has ⁠pushed up the ⁠price of crude by over 50%.

The pound has tended to suffer against the dollar when tensions between Washington and Tehran flare or oil prices rise, given Britain's dependence on energy imports and the economy's sensitivity to higher fuel costs.

It was last down 0.3% on the day at $1.3364 after earlier touching $1.3335, its lowest level in over five weeks.

British bond yields jumped across the curve. The 10-year yield was last up almost 12 basis points (bps) at around 5.11%. Bond yields move inversely with prices.

Stocks also fell. The blue-chip FTSE 100 was last down 0.6%, while the more domestic-oriented FTSE 250 index of midcap stocks was down 1.1%.

UK banks were also down sharply, with Barclays and Lloyds down over 2% each.



Gold Retreats as Oil Rises and Inflation Fears Grow

Gold bangles on display at a jewelry shop in Varanasi, India (AFP)
Gold bangles on display at a jewelry shop in Varanasi, India (AFP)
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Gold Retreats as Oil Rises and Inflation Fears Grow

Gold bangles on display at a jewelry shop in Varanasi, India (AFP)
Gold bangles on display at a jewelry shop in Varanasi, India (AFP)

Gold prices slipped on Wednesday as escalating tensions in the Middle East continued to stoke inflation concerns, reinforcing expectations of higher US interest rates.

Spot gold fell 0.7% to $4,027.49 per ounce by 0843 GMT. Prices rose over 2% to a session high of $4,100.19 per ounce on Tuesday after soft US inflation data, Reuters reported.
US gold futures for August delivery slid 0.9% to $4,034.00.

Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps threatened ⁠to close all possible ⁠export corridors benefiting Washington, after Tehran shut the Strait of Hormuz and the US reimposed a naval blockade of Iranian ports. Oil edged higher after closing at a one-month high on Tuesday.

"Higher US crude, gasoline and diesel prices will result in high inflation numbers in ⁠the next print in August, that could keep the tone of some Fed officials on the hawkish side, which is not helping gold," said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

"In the near-term oil and US gasoline prices will continue to influence gold, as it remains a key driver of US inflation," Staunovo added.

Higher interest rates tend to weigh on gold, as they increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

Fed Chair Kevin Warsh told ⁠lawmakers ⁠on Tuesday the central bank had "no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation," hinting that the CPI data was not all swell.

Traders are pricing in about a 59% chance of a rate hike in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Investors now await the US Producer Price Index data due at 1230 GMT today for insights into inflation levels and the monetary policy outlook.

Among other metals, spot silver dipped 0.5% to $58.314 per ounce and platinum gained 0.2% to $1,634.36.

Palladium rose 0.8% to $1,315.05, after gaining 5% in the previous session.


Crude Shipments from Saudi Arabia's Yanbu Port Near Maximum Levels

King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
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Crude Shipments from Saudi Arabia's Yanbu Port Near Maximum Levels

King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (SPA)
King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, Saudi Arabia (SPA)

Daily crude loadings at Saudi Arabia's Red Sea port of Yanbu are close to maximum levels this week, according to data and industry sources.

Shipments from Yanbu reached 4.7 million barrels per day around July 13, up from 3.36 million bpd around July 10 and broadly in line with 4.6 million bpd around July 2, ⁠according to Signal Ocean data.

Loadings have averaged above four million bpd since June, compared with 973,000 bpd around the same period 2025, the data showed.

Kpler data also show daily loadings averaging around four million barrels in recent weeks.

Saudi Arabia has relied increasingly on Yanbu to export crude amid disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz during the US-Iran conflict.


BP Sees Boost from Energy Prices in Second Quarter, Expects Lower Net Debt

An illuminated BP logo is seen at a petrol station in Gateshead, Britain September 23, 2021. (Reuters)
An illuminated BP logo is seen at a petrol station in Gateshead, Britain September 23, 2021. (Reuters)
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BP Sees Boost from Energy Prices in Second Quarter, Expects Lower Net Debt

An illuminated BP logo is seen at a petrol station in Gateshead, Britain September 23, 2021. (Reuters)
An illuminated BP logo is seen at a petrol station in Gateshead, Britain September 23, 2021. (Reuters)

BP expects its oil trading result to be slightly higher in the second quarter after an exceptionally strong first quarter, as it continues to profit from a surge in oil prices caused by the Iran war.

The British major flagged higher oil realizations said stronger prices were expected to add a $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion boost to earnings in its oil production and operations business compared with the first quarter.

In its gas and low carbon energy segment, realizations are expected to add a further $500 million to $700 million, it said on Tuesday.

Gas trading results are expected to be broadly unchanged from the previous quarter.

Global benchmark Brent crude prices hit multi-year highs and averaged around $97 per barrel during the April-to-June quarter, up from around $78 in the first quarter and about $67 a year earlier.

BP said refining margins averaged $29.6 per barrel, versus $16.9 in the first quarter.

The company expects upstream production to fall in the second quarter to between 2.17 million and 2.22 million barrels of oil equivalent per day from around 2.34 million boed in the previous three months, due in part to the effects of the crisis.

BP expects net debt to stand at $22 billion to $23 billion at end-June, down from $25.3 billion at the end of March, with a target to reduce this further to $14 billion to $18 billion by the end of next year.

The company made a $2.9 billion payment to redeem €2.5 billion of perpetual hybrid bonds, leaving it with a total of about $13 billion outstanding. It also paid $1.1 billion in Gulf of Mexico settlement liabilities.

Overall, BP expects net debt, hybrid bonds and Gulf of Mexico settlement liabilities to decrease by around a combined $6.3 billion to $7.3 billion from the previous quarter.

Exploration write-offs are seen totaling around $500 million in the second quarter, primarily related to the sale of its stake in the Bay du Nord project offshore Canada.