Gold Races to All-time High above $3,500 on US Rate Cut Prospects

(FILES) Gold bullion can be seen after being removed from casts at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney on April 29, 2025. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP)
(FILES) Gold bullion can be seen after being removed from casts at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney on April 29, 2025. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP)
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Gold Races to All-time High above $3,500 on US Rate Cut Prospects

(FILES) Gold bullion can be seen after being removed from casts at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney on April 29, 2025. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP)
(FILES) Gold bullion can be seen after being removed from casts at the ABC Refinery smelter in Sydney on April 29, 2025. (Photo by DAVID GRAY / AFP)

Gold prices scaled the $3,500 per ounce level to hit a record high on Tuesday, as mounting expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut this month lifted demand for the precious metal.

Spot gold was steady at $3,476.48 per ounce as of 0947 GMT, after hitting a record high of $3,508.50 earlier in the session. Bullion has gained 32% so far this year.

US gold futures for December delivery gained 0.9% to $3,546.80.

"Gold's rally is set to be heavily influenced by how much the Fed's rate-cutting path adheres to market projections," said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Nemo.money.

"It still enjoys enough fundamental tailwinds, from central bank purchases to safe-haven demand - especially if trade tariffs take a meaningful toll on global economic growth - going into next year," he added.

Traders are currently pricing in a 90% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut on September 17, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Non-yielding gold typically performs well in a low-interest-rate environment, reported Reuters.

Long regarded as a dependable hedge against geopolitical and economic turmoil, gold has rallied to multiple record highs in 2025, drawing support from ongoing central bank buying amid a move away from the US dollar, strong safe-haven demand in light of geopolitical and trade uncertainty, plus broad dollar weakness, analysts say. Spot gold prices rose 27% in 2024, and broke the $3,000 per ounce level for the first time in March this year as uncertainty around US President Donald Trump's trade policies sent investors flocking to the safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, Trump has criticized the Fed and its chair, Jerome Powell, for months for not lowering interest rates.

Investors are now looking forward to the US nonfarm payrolls data due on Friday to determine the size of an expected Fed rate cut later this month.

"All the indicators - fundamental and technical - point toward a sustained rally. As always, we might not go up in a straight line, but we are in 'buy the dip' mode... plus, gold remains an uncorrelated asset to stocks, real estate, and credit," said Hugo Pascal, a precious metals trader at InProved.

SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, said its holdings rose 1.01% to 977.68 tons on Friday - its highest level since August 2022.

In a quarterly Reuters poll conducted in July, analysts forecast gold would average $3,220 in 2025, up from January's estimate of $2,756/oz.

Spot silver was down 0.7% at $40.39 per ounce, after hitting its highest since September 2011 in the previous session.

Platinum lost 0.9% to $1,386.40 and palladium fell 1.5% to $1,120.54.



Gold Bounces Back on Softer Dollar, US-Iran Concerns; Silver Rebounds

Gold and silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth
Gold and silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth
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Gold Bounces Back on Softer Dollar, US-Iran Concerns; Silver Rebounds

Gold and silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth
Gold and silver bars are stacked in the safe deposit boxes room of the Pro Aurum gold house in Munich, Germany, January 10, 2025. REUTERS/Angelika Warmuth

Gold rebounded on Friday and was set for a weekly gain, helped by bargain hunting, a slightly weaker dollar and lingering concerns over US-Iran talks in Oman, while silver recovered from a 1-1/2-month low.

Spot gold rose 3.1% to $4,916.98 per ounce by 09:31 a.m. ET (1431 GMT), recouping losses posted during a volatile Asia session that followed a fall of 3.9% on Thursday. Bullion was headed for a weekly gain of about 1.3%.

US gold futures for April delivery gained 1% to $4,939.70 per ounce.

The US dollar index fell 0.3%, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for the overseas buyers.

"The gold market is seeing perceived bargain hunting from bullish traders," said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals.

Iran and the US started high-stakes negotiations via Omani mediation on Friday to try to overcome sharp differences over Tehran's nuclear program.

Wyckoff said gold's rebound lacks momentum and the metal is unlikely to break records without a major geopolitical trigger.

Gold, a traditional safe haven, does well in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty.

Spot silver rose 5.3% to $74.98 an ounce after dipping below $65 earlier, but was still headed for its biggest weekly drop since 2011, down over 10.6%, following steep losses last week as well.

"What we're seeing in silver is huge speculation on the long side," said Wyckoff, adding that after years in a boom cycle, gold and silver now appear to be entering a typical commodity bust phase.

CME Group raised margin requirements for gold and silver futures for a third time in two weeks on Thursday to curb risks from heightened market volatility.

Spot platinum added 3.2% to $2,052 per ounce, while palladium gained 4.9% to $1,695.18. Both were down for the week.


Europe, Türkiye Agree to Work Toward Updating Customs Union

European Union (R) and Turkish flags fly at the business and financial district of Levent in Istanbul, Türkiye September 4, 2017. REUTERS/Osman Orsal
European Union (R) and Turkish flags fly at the business and financial district of Levent in Istanbul, Türkiye September 4, 2017. REUTERS/Osman Orsal
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Europe, Türkiye Agree to Work Toward Updating Customs Union

European Union (R) and Turkish flags fly at the business and financial district of Levent in Istanbul, Türkiye September 4, 2017. REUTERS/Osman Orsal
European Union (R) and Turkish flags fly at the business and financial district of Levent in Istanbul, Türkiye September 4, 2017. REUTERS/Osman Orsal

The European enlargement chief and the Turkish foreign minister said on Friday they had agreed to continue work toward modernizing the EU-Türkiye customs union and to improve its implementation, Reuters reported.

European Commissioner for Enlargement Marta Kos met Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in the capital Ankara on Friday.

"They shared a willingness to work for paving the way for the modernization of the Customs Union and to achieve its full potential in order to support competitiveness, and economic security and resilience for both sides," they said in a joint statement afterward.

The sides also welcomed the gradual resumption of European Investment Bank (EIB) operations in Türkiye and said they intended to support projects across the country and neighbouring regions in cooperation with the bank.


Bitcoin Falls 8% and Asian Shares Mostly Slip after Wall Street is Hit by Tech Stock Losses

FILE PHOTO: Representation of Bitcoin cryptocurrency in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Representation of Bitcoin cryptocurrency in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Bitcoin Falls 8% and Asian Shares Mostly Slip after Wall Street is Hit by Tech Stock Losses

FILE PHOTO: Representation of Bitcoin cryptocurrency in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Representation of Bitcoin cryptocurrency in this illustration taken September 10, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

US futures and Asian shares traded mostly lower on Friday, tracking Wall Street’s losses as technology stocks again dragged on markets.

Bitcoin sank to roughly half its record price, giving back all it gained since US President Donald Trump won the White House for his second term.

Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 was up 0.8% to 54,253.68, recovering from losses earlier this week, with technology-related stocks leading gains. SoftBank Group rose 2.2% and chipmaker Tokyo Electron rose 2.6%. Japan will also be holding its general election on Sunday, in which Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi expects to win a stronger public mandate for her policies.

Shares of Toyota Motor were up 2%. The carmaker said Friday its CEO Koji Sato will be stepping down in April, and is to be replaced by Chief Financial Officer Kenta Kon, The Associated Press said.

South Korea’s Kospi lost 1.4% to 5,089.14, weighed down by tech shares. Samsung Electronics, the country’s biggest listed company, fell 0.4%. Chipmaker SK Hynix was also down 0.4%.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng fell 1.4% to 26,519.60. The Shanghai Composite index was down 0.3% to 4,065.58.

In Australia, the S&P/ASX 200 shed 2% to 8,708.80.

Taiwan’s Taiex was mostly flat. India's Sensex traded 0.1% lower.

Against the backdrop of the technology sell-off this week, bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency, saw dimming enthusiasm and was trading about 8% lower at just under $65,000 early Friday, after it briefly sank over 12% to below $64,000 on Thursday. That’s down from a record of above $124,000 in October.

The future for the S&P 500 was 0.2% lower, while that for the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1%.

On Thursday, the S&P 500 fell 1.2% to 6,798.40, its sixth loss in the seven days. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.2% to 48,908.72. The Nasdaq composite dropped 1.6% to 22,540.59.

Technology stocks were among the worst hit as concerns persist over whether massive AI investments by many of the Big Tech firms will pay off.

Chipmaker Qualcomm sank 8.5% despite better-than-expected quarterly revenues. Alphabet lost 0.5% as investors were focused on its huge spendings on AI.

Amazon fell 11% in after hours trading Thursday after it announced plans to boost capital spending by more than 50% to $200 billion in AI and other areas.

American artificial intelligence startup Anthropic ’s new AI tools also fueled the sell-off of software stocks on Wall Street this week, as its sophistication means many traditional software development services and products could be disrupted or replaced.

Gold and silver prices have been volatile this week following a monthslong rally as investors moved into safe haven assets prompted by factors including elevated geopolitical tensions. Gold prices fell 0.6% on Friday to $4,858.60 per ounce, after nearing $5,600 last week.

Silver prices dropped 5.5% to $72.52 per ounce after rising earlier this week. It lost more than 31% last Friday.

In other dealings early Friday, US benchmark crude oil gained 35 cents to $63.64 a barrel. Brent crude, the international standard, rose 36 cents to $67.91 a barrel.

The US dollar fell to 156.74 Japanese yen from 157.03 yen. The euro was trading at $1.1789, up from $1.1777.