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Oil Gains on Prospect of More Sanctions on Russia; OPEC+ Output Hike Seen Modest

FILED - 16 August 2019, Emlichheim: Pump jacks operate at Wintershall Dea premises. Photo: Mohssen Assanimoghaddam/dpa
FILED - 16 August 2019, Emlichheim: Pump jacks operate at Wintershall Dea premises. Photo: Mohssen Assanimoghaddam/dpa
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Oil Gains on Prospect of More Sanctions on Russia; OPEC+ Output Hike Seen Modest

FILED - 16 August 2019, Emlichheim: Pump jacks operate at Wintershall Dea premises. Photo: Mohssen Assanimoghaddam/dpa
FILED - 16 August 2019, Emlichheim: Pump jacks operate at Wintershall Dea premises. Photo: Mohssen Assanimoghaddam/dpa

Oil prices climbed more than $1 on Monday, regaining some of last week's losses, helped by the prospect of more sanctions on Russian crude after an overnight strike on Ukraine.

OPEC+ flagged plans to further increase production from October but the amount was modest.

Brent crude climbed $1.24, or 1.9%, to $66.74 a barrel by 0640 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.17, or 1.9%, to $63.04 a barrel.

Both benchmarks fell more than 2% on Friday as a weak US jobs report dimmed the outlook for energy demand. They lost more than 3% last week.

OPEC+, which includes the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries plus Russia and other allies, agreed on Sunday to further raise oil production from October.

OPEC+ has been increasing production since April after years of cuts to support the oil market. The latest decision comes despite a likely looming oil glut in the northern hemisphere winter months.

Eight members of OPEC+ will lift production from October by 137,000 barrels per day. That, however, is much lower than increases of about 555,000 bpd for September and August and 411,000 bpd in July and June.

"The oil market was supported by relief over OPEC+'s modest output hike and a technical bounce following last week's decline," said Toshitaka Tazawa, an analyst at Fujitomi Securities, adding the OPEC+ output hike had been priced in since last week.

"Expectations of tighter supply from potential new US sanctions on Russia are also lending support," he said.

US President Donald Trump said on Sunday he is ready to move to a second phase of sanctioning Russia, the closest he has come to suggesting he is on the verge of ramping up sanctions against Moscow or its oil buyers over the war in Ukraine.

New sanctions on buyers of Russian oil could disrupt crude flows, energy trader Gunvor's global head of research and analysis, Frederic Lasserre, said on Monday.

Russia launched its largest air attack of the war on Ukraine, setting the main government building on fire in central Kyiv and killing at least four people, Ukrainian officials said on Sunday.

Trump said on Sunday that individual European leaders would visit the United States on Monday and Tuesday to discuss how to resolve the Russia-Ukraine war.

"Buying emerged as the OPEC+ output increase was smaller than anticipated, while fading prospects for peace in the Russia-Ukraine war and views that Russian oil won't flood the market also supported prices," said Satoru Yoshida, a commodity analyst with Rakuten Securities.

In a note over the weekend, Goldman Sachs said it expects a slightly larger oil surplus in 2026 as supply upgrades in the Americas outweigh a downgrade to Russia supply and stronger global demand. It left its Brent/WTI price forecast unchanged for 2025 and projected the 2026 average at $56/$52 a barrel.

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EU and Mercosur Sign Trade Deal after 25 Years of Negotiations

Panama's President Jose Raul Mulino, from left, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz, European Council President Antonio Costa, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Paraguay's President Santiago Pena, Argentina's President Javier Milei, Uruguay's President Yamandu Orsi and Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs Mauro Vieira, pose for a group photo during a meeting to sign a free trade deal between the European Union and Mercosur in Asuncion, Paraguay, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Jorge Saenz)
Panama's President Jose Raul Mulino, from left, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz, European Council President Antonio Costa, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Paraguay's President Santiago Pena, Argentina's President Javier Milei, Uruguay's President Yamandu Orsi and Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs Mauro Vieira, pose for a group photo during a meeting to sign a free trade deal between the European Union and Mercosur in Asuncion, Paraguay, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Jorge Saenz)
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EU and Mercosur Sign Trade Deal after 25 Years of Negotiations

Panama's President Jose Raul Mulino, from left, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz, European Council President Antonio Costa, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Paraguay's President Santiago Pena, Argentina's President Javier Milei, Uruguay's President Yamandu Orsi and Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs Mauro Vieira, pose for a group photo during a meeting to sign a free trade deal between the European Union and Mercosur in Asuncion, Paraguay, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Jorge Saenz)
Panama's President Jose Raul Mulino, from left, Bolivian President Rodrigo Paz, European Council President Antonio Costa, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, Paraguay's President Santiago Pena, Argentina's President Javier Milei, Uruguay's President Yamandu Orsi and Brazilian Minister of Foreign Affairs Mauro Vieira, pose for a group photo during a meeting to sign a free trade deal between the European Union and Mercosur in Asuncion, Paraguay, Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Jorge Saenz)

Top officials from the EU and the South American bloc Mercosur signed a free trade agreement on Saturday in Paraguay, ⁠paving the way for the European Union's largest ever trade accord after 25 years of negotiations.

The agreement, ⁠which has been highly contested in Europe, must now gain the consent of the European Parliament. It also must be ratified by legislatures of Mercosur members ⁠Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay, which is expected to be a smoother process.

The signing ceremony in Paraguay’s humid capital of Asunción marks a major geopolitical victory for the EU in an age of American tariffs and surging Chinese exports, expanding the bloc’s foothold in a resource-rich region increasingly contested by Washington and Beijing.

It also sends a message that South America cultivates diverse trade and diplomatic relations even as US President Donald Trump declares dominance in the Western Hemisphere.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President Antonio Costa joined the presidents of Mercosur countries at Saturday's ceremony, with the exception of Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, who sent his foreign minister.

The ⁠deal was signed after receiving the green light from most European nations last week, despite concerns from farmer and environmental groups, who fear a surge of inexpensive South American imports and increased deforestation.

Von der Leyen, who met with Lula before heading to Asuncion for the signing, said the deal would create the largest free trade zone in the world.

"This agreement sends a very strong message to the world. ⁠It reflects a clear and deliberate choice. We choose fair trade over tariffs. We choose a productive, long-term partnership over isolation," she said on Saturday.

Trade between the two blocs, which encompasses a market of 700 million people, reached a value of 111 billion euros in 2024. European Union exports mainly consist of machinery, chemical products, and transport equipment, whereas Mercosur's exports are concentrated in agricultural goods, minerals, wood pulp, and paper.

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Trump: 8 EU Countries will be Charged 10% Tariff for Opposing US Control of Greenland

A military vessel HDMS Knud Rasmussen of the Royal Danish Navy docked in Nuuk, Greenland, on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Evgeniy Maloletka)
A military vessel HDMS Knud Rasmussen of the Royal Danish Navy docked in Nuuk, Greenland, on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Evgeniy Maloletka)
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Trump: 8 EU Countries will be Charged 10% Tariff for Opposing US Control of Greenland

A military vessel HDMS Knud Rasmussen of the Royal Danish Navy docked in Nuuk, Greenland, on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Evgeniy Maloletka)
A military vessel HDMS Knud Rasmussen of the Royal Danish Navy docked in Nuuk, Greenland, on Saturday, Jan. 17, 2026. (AP Photo/Evgeniy Maloletka)

President Donald Trump said Saturday that he would charge a 10% import tax starting in February on goods from eight European nations because of opposition to US control of Greenland.

He said in a social media post that Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Finland would face the tariff, which would be raised to 25% on June 1 if a deal is not in place for “the Complete and Total purchase of Greenland” by the United States.

Earlier Saturday, hundreds of people in Greenland's capital braved near-freezing temperatures, rain and icy streets to march in a rally in support of their own self-governance in the face of threats of an American takeover.

The Greenlanders waved their red-and-white national flags and listened to traditional songs as they walked through Nuuk's small downtown. Some carried signs with messages like “We shape our future,” “Greenland is not for sale” and “Greenland is already GREAT.” They were joined by thousands of others in rallies across the Danish kingdom.

Meanwhile, Danish Maj. Gen. Søren Andersen, leader of the Joint Arctic Command, told The Associated Press that Denmark doesn't expect the US military to attack Greenland, or any other NATO ally, and that European troops were recently deployed to Nuuk for Arctic defense training.

“I will not go into the political part, but I will say that I would never expect a NATO country to attack another NATO country,” he told the AP on Saturday aboard a Danish military vessel docked in Nuuk. “For us, for me, it’s not about signaling. It is actually about training military units, working together with allies.”

Trump has insisted for months that the US should control Greenland, a semiautonomous territory of NATO ally Denmark, and said earlier this week that anything less than the Arctic island being in US hands would be “unacceptable.”

During an unrelated event at the White House about rural health care, he recounted Friday how he had threatened European allies with tariffs on pharmaceuticals.

“I may do that for Greenland, too,” Trump said, before his announcement Saturday about his targeted tariffs. “I may put a tariff on countries if they don’t go along with Greenland, because we need Greenland for national security. So I may do that."

He had not previously mentioned using tariffs to try to force the issue.

Business

High-Ranking Saudi Delegation to Attend World Economic Forum Meeting in Davos

FILED - 23 January 2020, Switzerland, Davos: The World Economic Forum logo is displayed on a board during a plenary session. Photo: Ciaran McCrickard/World Economic Forum/dpa
FILED - 23 January 2020, Switzerland, Davos: The World Economic Forum logo is displayed on a board during a plenary session. Photo: Ciaran McCrickard/World Economic Forum/dpa
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High-Ranking Saudi Delegation to Attend World Economic Forum Meeting in Davos

FILED - 23 January 2020, Switzerland, Davos: The World Economic Forum logo is displayed on a board during a plenary session. Photo: Ciaran McCrickard/World Economic Forum/dpa
FILED - 23 January 2020, Switzerland, Davos: The World Economic Forum logo is displayed on a board during a plenary session. Photo: Ciaran McCrickard/World Economic Forum/dpa

A high-ranking Saudi delegation led by Minister of Foreign Affairs Prince Faisal bin Farhan bin Abdullah will participate in the World Economic Forum (WEF) Annual Meeting 2026 in Davos, Switzerland, from January 19 to 23.

Alongside Prince Saisal, the delegation includes Saudi Ambassador to the US Princess Reema bint Bandar bin Sultan bin Abdulaziz, Minister of Commerce Majid Al-Kassabi, Minister of Tourism Ahmed Al-Khateeb, Minister of Investment Khalid Al-Falih, Minister of Finance Mohammed Aljadaan, Minister of Communications and Information Technology Abdullah Alswaha, Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Bandar Alkhorayef, and Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim.

Prince Faisal affirmed that the Kingdom’s participation in the World Economic Forum 2026, themed "A Spirit of Dialogue," demonstrates its commitment to international cooperation in addressing economic challenges.

He stressed the importance of maintaining regional peace, supporting sustainable development, and enhancing global economic partnerships.

In a statement to the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), Prince Faisal also highlighted the importance of public-private collaboration to achieve prosperity and security.

He noted that the Kingdom is broadening cooperation with international partners to better confront economic and environmental challenges while focusing on building institutional and human capacities to adapt to rapid transformations.

Prince Faisal stated that the Kingdom views the Davos 2026 forum as a vital opportunity to strengthen cooperation in building institutional and human capacities, essential pillars for adapting to rapid global economic shifts.

Saudi Arabia is focused on developing innovative solutions in technology and scientific research, he said.

As for Aljadaan, he affirmed that Saudi Arabia's participation in the 56th World Economic Forum stems from its commitment to strengthening international cooperation and addressing global economic challenges.

In a statement to SPA, Aljadaan pointed to the Kingdom's growing influence in shaping global economic trends, driven by its robust economy and regional and international standing.

He emphasized that the Kingdom will use this platform, which brings together government, business, and academic leaders, to explore ways to promote global stability and growth.

The minister stated that this year's forum focuses on five key global challenges: building trust and cooperation, identifying new drivers for sustainable growth, investing in human capital, ensuring the responsible use of technology and innovation, and integrating environmental sustainability into economic models. Discussions will also cover the impacts of artificial intelligence, digital transformation, and cybersecurity on global industries.

Alibrahim said the Kingdom's participation reinforces Saudi Arabia's position as an active partner in advancing comprehensive development and innovative solutions to global challenges, ensuring sustainable growth and prosperity at the local, regional, and international levels.

He told SPA that the forum will spotlight key themes aimed at institutionalizing international cooperation through participatory economic models that sustain transformative growth. He highlighted the Kingdom's success in creating new growth engines and building a robust, productive base driven by investment in strategic sectors and activities with high-quality economic returns.

Alibrahim noted that over the past five years, 74 out of 81 non-oil economic activities recorded annual growth exceeding 5%, with 38 achieving growth of more than 10%, reflecting a genuine expansion of the Kingdom's productive base.

The minister emphasized that the Kingdom's participation goes beyond mere representation, involving active contribution to advancing cooperation and strengthening the resilience of the global economy, particularly by balancing development expansion with responsible innovation policies.

Al-Khateeb also affirmed that Saudi Arabia's participation in the 2026 World Economic Forum aligns with its leadership in strengthening international cooperation and building partnerships that translate dialogue into tangible results.

Al-Khateeb told SPA that this participation extends the Kingdom's approach to opening joint investment opportunities in vital sectors, particularly tourism. He noted that Saudi Arabia has become a new global tourism powerhouse and a rapidly developing model for creating competitive destinations, reflecting its growing prominence on the international map.

Participation in Davos will highlight the importance of developing tourism experiences and service quality to ensure sustainable growth that balances high demand with added value, while preserving cultural identity and natural resources, the minister added.

As for Alswaha, he said the Kingdom’s participation is supported and enabled by Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud and Prince Mohammed bin Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud, Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister, and embodies the Kingdom's leadership in fostering shared solutions and strengthening global dialogue on technological innovation and sustainable growth, in alignment with the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030.

In a statement to SPA, the minister explained that the Kingdom's participation aims to convey its national experience in transitioning to the smart era and showcase its notable achievements in building a competitive, technology- and AI-driven economy. It also seeks to broaden international cooperation and open new pathways for partnerships and investments with leading global technology companies and private-sector leaders.