Gulf Leadership in Artificial Intelligence Spurs Lebanon’s Private Sector

Lebanon ranks 82nd globally in the 2024 Government AI Readiness Index (Lebanon AI Conference)
Lebanon ranks 82nd globally in the 2024 Government AI Readiness Index (Lebanon AI Conference)
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Gulf Leadership in Artificial Intelligence Spurs Lebanon’s Private Sector

Lebanon ranks 82nd globally in the 2024 Government AI Readiness Index (Lebanon AI Conference)
Lebanon ranks 82nd globally in the 2024 Government AI Readiness Index (Lebanon AI Conference)

Lebanon is joining the global artificial-intelligence wave, albeit with limited resources and mostly private initiatives, at a time when Gulf states are leading the region in deploying AI to boost national economies.

Expectations point to long-term, exceptional growth in this promising sector, which is attracting sizable investments aimed at modernizing societies and enhancing performance across both productive sectors and public services.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, AI specialist Hilda Maalouf noted that Gulf governments and private industries are moving in tandem to integrate AI across their systems.

She highlighted the region’s strong readiness, supported by major government-backed investments in advanced technologies and fast-expanding data-center infrastructure, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Lebanon, by contrast, faces deep structural hurdles, especially in the public sector. Still, Maalouf, an Oxford-certified AI expert, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the country retains a dynamic private sector and high-caliber talent striving to stay competitive in IT and AI, despite crippling power outages and a weak internet network that has stalled the rollout of 5G.

According to Omar Hallak, partner and head of the public-sector practice at global data and AI consultancy Artefact, the Gulf’s ambitious national strategies have put it far ahead of other regional countries.

Readiness rankings confirm this: the UAE ranks 13th globally in the 2024 Government AI Readiness Index, followed by Saudi Arabia (22nd) and Qatar (32nd). Lebanon stands at 82nd worldwide.

These disparities, Hallak explained, reflect the widening gap between Gulf economies -now reaping the rewards of sustained tech investment - and countries like Lebanon, whose digital infrastructure and economic crises continue to hinder progress. Despite strong local talent and emerging startups, Lebanon’s AI transition remains slow due to limited government support and weak investment.

Gulf states have forged strategic partnerships with global tech giants such as Microsoft and OpenAI, attracting major cloud-computing providers to build advanced infrastructure.

Their remaining challenge is a shortage in national technical skills, where Lebanon, ironically, excels. Yet Lebanon continues to lose talent to migration while lacking the infrastructure to retain it.

Most Gulf strategies now focus on attracting global experts in data science and AI, in addition to training local citizens. Saudi Arabia aims to train 20,000 specialists by 2030, while leading universities, including King Saud University and the Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence, are expanding AI programs.

Economically, AI is expected to add $260 billion to Gulf economies by 2030, with Saudi Arabia alone projected to gain $135 billion (12.4% of GDP) and the UAE about $96 billion (13.6%). The World Economic Forum reports that Gulf economic prospects already outpace global averages, driven by technological transformation.

According to analysts, AI adoption will enhance productivity, reduce bureaucracy and corruption, and stimulate public–private partnerships. Gulf states are particularly well-positioned in finance, energy, health care, and education. In Lebanon, AI’s most promising impact lies in service-based sectors such as tourism, transport, finance, education, and health.

Hallak added that sectors rich in data, including public services, finance, energy, manufacturing, and telecommunications, will be the primary drivers of AI adoption across the region, especially in economies where energy and natural resources remain central to growth.



Norway's Sovereign Fund Proposes Deep Cuts to US Treasury Holdings

A general view of the Norwegian central bank in Oslo, Norway March 6, 2018. Picture taken March 6, 2018. REUTERS/Gwladys Fouche
A general view of the Norwegian central bank in Oslo, Norway March 6, 2018. Picture taken March 6, 2018. REUTERS/Gwladys Fouche
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Norway's Sovereign Fund Proposes Deep Cuts to US Treasury Holdings

A general view of the Norwegian central bank in Oslo, Norway March 6, 2018. Picture taken March 6, 2018. REUTERS/Gwladys Fouche
A general view of the Norwegian central bank in Oslo, Norway March 6, 2018. Picture taken March 6, 2018. REUTERS/Gwladys Fouche

The manager of Norway's $2.3 trillion sovereign wealth fund has proposed significantly cutting its exposure to US Treasuries as part of a wider shake-up of its bond investments to improve returns, according to a letter published this week.

Norges Bank Investment Management has recommended reducing its weighting to government bonds within its benchmark bond index to 50% from 70%, with US Treasuries, the biggest holding, getting the biggest cut, according to the letter.

The changes would mean cutting nearly $80 billion from the fund's current holdings of about $215 billion of US Treasuries as of the end of June, according to Reuters calculations.

Government bond markets have been under pressure recently, with long-term borrowing costs soaring as rising inflation and government debt levels spooked investors.

Norway's sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest, owns on average 1.5% of ⁠all listed companies ⁠globally. Its scale means that portfolio decisions can influence broader market flows. Any cuts to its bond holdings are unlikely to be implemented until several months into 2027 at the earliest.

The letter containing the fund's proposals was sent in response to questions from Norway's finance ministry about the wealth fund's investment strategy for bonds.

Norges Bank IM said it would await the ministry's response, and any changes would be done gradually to limit market impact and transaction costs.

The proposals will form part of recommendations to the ministry in January.

They will be discussed ⁠as part of the fund's annual white paper process next spring, after which the ministry will make a final recommendation to parliament which will then hold a hearing, a Norges Bank IM spokesperson said.

"We recommend that the government subindex of the bond index be reduced from 70% to 50%," Ida Wolden Bache, governor of Norges Bank, and Norges Bank IM CEO Nicolai Tangen wrote in the letter.

"A government share of 50% will be sufficient to cover the liquidity needs, including in periods of turbulence in financial markets."

The fund also proposed considering an increase in investments in unlisted assets in a separate letter, in part as a way to reduce concentration risks that have grown in its equity portfolio amid the boom in the share prices of a handful of US tech companies.

Under its current mandate the fund can own unlisted real estate and renewable energy assets, but it has a lower share of unlisted investments ⁠than comparable funds.

Norges Bank IM said the biggest change to its bond index would be investing in more non-government debt, including mortgage-backed securities, to give it better diversification and exposure to risk premiums.

The spokesperson said total US dollar exposure would remain around 50%, adding: "What changes is the mix inside the dollar market: less US government debt, correspondingly more US mortgage and government-related bonds."

Under the proposals, the bond index weighting to US government bonds would reduce from 34.1% to 21.9%, according to the letter, with the allocation to euro area debt falling more modestly from 16.8% to 14.1%.

The allocation to Japanese government bonds would increase from 4.6% to 7.4%, while the UK allocation would remain unchanged at 4.2%. The fund said the changes would align the index more closely with the broader market weightings.

While US Treasuries exposure would fall, the proposed allocation to US non-government debt would jump from 16.2% to 27.6%, meaning that the overall bond index's weighting to the US dollar would fall only slightly, from 52.9% to 52.5%.

Europe's biggest pension fund, Dutch fund ABP, cut the value of its own US Treasury holdings in the first quarter of this year, Reuters previously reported.


J.P. Morgan, BNP Paribas Forecast December ECB Rate Hike

FILE PHOTO: The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
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J.P. Morgan, BNP Paribas Forecast December ECB Rate Hike

FILE PHOTO: The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: The logo of the European Central Bank (ECB) is pictured outside its headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, April 26, 2018. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach/File Photo

J.P. Morgan and BNP Paribas said on Thursday they expect the European Central Bank to deliver another 25-basis-point rate hike in December, as persistent inflation risks and elevated energy prices strengthen the case for further tightening.

Both brokerages had previously expected the ECB's tightening cycle to end without a December rate increase.

The revised outlooks suggest borrowing costs in the euro zone will remain elevated for longer than previously anticipated, reflecting resilient regional economic ⁠growth and ongoing energy ⁠supply concerns.

"We think the persistence of the energy shock and the resilience of the economy make second-round effects more likely to materialize," said analysts at BNP Paribas in a note.

Markets have almost fully priced in ⁠a 25-basis-point interest rate hike by the European Central Bank at its September 10 policy meeting, indicating a 99.2% probability, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Oil prices eased but remained above $95 a barrel. At the same time, eurozone bond yields retreated from multiyear highs, following recent market pressure as the escalating conflict in Iran boosted energy prices, stoking fears of persistent inflation and ⁠tighter ⁠monetary policy.

According to Reuters, J.P. Morgan said "an interaction between more persistent energy price pressures, solid growth, sticky core inflation and a neutral rate that the ECB sees edging higher" would be the reason for a further rate hike in December.

BNP Paribas expects the ECB to hike interest rates by 25 bps at its meeting next week while leaving the door wide open to delivering more if evidence of second-round effects builds.


US Sanctions Turkish Bank Golden Global Over Alleged Iran Links

ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA - SEPTEMBER 1: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives for a press conference as the 2026 G20 Financial meetings come to a close on September 1, 2026 in Asheville, North Carolina. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images/AFPages via AFP)
ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA - SEPTEMBER 1: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives for a press conference as the 2026 G20 Financial meetings come to a close on September 1, 2026 in Asheville, North Carolina. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images/AFPages via AFP)
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US Sanctions Turkish Bank Golden Global Over Alleged Iran Links

ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA - SEPTEMBER 1: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives for a press conference as the 2026 G20 Financial meetings come to a close on September 1, 2026 in Asheville, North Carolina. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images/AFPages via AFP)
ASHEVILLE, NORTH CAROLINA - SEPTEMBER 1: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent arrives for a press conference as the 2026 G20 Financial meetings come to a close on September 1, 2026 in Asheville, North Carolina. Melissa Sue Gerrits/Getty Images/AFPages via AFP)

The US Treasury Department on Friday imposed sanctions on a Turkish bank over its alleged ties to Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), as Washington pushes to economically isolate Tehran six months into their war. 

The latest action targets Golden Global Bank and its subsidiaries, which the US Treasury said "facilitated tens of millions of dollars' worth of transactions" for the IRGC. 

They were also said to have provided Tehran with "key correspondent banking access that allows it to move its funds internationally." 

The bank denied the accusations, saying it "has not concluded any banking transactions that could substantiate" the claims by the US government. 

The institution, which describes itself as "the first investment bank in Türkiye that observes the principles of interest-free banking in all its operations," said it respects "all applicable local and international banking regulations, practices and compliance requirements." 

Last week, Washington took a step towards cutting a major Egyptian bank's United Arab Emirates operations from the US financial system. 

"Financial institutions continue to find out the hard way that we are serious about Operation Economic Outcast," said US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in a statement. 

"While we hope no more banks will need to be sanctioned, that ultimately depends on how quickly the international community comes to its senses and ceases support of the murderous Iranian regime," he added. 

Bessent had said Tuesday that Washington would likely announce a bank sanction this week and one next week, as it tries to choke off Tehran economically. 

He was speaking on the sidelines of a Group of 20 finance leaders' gathering in Asheville, North Carolina, where he also sought to rally support from partners to put pressure on Iran. 

Iran has been at war since late February, when the United States and Israel launched a surprise bombing campaign that killed its supreme leader. 

Bessent recently vowed that the United States was declaring an "economic D-Day" on Iran, and warned of harsh consequences for countries that do not join the campaign.