How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
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How 2025 Decisions Redrew the Future of Riyadh’s Real Estate Market

Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)
Construction is seen at a real estate project in Riyadh. (SPA)

The Saudi capital underwent an unprecedented structural shift in its real estate market in 2025, driven by a forward-looking agenda led by Prince Mohammed bin Salman, Crown Prince and Prime Minister. Far from incremental regulation, the year’s measures amounted to a deep corrective overhaul aimed at dismantling long-standing distortions, breaking land hoarding, expanding affordable housing supply, and firmly rebalancing landlord-tenant relations.

Together, the decisions ended years of speculation fueled by artificial scarcity and pushed the market toward maturity, one grounded in real demand, fair pricing, and transparency.

Observers dubbed 2025 a “white revolution” for Saudi real estate. The reforms severed the link between property and short-term speculation, restoring housing as a sustainable residential and investment product. Below is a detailed outline of the most significant of these historic decisions:

1- Unlocking land, boosting supply

In March, authorities lifted restrictions on sale, subdivision, development permits, and planning approvals for 81 million square meters north of Riyadh. A similar decision in October freed another 33.24 million square meters to the west.

The Royal Commission for Riyadh City was also mandated to deliver 10,000 - 40,000 fully serviced plots annually at subsidized prices capped at SAR 1,500 per square meter, curbing price manipulation and offering real alternatives for citizens.

2- Rent controls and contractual fairness

To stabilize households and businesses, the government froze annual rent increases for residential and commercial leases in Riyadh for five years starting in September. Enforced through the upgraded “Ejar” platform, the move halted arbitrary hikes while aligning growth with residents’ quality of life.

3- Tougher fees

An improved White Land Tax took effect in August, extending beyond vacant plots to include unoccupied built properties. Annual fees rose to as much as 10% of land value for parcels of 5,000 square meters or more within urban limits, raising the cost of land hoarding and incentivizing prompt development.

4- Investment openness and digital governance

A revised foreign ownership regime allowed non-Saudis - individuals and companies - to own property in designated zones under strict criteria, injecting international liquidity. Transparency was reinforced by the launch of the “Real Estate Balance” platform, providing real-time price indicators based on actual transactions and curbing phantom pricing.

5- Quality and urban standards

Policy shifted from quantity to quality with mandatory application of the Saudi Building Code and sustainability standards for all new developments, ensuring long-term operational value and preventing low-quality sprawl.

Structural shift

Sector specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat the measures represent a qualitative leap in market management, moving Riyadh from a scarcity and speculation-led cycle to a balanced market governed by genuine demand, efficient land use, disciplined contracts, and transparent indicators.

Khaled Al-Mobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., said the reforms were timely and corrective after years of rapid price escalation. He noted early positives: slowing price growth, a return to realistic negotiations, increased supply in some districts, and better-quality offerings focused on intrinsic value rather than quick appreciation.

Abdullah Al-Moussa, a real estate expert and broker, described the steps as addressing root causes, not symptoms.

He observed a behavioral shift, especially in northern Riyadh, from “hold and wait” to reassessment, alongside calmer price momentum, renewed interest in actual development, and clearer rental dynamics.

Saqr Al-Zahrani, another market expert, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the reforms tackled structural imbalances by breaking artificial scarcity created by undeveloped land banks.

Opening vast tracts north and west and introducing market-wide indicators restored “organized abundance,” aligning prices with real demand and purchasing power without heavy-handed intervention, he remarked.

He added that recent months have seen weaker demand for raw land and stalled auctions, contrasted with rising interest in off-plan sales and partnerships with developers.

Banks, too, have reprioritized toward projects with operational viability, lifting overall supply quality despite a temporary slowdown in some transactions.

Consumers, meanwhile, are showing greater patience and interest in self-build options, signaling a maturing market awareness.

Outlook

Experts expect the effects to continue through 2027, delivering broad price stability with limited corrections in overheated locations rather than sharp declines.

Homeownership, especially among young buyers, is projected to rise as capital shifts from land speculation to long-term development.

The 2025 decisions were not short-term fixes but the launch of a new social and economic trajectory for Riyadh’s property market, redefining real estate as a housing service and value-adding investment, not a speculative vessel.

As Riyadh advances toward becoming one of the world’s ten largest city economies, its real estate reset offers a model for aligning regulation with quality of life, transparency, and sustainable growth.



IEA: Not Discussing 2nd Release of Strategic Oil Reserves

Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
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IEA: Not Discussing 2nd Release of Strategic Oil Reserves

Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)
Strategic oil reserve tanks in Texas (Reuters)

The International Energy Agency is not discussing a second release of strategic oil reserves at this time, IEA chief Fatih Birol told Reuters on Monday.

"Not for the time being," Birol said on the sidelines of an energy conference in Norway ⁠when asked whether ⁠the agency was discussing a second release of strategic reserves.

The IEA is always following the markets "very, very closely", and 80% of strategic reserves remain ⁠after a 400 million-barrel release in March, Birol added.

On gas, Birol expressed concerns Europe's current levels of gas reserves, which are around 62% according to transparency platform AGSI.

The European Union has a target of filling levels to 80% by December 1.

"The stocks are ⁠lower ⁠than historical averages, and we are still hoping to get gas from the Middle East, and at the same time ... Europe has committed itself to nullify the Russian gas imports," he said.

"If we have a harsh winter in Europe, we may have some challenges."


Fewer Than 20 Ships Transited Strait of Hormuz at the Start of the Week

Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
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Fewer Than 20 Ships Transited Strait of Hormuz at the Start of the Week

Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer
Vessels near the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, August 24, 2026. REUTERS/Stringer

Fewer than 20 commodity vessels transited the Strait of Hormuz at the start of the week, shipping data showed on Monday, as Iranian and US blockades restrict traffic through the chokepoint for energy shipments.

Four vessels crossed the strait on Sunday, initial data from shiptracker Kpler showed by 0228 GMT, with 13 on Saturday. The figures could change as some ships had switched off transponders on their way through.

That compared with Friday's figure of 16 transits, with two empty very large crude carriers (VLCCs) entering the Gulf with the tracking devices switched off, one heading to Iraq and the other to ⁠Bahrain, the data ⁠showed.

A VLCC carrying 2 million barrels of Emirati crude exited the strait on Thursday.

Eight very large gas carriers transited the strait over the past three days, the data showed, according to Reuters, six of them entering empty while the others carried liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) loaded from Iran and exited the Gulf.

Overall traffic volumes remained suppressed ⁠in the week to August 21, as vessels aborted transit plans or switched routes through the strait's north after attacks, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency said in a report.

A total of 89 vessels exited the strait while 103 entered over the seven-day period, the report, based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, showed.

"Traffic remains well below normal levels, with AIS-detected transits approximately 90% below pre-conflict baselines and declining since the June 24 to June 26 peak," it added.

Tanker traffic, at 45% of the total, continued ⁠to dominate movement ⁠through the strait, the agency said. Of these, 56% were tankers that carry crude oil, oil products or chemicals while LPG carriers accounted for a further 24%.

Since July 6, the UKMTO has reported 23 incidents of projectile strikes, leading to bridge, engine-room, and structural damage across vessels in the strait and its vicinity.

A total of 24 commodity vessels sailed through the Bab el-Mandeb strait on Sunday, down from Saturday's figure of 32, which was an increase from 22 on Friday, Kpler data showed.

Two VLCCs entered the Red Sea on Saturday with one carrying Iraqi Basrah crude and the other empty, it showed.


Oil Falls as Trump Pledges Economic War on Iran

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 21: Diesel prices over $7 a gallon are displayed on a pump at a gas station on August 21, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images/AFP
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 21: Diesel prices over $7 a gallon are displayed on a pump at a gas station on August 21, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images/AFP
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Oil Falls as Trump Pledges Economic War on Iran

LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 21: Diesel prices over $7 a gallon are displayed on a pump at a gas station on August 21, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images/AFP
LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA - AUGUST 21: Diesel prices over $7 a gallon are displayed on a pump at a gas station on August 21, 2026 in Los Angeles, California. Justin Sullivan/Getty Images/AFP

Oil prices fell on Monday as investors braced for details of a US plan to isolate the Iranian economy that President Donald Trump billed as the "most crushing" financial operation ever against Tehran.

Asian stocks were mostly down, with South Korea's tech-rich Kospi falling more than three percent after Samsung Electronics said it spent $80 billion to buy back its own shares following weeks of turbulent trading.

The chip giant's shares, along with those of rival SK hynix, peaked in June on optimism for the artificial intelligence boom, but have since fallen amid investor jitters and a broader tech rout.

In an important week for AI, investors are also looking towards an earnings report from Nvidia, the world's most valuable company and a bellwether for the sector.

The recurring question for the US chipmaker is whether the AI boom will continue to accelerate as the technology takes over more corners of the broader economy.

"The spending machine is still running, but the bill is getting heavier," said Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management.

"Nvidia must now show that the most expensive investment boom in modern market history can still pay its bills."

Chinese tech giant Alibaba is keeping focus on the sector after announcing on Sunday that it plans to issue $10.2 billion in new shares in Hong Kong to fund its global AI ambitions.

The firm, known for its open-source "Qwen" AI models, has been ploughing tens of billions of dollars into the technology, with shareholders eager to see how it will monetize the huge investments.

Tokyo and Shanghai closed down 0.7 percent and 0.6 percent respectively, echoing losses across Asia that included Taipei, Wellington, Bangkok, Mumbai and Jakarta. Sydney, Singapore, Manila and Kuala Lumpur posted marginal gains.

Hong Kong was down nearly two percent despite fast-fashion giant Shein announcing its market debut will take place in the Chinese financial hub on September 1.

The long-awaited listing would value the group -- known for its vast selection of products at stunningly low prices -- at close to $27 billion.

London was flat at the open, while Paris and Frankfurt were down 0.2 percent.

Eyes are also on US Treasury boss Scott Bessent, who said he would give more details in a news conference on Monday on a fresh push to pile economic pressure on Iran.

The United States warned allies and China on Thursday to join Trump's new campaign, which comes as the unpopular war in the Middle East drags toward the six-month mark.

US Vice President JD Vance acknowledged the plan was a "delicate dance" because Iran will "try to apply economic pressure to us".

Asked whether the United States would pressure China, Bessent told CNBC that "many conversations are best to have in private", but he also called on Beijing "to get with the program".

Both main crude contracts were down around two percent, with the Brent benchmark sitting at $92 a barrel, AFP reported.

Traders will also be watching this week's annual gathering of central bankers, economists and finance chiefs in Jackson Hole in the United States, hoping for some clarification on US monetary policy.

The meeting comes after the Treasury bought its own bonds last week in an effort to push down borrowing costs after the 30-year yield surged to levels last seen in 2007, just before the global financial crisis.

Yields have risen on inflation fears and as the United States reported that its federal debt had topped $40 trillion.