Erdogan’s Saudi Visit to Boost Economic, Investment Ties

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
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Erdogan’s Saudi Visit to Boost Economic, Investment Ties

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)
Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman holding talks with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Riyadh on Feb. 3 (Turkish Presidency)

Türkiye President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s visit to Saudi Arabia has given fresh momentum to economic ties between the two countries and opened new avenues for cooperation in trade, energy, and joint investments.

A joint statement issued at the end of Erdogan’s visit to Riyadh on Wednesday said the two sides were determined to move ahead with strengthening their political and economic partnership.

The statement said that Erdogan and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman “held a session of official talks during which they reviewed the historical relations between the two brotherly countries and ways to develop them in all fields.”

The statement showed Saudi-Turkish alignment on deepening economic and investment cooperation and on capitalizing on opportunities offered by Saudi Vision 2030 and the Century of Türkiye Vision.

“In the economic, trade, and investment sectors, both sides commended the strength of the economic ties between the two countries and agreed on further strengthening them, particularly in sectors of mutual priority. They also agreed to capitalize on the investment opportunities offered by the (Saudi Vision 2030) and (Century of Türkiye Vision), for the mutual benefit of both economies,” the statement read.

Emphasizing boosting non-oil trade and activating the Saudi-Turkish Business Council, the statement said the leaders “praised the level of trade exchange and stressed the importance of continued joint efforts to develop the non-oil trade volume, intensify mutual visits between officials in the public and private sectors, and hold trade events in both countries through the (Saudi-Turkish Business Council).”

Energy cooperation

Energy featured prominently in the discussions, with both sides stressing the importance of cooperation in oil, petrochemicals, and renewable energy, and exploring electricity interconnection, clean hydrogen, and energy supply chains to enhance energy security and sustainability.

“Both sides agreed to enhance cooperation in the fields of oil, oil derivatives, and petrochemical supply, and to work together to exploit investment opportunities in the petrochemical and agricultural nutrients sectors, as well as to cooperate on innovative uses of hydrocarbons,” the statement read.

“Both sides affirmed their desire to enhance cooperation in the fields of electricity and renewable energy, leveraging both countries’ extensive experience in renewable energy integration and the Kingdom’s large-scale energy investments.”

“They committed to expediting feasibility studies for electrical interconnection between the two countries, exchanging expertise in electricity and renewable energy technologies and grid automation, electrical grid security and resilience, renewable energy projects, grid interconnection, energy storage technologies, and promoting the participation of companies from both sides in implementing these projects,” it affirmed.

“They also emphasized the importance of strengthening cooperation in energy efficiency and conservation, raising awareness of its importance, and exchanging expertise in the energy services sector and capacity building in this field.”

The two sides also underscored cooperation in mining and the production of critical minerals in support of the global energy transition.

“Both sides agreed to strengthen cooperation in the exploration, extraction, and processing of mineral resources. They also emphasized the importance of international cooperation and joint ventures in critical minerals to ensure the security of supply chains essential for the global energy transition.”

Several agreements and memoranda of understanding were signed during a meeting of the Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council on the sidelines of the visit, covering energy, justice, space, and research and development.

Regarding the Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council, the statement said: “Both sides commended the level of coordination and cooperation within the framework of the (Saudi-Turkish Coordination Council), aimed at achieving shared interests and advancing them to new horizons across all sectors.”

“They emphasized the importance of strengthening cooperation and partnership in the following areas: digital economy, artificial intelligence, emerging technologies, and space technologies; transportation, logistics, and civil aviation; law and justice; culture; tourism; sports and youth; scientific and educational cooperation; media; environment, water, agriculture, and food security; customs, defense industries; Health.”

Reflecting the strong desire to deepen strategic energy cooperation, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and Turkish Energy and Natural Resources Minister Alparslan Bayraktar signed an agreement to collaborate on renewable power generation projects totaling about $2 billion in investment.

The agreement aims to enhance cooperation in renewable energy and green technologies and to support the development and implementation of high-quality projects that help diversify the energy mix, strengthen energy security, and accelerate the shift toward a low-carbon economy in line with both countries’ priorities.

It includes the development and implementation of solar power plants in Türkiye with a total installed capacity of up to 5,000 megawatts in two phases.

The first phase includes two solar projects in the Turkish provinces of Sivas and Karaman, with a combined capacity of 2,000 megawatts. In contrast, the second phase covers additional projects under agreed frameworks, adding an extra 3,000 megawatts.

Projects under the first phase will offer electricity prices that are highly competitive with those of other renewable plants in Türkiye. With investments of about $2 billion, the plants will supply electricity to more than two million Turkish households.

A state-owned Turkish company will purchase the electricity generated by the plants for 30 years, while the projects will maximize the use of locally sourced equipment and services during implementation.

Boost to foreign investment

Turkish Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek said the agreement would significantly boost foreign direct investment inflows into Türkiye.

Writing on X on Wednesday, Simsek said "the pace of FDI is picking up, underscoring the growing credibility of our economic program."

"An FDI inflow of USD2bn in Türkiye’s renewable energy projects will accelerate the green transition, enhance energy security, and structurally reduce reliance on energy imports," he added.

Simsek also noted that foreign direct investment in Türkiye reached $12.4 billion in the first 11 months of 2025, up 28% from the same period in 2024.

Economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Türkiye have seen substantial growth over the past two years, reflected in rising trade volumes.

Türkiye’s interest in further strengthening ties was evident in Erdogan’s decision to bring a large business delegation of around 200 company heads and representatives to Riyadh, alongside officials from regional offices of Turkish companies.

The private sector plays a central role in the Saudi-Turkish partnership. Participants at the Saudi-Turkish Economic Forum, held on the sidelines of Erdogan’s visit, stressed the need to enter a new phase focused on implementing joint projects.

Trade growth accelerates

Turkish direct investments in Saudi Arabia have exceeded $2 billion, concentrated in manufacturing, real estate, construction, agriculture, and trade.

Nail Olpak, head of Türkiye’s Foreign Economic Relations Board, said trade with Saudi Arabia was growing at a rapid pace, noting that despite a slowdown in overseas activity by Turkish contractors, they continue to carry out major projects in the kingdom.

According to the latest official Saudi data, total trade between the two countries reached about $8 billion in 2025, up 14% from the previous year. By the end of last year, 1,473 investment licenses had been issued to active Turkish companies.

Saudi Arabia exports crude oil and petrochemical products to Türkiye and imports a range of goods, including carpets, processed stone for construction, tobacco products, food, and furniture.

Data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed bilateral trade of $5.59 billion in 2015, $5.007 billion in 2016, $4.845 billion in 2017, $4.954 billion in 2018, and $5.107 billion in 2019.

After a decline in 2020 and 2021 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, trade rebounded to $6.493 billion in 2022 and $6.825 billion in 2023, exceeding $7 billion in 2024.

Türkiye’s exports to Saudi Arabia rose to $3.1496 billion in 2025, out of the total bilateral trade of about $8 billion.



S&P: Resilient GCC Economies to Support Recovery Despite Prolonged Geopolitical Uncertainty

A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file)
A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file)
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S&P: Resilient GCC Economies to Support Recovery Despite Prolonged Geopolitical Uncertainty

A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file)
A view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Reuters file)

The economies of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) are based on strong foundations that enhance their ability to overcome the fallout of the Middle East war, supported by robust net asset positions and liquidity buffers despite prolonged geopolitical uncertainty, Standard & Poor’s Global Ratings said in a recent report.

The rating agency projected a temporary slowdown in GCC growth in 2026 before the region's economies regain strong recovery in 2027, with countries and economic sectors' ability to absorb shocks according to their financial and geographical conditions.

In its report “Middle East War: GCC Sensitivity and Sector Vulnerabilities Aren't Homogenous”, S&P said outlooks on GCC sovereign ratings are stable supported by expectation that large, liquid government assets will absorb fiscal shocks and that hydrocarbon exports will resume amid supportive prices

“We anticipate a pronounced dip in GDP growth in 2026 followed by a strong recovery, with average real GDP growth of about 5.3% in 2027,” the agency wrote.

Gradual recovery of energy supplies

S&P Global Ratings' base case assumes that supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz will ease in the second half of 2026.

“We expect oil shipments during that period will average about 75% of the pre-war volumes and that Brent crude will average $110 per barrel (/bbl) for the remainder of 2026 and $80/bbl for 2027,” the report said.

It expected the GCC region's real GDP to fall 3% on average in 2026, with Saudi Arabia (2.6%) and Oman (1.6%) and UAE (1.5%) projected to grow.

Ability to recover differs

S&P said four of the six GCC sovereigns' net assets exceed annual GDP.

It said sovereigns, such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Qatar, display greater capacity for resilience than Bahrain and Oman, though Oman stands to benefit further from its geography outside the Strait of Hormuz.

The agency added that Saudi Arabia's and Oman's geographic advantages will likely continue to offer benefits extending beyond hydrocarbons, with maritime and logistical disruption weighing more on other GCC countries' trade, manufacturing, real estate, and hospitality.

Oil production exceeds pre-war levels

S&P forecasted that between 2027 and 2029, GCC oil production will exceed pre-war levels.

During this period, Saudi Arabia's oil production will increase to an average of 10.6 million barrels per day (bpd) while the UAE’s production will increase to 4.5 million bpd.

“We expect regional pre-war production levels will be exceeded as Qatar’s North Field East expansion starts producing with the first train expected to come on stream in early 2027,” the report added.

Resilience of GCC banks

In the banking sector, S&P said despite uneven external risks across the region, “we consider GCC banks' credit quality to be stable, supported by deposit growth that offers funding stability and solid capital buffers that mitigate risks from potentially weaker asset quality.”

In the first quarter of 2026, it said total domestic deposits rose by about 4.2% in the GCC region, slightly accelerating to 6.2% year-to date to April-end.

Domestic private sector deposit growth remained on par with 2025, at about 11.6% annualized at the end of April 2026, supported by a strong pick-up in Saudi Arabia.

In a scenario involving external funding outflows--assuming 50% external bank funding and 30% non-bank funding outflows, the rating agency said some banks would likely require support of about $1.2 billion and $5.8 billion, respectively, based on the first quarter 2026 financial data.

Energy and real estate more vulnerable

S&P said the conflict will weigh heaviest on sectors reliant on tourism, consumer spending, transportation and logistics and energy.

It said regional uncertainty could negatively affect high-net-worth investors' decisions, leading to weak transaction volumes, particularly in the apartments segment given the potential for oversupply.

Conversely, utilities, telecommunications, and healthcare continue to demonstrate resilience, supported by defensive business models and relatively stable demand.

Redirecting investment

S&P said the prolonged geopolitical fragmentation, intermittent regional clashes, and the failure to normalize trade flows through key routes like the Strait of Hormuz would be a sustained erosion of business confidence, investment appetite, and cross-border capital flows.

The next phase of GCC corporate credit differentiation will be shaped less by balance sheet strength alone, and more by companies' ability to sustain confidence, investment, and economic diversification amid prolonged uncertainty.


Oil Rises as US Strikes on Iran Raise Fears Over Shaky Truce

FILE PHOTO: A small tanker sails near an oil refinery, in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A small tanker sails near an oil refinery, in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
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Oil Rises as US Strikes on Iran Raise Fears Over Shaky Truce

FILE PHOTO: A small tanker sails near an oil refinery, in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A small tanker sails near an oil refinery, in the Keihin Industrial Zone in Kawasaki, south of Tokyo, Japan March 17, 2026. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo

Oil prices gained more than 2% on Wednesday after the US military launched airstrikes against Iran and reimposed crude sales sanctions, raising fears their fragile truce was unravelling and Middle East supplies could be disrupted again.

Brent crude futures gained $1.92, or 2.6%, at $76.08 a barrel at 0400 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude climbed $1.82, or 2.6%, to $72.26 a barrel, Reuters reported.

Both benchmarks rose about 3% on Tuesday after the US revoked the general license authorizing the sale of Iranian crude following the Iranian attacks.

"While the revocation doesn't fundamentally change oil market dynamics, it's important from a sentiment perspective. It heightens the risk of a breakdown in the temporary deal between the US and Iran," ING commodity ⁠strategists said on ⁠Wednesday.

The US airstrikes were in response to Iranian attacks on three commercial vessels that were transiting the Strait of Hormuz, US Central Command said on Tuesday.

"The current conflagration is a reminder to the market of how fragile passage through the Strait still is," said Saul Kavonic, head of research at MST Marquee.

"This presents a contrary indicator to the prevailing sentiment that the market could be flooded into oversupply, which may scare some of the record short positioning to cover," he ⁠said, adding that if tensions persist and traffic through the waterway remains below 50% of pre-war levels, the resulting supply constraints could support higher oil prices.

After the US and Iran signed their truce agreement last month, oil prices tumbled back to pre-war levels and traders amassed large short positions in oil futures, or bets that prices would fall further.

Expectations of a wave of pent-up Middle East supply coming onto the market caused the price declines.

The latest attacks renewed concerns about tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which carried cargoes equal to about one-fifth of global energy supply before the war began in February.

Since the war started, nations have drawn down their inventories to make up for the supply shortfall.


Saudi Investment Ministry to Participate in LEAP East 2026 to Showcase Opportunities

Saudi Investment Ministry to Participate in LEAP East 2026 to Showcase Opportunities
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Saudi Investment Ministry to Participate in LEAP East 2026 to Showcase Opportunities

Saudi Investment Ministry to Participate in LEAP East 2026 to Showcase Opportunities

The Saudi Ministry of Investment, represented by Invest Saudi, will participate in LEAP East 2026, which will take place in Hong Kong from July 8 to 10, as part of its efforts to strengthen the Kingdom's presence on the global investment stage.

The participation aims to showcase Saudi Arabia's investment environment in the information and communications technology (ICT) and entrepreneurship sectors, while enhancing engagement with global investors and technology companies.

The Invest Saudi pavilion will feature representatives from Saudi Arabia's investment ecosystem to provide information and services to investors and showcase the Kingdom's investment enablers, including its regulatory framework, advanced digital infrastructure, and incentives and services that facilitate the investor journey.

It will also highlight investment opportunities in artificial intelligence, data centers, cloud computing, and emerging technologies.

The participation highlights Saudi Arabia's competitiveness in the technology sector. The Kingdom ranks among the world's leaders in 5G speeds, has one of the highest fiber-optic penetration rates globally, and hosts the world's leading cloud service providers, reinforcing its position as a regional hub for the digital economy and advanced technologies.

The participation also showcases Saudi Arabia's entrepreneurship ecosystem and the programs and enablers it offers to support the establishment and growth of startups.

It will promote the Startup Saudi Program and strengthen engagement with investors, venture capital funds and international partners, helping attract high-quality investments and forge strategic partnerships.

The participation builds on the investment ecosystem's efforts to attract foreign direct investment, strengthen partnerships with global technology companies, and support knowledge transfer and technology localization.

It reinforces Saudi Arabia's position as a global destination for high-value investments and a regional hub for business and investment.