Oil Gains as Traders Weigh Supply Risks Linked to US–Iran Tensions

A pumpjack, used to help lift oil from a well, in the Permian basin near Midland, Texas, US, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Arathy Somasekhar/File Photo
A pumpjack, used to help lift oil from a well, in the Permian basin near Midland, Texas, US, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Arathy Somasekhar/File Photo
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Oil Gains as Traders Weigh Supply Risks Linked to US–Iran Tensions

A pumpjack, used to help lift oil from a well, in the Permian basin near Midland, Texas, US, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Arathy Somasekhar/File Photo
A pumpjack, used to help lift oil from a well, in the Permian basin near Midland, Texas, US, October 8, 2025. REUTERS/Arathy Somasekhar/File Photo

Oil prices edged up on Tuesday as traders gauged the potential for supply disruptions after US guidance for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz kept attention squarely on tensions between Washington and Tehran.

Brent crude oil futures were up 37 cents, or 0.5%, at $69.41 a barrel by 1136 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude rose 25 cents, or 0.4%, to $64.61.

"The market is still focused on the tensions between Iran and the US," said Tamas Varga, an oil analyst at brokerage PVM.

"But unless there are concrete signs of supply disruptions, prices will likely start going lower," he said. "The market is range-bound, it's an oversupplied market against geopolitics."

Prices rose more than 1% on Monday, when the US Department of Transportation's Maritime Administration advised US-flagged commercial vessels to stay as far from Iran’s territorial waters as possible and to verbally decline Iranian forces' permission to board if asked.

About a fifth of the oil consumed globally passes through the Strait of Hormuz between Oman and Iran, making any escalation in the area a major risk to global oil supplies.

Iran and fellow OPEC members Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia.

The guidance was issued despite Iran's top diplomat saying last week that Oman-mediated nuclear talks with the US were off to a "good start" and set to continue.

Goldman Sachs analysts wrote in a note on Tuesday that prices were supported by geopolitics, with a pickup in oil on vessels as buyers seek to secure more oil amid heightened uncertainty.

"While talks in Oman produced a cautiously positive tone, lingering uncertainty over potential escalation, sanctions tightening, or supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz has kept a modest risk premium intact," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.

Meanwhile, the European Union has proposed extending its sanctions against Russia to include ports in Georgia and Indonesia that handle Russian oil, the first time the bloc would target ports in third countries, according to a proposal document seen by Reuters.

The move is part of efforts to tighten sanctions on Russian oil, a key source of revenue for Moscow, over the war in Ukraine.

Indian Oil Corp bought six million barrels of crude from West Africa and the Middle East, traders said, as India steered clear of Russian oil in New Delhi's push for a trade deal with Washington, which the countries hope to conclude in March.



US Won't Renew Trade Deal with Mexico and Canada

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer talks with Mexico's Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, amid talks to review the US-Mexico-Canada trade pact, in Mexico City, Mexico, on April 20, 2026. RAQUEL CUNHA / REUTERS 
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer talks with Mexico's Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, amid talks to review the US-Mexico-Canada trade pact, in Mexico City, Mexico, on April 20, 2026. RAQUEL CUNHA / REUTERS 
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US Won't Renew Trade Deal with Mexico and Canada

US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer talks with Mexico's Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, amid talks to review the US-Mexico-Canada trade pact, in Mexico City, Mexico, on April 20, 2026. RAQUEL CUNHA / REUTERS 
US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer talks with Mexico's Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard, amid talks to review the US-Mexico-Canada trade pact, in Mexico City, Mexico, on April 20, 2026. RAQUEL CUNHA / REUTERS 

The US administration on Wednesday said it will not renew the expired trilateral trade pact with Canada and Mexico known as USMCA, reiterating its commitment to continue negotiations with its partners to reach a better deal.

The agreement, signed during President Donald Trump’s first term, should be renewed not later than July 1 for another 16-year period.

Although it wasn't extended by the Wednesday deadline, the deal remains in force for another 10 years and will instead be subject to annual reviews, unless a country decides to withdraw entirely, according to AFP.

Canada and Mexico had both called for a 16-year renewal of the USMCA.

Washington’s announcement came on Wednesday after a virtual meeting between representatives of the three concerned parties failed to reach its goals.

“The United States did not agree to renew the USMCA in its current form. As a result, the USMCA is not renewed,” US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said in a statement.

He said the White House “will continue to engage with Mexico and Canada to address the agreement's shortcomings and our trade deficits with these countries.”

However, Greer added, “the agreement remains in force pending resolution of these issues or until the agreement's termination.”

Trump said in June that he was not “looking to renew” the agreement in its current form while the US held a series of bilateral trade negotiations with Mexico and Ottawa to get a better deal.

US officials are scheduled to meet with Mexico representatives the week of July 20 for another round of bilateral negotiations.

Greer did not unveil a schedule for formal talks with Canada.

Mexico and Canada are the United States' top two global trading partner. But the two countries were among the first to be hit by Trump’s tariffs imposed after the US President returned to the White House in January 2025.

Trump accused Mexico and Ottawa of not doing enough to contain the flow of the illegal drug fentanyl and immigrants into the United States.

In return, both nations confirm that over 80% of exports from Mexico and Canada enter the United States under the USMCA provisions, shielding them from universal tariffs.

 

 

 


Shell to Sell Gulf of America Assets to Two Companies for $1.7 billion

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Shell plc logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration 
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Shell plc logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration 
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Shell to Sell Gulf of America Assets to Two Companies for $1.7 billion

3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Shell plc logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration 
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Shell plc logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration 

Shell said on Tuesday it had agreed to sell its interest in the Na Kika platform and associated fields in the Gulf of America, along ‌with the Coulomb tieback, to subsidiaries of Talos Energy and Ridgewood Energy for $1.7 billion.

The assets produced about 37,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day net to Shell in 2025.

The transaction has an effective date of July 1, 2025, and is expected to close by the end of 2026.

Talos said its share of the consideration is $850 million, with final net cash consideration expected at $450 million to $500 million after interim cash flow from the effective date.

It added that it will acquire a 50% working interest and operatorship in Coulomb and a 25% non-operated stake in the BP-operated Na Kika platform and ‌four ⁠associated fields -- Kepler, Ariel, Fourier and Herschel.

The assets produced about 16,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day in the first quarter of 2026, about 77% oil, and add roughly 23 million barrels of oil equivalent of proved reserves.

Na ⁠Kika, Shell's only non-operated Gulf of America platform, began producing in 2003, while Coulomb started production in 2005.

Shell will retain certain upside-linked payments, royalty interests on new ⁠Na Kika tiebacks, and offtake rights.

BP, operator of Na Kika, retains the other 50% stake and has a 30-day preferential purchase right.

Shell's proved ⁠reserves at the end of 2025 were 4.3 million boe for Na Kika and 7.2 million boe for Coulomb.

 

 

 

 


Saudi Arabia Retains ACAO Executive Council Seat for 2026-2028

President of the General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) Abdulaziz Al-Duailej. (SPA)
President of the General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) Abdulaziz Al-Duailej. (SPA)
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Saudi Arabia Retains ACAO Executive Council Seat for 2026-2028

President of the General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) Abdulaziz Al-Duailej. (SPA)
President of the General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) Abdulaziz Al-Duailej. (SPA)

The General Assembly of the Arab Civil Aviation Organization (ACAO) has renewed Saudi Arabia's membership on the ACAO Executive Council for the 2026–2028 term, reaffirming the Kingdom's prominent position in the civil aviation sector at both the Arab and international levels, the Saudi Press Agency reported on Thursday.

The newly elected Executive Council convened its inaugural meeting, during which President of the General Authority of Civil Aviation (GACA) Abdulaziz Al-Duailej was unanimously re-elected as president for a second consecutive term.

During its 29th General Assembly, the Arab Civil Aviation Organization (ACAO) also renewed Saudi Arabia's membership on six technical committees for the 2026–2028 term: the Air Transport Committee, Air Safety Committee, Aviation Security Committee, Air Navigation Commission, Environment Committee, and Media and Institutional Communication Committee. The decision was accompanied by broad recognition from Arab member states of the Kingdom's leadership and its significant contributions to advancing and developing the civil aviation sector at both the regional and international levels.

Al-Duailej said Saudi Arabia's renewed membership on the Executive Council reflects the Kingdom's leadership and sustained contributions to advancing the Arab civil aviation sector. He added that the council's next phase will focus on strengthening Arab cooperation, enhancing regional integration, and developing unified strategies to address the future challenges facing the air transport industry.