Oil Prices and Stocks Climb as US-Iran Standoff Keeps Strait of Hormuz in Limbo

 Tankers and gas carriers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
Tankers and gas carriers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
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Oil Prices and Stocks Climb as US-Iran Standoff Keeps Strait of Hormuz in Limbo

 Tankers and gas carriers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)
Tankers and gas carriers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP)

Oil prices climbed more than 5% while Asian shares also advanced Monday as a standoff between Iran and the US prevented tankers from using the Strait of Hormuz.

The Gulf waterway was closed again after Iran reversed a decision to reopen the strait and President Donald Trump said a US Navy blockade of Iranian ports remains in effect.

US benchmark crude gained 5.6% to $87.20 a barrel, while Brent crude, the international standard, was up 5.3% at $95.16 a barrel.

Despite renewed doubts about how soon ships will again transport the vast amounts oil the world gets from the Middle East, share prices were mostly higher in Asia.

In Tokyo, the Nikkei 225 gained 1% to 59,045.45, while South Korea's Kospi was up 1.1% at 6,260.92.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.8% to 26,373.71 and the Shanghai Composite index advanced 0.6% to 4,075.08.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was nearly unchanged at 8,943.90.

In Taiwan, the Taiex jumped 1.4%.

“The problem for markets is not the absence of hope; it is the overpricing of it,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management said in a commentary. “The latest move higher in equities has started to feel less like conviction and more like momentum feeding on itself.”

On Friday, oil prices had dropped back to where they were in the early days of the Iran war, and US stocks raced to a fresh record after Iran said the strait was open again for commercial tankers carrying crude from the Gulf to customers worldwide.

A freer flow of oil could relieve pressure on prices for gasoline and all kinds of other products that get moved by vehicles. It could even ultimately help people pay less on credit-card interest and mortgage bills.

The S&P 500 leaped 1.2% to an all-time high of 7,126.06, closing out a third straight week of big gains, its longest streak since Halloween.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1.8% to 49,447.43. The Nasdaq composite climbed 1.5% to 24,468.48.

The US stock market has jumped more than 12% since hitting a bottom in late March on hopes the United States and Iran can avoid a worst-case scenario for the global economy despite their war.

The price for a barrel of benchmark US crude had plunged 9.4% after Iran’s foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, posted on X that passage for all commercial vessels through the strait “is declared completely open” as a ceasefire appears to be holding in Lebanon.

Brent crude fell 9.1%.

After Araghchi's announcement, Trump said on his social media network that the US Navy’s blockade of Iranian ports remained “in full force” pending a deal on the war, though he also suggested that “should go very quickly in that most of the points are already negotiated.”

President Donald Trump said Sunday that the US had seized an Iranian-flagged cargo ship that tried to get around a naval blockade. Iran’s joint military command said Tehran would respond soon and called the US seizure an act of piracy.

A fragile, two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran is set to expire Wednesday, while escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz raises questions over new talks to end the war.

Since the war began, market sentiment has swung between optimism and gloom over when the fighting will end and what costs the world economy will endure. A strong start to the earnings reporting season for big US companies has helped support stocks.

In other dealings early Monday, the US dollar rose to 158.90 Japanese yen from 158.79 yen. The euro climbed to $1.1757 from $1.1742.



Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
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Airlines Should Still Avoid Airspace Over Iran After Framework Deal, EU Agency Warns

 A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)
A Kish Air Airlines McDonnell Douglas MD-82 passenger aircraft prepares for landing at Tehran's Mehrabad Airport on June 20, 2026. (AFP)

Airlines ‌should continue to avoid the airspace over Iran, Iraq and Lebanon and remain cautious across the region despite the framework deal between Washington and Tehran, because violations remained possible, the ‌EU aviation safety ‌agency EASA said.

EASA ‌said ⁠on Wednesday it ⁠was extending its conflict-zone advisory for the region until July 1.

Short-term violations of the US-Iran ceasefire remain possible, ⁠in particular in ‌and ‌around the Strait of ‌Hormuz and neighboring airspace, the ‌agency said.

The agency also flagged the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, creating ‌the potential for military activity impacting the airspace ⁠of ⁠Lebanon.


Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
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Al-Jadaan: Economic Resilience, Partnerships Are Key to Meeting Global Development Challenges

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan addresses the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna. (X)

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan warned that the world is facing increasingly difficult economic conditions shaped by uncertainty, fragmentation, geopolitical conflicts, trade tensions, debt risks, and challenges related to energy security and broader security concerns, factors he said threaten to undermine global development goals.

Addressing the OPEC Fund Development Forum in Vienna, held to mark the 50th anniversary of the OPEC Fund for International Development (OFID), Al-Jadaan described the milestone as an opportunity not only to celebrate the institution’s achievements over the past half-century, but also to reflect on lessons learned and consider the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead.

Over the past five decades, the OPEC Fund has helped tackle some of the world’s most pressing development challenges, supporting sustainable development, economic growth, and prosperity while improving living standards in low- and middle-income countries, he noted. Its efforts have enabled millions to gain access to electricity, quality education, and clean energy solutions, while expanding economic opportunities and improving essential services.

Al-Jadaan outlined three priorities for preventing setbacks in global development progress.

The first is placing resilience at the center of development strategies. Rather than serving merely as a response to crises, resilience must become a long-term, proactive approach.

Building systems capable of withstanding shocks requires investment in infrastructure, energy, food security, healthcare, education, and institutional capacity, he argued. It also demands inclusive policies tailored to local needs that diversify sources of income, improve livelihoods, and stabilize fragile markets.

The second priority is strengthening partnerships. No country can confront development challenges alone, Al-Jadaan said, emphasizing the critical role of development finance institutions in mobilizing resources, sharing knowledge, and fostering innovation. The private sector, he added, remains essential for driving investment, creating jobs, and delivering practical solutions.

Greater cooperation among development partners can improve coordination, attract additional capital, and maximize development impact.

Turning to his third priority, Al-Jadaan stressed that trust and national ownership must remain at the heart of development efforts. Development financing is most effective when aligned with national priorities, responsive to local realities, and built on genuine partnerships.

Expanding the OPEC Fund’s activities and deepening cooperation with partner countries would help align financing strategies with national development plans, improve the efficiency of resource allocation, strengthen implementation, and deliver measurable results, he said.

Al-Jadaan also underscored the importance of candid feedback from development partners and their support for bold, long-term structural reforms that enhance resilience, growth, and prosperity.

Fifty years is not a limit to what can be achieved. It is the foundation on which we build, he stated. He added that stronger partnerships and shared commitments will help safeguard the gains of the past five decades and advance sustainable development in the decades ahead.


Geopolitics and AI in Spotlight at China’s ‘Summer Davos’

Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivers his speech at the opening ceremony of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Dalian, China's Liaoning province on June 24, 2026. (AFP)
Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivers his speech at the opening ceremony of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Dalian, China's Liaoning province on June 24, 2026. (AFP)
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Geopolitics and AI in Spotlight at China’s ‘Summer Davos’

Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivers his speech at the opening ceremony of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Dalian, China's Liaoning province on June 24, 2026. (AFP)
Chinese Premier Li Qiang delivers his speech at the opening ceremony of the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Dalian, China's Liaoning province on June 24, 2026. (AFP)

Breakthroughs in technologies such as AI are touted as drivers of economic growth, but headwinds include concerns over job losses and geopolitical tensions, speakers told AFP at China's "Summer Davos" this week.

The annual conference organized by the Switzerland-based World Economic Forum (WEF) brings together policymakers and experts across sectors crucial to the global economy.

AI "is really changing industry and the economy", offering new opportunities in education, healthcare and other areas, Mirek Dusek, WEF's managing director, said Tuesday.

"We are blessed with a lot of technological advancements recently, but the main imperative for decision-makers around the world is really: how do you make sure this counts in the real economy?" Dusek told AFP.

There is also a "risk of a backlash against some of these technologies", he warned.

Fears are growing of AI-driven disruption to labor markets and the potential security risks it poses, from breaches of cyber defenses to its use in conflict.

Adding to pressure on the international economic system is the US-Israeli war with Iran, which has stymied shipping from the oil-rich Middle East.

- 'Tepid environment' -

These shadows have spurred the World Bank to lower its global growth forecast for this year to its lowest level since the Covid pandemic.

The world economy is currently facing "a tepid environment", Dusek said.

"We all know that there is a threat of lost opportunity in terms of global growth if we really go into a state of severe fragmentation."

Chinese Premier Li Qiang was due Wednesday morning to deliver a closely watched speech at the WEF's "Annual Meeting of the New Champions", hosted this year in the northeastern port city of Dalian.

The occasion provides an opportunity for Beijing's number-two leader to deliver a message about the Chinese economy to the influential group of tech and business leaders in attendance.

China's economy -- second in size only to that of the United States -- has struggled in recent years to keep up with the breakneck pace of development it maintained in previous decades.

Despite a striking boom in exports and AI tech, sluggish household consumption and an entrenched property sector debt crisis have weighed on growth since the pandemic.

Complicating matters is Beijing's tumultuous relationship with Washington.

Graham Allison, professor at the Harvard Kennedy School and a frequent unofficial interlocutor with Chinese and US foreign policymakers, told AFP in Dalian that a potential war between the two great powers is very much on the table.

Allison is known for coining the term "Thucydides trap" -- which he defined Tuesday as "the dangerous dynamic that occurs when a rapidly rising power, like... China over the past generation impacts a major ruling power", such as the United States.

- Avoiding woes of history -

Thucydides, an ancient Greek historian, "warns us that business as usual, diplomacy as usual (and) statecraft as usual produces war" in such a situation, Allison said.

However, recent high-level engagement between the Chinese and US presidents is reason for optimism that a war can be avoided, he added.

At a summit in Beijing last month, Xi Jinping asked Donald Trump if the countries could "transcend the so-called 'Thucydides Trap' and forge a new paradigm for major-power relations".

Allison told AFP that Xi "clearly gets it" and that his mention of the obscure historical concept "wasn't by accident".

Trump, meanwhile, is "erratic in his own way", said Allison, calling the Iran war this year a "terrible" and "unnecessary mistake".

But he "understands China is different", he said.

Xi's response last year to sky-high tariffs imposed by Washington on China -- strangling US access to critical rare-earth minerals -- made Trump realize that he is "now up against somebody that is roughly (his) peer".

"These two presidents are clearly trying to redefine the relationship or reframe it in a way that'll overcome Thucydides's trap."