Dollar Set for Weekly Gain on Stalled US-Iran Talks and Middle East Uncertainty

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
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Dollar Set for Weekly Gain on Stalled US-Iran Talks and Middle East Uncertainty

US dollar banknotes (Reuters)
US dollar banknotes (Reuters)

The dollar was on track for its first weekly gain in three weeks on Friday in broadly muted trading, as stalled peace negotiations between the US and Iran dampened hopes for an immediate easing of Middle East tensions.

While Lebanon and Israel extended their ceasefire for three weeks ahead of its expiration on Sunday, Iran showed off its control over the Strait of Hormuz by releasing footage of its commandos storming a huge cargo ship, leaving the timing of the reopening of the world's most important shipping corridor uncertain and keeping oil prices elevated.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, slipped 0.1% to 98.75 but remained on track for a weekly gain of 0.5%. The euro was 0.1% higher at $1.169, Reuters reported.

Sterling edged 0.1% higher, with stronger-than-expected UK retail sales for March barely moving the needle.

"If you look at the last week the major theme is just that there's no real progression with peace talks. For markets, it's difficult when there's no deadline," said Tommy Von Brömsen, FX strategist at Handelsbanken in Stockholm.

Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $106.60 a barrel.

The dollar has drawn safe-haven demand amid the uncertainty. It gained ground in March as concerns over the conflict deepened, but gave back some of those gains this month as optimism over a potential resolution grew.

"Oil and the dollar are still moving pretty closely together, and with crude creeping back up ... I'd say the dollar is still staying fairly firm," said Sho Suzuki, a market analyst at Matsui Securities.

Meanwhile, the yen was steady after four days of losses, rising 0.1% to 159.7 per dollar.

CENBANK BONANZA LOOMS

Traders are looking ahead to a central-bank-heavy week next week, with the Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Bank of England and Federal Reserve among those due to deliver policy decisions.

"The main message from the central banks is that they are - so far at least - in a kind of 'wait-and-see' approach," said Handelsbanken's Von Bromsen.

He said the focus will be on communication and guidance, as market watchers assess how policymakers are digesting not just higher energy prices but the second-round effects of potentially higher inflation.

The European Central Bank will hold its deposit rate on April 30 but hike it in June, according to just over half of economists polled by Reuters, in a bid to protect a war-induced energy shock from knocking the euro zone economy off balance.

Meanwhile in Japan core consumer inflation slowed below the central bank's 2% target for a second straight month in March. Analysts, though, expect inflation to accelerate back above the Bank of Japan's target in coming months, as companies begin to pass on higher fuel costs from the Middle East conflict.

The BOJ is set to hold its two-day policy meeting ending on Tuesday. Reuters reported the bank is likely to hold off raising interest rates next week as fading prospects of a near-term end to the Middle East war keep the country's economic and price outlook highly uncertain. The BOJ is still expected to signal its readiness to hike to counter mounting price pressures.

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reiterated her verbal warning on intervention on Friday that authorities can take "decisive" action against speculative moves in the foreign exchange market, a day after saying Japan has a "free hand" to intervene and that past interventions had been effective.

The Australian dollar rose 0.1% versus the greenback to $0.7135. New Zealand's kiwi rose 0.1% to $0.5859.

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was little changed at $77,895.85.



Data Centers Open New Avenue for Localizing Saudi Cooling Industry

Nabil Shahin discusses standards developed by the US-based Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). (LinkedIn) 
Nabil Shahin discusses standards developed by the US-based Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). (LinkedIn) 
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Data Centers Open New Avenue for Localizing Saudi Cooling Industry

Nabil Shahin discusses standards developed by the US-based Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). (LinkedIn) 
Nabil Shahin discusses standards developed by the US-based Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI). (LinkedIn) 

From buildings and megaprojects to data centers, demand for air-conditioning and cooling solutions is expanding across Saudi Arabia, driven by rapid construction and accelerating investment in digital infrastructure.

As artificial intelligence and cloud computing enter a period of rapid expansion, data centers are emerging as a new growth driver for the cooling industry, requiring advanced levels of efficiency and reliability and equipment capable of operating under harsh climatic conditions.

The boom extends beyond Saudi Arabia. Globally, the cooling industry is expanding as temperatures rise and demand for data centers grows. The International Energy Agency estimates that global electricity demand for building cooling has risen by about 50% since 2015 to around 2,900 terawatt-hours, while worldwide air-conditioner shipments reached about 200 million units in 2024.

Cooling buildings is placing increasing pressure on power grids, particularly during heat waves, while data centers and AI are adding another layer of demand for advanced cooling technologies.

Global data-center electricity consumption stood at around 415 TWh in 2024 and is projected to reach about 945 TWh by 2030, with cooling and environmental-control systems accounting for a significant share of energy use at these facilities.

The growth comes amid mounting pressure to improve air-conditioning efficiency and reduce its environmental impact. According to the UN Environment Program, global cooling demand could more than triple from current levels by 2050 under existing policies, making equipment efficiency and less energy-intensive technologies increasingly important.

These shifts offer Saudi Arabia an opportunity to expand its domestic air-conditioning and cooling manufacturing base as the Kingdom seeks to increase local content and meet more of its market needs through domestic production.

Nabil Shahin, managing director of the Middle East and North Africa office of the US-based Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI), told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia accounts for more than half of the Gulf air-conditioning market. He attributed the market’s growth to expanding commercial and construction projects, alongside the boom in data centers.

Data Centers Reshape Cooling Market

The Kingdom is experiencing a “growth boom” in data centers, according to the AHRI executive, fueled by the rapid spread of AI and rising demand for cloud-computing services. He noted that several US and European companies are developing data-center projects in Saudi Arabia.

As their cooling requirements increase, AHRI is working with the Saudi Standards, Metrology and Quality Organization (SASO) to develop and modify standards for data-center equipment to reflect the Kingdom’s temperatures, climatic conditions and local requirements.

Saudi Standard for Evaporative Coolers

Shahin noted that SASO had asked AHRI to develop a new standard for evaporative cooling systems, locally known as “desert coolers,” which use water in the cooling process rather than the refrigerants used in conventional air-conditioning systems.

There is currently no unified global standard for such systems, he explained. AHRI is developing the standard for submission to SASO, with the aim of providing a reference for manufacturers in the Saudi market.

The new standard will include energy-efficiency measurement criteria to assess equipment performance and suitability for local conditions.

Improving air-conditioning efficiency is particularly important in Saudi Arabia because of the sector’s high electricity consumption. More efficient systems could reduce power demand and emissions associated with electricity generation.

Saudi Arabia Leads Gulf Market

The AHRI executive estimated Saudi Arabia’s share of the Gulf air-conditioning market at more than 50%, with demand continuing to rise alongside commercial and construction projects, particularly in Riyadh, coastal areas and Makkah.

Some estimates put the Kingdom’s share at about 60%, he noted, but he prefers the more conservative figure of over 50% because no verified official data precisely establish its market share.

The scale of demand has made Saudi Arabia attractive to international companies, several of which have expanded their presence over the past two years by establishing new factories or enlarging existing facilities.

Local manufacturing can give companies an additional advantage by reducing some import costs, which can range from 5% to 12%, according to Shahin. He pointed to three large domestic factories that are expanding their operations.

From Assembly to Component Manufacturing

Localization, however, still faces the challenge of dependence on imported components. Most key air-conditioning components — including electric motors, compressors, copper and refrigerants — continue to come from abroad.

Much of Saudi Arabia’s current manufacturing activity remains focused on assembly, although some components, including heat exchangers, are produced domestically.

The next step, the AHRI official argued, is to move gradually from assembly toward manufacturing a greater proportion of air-conditioning components in the Kingdom, including electronics, circuit boards and electric motors.

He called for additional government incentives and support, including land, industrial space, free zones and investment facilities, to help Saudi factories expand and increase the share of locally manufactured components.

 

 


Gold Slips on Rate-Hike Bets; Inflation Data in Focus

Gold jewelry is displayed at an exhibition in Kabul, Afghanistan, 03 September 2026. (EPA)
Gold jewelry is displayed at an exhibition in Kabul, Afghanistan, 03 September 2026. (EPA)
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Gold Slips on Rate-Hike Bets; Inflation Data in Focus

Gold jewelry is displayed at an exhibition in Kabul, Afghanistan, 03 September 2026. (EPA)
Gold jewelry is displayed at an exhibition in Kabul, Afghanistan, 03 September 2026. (EPA)

Gold slipped on Monday as strong US jobs data reinforced expectations for higher interest rates, while investors awaited key US inflation reports due later this week for further clarity on the Federal Reserve's policy path.

Spot gold was down 0.6% at $4,402.86 per ounce, as of 0420 GMT, after falling 1% on Friday.

US gold futures for December delivery were down 0.6% at $4,447.60.

Data ‌on Friday ‌showed US job growth accelerated sharply in August ‌while ⁠the unemployment rate ⁠held steady at 4.1%, suggesting an improvement in the labor market after recent struggles and keeping a rate increase this month on the table.

US producer price index (PPI) data is due on Thursday, followed by consumer price index (CPI) data on Friday.

"The jobs number delivered a clear upside surprise and put some pressure ⁠on the metal, but it wasn't a ‌complete slam dunk for a September ‌rate hike. The real missing piece of the puzzle arrives this ‌week with U.S. CPI," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst ‌at KCM Trade.

"A strong inflation print would reinforce expectations of a Fed hike, lift yields further and weigh more heavily on gold."

Traders are pricing in a 58.4% chance of a rate hike ‌at the Fed's September 15-16 meeting, CME's FedWatch tool showed.

While gold is typically viewed as ⁠an inflation ⁠hedge, higher interest rates tend to weigh on the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

US President Donald Trump said on Friday that unless the Fed cuts interest rates, he would stop trading with countries with which the United States had a deficit.

On the Middle East front, Iran said it will step up efforts to tackle problems created by US sanctions that are crippling its economy, while a senior Iranian official warned of a "painful response" if it comes under further attack.

Among other metals, spot silver eased 0.6% to $65.80 per ounce, platinum lost 1.1% to $1,800.59 and palladium declined 0.5% to $1,394.00.


SEREDO 2026 Real Estate Expo Opens in Jeddah with Broad Participation

SEREDO 2026 real estate expo opens in Jeddah with broad participation. (SPA)
SEREDO 2026 real estate expo opens in Jeddah with broad participation. (SPA)
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SEREDO 2026 Real Estate Expo Opens in Jeddah with Broad Participation

SEREDO 2026 real estate expo opens in Jeddah with broad participation. (SPA)
SEREDO 2026 real estate expo opens in Jeddah with broad participation. (SPA)

Undersecretary of the Ministry of Municipalities and Housing for Stimulating Housing Supply and Real Estate Development Abdulrahman bin Abdullah Al-Tawil opened the fifth edition of the SEREDO Expo for Real Estate Development and Ownership 2026 at Jeddah Superdome.

Held under the ministry’s patronage, the event is bringing together government entities, real estate developers and financing companies, with broad participation from across the sector, the Saudi Press Agency reported on Sunday.

During the opening, Al-Tawil reviewed the key real estate and financing projects, products, and services offered by participating entities, as well as investment opportunities, solutions, and ownership options available to visitors and investors.

The expo brings together leading real estate entities and companies, providing a platform for industry stakeholders to connect, showcase their projects and products, and explore investment opportunities and ownership options available in the Saudi real estate market.

The opening ceremony also honored the event's patron, sponsors, and supporting partners in recognition of their contributions to SEREDO 2026 and their role in encouraging participation from across the real estate sector.

The exhibition runs through September 8, targeting real estate professionals, industry stakeholders, business leaders, and investors, as well as those interested in exploring projects and opportunities in real estate development, ownership, and investment.