Qassem’s Call to Topple Lebanon's Govt Exposes Differences with Berrihttps://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5277518-qassem%E2%80%99s-call-topple-lebanons-govt-exposes-differences-berri
Qassem’s Call to Topple Lebanon's Govt Exposes Differences with Berri
President Joseph Aoun chairs a cabinet meeting at the Baabda palace. (Lebanese Presidency file)
Hezbollah Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem’s call to topple the Lebanese government was not only rejected by the group’s political opponents, but also appeared out of step with the position of its main ally, Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, who along with Hezbollah has ministers in government.
While Qassem escalated his attack on the negotiations the Lebanese state is conducting with Israel and called on the street to bring down the government, the positions of Berri’s Development and Liberation bloc appeared closer to containing the escalation and stressing the priority of preserving institutions and internal stability.
In the absence of any practical signs that Hezbollah intends to move toward executive steps, such as the resignation of its ministers or an actual push to topple the government, Qassem’s remarks appeared closer to raising the political ceiling and maintaining media and popular pressure against the negotiations.
Qassem had called on Sunday evening for “toppling the government that is implementing the American Israeli project,” saying “the people have the right to take to the streets and topple the government and the American Israeli project.”
“There is no political sovereignty in Lebanon; it is subject to American tutelage,” he alleged.
He renewed his attack on the direct negotiations the Lebanese state is conducting with Israel, saying “they are rejected and a net gain for Israel,” and calling on the Lebanese authorities to abandon the talks and “not give America what it is asking for.”
Divergence within the Shiite duo
Ministerial sources close to the Lebanese presidency said Qassem’s remarks were merely “part of Hezbollah’s escalation and continuing attack on the negotiations, something that has not received a positive response, not only among Hezbollah’s opponents, but also among its allies.”
Hezbollah and Berri’s Amal movement are allies, commonly known as the Shiite duo.
“If Hezbollah wants to overthrow the government in which it is represented, it should first start by withdrawing its ministers from it, which it will not do under the current circumstances,” the sources told Asharq Al-Awsat.
MP Qassem Hashem, a member of Berri’s bloc, said Qassem’s call to topple the government “is nothing more and nothing less than an opinion.”
Hashem said in a radio interview that “more work must be done to unify the internal position and confront challenges in order to preserve common ground among the Lebanese, and this is Speaker Nabih Berri’s position.”
He ruled out any possibility that Hezbollah would withdraw its ministers, saying “the situation does not allow that.” He stressed “the need to preserve all institutions, especially as the government withstood the most difficult circumstances.”
President Joseph Aoun had issued a statement marking Liberation Day on Monday, hours after Qassem’s comments, in which he said that “Lebanon will not accept this reality and will not make peace with it. The path toward full Israeli withdrawal will remain a firm national demand that cannot be abandoned.”
He added that the Lebanese state was working to achieve this “through the option of negotiation, which will not be a concession or surrender, but an affirmation of Lebanon’s exclusive right to protect its land and sovereignty and extend its authority through its army and legitimate security forces.”
“The army will remain the sole guarantor of national security and territorial integrity,” he declared.
Rejection of Qassem’s attack
Aoun’s positions and the government’s decisions continue to receive broad support in Lebanon.
On the centenary of the Lebanese Constitution, the Kataeb Party stressed “the need to uphold its authority as the national pact among the Lebanese and the fundamental guarantee for the establishment of the state and the protection of freedoms.”
The Kataeb placed Qassem’s remarks “within the context of Iran’s insistence on undermining the independence of Lebanese decision-making,” saying that “if he objects to the government’s performance and decisions, it would be more appropriate for him to withdraw his ministers from it instead of resorting to fueling strife.”
It stressed the need to continue the direct Lebanese-Israeli negotiations and implement the Lebanese government’s decisions independently of any negotiations underway in the region, with the aim of securing a ceasefire, ensuring Israeli withdrawal, releasing prisoners, enabling the return of the displaced, reconstruction and the demarcation of the land border.
The Kataeb also called on Lebanon’s friends among Arab countries and Western countries to support the government in this effort and back the army as it implements the government’s decisions.
MP Ghada Ayoub, of the Lebanese Forces bloc. Said: “Qassem’s remarks are misplaced. Hezbollah is participating in the government, and if it has an objection to it or to the negotiations taking place in the United States, it should have taken the initiative to withdraw its ministers from the government first before targeting it.”
“I believe Qassem’s remarks are a threat that reveals Hezbollah’s plan to turn inward if the results of the negotiations are not in its favor,” she said in a radio interview, pointing to “confusion in the party’s position.”
Demonstrators block a road with flaming tires while protesting hikes to fuel prices in al-Bab, northeast of Aleppo in northern Syria, on September 14, 2026. (AFP)
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Syrians Protest Fuel Price Hikes
Demonstrators block a road with flaming tires while protesting hikes to fuel prices in al-Bab, northeast of Aleppo in northern Syria, on September 14, 2026. (AFP)
Syrians on Monday held demonstrations in various parts of the country for the second consecutive day over the government's decision to increase fuel prices due to the Middle East war.
They mark the first such protest since the authorities seized power after ousting in December 2024 longtime ruler Bashar al-Assad, under whom demonstrations were strictly prohibited.
An AFP correspondent saw protesters gather in the city of Maarat al-Numan in the northwestern province of Idlib, briefly cutting off the main road with burning tires.
"We want them to bring fuel prices back to their previous level. Winter is coming, how are the poor going to live and keep warm?" said taxi driver Fateh Hamsho, 67.
Other protests took place in Hasakeh in the northeast, in Atarib and Azaz in the north and in Khan Sheikhoun in the west, according to AFP correspondents.
Syrian authorities on Sunday announced a hike on fuel prices amid global surges due to the Middle East war, which began with US-Israeli strikes on Iran in February and quickly engulfed other countries in the region.
The war has seen oil infrastructure damaged in Gulf countries, with key waterways choking imports.
The price of diesel in Syria went from 125 Syrian pounds ($1) per liter to 175, a 40 percent increase, while petrol prices saw a 26 percent increase.
The UN said 90 percent of Syrians lived below the poverty line by the end of 2024, with the minimum wage in the country standing at around 12,560 pounds ($103).
The Syrian parliament on Thursday will hold a hearing for Energy Minister Mohammad al-Bashir to explain the reasons behind the hike.
Protests were previously banned under Assad, whose violent crackdown on peaceful demonstrations against his rule in 2011 led to a 13-year civil war.
Speaking to state television, Abdul Hamid Salat, head of the energy ministry's media department, said on Sunday that the price hikes were "temporary" and linked to global markets and the Iran war.
He said Syria currently relies heavily on imports to meet its fuel needs, making these products more costly as prices rise on global markets.
Syria currently produces around 100,000 barrels of oil per day, well below domestic demand of between 300,000 and 325,000 barrels per day, Salat said.
Arsenal of Iraqi Armed Factions ‘Remaining Until 2028’https://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5318393-arsenal-iraqi-armed-factions-%E2%80%98remaining-until-2028%E2%80%99
Arsenal of Iraqi Armed Factions ‘Remaining Until 2028’
Police academy graduates at a ceremony attended by PM Ali al-Zaidi in Baghdad on September 13. (Government media)
Following lengthy meetings in Baghdad, leaders within Iraq's ruling coalition believed they were capable of finalizing a settlement with representatives of pro-Iranian factions regarding post-US troop withdrawal arrangements, particularly the fate of weapons outside state control.
However, following attacks launched last Thursday from southern Iraq, near the border with Iran, against oil facilities in Saudi Arabia, these leaders likely found themselves functioning as "politicians searching for roles in a theater they do not control."
Private sources and officials speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat revealed that, prior to the recent attacks and with Iranian assistance, the factions succeeded in "hollowing out the weapons-containment plan after politically cornering Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi and stripping him of his leverage and enforcement tools."
Indeed, despair is gripping officials across various authorities in Baghdad. During a meeting with an American official who recently visited Iraq, a senior Kurdish official addressed him saying: "The political system now resembles an old bus speeding down a slope without brakes."
‘Time bomb’
Over the past few weeks, members of the committee negotiating the containment of weapons - former PM Nouri al-Maliki, former PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani, and Hadi al-Amiri, head of the Badr Organization - spent hours across at least four meetings negotiating a settlement based on the "non-use of weapons" on the condition that they are "not surrendered," according to sources.
Representatives of the factions planted - without objection from the senior negotiators - a "time bomb" within the settlement, which stipulates that "any agreement on the non-use of weapons shall be deemed void under specific circumstances."
Meanwhile, both sides reached a timeline extending until early 2028 for the factions to ultimately agree on laying down their arms.
Many believe that the timeline, initial details of which were obtained by Asharq Al-Awsat, reflects the vision of Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, who requested that Iraqi factions "buy time" with the United States.
Against this backdrop, leaders within the Coordination Framework leapt back into the arena after months of losing political influence. This shift follows Iranian pressure spearheaded by Qalibaf and other Iranian officials who visited Baghdad last month to prevent the US from securing gains that had begun with its unprecedented support for the government of PM Ali al-Zaidi.
Following the formation of al-Zaidi's government, hopes were revived in Iraq and the region that it would be able to address one of the most complex issues within the Iraqi political system. However, over time, it became apparent that the factions possess "experience in taming successive governments in Baghdad."
The balance of power in Baghdad has shifted. September 30 has become "a date for a factional victory," as described by individuals from Shiite factions and parties, instead of a deadline for achieving state monopoly over arms.
Meanwhile, US forces are accelerating their departure without leaving air defense equipment, even with their closest Kurdish allies in Erbil, in the Kurdistan Region.
PM Ali al-Zaidi, Coordination Framework member Hadi al-Ameri and former PM Mohammed Shia al-Sudani. (Coordination Framework)
Deadline without guarantees
About a week before the attack on the East-West pipeline in Saudi Arabia, negotiators from the Coordination Framework, along with representatives of the factions, reached a timeline extending to the end of 2027.
This agreement has no guarantees, except that the Iraqi factions pledge - according to the draft reviewed by Asharq Al-Awsat - to integrate their fighters as brigades within the Popular Mobilization Forces without surrendering their weapons, in a process beginning September 30 and continuing until December 31, 2026.
The second phase of the agreement begins in early 2027 with scheduling the withdrawal of Turkish forces from Iraq, to be completed by July 1 of next year.
The third phase begins with the formation of a four-party committee comprising the PMF, Coordination Framework, factions, and government to monitor the implementation of the integration and the Turkish withdrawal until early 2028.
However, representatives of the factions approved the plan on the condition that it "be considered immediately void by one party" in the event that war against Iran resumes during any stage of implementation, or if "any party within the Coordination Framework or the factions faces an existential threat," according to two individuals briefed on the meeting.
One of them told Asharq Al-Awsat that "in return, the factions commit to not targeting foreign companies or other entities during the phases of the agreement."
Over the past months, Iraqi officials had been informing diplomatic and intelligence circles in the US that Baghdad had exited the "unity of the fronts" established by Iran across four regional capitals, but that they required "special treatment to resolve the issue of weapons outside state control."
In view of the recent draft agreement, the factions continue to tightly link the two tracks: regional war and restricting weapons to state control.
PMF fighters on patrol. (PMF)
‘Framework’ protects resistance fighters
A consensus was reached among the four leaders within the Framework and representatives of the factions on the necessity of "protecting the resistance fighters." During the final meeting, they drafted the agreement that outlines the post-September 30 phase "from the factions' perspective," according to a leader who was present at the meeting.
The leader, speaking on the condition of anonymity, stated that "the agreement may be announced early next October, depending on circumstances (...) as nothing is guaranteed."
In that meeting, held earlier this September, Haidar al-Gharawi, head of the Ansar Allah al-Awfiya faction, and Abu Alaa al-Walae, head of the Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, were in attendance. They were joined by a representative of Abu Hussein al-Humaidawi, head of Kataib Hezbollah, and another representing Akram al-Kaabi, head of the Harakat al-Nujaba. All of these factions are close to Iran and are also linked to shadow factions such as Awliya al-Dam and Ahl al-Kahf.
According to two individuals briefed on what transpired during the meeting, the representatives of the factions outlined "priorities" that entail "not surrendering weapons and avoiding any process that portrays the matter as a surrender to the US, while refraining from heading toward an escalation that would prompt the Americans to halt the support to al-Zaidi's government."
A senior political advisor within the ruling coalition believes that "the new approach, which tips the balance in favor of the factions over the government, received a strong boost after it leaked into the corridors of Shiite parties that the Americans would also not object to a proforma containment of weapons, on the condition that they are not used."
There is a growing impression regarding the futility of negotiating with the factions, and that a minimal agreement ensuring the freezing or regulation of weapons would be enough.
The advisor told Asharq Al-Awsat that "despair has begun creeping into the Americans and Iraqi officials tasked with weapons containment; in fact, some have stopped exerting pressure altogether to make the plan succeed and have abandoned the file out of sheer exhaustion from the factions," as he put it.
However, an Iraqi official speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the condition of anonymity, warned against "assuming a lenient American stance, as messages have recently arrived with the appointment of Steven Fagin as the new Chargé d'Affaires of the US Embassy."
The official stated: "It is being rumored in private meetings that Washington considers the factions' weapons to be the arsenal of a hostile state that Baghdad cannot keep, but must destroy."
PM Ali al-Zaidi attends a Coordination Framework meeting in Baghdad. (INA)
No neutral party
Al-Zaidi was less involved in the Coordination Framework negotiations with the factions, perhaps because he "does not feel that the negotiating party is sufficiently neutral," according to an advisor within the ruling coalition.
During a recent Framework meeting held in Baghdad, al-Zaidi told the leaders of Shiite parties: "I will be frank with you, the committee negotiating with the factions is biased... I do not feel that trusting it is a wise decision."
However, the PM himself slowed down the weapons containment process. Those close to him said that he "realized how much the momentum he began with following his meeting with US President Donald Trump (mid-last July) was far from reality."
Nevertheless, a prominent leader responded to him by saying: "The committee includes veteran and experienced figures who are undertaking a complex mission that they have not been, and will not be, able to accomplish."
According to a person close to the government palace in Baghdad "al-Zaidi decided to step back slightly, but in a calculated manner, without abandoning the project."
A senior official also quoted al-Zaidi during one of the meetings as saying: "There is no solution to the dilemma except by imposing state authority over weapons."
In parallel with the four meetings held between the factions and leaders of the Framework, al-Zaidi engaged in bilateral dialogues with Harakat al-Nujaba and Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, offering them what reliable sources described as "civilian privileges" in exchange for a reasonable formula for disarmament.
PMF members guard a PMF command base in Basra on July 29, 2026. (Reuters)
Factions want more
However, the factions are demanding more than that. A person close to the leader of one of the factions said they are "seeking guarantees against legal prosecution and a waiver on background checks for their members and leaderships."
He added: "Everyone knows that no one can grant these guarantees, but making them a condition is part of the process of buying time."
A person close to Al-Nujaba revealed that "the factions view civilian privileges (meaning positions within government institutions) as a natural entitlement resulting from their role in fighting ISIS."
They noted that Kataib Hezbollah was not part of the bilateral talks with the government due to "a deep crisis of trust that forces them to impose harsher conditions."
At most, the government's attempts to lure the factions into a settlement have failed. The American official told Asharq Al-Awsat that "the Iraqis he met feel that al-Zaidi stands alone without friends or allies," and that "the entire process (of weapons containment) has reached a dead end, and they do not know the way out of all this."
The official added that he heard a similar tone of despair from the Kurdish official in Erbil, saying: "The sound of a massive crash will echo from the dilapidated bus in Baghdad (...) the brothers in Baghdad cannot apply the brakes on the factions."
France, Iraq Deepen Energy, Defense Ties During Al-Zaidi Visithttps://english.aawsat.com/arab-world/5318376-france-iraq-deepen-energy-defense-ties-during-al-zaidi-visit
France's President Emmanuel Macron (R) shakes hand with Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi (L) during an agreement signing ceremony at the Elysee Palace in Paris on September 14, 2026. (AFP)
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France, Iraq Deepen Energy, Defense Ties During Al-Zaidi Visit
France's President Emmanuel Macron (R) shakes hand with Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi (L) during an agreement signing ceremony at the Elysee Palace in Paris on September 14, 2026. (AFP)
France and Iraq on Monday called for a "diversification of export routes" for oil and gas in the Middle East in response to the instability generated by the conflict between the United States and Iran, following talks in Paris.
French President Emmanuel Macron and Iraq's Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi stressed the importance of "regional interconnections" and export route diversification to "ensure regional energy security", in a joint statement.
Zaidi visited the Elysee Paris on his first trip to Europe since taking office in May and is also expected in Berlin on Tuesday.
The visit comes as the situation in the Middle East continues to deteriorate, with the Iran-backed Houthi militants cementing their hold on the Bab al-Mandeb Strait on Friday, adding to the crisis of Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and driving oil prices up.
On Monday, French energy giant TotalEnergies signed a memorandum of understanding with Iraq on liquefied natural gas supplies and agreed to discuss further energy projects.
TotalEnergies chief Patrick Pouyanne "affirmed the company's readiness to cooperate with Iraq in the oil and energy sectors", noting the company planned to increase its investments in Iraq to $16 billion from $12 billion, during a meeting with Zaidi.
The two countries, which in recent years have been involved in the fight against the ISIS extremist group, also agreed to deepen defense cooperation.
They signed a strategic roadmap on the acquisition of French military equipment as Iraq seeks to modernize its armed forces and strengthen its sovereignty capabilities.
French drone company Harmattan AI separately signed a letter of intent with Iraq's defense ministry concerning autonomous air-defense systems.
Several other agreements were signed in areas including development assistance, education, civil aviation and electricity infrastructure.
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