Rebuilding War-Torn Syria Through Opaque Real Estate Development

Widespread destruction in the Yarmouk Palestinian Camp in Damascus (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Widespread destruction in the Yarmouk Palestinian Camp in Damascus (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Rebuilding War-Torn Syria Through Opaque Real Estate Development

Widespread destruction in the Yarmouk Palestinian Camp in Damascus (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Widespread destruction in the Yarmouk Palestinian Camp in Damascus (Asharq Al-Awsat)

On the Southern Ring Road in the Syrian capital, Damascus, Najah Hassan waves at passing cars, hoping one will take her to the turnoff for her hometown of Daraya, where large areas remain either completely or partially destroyed by the war. Once inside a car, she begins describing the hardships of displacement and her inability to repair her home in Daraya's Shamiyat neighborhood, which was damaged by shelling.

She says she is forced to move between her two daughters' homes because she cannot afford to rent even a single room in neighborhoods around the capital.

A striking contrast is visible on either side of the road dividing the area. To the south, the destruction of Daraya stretches across the horizon. To the north, the residential buildings of the Mezzeh district and the towers of the Marota City project rise into view. Syrian authorities have resumed work on the development, which was originally launched under the previous government.

Najah, who lost both her husband and son during the war, points toward the towers with regret.

"Building homes for displaced families is more important than building luxury towers for the wealthy who never lost their homes or their livelihoods."

The contrast is evident across Damascus, where two realities appear to belong to different countries. Billboards advertise modern residential compounds and luxury apartments, promoted as symbols of a new life with promises of comfort, investment opportunities, and a more prosperous future. Yet just a few yards away, entire neighborhoods still bear the scars of war, with widespread destruction and districts that have yet to see reconstruction projects or even basic infrastructure restored.

This gap between the image promoted by real estate development projects and the reality facing much of Syria's population raises questions that go beyond architecture and urban planning. It has prompted debate over the selective nature of these projects, their economic and social priorities, who stands to benefit from them, and whether they reflect the country's actual housing needs.

Following the fall of Bashar al-Assad's government, discussion of investment and development projects gained momentum. Many Syrian families hoped the new authorities would make addressing the country's severe housing crisis a priority by launching a genuine reconstruction plan that would help end years of displacement, homelessness, and the burden of rising rents.

That optimism quickly faded as the government's strategy came to rely on attracting domestic and foreign real estate investment companies. These firms have focused on building large new residential developments where only wealthy buyers can afford to purchase apartments, while families whose homes were destroyed have largely been left to face their circumstances on their own.

Modern buildings where construction has resumed within gated residential developments on the outskirts of the Syrian capital, Damascus (Asharq Al-Awsat)

"Yaafour 963"... A $300,000 Apartment

Among the real estate developments that have been promoted in recent months is Yaafour 963, located west of Damascus along the Damascus-Beirut highway. The project was launched by Invest Group Overseas, an investment firm headquartered in Dubai.

According to the real estate platform Al Masdar Al Aqari, the development spans nearly 144,000 square meters and consists of 13 buildings, including 12 residential buildings and a social club. More than 75 percent of the total area has been allocated to green spaces, open areas, and shared amenities.

The project's total investment value has not been disclosed. However, the platform said it includes 1,280 residential units, ranging from two, three, and four-bedroom apartments to penthouses.

Apartments in the development, which offers a wide range of facilities and services, start at $300,000 for a two-bedroom unit. Such apartment sizes do not meet the needs of the average Syrian family, while their prices are far beyond what most households can afford.

In a country where the monthly salary for most public sector employees does not exceed $150, while the basic monthly living expenses for even a small family are estimated at around $500, a price tag of $300,000 is far beyond reach.

With hopes fading for a government-led reconstruction effort or investment-backed projects aimed at rebuilding devastated areas, many families have found themselves with little choice but to return to damaged homes after carrying out limited repairs at their own expense, often financed through irregular money transfers from relatives abroad.

Questionable Investment Deals in Jobar

Residents and local officials in Jobar, a historic and economically significant suburb northeast of Damascus, say they have been presented with investment offers from unidentified companies in which the government acts as an intermediary rather than a guarantor.

Eymen al-Dasuqi, a senior researcher at the Omran Center for Strategic Studies who recently conducted a field visit to war-damaged areas, said one company has begun offering settlements to property owners in Jobar regarding their real estate. Under the proposed arrangements, owners of properties officially registered in the land registry would receive only 50 percent of the value of their holdings, while agricultural landowners would be offered 35 percent of the value of their land.

Al-Dasuqi said the mechanism has raised concerns that residents could lose ownership of their properties or see their real estate rights diminished through reconstruction projects. Some view the model as a way of consolidating privately owned properties while compensating owners for only a portion of their value.

It is widely rumored that businessmen with ties to the former government are behind these companies or hold significant stakes in them. As a result, many Jobar residents say their objections to the company's proposal go beyond legal and technical concerns and extend to the individuals involved.

High-rise towers and luxury apartments await affluent buyers (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Al-Dasuqi added that, based on the company's market assessment, the proposed sale price for residential units is about $1,000 per square meter, well beyond the purchasing power of Jobar's residents, most of whom remain displaced.

He attributed the high price to the structure of real estate development projects in war-damaged areas. Under these arrangements, investment companies are expected to finance the restoration of basic services to compensate for the government's limited role. The cost is then passed on through higher housing prices and by acquiring stakes in land through partnership agreements with property owners.

Government as an Intermediary for Investors

The government is seeking to position itself as an intermediary that persuades investors to rebuild war-damaged areas while responding to pressure from communities that endured years of conflict and are seeking compensation. At the same time, it has announced a plan to close displacement camps, making investor-led construction in cleared areas its preferred approach.

However, what appears to be a pragmatic strategy has directed development projects toward higher-income buyers, while sidelining a large segment of rightful property owners with limited incomes.

Al-Dasuqi said this model is unlikely to achieve "social stability."

"The government genuinely wants to rebuild the destroyed areas and may encourage such projects, but it has no authority to compel investors to work there. Investors put forward proposals that align with their own economic interests," he said.

He added that the relevant government bodies, including the Damascus Governorate, the Ministry of Housing, and the Ministry of Local Administration, have been trying to persuade residents of war-damaged areas to accept the offers made by investment companies, arguing that they may represent the best available option.

According to al-Dasuqi, another explanation for the state's reluctance to take on reconstruction directly is the view that its role is limited to regulating the process by issuing laws and legislation and attracting investment proposals, rather than carrying out reconstruction itself or providing basic services. Under this approach, those responsibilities are left to the domestic and foreign private sector.

At the same time, luxury cities are being developed to serve what al-Dasuqi describes as a new social class in Syria, the "newly wealthy." He said this group accumulated substantial wealth during the war through large-scale real estate projects in parts of northern Syria and now represents an estimated 1 to 3 percent of the population. The target market also includes Syrians living abroad, the large Syrian diaspora in Europe that has become integrated into the European economy, and foreign investors seeking a foothold in Syria.

Al-Dasuqi said such large-scale developments meet the needs of only a limited segment of the population, which could be accommodated with the construction of around 100,000 housing units. Meanwhile, the housing crisis facing 3 million internally displaced people and 5 million refugees remains unresolved.

Marota City and Decree 66

The involvement of new companies in real estate development projects in war-damaged areas is not a new phenomenon in Syria. In 2012, the Assad government issued the controversial Decree 66, officially presented as a plan to redevelop informal settlements and unregulated housing areas.

Since the fall of the former government, debate over the decree has resurfaced, particularly in connection with the two redevelopment zones established under it. The first covers the southeastern Mezzeh and Kafr Sousa area, later renamed Marota City, including what is commonly known as the Mezzeh Orchards and parts of Kafr Sousa. The second is located south of the Southern Ring Road and was later named Basilia City.

Property owners in both areas who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat, along with Syrian legal experts and international human rights organizations, said the former government's objective in issuing Decree 66 was to strip residents of their property, displace them, and alter the demographic composition of the two areas.

According to international reports published in 2018, "Decree 66 punishes displaced people and obstructs investigations into war crimes." The reports also said the former government "used the decree to confiscate property and displace residents."

In June 2020, the US Treasury Department imposed sanctions on former Damascus Governor Adel al-Olabi for his role in overseeing Damascus Cham Holding and the Marota City and Basilia City real estate developments. It described the project as "the largest real estate investment in Syria, worth millions of dollars," and said it was intended to reshape the area's demographics into "a wealthy population that is politically loyal to the regime."

Property Owners Seek Changes to Decree 66

Following the fall of the former government in 2024, original landowners in the Marota City and Basilia City development areas have expressed hope that the Syrian authorities will repeal or amend Decree 66 to restore the rights of the original owners after what they describe as years of injustice under the ousted government. Instead, Damascus Governorate has continued implementing the decree, prompting growing frustration among residents, who have staged protests demanding fair treatment.

Bashir Baalbaki, one of the original landowners in the Mezzeh Orchards area, told Asharq Al-Awsat that "under the former government, the governorate returned only 17 percent of our land to the original owners. That is the height of injustice."

Baalbaki added, "The replacement housing was supposed to be provided free of charge and within the same area. However, the governorate failed to honor that commitment, both in terms of location and compensation. Instead, property owners received a modest annual rental allowance that did not come close to compensating them for their property rights."

Following the change in government, the governorate increased the rental allowance by a factor of 35. However, Baalbaki said it "still does not reflect current rental and real estate market prices, especially given the enormous inflation. The governorate also promised to provide replacement housing in a neighboring area, but the units would be delivered unfinished and at a price that remains unknown to this day."

Residents return to their war-damaged homes, making whatever repairs they can to avoid soaring rents (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Targeting "Revolution Strongholds" Through the Law

Moatasim al-Sioufi, director of the Syria-based organization The Day After, which has conducted research on property rights and real estate development projects, said the core problem with Decree 66 and Law No. 10 of 2018 is that they "were issued under extraordinary circumstances during the years of the uprising , and were used by the former government against areas that had risen up against it. Those areas were strongholds of the uprising , and the laws were used to alter their identity and demographic character."

Al-Sioufi told Asharq Al-Awsat that property owners were subjected to "significant abuse," noting that many original owners were unable to prove ownership because of the circumstances at the time. He also said there were numerous cases of forced property sales. According to al-Sioufi, several prominent figures from the former government, including Asma al-Assad and businessmen Samer Foz and Hossam al-Qaterji, held major stakes in the Marota City towers, and those holdings have since been placed under the management of the Sovereign Fund.

Explaining what he describes as the mechanism behind the process, al-Sioufi said: "If you own a piece of agricultural land in Damascus today worth $1,000, its value can rise to $10,000 or even $100,000 once it is rezoned for construction. But under Decree 66, the land was assigned a fixed value, and owners were given shares in the new development in return. Meanwhile, property prices within the redevelopment zone rose so dramatically that the shares allocated to owners were no longer enough to buy even a single room, or even a bathroom, in one of the new towers, while individual apartments sell for around $1.5 million. In my view, this amounts to a form of fraud against property owners, or an indirect seizure of their property, and it continues to this day."

Al-Sioufi said that during the former government's rule, the Damascus Governorate took control of a large share of the residential and commercial plots within the project before offering them for investment through Damascus Cham Holding, claiming the proceeds would finance infrastructure projects. He said the arrangement raises many questions.

In his view, "the logical solution" would be to halt the implementation of Decree 66 at its current stage and then amend it in a way that guarantees fair compensation for the original property owners from the governorate's share.

Yarmouk Camp: A Double Catastrophe

In Yarmouk camp, south of Damascus, once known as the "capital of the Palestinian diaspora" before becoming one of the most prominent symbols of Syria's wartime destruction, signs of returning displaced families are becoming increasingly visible. Local markets have seen some activity resume, despite the continued devastation and the poor state of basic services, including electricity, water, sanitation, and telecommunications.

Along the main street and in several side alleys, buildings that have been rebuilt only to the structural frame stand out. Families are living in a single finished room with a minimally equipped kitchen and bathroom, while others have repaired their apartments despite the risk of collapse in severely damaged buildings.

Yassar al-Omar returned to his home in the camp about a year and a half ago. Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat while sitting on a chair along the sidewalk, the man in his sixties blamed both the government and the UNRWA.

"Unfortunately, we haven't seen anyone."

He said soaring apartment rents, which have climbed to more than $400 a month in areas surrounding the camp, have forced displaced families to return to their homes after carrying out only limited repairs.

"The important thing is to escape the greed of landlords. We installed a front door for the apartment and used curtains and blankets to cover the interior doorways and windows. Some people are living on bread and onions just to save enough money for repairs."

Commenting on the new residential developments, he said, "These apartments and services are not for us. Even in informal neighborhoods, owning a small apartment has become an impossible dream for the overwhelming majority of people given current prices."

Residents rebuild and repair homes on their own as no government reconstruction plan is in place (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Government Largely Absent From Reconstruction

Al-Dasuqi pointed to local community initiatives to repair homes in the city of Deir ez-Zor, as well as projects by aid organizations to rehabilitate some markets. "But what is missing in all the war-damaged areas I visited, whether in Jobar in Damascus or the eastern countryside of Aleppo and Idlib, is the government's presence in the reconstruction process," he said.

According to al-Dasuqi, the government's absence stems from the enormous cost of reconstruction, which is typically financed by the state, the private sector, or external loans. As for the Syrian government, he said, "it is effectively outside this process because it faces major challenges and has not yet recovered financially in terms of public revenues and the state treasury. Taking on reconstruction could overwhelm the state's already strained finances.

That raises the question of why the government has not turned to foreign loans, especially since reconstruction efforts in many countries have relied on external financing.

Al-Dasuqi believes the government's reluctance to seek loans is driven by religious rulings on borrowing and interest, as well as concerns over sovereignty. Instead, it has sought to attract private capital by opening the door to investment in rebuilding war-damaged cities through agreements with local residents.

However, al-Dasuqi argued that the state is failing to fulfill its role as the guarantor of property rights. Instead, it functions more as an intermediary. When it presents residents with an offer from a real estate company to redevelop their area, it simply asks whether they accept it. In his view, the government should instead clearly determine whether the proposal adequately protects property rights and ownership interests.

A rebuilt building, with the Damascus Governorate's seal visible on the doors of its ground-floor shops (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Possible Solutions Based on the Turkish Model

Al-Dasuqi believes one possible alternative would be for the government to strike land-for-development agreements with real estate companies by granting them state-owned land for investment in exchange for rebuilding a war-damaged neighborhood. He said the government needs to deliver tangible progress that helps narrow the gap between itself and residents of these areas before it widens further. This, he said, could be achieved by offering incentives and exemptions to encourage investors to undertake projects in devastated neighborhoods.

Al-Dasuqi noted that the government has the advantage of being able to draw on the experiences of other countries, particularly Turkish public-private housing models. He pointed to the Turkish state housing developer TOKİ, which builds homes and sells them at cost through affordable installment plans.

He added, "It is not unlikely that we will see a restructuring of Syria's Sovereign Fund through the creation of a real estate holding arm modeled on TOKİ. It could then begin providing housing at cost to citizens through installment plans, once settlement agreements with businessmen linked to the former government have been completed."

He said such a model would depend on two key factors: establishing effective governance for the Sovereign Fund to ensure a stable operating framework, and securing sufficient capital to finance the initiative. However, he does not expect such a project to be in place for at least another one to two years.

The Sovereign Fund was established by presidential decree in June 2025. It has since participated in several investment forums, and indications have emerged that it manages assets acquired through settlements reached by the Committee for Combating Illicit Gains with businessmen linked to the former government and some of its leading economic figures.



Years on From Fall of ISIS, French Extremists Face Justice in Iraq

An ISIS flag hangs amid electric wires over a street in Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp, near the port-city of Sidon, southern Lebanon January 19, 2016. REUTERS/Ali Hashisho
An ISIS flag hangs amid electric wires over a street in Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp, near the port-city of Sidon, southern Lebanon January 19, 2016. REUTERS/Ali Hashisho
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Years on From Fall of ISIS, French Extremists Face Justice in Iraq

An ISIS flag hangs amid electric wires over a street in Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp, near the port-city of Sidon, southern Lebanon January 19, 2016. REUTERS/Ali Hashisho
An ISIS flag hangs amid electric wires over a street in Ain al-Hilweh Palestinian refugee camp, near the port-city of Sidon, southern Lebanon January 19, 2016. REUTERS/Ali Hashisho

A decade ago, the ISIS group broadcast its crimes as it recruited radicals from around the world and imposed a brutal system of oppression across swathes of Syria and Iraq.

Years on from the group's military defeat, accused members are again in the spotlight -- this time on trial in Iraq, including French nationals, for atrocities committed against the people trapped in the so-called caliphate.

Trials began in September for 47 French citizens who were transferred from Syria last year, charged with belonging to the group that controlled large parts of both countries between 2014 and 2017.

In its first verdicts handed down last week, Baghdad's Karkh Criminal Court sentenced nine men to jail terms of up to 20 years.

A 24-year-old defendant, taken to Syria by his mother more than 10 years ago, was given 15 years. AFP is withholding his identity for legal reasons.

When the sentence was announced, the man said in Arabic: "I went to Syria, but it was my mother who chose for me. What is my fault?"

- 'Deceived' -

Thousands of people travelled from Europe to join ISIS during the war in Syria, where it declared a caliphate in 2014.

France, while repatriating hundreds of family members of extremists, has refused to bring back most of the men accused of involvement, leaving them to face justice abroad.

Many French recruits were from disadvantaged suburbs of major cities and faced limited opportunities.

The group jailed or killed anyone who dared speak out against its atrocities.

Fear was the group's instrument of domination over areas where women were hidden from view and where executions were carried out by bearded militants in public squares, for all to see.

Now, the accused are now being brought to court with shaved faces, wearing orange jumpsuits.

About 1,500 French people are believed to have joined ISIS.

Among them was Kamel Ben Mbarek, 42, who said he had worked as a driver for the group's police in Raqqa, in northern Syria.

"I regret it... because I wasn't young when the organization deceived me," he told the court.

Fewer than half of the French defendants have appeared so far.

"I regret everything I did. I've lost everything," said Adel Bouaoun, 28, accused of taking part in ISIS operations in Syria's Aleppo and Palmyra.

He recounted harsh conditions in Kurdish-run prisons in Syria, saying detainees had died, and described "physical and psychological torture".

ISIS was defeated in Iraq in 2017 and then in Syria in 2019 by a US-led coalition.

Thousands of extremists, along with their families, were left in Syrian prisons and camps under Kurdish command.

Earlier this year, the new Syrian authorities that came to power after the fall of Bashar al-Assad took over the prisons holding the extremists.

The US army then transferred more than 5,700 detainees of about 60 nationalities to Iraq, including at least five French nationals.

Rights groups have criticized the judicial process, calling it rushed and saying that confessions were extracted under duress.

"This entire procedure is a form of pressure. You have recorded statements that are not mine," Lakhdar Sebouai, 34, said in court.

Also among those awaiting trial is Adrien Guihal, who claimed responsibility on behalf of ISIS for the July 2016 attack in Nice, when a truck rammed Bastille Day crowds, killing 86 people.

- 'Law of the jungle' -

At one hearing, three defendants were visibly moved when they saw their siblings, who had come from France, for the first time in years.

The judge allowed them to speak together for a few minutes.

In October, French lawyers Matthieu Bagard and Marie Dose, who are defending many of the 47 French nationals, said the Iraqi judiciary had barred them from entering the country to attend the hearings, after they described the detainees' treatment as "inhumane".

The two lawyers are calling for the defendants' repatriation to France so they can be tried there.

Two Iraqi lawyers appointed in their absence refused to speak to AFP.

"Even if his sentence is different, he was tortured like an adult and tried like an adult," Bagard told AFP, referring to the 24-year-old taken to Syria as a child.

Observers, representatives of the French embassy and journalists are attending the trials.

Rights groups fear death sentences will be handed out.

Before the court, Thomas Barnouin, 45, whose verdict is expected November 18, recalled travelling to Syria at the start of the conflict, convinced that he had a religious duty.

But "the organization applied the law of the jungle, not the law of God", he said.

"We did not know that it also wanted to carry out terrorist attacks in our own country, in France," he added.

"I reject all its crimes."


Report: Iran’s Hidden Web of Military Agencies Is Slipping Hardware Past the US Blockade

Iranian missiles are displayed on a street in Tehran, Iran, September 27, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
Iranian missiles are displayed on a street in Tehran, Iran, September 27, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
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Report: Iran’s Hidden Web of Military Agencies Is Slipping Hardware Past the US Blockade

Iranian missiles are displayed on a street in Tehran, Iran, September 27, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters
Iranian missiles are displayed on a street in Tehran, Iran, September 27, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency) via Reuters

Iran has created a secret network of military agencies with global reach to import at least $2 billion in hardware, explosives and heavy-duty trucks since January 2025, evading both the US naval blockade and Western sanctions, a Reuters investigation has found.

Hidden behind names ‌starting with the letters MOD, for the Ministry of Defense, are more than 5,000 agencies that form a formidable financial and military machine. Their financial footprints are on bills of lading and other shipping data dating back to 2016. Some are tied to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and to business conglomerates known as bonyads that are controlled by Iran's elite.

The findings offer a window into one of the war’s great mysteries: How is the IRGC replenishing its missile and drone arsenals while firing them in their thousands?

In the 18 months from January 2025 to June 2026 – including four months into this year’s war – a single one of these agencies, MOD 346428, imported huge quantities of rocket propellants, explosives and weapons components that are critical for making drones and missiles, as well as heavy-duty trucks that can serve as missile launchers. The hardware came in by land, sea and air – much of it recorded as originating in China, Russia and Germany.

This investigation of the MOD network is based on thousands of Iranian bank and government records, corporate filings and import data.

The secret agencies all share the same Tehran address as Iran’s Ministry of Defense and Armed Forces Logistics, or MODAFL. They list their incorporation date as February 11, 1979, the day Khomeini took power in Iran after overthrowing the monarchy. Most were actually established in 2013, the records show, as Iran struggled under sanctions that saw its crude exports and currency plunge.

The agencies, identified for the first time by Reuters in collaboration with the Israeli-American risk consultancy 240 Analytics, form the backbone of Iran’s military procurement and sanctions evasion apparatus. They operate a web of frontmen and foreign shell companies, collectively known as trustees, who use the proceeds from illicit oil sales to buy goods for Iran.

Senior military leaders involved in Iran’s ballistic missile and drone programs use the network. Phone numbers registered to 91 of the agencies also appear in records from state-run Bank Sepah of IRGC personnel with accounts there. Among them are at least two commanders the US has accused of abuses against civilian protestors.

While Iran’s military has been under multiple US sanctions for decades, Reuters could find no evidence that any of the numbered agencies referenced in the documents have been designated by Western governments.

“What you have here is the regime's military lifeline during this conflict and for many years before,” said Miad Maleki, a former senior official at the US Treasury Department who helped design the American sanctions program against Iran. “This is the complete ecosystem of the Iranian military’s trade business.”

The weapons import network has provided many of the raw materials Iran needs to make missiles and drones. Those munitions are responsible for Iran’s relentless precision attacks against Gulf energy infrastructure, allowing Tehran to blunt America’s military assault.

In other reports this year, Reuters has shown how Iran withstood US pressure by exploiting crypto exchanges and illegal gambling networks to tap illicit revenues and circumvent sanctions, how the IRGC consolidated control of the Strait of Hormuz, and how the war has ushered in a new era of repression.

Maleki was one of four experts on Iranian sanctions and weapons who reviewed the Reuters findings and confirmed that many of the materials could be used in Iran’s missile and drone programs.

None of the Iranian government entities or companies contacted by Reuters responded to detailed requests for comment, including Tehran’s UN delegation to Geneva and the presidency.

In a statement in response to the Reuters findings, a Treasury Department spokeswoman said the United States “has severed the regime’s economic lifelines.”

“While the regime may continue its desperate attempts to evade our powerful sanctions, fund its military and weapons programs, and access foreign currency, we are always 10 steps ahead,” the spokeswoman said.

In tracking the materials, Reuters cross-checked a portion of some 19,000 import records using the shipping documents, footage from social media, and state media reports. Nearly all of the items that Iran imported were exempt from duty and specifically marked as military equipment, the data shows. The experts noted that much of the material, even explosives, can be considered dual-use, and so could also have civilian purposes.

The Wall Street Journal reported some of the shipments from China on September 23.

PARALLEL TRADE SYSTEM

The secret military agencies form a foreign-trade system parallel to the formal global economy that allows Iran to spend the money it earns abroad selling illicit oil on military hardware, said Maleki, who was the associate director of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control until last year.

Money rarely crosses borders, where it might trip a sanctions alarm. Instead, for 97% of the shipments Reuters reviewed, the transactions were settled “without currency transfer,” the import data shows. Trusted frontmen in the diaspora, using cash held in foreign banks, bought the goods and shipped them home.

One end user of the network is the military unit overseeing Iran’s ballistic missile program. Another is Sahara Thunder, which was sanctioned by the US in 2024 for manufacturing and supplying drones to Russia that have devastated Ukraine. Reuters and 240 Analytics identified the Iranian military units by cross-referencing the import data with corporate registry filings, and emails and documents compiled on the website WikiIran.

Reuters could not determine the identities of the people who run WikiIran, a website that solicits leaked documents from the Islamic Republic and says it is operated by Iranians opposed to the government and “forced into exile.”

During the first six months of this year, according to the import data, deliveries included $1.9 million worth of detonators, tons of explosives, aircraft engine parts, rocket fuel ingredients and heavy-duty launch vehicles. All could be used as key components to build and fire ballistic missiles and drones ‌including the Shahed series, according to weapons and sanctions experts.

“This ‌looks like an industrial-scale effort to rebuild or expand Iran's existing fleet” of drones and missiles, said Peter Salisbury, an adjunct assistant professor at Columbia University who has spent the past several years researching Iranian arms transfers and supply chains. “This data clearly shows the Iranian ecosystem’s adaptability and its ability to find new routes.”

Salisbury and one of the other experts said they have used WikiIran’s data in the past and have found it to ‌be accurate.

The United States ⁠and Israel have targeted Iran’s ballistic missile and ⁠drone operations from the start of this year’s war on February 28, including factories the Pentagon said were turning out munitions. Reuters could not determine the extent of the damage, but Iran has continued to fire on its neighbors and on ships trying to transit Hormuz.

The material entered Iran by cargo ship across the Caspian Sea from Russia, by truck from Central Asia, and by freight planes from China,, according to documents reviewed by Reuters and records provided by ImportGenius, a platform that aggregates import-export data.

In response to detailed questions about the Reuters findings, China’s Foreign Ministry said it was “unaware of the situation you describe.”

“We firmly oppose attempts to maliciously link regional hostilities to China or smear China’s reputation,” the Foreign Ministry said in a faxed statement.

Russia’s Defense Ministry, the White House and CENTCOM did not respond to requests for comment.

Beyond individual components, Iran is buying precision machinery that could be used to manufacture its own military equipment. The purchases include items coded as sophisticated computer-controlled lathes, electron-beam furnaces and particle accelerators, according to import data that runs to June. All have industrial purposes and can also be used to make military equipment, including drone and missile bodies.

On October 12, US President Donald Trump said he did not believe China and Russia were providing support to Iran. “If they are, it’s at a very low level, but I don’t believe they are at all,” he posted on social media. “They have too much to lose, and we would know about it, and know about it very fast!”


For Palestinian Citizens of Israel, a Historic Vote Borne of Fear and Frustration

Palestinian candidate Mansour Abbas, leader of the Ra'am party, holds his daughter as he places his vote at a polling station, on the day of Israel’s national election, in Maghar, Israel, October 27, 2026. REUTERS/Rami Shlush
Palestinian candidate Mansour Abbas, leader of the Ra'am party, holds his daughter as he places his vote at a polling station, on the day of Israel’s national election, in Maghar, Israel, October 27, 2026. REUTERS/Rami Shlush
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For Palestinian Citizens of Israel, a Historic Vote Borne of Fear and Frustration

Palestinian candidate Mansour Abbas, leader of the Ra'am party, holds his daughter as he places his vote at a polling station, on the day of Israel’s national election, in Maghar, Israel, October 27, 2026. REUTERS/Rami Shlush
Palestinian candidate Mansour Abbas, leader of the Ra'am party, holds his daughter as he places his vote at a polling station, on the day of Israel’s national election, in Maghar, Israel, October 27, 2026. REUTERS/Rami Shlush

For Palestinian citizens of Israel, it was a rare moment of political triumph.

Hundreds of thousands voted in record numbers, giving two Arab-led parties their largest-ever number of seats in Israel’s parliament.

Many boycotted past elections, seeing little point. But after years of their communities being demonized or neglected, some of Israel’s most marginalized citizens turned to the ballot box to fight back against the most right-wing government in the country’s history.

“We are here and we’re not on the sidelines,” declared Mansour Abbas, leader of the Ra'am party, as supporters cheered in a wedding hall Tuesday night, watching the exit polls.

The surge makes them a major political force that could enable opposition parties to assemble a coalition to oust Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

But the question is whether Netanyahu’s main rival, Gadi Eisenkot, and other opponents will ally with them. Only once has an Arab-led party ever served in an Israeli government. During the campaign, Netanyahu had accused his main opponents of planning to form a coalition with them, which Eisenkot denied.

Netanyahu and his allies are now turning up the anti-Arab rhetoric even further, making unproven claims that foreign powers bribed voters to back Arab-led parties. In a Thursday post on X, Netanyahu warned against any party forming a government with them, saying it would lead to the "Islamization of Israel.”

Palestinian grievances fueled the surge

More than 800,000 people on Tuesday voted for Ra’am and the Joint List, a coalition of three Arab-led parties, a more than 60% increase from the last elections in 2022, according to figures from the Central Election Committee.

The parties won 19 seats in Israel's 120-member Knesset, surpassing the previous record of 15.

Crowds packed polling places in Arab communities from the Negev Desert to the northern Galilee.

In Tarabin, a Bedouin village in the Negev, Netanyahu’s party had won majorities the past two elections. Turnout nearly doubled on Tuesday and Ra’am won 93% of the vote.

The northern town of Sakhnin had Israel’s highest voter turnout, at 87%. Mayor Mazen Ghnaim said voters saw it as an emergency measure to fight rising violent crime in Arab communities and incitement by Netanyahu's far-right allies.

“I want to protect my constituents from being killed, my children from being attacked at their universities and Arab doctors getting attacked at hospitals,” said Ghnaim, a Ra'am supporter, referring to recent incidents of anti-Arab violence.

The parties worked hard to overcome past reluctance to vote among Palestinians, who have long felt ignored in the halls of power. They held community meetings in cities and towns that Jewish-led parties mostly ignored. A grassroots movement went door-to-door in Bedouin villages to encourage women to vote.

A reaction to Israel's most far-right government ever Voters and candidates said their heightened participation did not reflect faith in Israeli democracy — it was a sign of desperation to unseat Netanyahu.

Two of his far-right allies, Itamar Ben Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, are responsible for some of Israel’s most extreme policies and anti-Arab incitement.

Ben Gvir, the national security minister, raised alarm on Election Day over Arab turnout, telling his supporters, “If you want this country to remain Jewish and Zionist ... then get out and vote!”

The rhetoric, also echoed by Netanyahu and Smotrich, may have only galvanized Arab voters.

“We see the government going from bad to worse,” 52-year-old Awni Zoabi said after voting in Nazareth. “We want to live, we want a future for our children, and we want a future for ourselves.”

The parties offer different visions Palestinians who managed to stay in Israel after the 1948 war surrounding its creation — when hundreds of thousands were expelled or fled — today, along with their descendants, make up more than 20% of the population. They have Israeli citizenship, including the right to vote, but also feel deep solidarity with Palestinians in Gaza and the West Bank.

Ra'am and the Joint List both campaigned on combating crime and securing investment for Arab communities. But they offered different visions for how to approach the wider conflict.

Ra’am made the advantages of joining a coalition government central to its pitch to voters and said little that could alienate potential Jewish allies. It placed a Jewish former police official second on its candidate list.

In contrast, members of the Joint List called Israel’s campaign in Gaza a genocide and compared the occupation of the West Bank to apartheid South Africa. Most Jewish Israelis ardently reject both accusations.

“People are clever enough to see what’s happening. Of the two options, one is proposing a genocide, and the other is proposing apartheid. These are the choices: bad or worse,” said Sami Abou Shehadeh, the leader of one of the slate’s parties.

Strong showing doesn't guarantee a role in government

Mainstream Israeli parties have long resisted partnering with Arab-led parties elected to the Knesset, portraying them as threats to Israel’s Jewish character or questioning their loyalty to the state.

Netanyahu’s opponents welcomed Ra’am into a short-lived coalition government in 2021, in return offering investment in Arab communities and legal status for unrecognized Bedouin villages facing the threat of demolition.

The Islamist party's inclusion broke a longstanding taboo and gave it newfound political influence.

But given Israel's rightward shift, it will be difficult for Eisenkot to maintain support if he partners with Arab-led parties this time, said Tamar Hermann, senior research fellow at the Israel Democracy Institute.

Israel, she said, has been “moving away from a liberal democracy and moving toward an ethnic democracy where one ethnicity has advantages over others.”

Ra’am and the Joint List could handily give Eisenkot the numbers needed to form a government. Both have expressed openness to anything that removes Netanyahu, including abstaining from a Knesset leadership vote to lower the threshold Eisenkot would need to win a majority.

But in public, rather than court them, Eisenkot has set conditions, including that they profess that Israel is a Jewish and democratic state and declare Hamas a terrorist organization “to be demolished.”

Leaders of both parties have condemned Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack on Israel but have balked at labeling the group a terrorist organization, in part because it would appear to justify Israel's devastating campaign in Gaza. Abbas acknowledged Israel as a Jewish state in 2021, while some Joint List leaders have questioned whether a country can be both democratic and privilege members of one religion.

The conditions of any such partnership are unclear

Abbas said Tuesday that he was confident Ra'am would join a government. But his party did not respond to questions this week about whether it would accept Eisenkot’s conditions or what its own terms were.

Yousef Jabareen, the Joint List’s leader, told The Associated Press on Wednesday he had not yet spoken to Eisenkot but was ready for talks. He said parties on his slate had not agreed on their conditions, but hoped for protections and equality for Palestinian citizens, and promises to revive the peace process.

Above all, he recognized the desire to see Netanyahu gone.

“We have promised our community to do our best to get rid of this fascist government,” Jabareen said.