Analysts: Saudi-US Nuclear Deal Offers Strategic Gains for Both Sides

The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
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Analysts: Saudi-US Nuclear Deal Offers Strategic Gains for Both Sides

The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).

The civil nuclear cooperation agreement between Saudi Arabia and the United States is expected to usher in a new phase of economic and technological partnership that extends well beyond the construction of nuclear reactors and electricity generation, encompassing the localization of high-value industries, the development of specialized human capital, and expanded collaboration in advanced technologies, analysts told Asharq Al-Awsat.

They argue that the agreement could serve as a catalyst for industrial and technology investment in the Kingdom, complementing Saudi Arabia's plans to diversify its energy mix and build a knowledge-based economy. Its significance, however, extends beyond economics into the strategic and geopolitical arena, as global competition over nuclear energy technologies continues to intensify.

On July 22, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and US Energy Secretary Chris Wright signed a civil nuclear cooperation agreement, commonly known as a "123 Agreement," alongside a bilateral safeguards agreement. According to the US Department of Energy, the accords establish the legal framework for a multibillion dollar partnership expected to span decades and pave the way for US companies to participate in Saudi Arabia's nuclear energy program.

Named after Section 123 of the US Atomic Energy Act, such agreements provide the legal basis for peaceful nuclear cooperation between the United States and partner countries, allowing the transfer of nuclear materials, equipment, and technology under strict conditions and safeguards.

As of July 2025, the United States had 26 such agreements in force, covering 50 countries as well as the International Atomic Energy Agency and other entities.

Investment Catalyst

Abbas Dahouk, a former military affairs adviser at the US Department of State, described the agreement as an important strategic milestone in Saudi-US relations, saying it strengthens long-term cooperation in advanced technologies and energy security.

From an economic standpoint, Dahouk told Asharq Al-Awsat that the agreement could attract billions of dollars in investment, generate highly skilled jobs, and support the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030 by helping build a diversified, knowledge-based economy.

The benefits, he said, extend far beyond electricity generation. Peaceful nuclear cooperation could accelerate applications in water desalination, healthcare, scientific research, agriculture, and advanced manufacturing, while also fostering a highly trained workforce in engineering, science, and technology.

Those applications align with Saudi Arabia's National Atomic Energy Project, which seeks to incorporate nuclear power into the country's energy mix to produce electricity, desalinated water, and thermal energy while reducing reliance on hydrocarbons for power generation. The project comprises four core pillars: large-scale nuclear power plants, small modular reactors, the nuclear fuel cycle, and the regulatory framework.

Dahouk believes the agreement lays the foundation for decades of Saudi-US cooperation across energy, technology, education, and industrial development, while supporting the localization of advanced manufacturing, precision engineering, and high-value-added industries.

He added that the development of nuclear expertise and related technologies could generate spillover benefits for emerging sectors, including space, advanced materials, artificial intelligence, and next-generation energy systems, reinforcing Saudi Arabia's ambition to become a regional center for innovation and technological advancement.

Technological Sovereignty

Dahouk also stressed that the agreement carries geopolitical implications extending well beyond its civilian objectives, coming at a time of intensifying strategic competition among the United States, China, and Russia in advanced technology and energy sectors.

He argued that the agreement's success will ultimately be judged not only by its economic and technological returns, but also by its impact on regional stability and nuclear nonproliferation.

According to Dahouk, Riyadh views uranium enrichment as a matter that goes beyond energy production, encompassing technological sovereignty, industrial development, and strategic autonomy, particularly given Saudi Arabia's domestic uranium resources and its long-term ambition to develop them.

Saudi Arabia has already incorporated uranium and thorium exploration into its National Atomic Energy Project to assess domestic reserves, expand local content, build national expertise, and potentially secure future fuel supplies for nuclear power reactors.

Regional Security

Eric H. Fang, Chief Executive Officer of Skytower Group Inc., described the agreement as a historic strategic milestone whose importance extends well beyond the development of civilian nuclear energy. He said its value also lies in strengthening regional security and establishing a long-term framework for stability, governance, and economic growth.

Fang told Asharq Al-Awsat that large-scale manufacturing and long-term investment require a stable geopolitical environment. Building a framework for peaceful nuclear cooperation based on partnership and transparency, he said, can strengthen confidence among governments, investors, and industrial sectors across the region.

Economically, Fang believes nuclear power can provide Saudi Arabia with a stable source of baseload electricity, supporting the rapid expansion of its industrial economy and advancing the objectives of Vision 2030.

He said the agreement could create opportunities to localize high-value industries, including nuclear engineering, advanced materials, precision manufacturing, robotics, digital control systems, and specialized construction, alongside applications in healthcare, agriculture, water desalination, and scientific research.

From Medicine to Space

Fang noted that the peaceful applications of nuclear technology extend far beyond electricity generation to include medical diagnostics, cancer treatment using radioisotopes, food preservation, water desalination, agricultural innovation, industrial inspection, materials science, and advanced research.

He expects the expansion of these activities to foster a highly skilled workforce and support the creation of new industrial ecosystems within the Kingdom, while broadening Saudi-US cooperation in research and development, workforce training, and industrial localization.

According to Fang, this industrial base could also provide a platform for collaboration in precision manufacturing, aviation, space, artificial intelligence, advanced energy systems, and next-generation infrastructure, sectors that he believes will define global economic competitiveness in the decades ahead.

Economic and Geopolitical Equation

Fang argued that the strategic value of the agreement should not be measured solely by its immediate outcomes, but by its ability to establish long-term institutional cooperation that promotes stability while encouraging investment flows and industrial development across the region.

A stable Middle East, supported by strong strategic cooperation between the United States and Saudi Arabia, will encourage greater international investment and accelerate industrial development, according to Fang.



Oil Falls but on Track for 8% Weekly Gain on Supply Concerns; US Diesel Hits Record High

WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
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Oil Falls but on Track for 8% Weekly Gain on Supply Concerns; US Diesel Hits Record High

WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)
WHITING, INDIANA - SEPTEMBER 08: An aerial view shows the sprawling BP refinery on September 08, 2026 in Whiting, Indiana. (Photo by SCOTT OLSON / GETTY IMAGES NORTH AMERICA / Getty Images via AFP)

Oil prices fell on Friday but remained on course for a weekly gain of more than 8% while US diesel prices hit a record high as attacks along Middle East shipping routes stoked concerns about prolonged supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures were down $3.45, or 3.21%, to $104.18 a barrel at 1132 GMT.

US West Texas Intermediate crude fell $2.96, or 2.89%, to $99.52 a barrel. Both benchmarks hit their highest levels since mid-May earlier in the session.

The benchmarks reversed early gains after the Financial Times reported that foreign ministers in the Middle East are trying to work out a temporary deal with Iran to manage shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Brent and WTI rose more than 6% on Thursday after an escalation in shipping attacks in the region.

"Some headlines of possible new talks in the Middle East are weighing moderately on oil prices today," said UBS energy analyst Giovanni Staunovo. "I keep seeing near-term risks to the upside for oil prices, but we should expect ongoing high price volatility too."

In a further potentially significant development for Riyadh, satellite imagery showed smoke on Thursday in the vicinity of Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline, which has become a vital means for the kingdom to divert its crude exports away from Hormuz.

Saudi Arabia's crude supply fell by 2.3 million barrels per day on the month to 6 million bpd in August, the lowest level in more than three decades, the International Energy Agency said on Friday, citing attacks on Saudi energy facilities.

Adding to concerns over regional oil flows, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis on Friday reached the island of Perim in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, four Yemeni government sources told Reuters, potentially tightening their grip on one of the world's vital shipping routes.

Iran said it had attacked 10 ships near the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday, after the US hit five Iranian oil tankers. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it would escalate its response to any further attacks.

Vessel transits at the Strait of Hormuz fell to seven on Thursday from 11 the previous day, preliminary ship-tracking data showed on Friday.

The strait handled about 125 commodity vessels and one-fifth of global daily oil and liquefied natural gas supplies before the Iran war began in late February.

Meanwhile, two European Central Bank policymakers opened the door on Friday to further interest rate increases if a war-fuelled rise in energy prices continues and pushes up other prices in the euro zone.

SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS LIFT FUEL PRICES

Oil supply disruptions due to the Iran war, along with Ukrainian attacks on Russia's refineries, pushed the US national average diesel price past $6 a gallon for the first time on Thursday, according to price tracker GasBuddy.

"Refined products, particularly diesel, are feeling a one-two punch right now," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

"As long as both the Gulf shipping constraints and Russian refining outages remain in play, diesel and other refined products are likely to show a higher upside tendency than the broader crude market," he added.

Commerzbank raised its year-end Brent crude forecast to $85 a barrel from $75, while increasing its diesel forecast to $1,200 a ton from $950 and its jet fuel forecast to $1,230 a ton from $980.


Gold Gains on Softer Oil; US Inflation Data in Focus

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
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Gold Gains on Softer Oil; US Inflation Data in Focus

A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/
A view of smelted gold bars at a smelting facility in Accra, Ghana, August 22, 2024. REUTERS/Francis Kokoroko/

Gold prices rose on Friday, but were headed for a weekly loss, as oil slipped from multi-month highs and assuaged some inflationary concerns, as investors awaited key US economic data for clues on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy path.

Spot gold rose 0.6% to $4,339.46 per ounce by 1105 GMT. It was down nearly 3% for the week so far.

Prices fell on Thursday after the US Producer Price Index data showed prices increased in line with expectations in August amid a rebound in the cost of energy products.

US gold futures dropped 0.6% to $4,381.30.

The precious metal is benefiting from "softer oil prices on hopes a Monday meeting between GCC ministers and Iran can yield some results regarding the passage of oil through the Strait," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank. "In addition, buyers once again emerged ahead of a key support area around $4,300," said Hansen.

Oil prices were set to end the week above $100 a barrel.

Higher oil prices stoke inflation fears and bolster expectations of the Fed raising interest rates. While gold is typically seen as an inflation hedge, higher interest rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding bullion.

Traders are now pricing in a 67% chance of a rate hike at the central bank's policy meeting next week, up from 62% before the data, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The US consumer price inflation report is due at 1230 GMT.

Elsewhere, gold demand in India was subdued this week as volatile prices discouraged buyers, while investment demand remained strong in top consumer China.

Among other metals, spot silver rose 0.4% to $63.80 per ounce, but was down 3% for the week.

Platinum climbed 0.9% to $1,792.07 and palladium gained 2.4% to $1,312.90. However, both metals were on track for a weekly loss.


France Lowers Growth Forecast, Will Miss Deficit Target

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
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France Lowers Growth Forecast, Will Miss Deficit Target

French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq
French Minister for Economy, Finance, and Industrial, Energy and Digital Sovereignty Roland Lescure gestures as he speaks during a press conference to update the governments growth and fiscal deficit forecasts for the 2027 budget, at the Bercy Economy and Finance Ministry in Paris, France, September 11, 2026. REUTERS/Stephanie Lecocq

France's economy will grow less than expected this year and the government will miss its budget deficit target, Finance Minister Roland Lescure said on Friday.

The downgraded outlook complicates the government's task of getting its 2027 budget passed in the coming months in a deeply divided parliament, where parties have hardened their positions before an April-May two-round presidential election.

Lescure told journalists he was lowering the government's 2026 economic growth forecast to 0.5% from 0.7% previously, but stuck with a ⁠projection of 1.0% ⁠for next year.

"This year has been marked by extreme crises involving four different types of shocks," Lescure told reporters, according to Reuters.

Slower growth will make it more difficult for the government to trim its fiscal budget deficit as planned to 5.0% of economic output this year.

"The ⁠reality is that the budget was built on a 5% assumption. And the reality is that, today, 5% is no longer an option," Lescure said.

The minister did not give a new deficit target.

The economic fallout from the war in the Middle East and summer heatwaves and drought that hit agriculture output have dragged down growth and put the government's fiscal targets out of reach.

"I think it is reasonable to say that economic ⁠uncertainty has ⁠never been greater than it is today," Lescure said. "We are operating under tight budgetary constraints; there is no more fat to trim."

Further complicating the picture, French borrowing rates have surged in recent weeks as investors have identified France as one of the weaker links in a global bond selloff due to its weak public finances and serial slippage on its deficit-reduction plans.

Lescure stressed that France had no difficulties in issuing debt, but acknowledged that it now cost more.