Analysts: Saudi-US Nuclear Deal Offers Strategic Gains for Both Sides

The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
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Analysts: Saudi-US Nuclear Deal Offers Strategic Gains for Both Sides

The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).
The Saudi-US agreement opens new avenues for bilateral cooperation (Internet).

The civil nuclear cooperation agreement between Saudi Arabia and the United States is expected to usher in a new phase of economic and technological partnership that extends well beyond the construction of nuclear reactors and electricity generation, encompassing the localization of high-value industries, the development of specialized human capital, and expanded collaboration in advanced technologies, analysts told Asharq Al-Awsat.

They argue that the agreement could serve as a catalyst for industrial and technology investment in the Kingdom, complementing Saudi Arabia's plans to diversify its energy mix and build a knowledge-based economy. Its significance, however, extends beyond economics into the strategic and geopolitical arena, as global competition over nuclear energy technologies continues to intensify.

On July 22, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman and US Energy Secretary Chris Wright signed a civil nuclear cooperation agreement, commonly known as a "123 Agreement," alongside a bilateral safeguards agreement. According to the US Department of Energy, the accords establish the legal framework for a multibillion dollar partnership expected to span decades and pave the way for US companies to participate in Saudi Arabia's nuclear energy program.

Named after Section 123 of the US Atomic Energy Act, such agreements provide the legal basis for peaceful nuclear cooperation between the United States and partner countries, allowing the transfer of nuclear materials, equipment, and technology under strict conditions and safeguards.

As of July 2025, the United States had 26 such agreements in force, covering 50 countries as well as the International Atomic Energy Agency and other entities.

Investment Catalyst

Abbas Dahouk, a former military affairs adviser at the US Department of State, described the agreement as an important strategic milestone in Saudi-US relations, saying it strengthens long-term cooperation in advanced technologies and energy security.

From an economic standpoint, Dahouk told Asharq Al-Awsat that the agreement could attract billions of dollars in investment, generate highly skilled jobs, and support the objectives of Saudi Vision 2030 by helping build a diversified, knowledge-based economy.

The benefits, he said, extend far beyond electricity generation. Peaceful nuclear cooperation could accelerate applications in water desalination, healthcare, scientific research, agriculture, and advanced manufacturing, while also fostering a highly trained workforce in engineering, science, and technology.

Those applications align with Saudi Arabia's National Atomic Energy Project, which seeks to incorporate nuclear power into the country's energy mix to produce electricity, desalinated water, and thermal energy while reducing reliance on hydrocarbons for power generation. The project comprises four core pillars: large-scale nuclear power plants, small modular reactors, the nuclear fuel cycle, and the regulatory framework.

Dahouk believes the agreement lays the foundation for decades of Saudi-US cooperation across energy, technology, education, and industrial development, while supporting the localization of advanced manufacturing, precision engineering, and high-value-added industries.

He added that the development of nuclear expertise and related technologies could generate spillover benefits for emerging sectors, including space, advanced materials, artificial intelligence, and next-generation energy systems, reinforcing Saudi Arabia's ambition to become a regional center for innovation and technological advancement.

Technological Sovereignty

Dahouk also stressed that the agreement carries geopolitical implications extending well beyond its civilian objectives, coming at a time of intensifying strategic competition among the United States, China, and Russia in advanced technology and energy sectors.

He argued that the agreement's success will ultimately be judged not only by its economic and technological returns, but also by its impact on regional stability and nuclear nonproliferation.

According to Dahouk, Riyadh views uranium enrichment as a matter that goes beyond energy production, encompassing technological sovereignty, industrial development, and strategic autonomy, particularly given Saudi Arabia's domestic uranium resources and its long-term ambition to develop them.

Saudi Arabia has already incorporated uranium and thorium exploration into its National Atomic Energy Project to assess domestic reserves, expand local content, build national expertise, and potentially secure future fuel supplies for nuclear power reactors.

Regional Security

Eric H. Fang, Chief Executive Officer of Skytower Group Inc., described the agreement as a historic strategic milestone whose importance extends well beyond the development of civilian nuclear energy. He said its value also lies in strengthening regional security and establishing a long-term framework for stability, governance, and economic growth.

Fang told Asharq Al-Awsat that large-scale manufacturing and long-term investment require a stable geopolitical environment. Building a framework for peaceful nuclear cooperation based on partnership and transparency, he said, can strengthen confidence among governments, investors, and industrial sectors across the region.

Economically, Fang believes nuclear power can provide Saudi Arabia with a stable source of baseload electricity, supporting the rapid expansion of its industrial economy and advancing the objectives of Vision 2030.

He said the agreement could create opportunities to localize high-value industries, including nuclear engineering, advanced materials, precision manufacturing, robotics, digital control systems, and specialized construction, alongside applications in healthcare, agriculture, water desalination, and scientific research.

From Medicine to Space

Fang noted that the peaceful applications of nuclear technology extend far beyond electricity generation to include medical diagnostics, cancer treatment using radioisotopes, food preservation, water desalination, agricultural innovation, industrial inspection, materials science, and advanced research.

He expects the expansion of these activities to foster a highly skilled workforce and support the creation of new industrial ecosystems within the Kingdom, while broadening Saudi-US cooperation in research and development, workforce training, and industrial localization.

According to Fang, this industrial base could also provide a platform for collaboration in precision manufacturing, aviation, space, artificial intelligence, advanced energy systems, and next-generation infrastructure, sectors that he believes will define global economic competitiveness in the decades ahead.

Economic and Geopolitical Equation

Fang argued that the strategic value of the agreement should not be measured solely by its immediate outcomes, but by its ability to establish long-term institutional cooperation that promotes stability while encouraging investment flows and industrial development across the region.

A stable Middle East, supported by strong strategic cooperation between the United States and Saudi Arabia, will encourage greater international investment and accelerate industrial development, according to Fang.



Saudi Transport Authority: Maritime Sector Proved Resilient Amid Global Trade Disruptions

Transport General Authority President Fawaz Alsahli tours the exhibition held alongside the conference in Jeddah (Transport General Authority)
Transport General Authority President Fawaz Alsahli tours the exhibition held alongside the conference in Jeddah (Transport General Authority)
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Saudi Transport Authority: Maritime Sector Proved Resilient Amid Global Trade Disruptions

Transport General Authority President Fawaz Alsahli tours the exhibition held alongside the conference in Jeddah (Transport General Authority)
Transport General Authority President Fawaz Alsahli tours the exhibition held alongside the conference in Jeddah (Transport General Authority)

Saudi Arabia’s maritime sector has remained resilient amid disruptions to global trade and shipping in 2026, with the kingdom weathering the upheaval with limited impact on the sector.

Essam Alammari, Deputy for Maritime at the Saudi Transport general authority, told Asharq Al-Awsat that integration across the kingdom’s maritime, road, rail and air transport networks had strengthened its ability to navigate regional and international challenges and maintain maritime operations.

Alammari spoke on the sidelines of the Saudi Maritime and Logistics Congress 2026, which opened Wednesday in Jeddah under the patronage of Minister of Transport and Logistic Services Saleh Al-Jasser and Transport General Authority President Fawaz Alsahli.

The event brought together officials, experts and representatives of shipping companies, ports and logistics service providers from Saudi Arabia and abroad.

National strategy

"We were affected like other countries around the world, but thanks to the efforts of Saudi men and women, government support and the National Transport and Logistics Strategy, we were able to demonstrate the sector's resilience," Alammari said.

He stressed the importance of integrating different modes of transport to strengthen the kingdom's logistics network.

Alammari said Saudi Arabia's maritime fleet grew 34% in 2025, with its current carrying capacity reaching approximately 11.8 million tons.

He said the kingdom ranked first in the Middle East and 20th globally in terms of national fleet carrying capacity.

Saudi Arabia also ranked second among Group of 20 (G20) countries in maritime sector growth in 2025, he added, reflecting progress toward the targets of Saudi Vision 2030.

2026 indicators

On the maritime transport sector's performance this year, Alammari said final figures were not yet available because sector indicators are released annually. He expected the results by the end of 2026.

He said Saudi Arabia's maritime economy had seen significant activity recently and expressed optimism about the upcoming annual results and progress toward the sector's targets.

Alammari linked the sector's ability to withstand global disruptions to efforts under the National Transport and Logistics Strategy, a key initiative supporting Saudi Vision 2030.

He reiterated that integration across maritime, road, rail and air transport had strengthened the logistics network's resilience.

International maritime conference

The two-day conference at the Jeddah Superdome is examining the future of maritime trade, shifts in international shipping routes, port competitiveness, investment in maritime infrastructure, supply chain continuity, maritime security and digital transformation.

It is also highlighting growth opportunities in Saudi Arabia's maritime sector and the role of investment and public-private partnerships in developing maritime and logistics services and strengthening the kingdom's position in regional and global trade.

 


Private Sector Fuels Saudi Arabia’s Growth Lead Among G20 Economies

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
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Private Sector Fuels Saudi Arabia’s Growth Lead Among G20 Economies

A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)
A view of the Saudi capital, Riyadh. (SPA)

Fueled by a surging private sector and expanding non-oil industries, Saudi Arabia is poised to become the G20’s fastest-growing economy in 2027, overtaking India, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) forecasts released last week.

The IMF expects the Saudi economy to grow by 7.9%, ahead of India’s projected 7%, highlighting the Kingdom’s economic transformation as regulatory and legislative reforms unlock new investment opportunities.

Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Investment said the forecast underscores the economy’s strength and resilience while opening new avenues for investment and growth.

Momentum in the private sector and the expansion of non-oil activities are helping steer the Kingdom toward a more diversified, sustainable and investment-friendly economy, it said.

The IMF sharply raised its forecast for Saudi Arabia’s real gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 7.9%, from 5.5% in July, an upward revision of 2.4 percentage points that reflects prospects for recovery from the fallout of war and disruptions to trade and energy markets.

The outlook also highlights the structural transformation underway through Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, as non-oil sectors take on a greater role in driving growth and strengthening the economy against global headwinds.

The focus now shifts to whether the Kingdom can sustain that momentum and turn rapid expansion into lasting investment opportunities and jobs.

New sectors drive growth

Saudi Arabia’s projected lead among G20 economies signals a deeper structural shift away from its traditional reliance on oil revenues, according to Fahad Binjumah, an economist and former member of the Saudi Shura Council.

The private sector is emerging as a major engine of growth, bolstered by regulatory and legislative reforms, expanding investment opportunities and the rising contribution of non-oil industries.

Binjumah told Asharq Al-Awsat that the shift marks Saudi Arabia’s gradual transition from direct government stimulus toward a more diversified and productive economy capable of generating growth.

Major government investments have helped lay the groundwork, creating a stronger business environment and opening new sectors to local and foreign investors, he explained.

Strategic projects in tourism, industry, logistics and technology are also generating economic activity well beyond their immediate scope. Investment spending is rippling through supply chains and small and medium-sized businesses, widening commercial opportunities and drawing more parts of the economy into the growth cycle.

But for Binjumah, topping the G20 growth rankings is less important than sustaining that performance over the coming years.

"The main challenge is to turn economic expansion into long-term productivity gains by improving the efficiency of domestic businesses, boosting non-oil exports, developing skills and increasing private investment independent of government spending," he stressed.

Progress on those fronts would propel Saudi Arabia into a more advanced stage of economic diversification, where success is measured not simply by rapid growth but by a more resilient, competitive economy that generates added value and sustainable jobs, he added.

Reforms bolster economic resilience

Saudi Arabia’s rise in G20 growth projections is the product of years of economic reform, not a short-lived boost in any single sector, said Nasser Al-Sahli, president of the Saudi Governance Center.

Legislative changes, easier business procedures, wider investor participation and the restructuring of key sectors have made the economy more attractive to investment and better equipped to turn capital into productive activity, Al-Sahli told Asharq Al-Awsat.

The private sector’s expanding role shows that these reforms are increasingly translating into tangible economic gains, he said.

Their importance has grown amid geopolitical tensions, global trade and energy disruptions, and risks surrounding strategic maritime routes in the region. A broader non-oil economic base is helping Saudi Arabia diversify its income sources and reduce its exposure to external shocks.

"Economic diversification does not mean complete isolation from global developments, but building a productive and investment system capable of adapting to them and maintaining business continuity under different conditions," Al-Sahli said.

The next test will be whether Saudi Arabia’s private sector can move beyond capitalizing on opportunities created by government projects to driving investment expansion independently and sustainably, he went on to say.

That will require stronger productivity and competition, better access to financing, greater innovation and a larger international footprint for Saudi companies.

Al-Sahli said the real significance of Saudi Arabia’s projected G20 lead lies not in the ranking itself but in its ability to turn growth momentum into a more diversified and efficient economy, powered by a private sector that creates high-quality jobs and lasting economic value.

How G20 economies rank

India is forecast to rank second in G20 economic growth in 2027 at 7%, followed by Indonesia at 5.1%, China at 4% and Türkiye at 3.6%, according to IMF figures presented by the Saudi Ministry of Investment.

Argentina ranks sixth at 3.5%, followed by South Korea at 2.8% and the United States at 2.3%. Brazil is projected to grow by 1.9%, Mexico by 1.8%, Canada by 1.7%, Australia by 1.6%, South Africa by 1.3% and the United Kingdom by 1.2%. Germany is forecast to expand by 1.1% and Russia by 0.9%, while France and Japan are each expected to grow by 0.7%.


Saudi Arabia Leads G20 with 7.9% Growth Forecast in 2027

King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia Leads G20 with 7.9% Growth Forecast in 2027

King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)
King Abdullah Financial District in Riyadh (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia is projected to lead the G20 countries in economic growth forecasts for 2027, according to International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates. The IMF projects the Kingdom's real GDP to grow by 7.9 percent, the highest rate among the group's economies, as shown in data published by the Saudi Ministry of Investment.

The Fund had previously raised its projections for the Kingdom's real GDP growth to 7.9 percent, compared to 5.5 percent in its July estimates, an increase of 2.4 percentage points.

This revision comes amid expectations of economic activity regaining momentum as regional conflict-related disruptions subside, and oil production and exports gradually return to normal levels.

India ranked second among G20 countries with a projected growth rate of 7 percent, followed by Indonesia at 5.1 percent, then China at 4 percent, and Türkiye at 3.6 percent, according to IMF data reviewed by the Ministry.

Argentina came in sixth with projected growth of 3.5 percent, followed by South Korea at 2.8 percent, then the United States at 2.3 percent. Projections for Brazil stood at 1.9 percent, Mexico at 1.8 percent, Canada at 1.7 percent, Australia at 1.6 percent, South Africa at 1.3 percent, and the United Kingdom at 1.2 percent.

Germany registered projected growth of 1.1 percent, Russia 0.9 percent, while projections for France and Japan were 0.7 percent each, with Italy coming in last at 0.6 percent.

Growth Forecasts Revised

In an assessment of the recovery path, the Fund noted that the diversification of Saudi energy export routes limits the Kingdom's vulnerability to geopolitical disruptions compared to some regional economies. This is due to the the East-West Pipeline's ability to divert some oil exports to Yanbu Port on the Red Sea, away from the Strait of Hormuz.

The IMF's estimates align with the World Bank's projections, which also raised its forecast for Saudi economic growth in 2027 to 7.9 percent, compared to 4.9 percent in its April estimates, while anticipating a 2 percent contraction in GDP during 2026.

Globally, the IMF expects the world economy to grow by 3.1 percent in 2026 before rising to 3.4 percent in 2027, placing Saudi Arabia's growth forecast at more than double the projected global rate for the coming year.

The Saudi Ministry of Investment said that the Kingdom’s leading growth outlook among G20 countries reflects the strength and resilience of its economy and opens up broader prospects for investment and growth.

This is supported by strong private-sector momentum and the expansion of non-oil activities, reinforcing the Kingdom’s shift toward a more diversified, sustainable, and investment-friendly economy.