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Samsung Expects Best Profit Since 2022, as AI Boom Squeezes Commodity Chip Supply 

A man stands in front of a large electronic screen showing Samsung Galaxy Z Flip7 and Fold7 smartphones at Seoul train station in Seoul on October 14, 2025. (AFP)
A man stands in front of a large electronic screen showing Samsung Galaxy Z Flip7 and Fold7 smartphones at Seoul train station in Seoul on October 14, 2025. (AFP)
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Samsung Expects Best Profit Since 2022, as AI Boom Squeezes Commodity Chip Supply 

A man stands in front of a large electronic screen showing Samsung Galaxy Z Flip7 and Fold7 smartphones at Seoul train station in Seoul on October 14, 2025. (AFP)
A man stands in front of a large electronic screen showing Samsung Galaxy Z Flip7 and Fold7 smartphones at Seoul train station in Seoul on October 14, 2025. (AFP)

Samsung Electronics on Tuesday said it expects its biggest quarterly profit in over three years, as the global race to boost production of AI chips has tightened supply and driven up prices of conventional memory chips, the tech giant's mainstay.

Strong demand for conventional memory chips used in data center servers helped offset weaker sales of advanced artificial intelligence chips of Samsung, which has been lagging rivals in the race to supply to Nvidia, analysts said.

The world's leading memory chipmaker estimated an operating profit of 12.1 trillion won ($8.5 billion) for the July-September period, up 32% from a year earlier and well above a 10.1 trillion won LSEG SmartEstimate. That would mark its best quarterly profit in 13 quarters.

Samsung shares slipped 0.5% as of 0302 GMT after rising as much as 2.9% earlier to their highest level since January 2021. Analysts attributed the decline to profit-taking following the rally. The stock has risen about 75% this year.

"The third-quarter earnings surprise came from the chip business," said Ryu Young-ho, a senior analyst at NH Investment & Securities.

Strong demand for conventional memory to support general-purpose servers, combined with robust HBM demand for AI servers, have together fueled overall memory demand, he said.

Although progress in supplying advanced high bandwidth memory (HBM) chips to major clients such as Nvidia was slower than expected, gains in commodity memory, supported by tight supplies, helped cushion the impact, analysts said.

"Samsung is a big beneficiary of growing demand for commodity chips," said Sohn In-joon, an analyst at Heungkuk Securities.

Sohn attributed the earnings beat to stronger-than-expected prices of commodity DRAM and NAND chips, stemming from demand for data center servers, and lower chip inventory by chipmakers that gave them bargaining power in pricing.

Analysts said Samsung also benefited from narrower losses at its foundry unit, which makes logic chips, as utilization rates helped ease fixed-cost pressures.

The company said revenue would likely rise 8.7% to a record high of 86 trillion won from a year earlier, also helped by the weaker South Korean currency.

Samsung is expected to release detailed results including a breakdown of earnings for each of its businesses on October 30.

Expanding on its stock incentives for senior executives, the company has decided to launch a performance-linked stock compensation plan for all employees in South Korea over the next three years, according to an internal memo dated October 14, seen by Reuters. Samsung declined to comment on the plan.

SHORTAGE STOKES CONVENTIONAL CHIP PRICES

Analysts said memory makers' focus on investing in advanced chips in recent years may have limited the production of conventional chips, which extended a supply shortage and spurred price increases for conventional chips.

Prices of some DRAM chips, widely used in servers, smartphones and PCs, jumped 171.8% in the third quarter from a year earlier, according to TrendForce data.

Analysts expect the commodity memory supply shortage to continue into 2026, with big tech companies expanding their spending on AI-related investments, including data centers and servers capable of handling the growing workloads from AI services.

While recent chip supply deals with major tech companies, such as Tesla and OpenAI, eased investor concerns about Samsung, analysts cautioned that uncertainties remain that could hurt Samsung's consumer products, including potential US tariffs, an intensifying trade war between the US and China, as well as China's tightened export controls on rare earth materials used in advanced chips and manufacturing equipment.

Samsung has been the world's biggest memory chipmaker for three decades, but it is facing increasing competition in advanced AI chips after losing its No. 1 DRAM market share to SK Hynix in the first quarter of this year.

Analysts expect Samsung’s HBM sales to gradually improve after the company made meaningful progress in supplying its latest 12-layer HBM3E chips to Nvidia, though some said shipment volumes remain limited.

Samsung is betting on next-generation HBM4 products to narrow the gap with SK Hynix. Morgan Stanley said in a report that Samsung is on track with next-generation HBM4 development, working closely with major US customers. Commercial shipments and sales contributions are expected to begin in 2026.

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Technology

EU Wants to Break Up with US Tech

To help European firms edge out foreign rivals, the EU is set to unveil new rules covering the cloud, AI and chip sectors on June 3. (AFP file)
To help European firms edge out foreign rivals, the EU is set to unveil new rules covering the cloud, AI and chip sectors on June 3. (AFP file)
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EU Wants to Break Up with US Tech

To help European firms edge out foreign rivals, the EU is set to unveil new rules covering the cloud, AI and chip sectors on June 3. (AFP file)
To help European firms edge out foreign rivals, the EU is set to unveil new rules covering the cloud, AI and chip sectors on June 3. (AFP file)

Wary of being vulnerable to the whims of foreign governments, the European Union is preparing far-reaching new moves to ditch American digital companies and Chinese chips in favor of European alternatives.

The EU's technological sovereignty package is among many measures taken by Brussels to slash dependence on foreign firms and boost local manufacturing -- but risks opening up a new front in transatlantic tensions.

The hotly awaited package of new rules on chips, cloud computing and AI will be presented on Wednesday as part of the EU's effort to "reclaim its place in the global race for geoeconomic power", a draft strategy document seen by AFP said.

Of particular concern is how much the European Union relies on US cloud providers, which account for around 70 percent of Europe's market.

Since President Donald Trump returned to the White House last year, Europeans worry that critical digital infrastructure could be brought to a halt by an American "kill switch" if tensions ever reached fever pitch.

Top EU officials don't directly name their target as the United States, but American tech dominates, from cloud computing to social media to e-commerce.

"We need to develop our own capacities. We cannot allow someone trying to influence our own decisions, our own values, our own well-functioning economy and services," EU competition tsar Teresa Ribera said this month.

EU officials often point to Washington's sanctions against International Criminal Court judges -- imposed by Trump in February 2025 -- to illustrate the grip of US firms. Judge Nicolas Guillou has described how he lost access to his Visa card since it is an American system.

But US envoy to the EU Andrew Puzder has warned against any protectionist moves, while American companies have urged Europe not to keep them out.

"Europe will not be able to pull itself into the AI economy by bringing other people down," Puzder told AFP last month when asked about the plans.

- Sweeping package -

Wednesday's package will include:

-- the "Cloud and AI Development Act", aimed at speeding up the deployment of data center infrastructure

-- a "Chips Act" proposal to reinforce the security of supply for semi-conductors by reducing dependence on foreign providers

-- a push for public authorities to use more open-source software solutions as a way to gain greater control and flexibility and avoid being locked in.

EU lawmaker Oliver Schenk told AFP the package was "not about opposing our trading partners or closing markets", but said: "Europe must avoid becoming structurally dependent on any single external actor" for AI, cloud and chips.

The draft strategy, which could still change before the announcement, said governments would be expected to conduct "sovereignty risk assessments" for cloud and AI to "improve resilience" and spot European alternatives.

"Europe must ensure that public investments in AI and cloud infrastructure strengthen European innovation capacity, resilience and security," Schenk said.

According to a second draft document on chips, the commission wants the power to intervene in the event of a crisis by forcing "manufacturers to prioritize orders for crisis-critical products, overriding existing contracts".

It also proposes common purchasing, which means the EU would act as "a central buyer for multiple member states facing severe shortages".

- 'No kill switch' -

Aaron Cooper of tech industry group Business Software Alliance sought to offer reassurances to Europeans who fear any US administration could act to hurt the bloc at times of tension, following past frictions, including over tariffs.

"There is no such thing as a kill switch," Cooper told AFP, adding companies "want to comply with laws wherever they're doing business".

American tech companies have been keen to shift the focus of the debate, insisting Europeans would be in charge of their data while using US services.

"Digital sovereignty is about control, not just borders," said Ana Paula Assis, chair for IBM Europe, Middle East, Africa and Asia Pacific, adding that the company helps its clients "maintain authority over their entire IT estate".

The EU says the package will drive innovation and help Europe catch up with the United States and China in the AI race.

But Ben Brake, director general of DOT Europe, whose members include Amazon and Apple, said "retaliating against US corporations in response to trade disputes will neither drive innovation nor strengthen Europe's competitiveness".

Technology

Huawei Bets on Speed Over Shrinking Transistors to Sidestep US Chip Sanctions

A logo for Huawei is seen during the KubeCon + CloudNativeCon Europe hosted by the Cloud Native Computing Foundation (CNCF) in Paris, France, March 20, 2024. (Reuters)
A logo for Huawei is seen during the KubeCon + CloudNativeCon Europe hosted by the Cloud Native Computing Foundation (CNCF) in Paris, France, March 20, 2024. (Reuters)
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Huawei Bets on Speed Over Shrinking Transistors to Sidestep US Chip Sanctions

A logo for Huawei is seen during the KubeCon + CloudNativeCon Europe hosted by the Cloud Native Computing Foundation (CNCF) in Paris, France, March 20, 2024. (Reuters)
A logo for Huawei is seen during the KubeCon + CloudNativeCon Europe hosted by the Cloud Native Computing Foundation (CNCF) in Paris, France, March 20, 2024. (Reuters)

Huawei's new chip design principle focused on boosting transmission speed rather than continuing to shrink semiconductors offers a path for China to build cutting-edge chips despite US sanctions, though whether it represents a true breakthrough remains to be seen.

China has been barred since 2019 from importing ASML's most advanced extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, curbing the ability of its chipmakers to keep up with global leaders like Taiwan's TSMC in relying on ever-smaller manufacturing processes that make chips more powerful.

For decades, the semiconductor industry has been governed by Moore's Law - the observation that the number of transistors on a microchip doubles roughly every two years.

Huawei this week unveiled an alternative approach: cutting the time signals take to move through chips and larger computing systems using a principle it calls the Tau Scaling Law.

Its central technique, LogicFolding, aims to arrange logic, analogue and memory circuits in stacked, more tightly connected structures, potentially improving density, efficiency and clock speeds over the next decade.

Proponents see it as ‌a way to ‌extend chip progress as manufacturing advances begin to slow.

"For Huawei, chips face two key constraints. ‌One ⁠is inevitable that Moore's ⁠Law will hit a physical 'wall' within the next decade," He Tingbo, the president of Huawei's semiconductor business, told China's People's Daily this week.

"The other is accidental because of the external restrictions that Huawei encountered this 'wall' earlier than its peers," she said, in a likely reference to US sanctions on importing advanced EUV machines.

But others argue that reducing latency has always been part of semiconductor design and that many of the underlying ideas resemble existing work in three-dimensional (3D) stacking, advanced packaging and system optimization.

"This is a breakthrough for Huawei, but it's not a threat for TSMC," Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang told reporters in Taipei on Thursday. "TSMC has been using die stacking and 3D packaging for how long now? Almost ⁠10 years. And so TSMC's technology is very advanced."

NOT A NEW CONCEPT?

In the race to ‌build more powerful computing systems, the chip industry has already embraced advanced packaging technologies ‌that stack chips vertically.

TSMC has been at the forefront with its packaging technology called SoIC, which enables more tightly integrated heterogeneous chiplets to reduce ‌size and improve performance.

Memory chip makers such as SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics also use advanced 3D stacking and packaging technologies ‌to produce multi-layer memory chips, a key component of AI chipsets, and to improve power efficiency and performance.

Huawei believes LogicFolding may actually go beyond the techniques commonly used in 3D integrated circuit stacking, thanks to "very finely and carefully split the critical paths of logic circuits across multiple layers," according to Liao Heng, chief scientist at Huawei Semiconductor.

But Bernstein analysts cautioned in a note that while stacking multiple chip layers boosts transistor density, it also increases power ‌density and risks overheating chips. Production yields and costs will be another barrier for adoption, they added.

Huawei's own roadmap also points to those challenges. Huawei's He said the approach would require ⁠new semiconductor design tools suited to ⁠folded chip architectures, as well as better ways to manage heat across devices ranging from smartphones to large AI data centers.

"With the methodology of not optimizing the area on a chip level, but on a system level based on time, that will dramatically change the capability requirements for the EDA (electronic design automation) vendors," said Handel H. Jones, CEO of International Business Strategies, during a panel discussion on Tau Scaling on Tuesday.

Mainstream EDA software produced by vendors like Cadence Design Systems and Synopsys plays a crucial role in creating blueprints for sophisticated semiconductor devices.

EYES ON NEW KIRIN CHIP

Huawei's most concrete claims centered on a new Kirin smartphone chip that will be launched later this year, which would be the first to use its LogicFolding architecture.

Compared with its earlier single-layer design, the new chip would improve power efficiency by 41%, and raise the chip's peak operating speed by nearly 13%, Huawei's He said in a speech on Monday.

Those figures would be significant if achieved at commercial scale. But Huawei did not provide production yield information, cost comparisons or a clear explanation of how the gains would compare with rival chips made using more advanced process nodes.

"There's nothing concrete that can be independently verified or benchmarked against other players at the moment," said Lian Jye Su, chief analyst at tech research firm Omdia.

Technology

Humanoids Dance and Thread Needles as Japanese Robotics Developers Look to Outdo Chinese

A humanoid robot poses for photo at the Humanoids Summit 2026 in Tokyo, Thursday, May 28, 2026. (AP)
A humanoid robot poses for photo at the Humanoids Summit 2026 in Tokyo, Thursday, May 28, 2026. (AP)
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Humanoids Dance and Thread Needles as Japanese Robotics Developers Look to Outdo Chinese

A humanoid robot poses for photo at the Humanoids Summit 2026 in Tokyo, Thursday, May 28, 2026. (AP)
A humanoid robot poses for photo at the Humanoids Summit 2026 in Tokyo, Thursday, May 28, 2026. (AP)

Mechanical hands dexterous enough to thread a needle, childlike dancing robots and adult-sized ones to help with deliveries were on display Thursday as the Humanoids Summit Tokyo opened.

Among the dozens of companies taking part, including well-known players like Boston Dynamics and Toyota Motor Corp., the big stars now were clearly the Chinese.

Chinese newcomers, like Booster Robotics and LimX Dynamics, took the technology initially developed in Japan and the US and fine-tuned it, often for cheaper mass production. It’s a repeat of what happened in other Japanese industries, from consumer electronics to cellphones and electric vehicles. In humanoids, Japan was initially ahead but then failed to produce major commercial solutions.

Tim Hornyuk, author of “Loving the Machine: The Art and Science of Japanese Robots,” who was at the event, categorized it as the so-called “Galapagos syndrome,” referring to how innovative Japanese products evolve in isolation and end up not translating for the international market.

“I really hope that Japan can come up with a Ford Model T-version of humanoid roots. But I think China has already stolen their lunch. It’s a bit too little too late,” he said.

The dancing and wiggling Mini Pi Plus robot from High Torque of China, for instance, still can’t help at an auto plant or do your dishes. But it’s cute. And it doesn’t come with an eye-popping price tag, starting at $5,500.

One telling example of Chinese robotics use in Japan was GMO, a Tokyo-based AI and robotics company working on a humanoid with camera eyes that will help with Japan Airlines cargo and other chores at an airport.

The key is to have the robot do the work in the same way as people so they would be interchangeable, an initiative meant to tackle the labor shortage problem that is increasingly serious in Japan.

The inner robotics workings were all courtesy of Unitree, a Chinese outfit, which is also working on a four-legged dog-like “stellar explorer.”

Experts say Japan, with its finesse in manufacturing, proved a good breeding ground for robotics development. The sociological backdrop of a public receptive to robotics also helped.

A recent Pew global survey showed that people in Japan are highly aware of AI but are less anxious about it, at about 28%, than people in the US at 50%.

Japanese automaker Honda Motor Co., a leader in robotics with its walking humanoid Asimo, first shown in 2000, was demonstrating a motorized four-fingered robotic hand that could screw on and off tiny bolts, or thread a needle.

It didn’t seem to bother Keisuke Tsuta, assistant chief engineer, that similar mechanical hands were on display galore near his booth, many of them from Chinese makers.

Japanese robotics show their prowess

The technology Honda had developed is more durable and powerful than rival offerings, and the Japanese have historically shown they can excel at quality mass production, according to Tsuta.

The looming threat of a Chinese robotics domination didn’t seem to phase Osaka University Professor Hiroshi Ishiguro, who has worked on humanoids for decades, including one that’s his clone.

“What’s significant is that Japan has a culture that’s receptive to robotics. If we’re going to really start using robots in society, Japan is the ideal place,” he said, stressing that Japanese don’t discriminate against robots.

His robotic counterpart, dressed all in black like the professor, did as good a job, if not better, of answering a key existentialist question on the meaning of robots.

“I think robots will coexist with people. Robots are the mirror of human beings,” the robot replied in a slightly monotonous but human-like voice.

Earlier, the professor had answered a similar question, but a bit differently.

“No one is interested in me. All everyone cares about is my robot,” he said, sitting next to his twin-like humanoid.

“As long as people identify with what I have produced, I am a success,” he added.