European Source to Asharq Al-Awsat: Revival of 2015 Nuclear Deal ‘No Longer Possible’

Grossi speaks during a press conference in Vienna, on Monday (EPA)
Grossi speaks during a press conference in Vienna, on Monday (EPA)
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European Source to Asharq Al-Awsat: Revival of 2015 Nuclear Deal ‘No Longer Possible’

Grossi speaks during a press conference in Vienna, on Monday (EPA)
Grossi speaks during a press conference in Vienna, on Monday (EPA)

The Secretary-General of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), Rafael Grossi, did not succeed at calming the fears of Western countries about the continued progress of Iran’s nuclear program, although he has informed the Board of Governors, during its quarterly meeting held this week in Vienna, about some progress in the dealings with Iran.

Western countries have conveyed their concerns to the council, pointing to the increasing risk of a nuclear proliferation crisis in the Middle East as a result of Iran’s escalation of its nuclear program.

In remarks to Asharq Al-Awsat, a senior European diplomat said that Iran constituted a major problem due to its escalation on more than one side, as Tehran revealed that it had tested a hypersonic ballistic missile on Tuesday morning.

The diplomat, who is well-informed of the course of the nuclear negotiations, concluded that returning to the agreement in the form that was proposed a year ago was “no longer possible” due to “the change of facts” since then. He stressed that any nuclear deal “must be negotiated from the outset.”

Nuclear negotiations with Iran stopped almost completely 9 months ago with the eruption of the protests across the country and Tehran’s suppressive policies. Western countries also affirmed that any negotiation to return to the agreement was not possible, in light of Iran’s support for Russia in its war with Ukraine.

Nonetheless, Washington has recently opened new channels of communication with Tehran, including a mediation by the Sultanate of Oman. US reports revealed two weeks ago that high-ranking US officials had visited Muscat for consultations on Iran.

Oman had played a pivotal role in negotiations between the Americans and the Iranians in the track that led to the 2015 nuclear deal.

However, two European diplomatic sources confirmed to Asharq Al-Awsat that the Omani mediation was related to issues outside the nuclear agreement. One of the diplomats said that the Americans have “other outstanding issues” that they are discussing with Tehran through Omani officials.

The IAEA Board of Governors continued on Wednesday its discussions over Grossi’s report on the investigation into secret nuclear sites in Iran. Although the ambassadors of Western countries accepted the report, they warned Iran against its continued lack of cooperation.

US Ambassador Laura Holgate told the Board of Governors: “After three years of engagement by the Agency and repeated Iranian delays, Iran has at long last provided a possible explanation for the presence of uranium particles detected at one of these undeclared locations, called Marivan, such that the Director General reports that questions about that site are considered no longer outstanding at this stage.”

Iran had informed the agency that the traces of enriched uranium found by inspectors at the Marivan site belong to a mine and a factory that was run by the Soviet Union.

The US ambassador added: “While the report characterizes Iran’s explanation as possible, Iran has not provided any evidence to support this explanation... The Agency now says it has no further questions related to two of the four sites at this stage, but this does not constitute “closure” of these files, as some have inaccurately claimed.”

 



After Netanyahu Arrest Warrant, Israelis Fear Military Officers’ Prosecution

Israel fears its officers may also be prosecuted after an arrest warrant was issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Government Press Office - AFP)
Israel fears its officers may also be prosecuted after an arrest warrant was issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Government Press Office - AFP)
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After Netanyahu Arrest Warrant, Israelis Fear Military Officers’ Prosecution

Israel fears its officers may also be prosecuted after an arrest warrant was issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Government Press Office - AFP)
Israel fears its officers may also be prosecuted after an arrest warrant was issued for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu (Israeli Government Press Office - AFP)

Israeli leaders from both the ruling coalition and opposition have strongly reacted to the International Criminal Court’s decision to issue arrest warrants for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant on war crimes charges related to Gaza.

While these immediate reactions dominate the news, Israel’s judicial authorities, military courts, and experts are carefully studying the decision, with growing concerns about its broader consequences.

The main concern among Israelis is that the court has determined the actions in Gaza were war crimes against humanity, including starvation, lack of medical care, and mass killings.

While Netanyahu and Gallant are seen as the key figures responsible, many others are involved. These include senior and junior military leaders, as well as soldiers who shared images on social media boasting about their actions against Palestinians.

Any of them could be arrested if complaints are made against them in other countries.

A growing network of global volunteers, including many Israeli Jews, is mobilizing against the war and its atrocities. These individuals have gathered detailed information on the officers involved, such as their identities, passport numbers, and travel plans.

This data is stored online, ready to be used if needed. They plan to use this information to push for the arrest of any officer traveling abroad.

This strategy has been tested three times in the past month. The first was in Belgium, where an Israeli-Belgian dual citizen involved in the Gaza conflict was investigated. Two weeks ago, a similar case occurred in Nicosia with an Israeli holding Cypriot citizenship.

Last week, an Israeli reserve officer was nearly arrested while on his honeymoon in Cyprus. This officer had boasted about his actions in Gaza and posted a photo saying, “We will burn Gaza to the ground.”

A Belgian organization tracked him and sought his arrest. The Israeli Mossad intervened, quickly having him deported before the arrest could happen.

In addition to these risks, Israeli officials are concerned about how the ICC ruling will affect Netanyahu’s leadership.

If the US accepts him, who else will? Which world leader will risk meeting him now? How can Netanyahu lead if he’s isolated internationally?

Experts have suggested that Israel may have to prepare for a future without Netanyahu, predicting the ICC ruling signals the beginning of the end of his leadership.