Alaa Shahine Salha

Alaa Shahine Salha
Managing Director of SRMG Academy and the Director of Content Development at SRMG

‘The Lebanonization’ of Iraq: A Lesson that Washington Never Learned and that Tehran Mastered

I first encountered the term “the Lebanonization of Iraq” in the headline of a Reuters story published shortly after the fall of Saddam Hussein, when the American occupation authorities were considering the adoption of an ethno-sectarian quota system resembling the political system that has been in…

The Suez Moment and the Strait of Hormuz… A Tempting but Misleading Comparison

However tempting it may be, the comparison “Suez moment,” which is seen as the historical juncture that confirmed the decline of the British Empire, and the United States’ battle to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to free it from Iranian control, is somewhat misleading . The United States of today is…

The Iran War and the US Economy… Misleading Indicators

The economic repercussions of the war on Iran could haunt US President Donald Trump and his Republican Party and hurt them in the Midterms even if the conflict ends this month. While analyses that emphasize how the American economy is better placed than others to absorb energy price shocks are not…

The War on Iran and the Gulf Economy

Despite the alarm stirred by Goldman Sachs's recent forecast of a regional recession this year, state revenue may be a more useful benchmark than GDP for assessing the impact of the US-Israeli war on Iran on Saudi Arabia's economy and the Gulf states more broadly. Indeed, the primary driver of…