US Warns Lebanon of Consequences of Being Drawn into Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (Reuters)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (Reuters)
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US Warns Lebanon of Consequences of Being Drawn into Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (Reuters)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken (Reuters)

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has underlined his country’s support for the Lebanese Army and Internal Security Forces (ISF) as the only legitimate guarantor of stability in Lebanon.

In a statement on Saturday, the US State Department said that Blinken told Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati that it was important to respect the interests of his people, who would be affected if the country were drawn into the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

“Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken spoke with Lebanese caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati yesterday to affirm US support for the Lebanese people and noted growing concern over rising tensions along Lebanon’s southern border,” the statement read.

Meanwhile, the Lebanese government has begun studying an operational emergency plan prepared by the United Nations, to deal with any development, in coordination with international organizations. The plan includes shelter operations, first aid, and humanitarian and relief work.

Hezbollah has also set a preemptive field plan to deal with the repercussions of a potential war in Lebanon, field sources in the South told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Environment Minister Nasser Yassin, who is in charge of communicating with international institutions, explained that the Lebanese government plan was based on immediate response to any emergency, under the management of the National Disaster Management Committee and in coordination between ministries, departments, associations and humanitarian organizations.

According to well-informed sources, the plan divides the Lebanese regions based on the possible war scenarios, starting with areas that could be subjected to heavy bombardment and need to be evacuated, which are located south of the Litani River. Temporary and urgent shelter centers will be put in place for potential displaced persons.

The second area is located 60 kilometers from the border, and is supposed to receive displaced civilians. This region represents an advanced logistical and emergency supply line and includes east of Sidon and southern Mount Lebanon in the Chouf and Iqlim al-Kharroub. The third zone is the shelter area located in the north and east of Beirut, northern Mount Lebanon, and the districts of Aley and Baabda.

UN sources told Asharq Al-Awsat that the government is coordinating the plan with the United Nations, which began its preparations last week, following security developments in the South.

The plan includes ensuring the access of displaced civilians to safe places, providing them with care and humanitarian needs, and securing medicines, medical supplies, and food, in coordination with international organizations and their partners in civil society, mainly the International Red Cross and the World Health Organization.



Smotrich Again Calls For Reduction of Half of Gaza’s Population

Settler activists dance at a conference calling for the establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza, close to the Israel-Gaza border, October 21, 2024. (Jeremy Sharon/Times of Israel)
Settler activists dance at a conference calling for the establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza, close to the Israel-Gaza border, October 21, 2024. (Jeremy Sharon/Times of Israel)
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Smotrich Again Calls For Reduction of Half of Gaza’s Population

Settler activists dance at a conference calling for the establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza, close to the Israel-Gaza border, October 21, 2024. (Jeremy Sharon/Times of Israel)
Settler activists dance at a conference calling for the establishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza, close to the Israel-Gaza border, October 21, 2024. (Jeremy Sharon/Times of Israel)

Israeli Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich on Monday again called for the occupation of the Gaza Strip and the reduction of its Palestinian population “by half within two years,” raising concerns about the presence of similar plans.
Speaking at a conference organized by the Yesha Council, an umbrella group representing Israeli municipalities in the West Bank, Smotrich said that “it is possible to create a situation where Gaza’s population will be reduced to half its current size in two years.”
“It won’t cost too much money. Even if it does, we should not be afraid to pay for it,” he added.
Smotrich’s calls for the occupation of Gaza are not new. However, they reflect the unstated goals of the current war in Gaza, including a prolonged occupation, military rule and rebuilding of settlements.
Israel continues to announce that its goals of the Gaza war are the “elimination of Hamas” and “returning of the captives.” However, developments in Tel Aviv and the Gaza Strip do not support such claims.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has not yet announced a plan for the post-war phase in Gaza, where Israel is working to deepen its control by expanding the axes it holds and establishing permanent military outposts.
Meanwhile, Smotrich’s speech revealed that the minister is setting a budget for the occupation of Gaza.
He said that “Occupying Gaza is not a dirty word.”
“If the cost of security control is 5 billion shekels ($1.37 billion), I will accept it with open arms. If that is what it takes to ensure the security of Israel, then so be it,” the Minister added.
He appeared to be referencing concerns raised by members of Israel’s security establishment along with Treasury officials who have warned about the massive implications that occupying Gaza would have on Israel’s economy.
Smotrich insisted that the only way to defeat Hamas is to replace its governing capabilities in Gaza and that Israel is the only party that can do so, even if that means making the Israeli Army responsible for managing the civilian affairs of Palestinians in Gaza.
Smotrich claimed that once the success of “encouraged migration” is proven in Gaza, it can be replicated in the West Bank, where another three million Palestinians live.
The Religious Zionism party chairman has long spoken in favor of annexing large parts of the West Bank and declared earlier this month that US President-elect Donald Trump’s election victory offers an opportunity to see that vision through.
Smotrich was one of several government ministers who attended an event last month calling for the reestablishment of Jewish settlements in Gaza.
Ahead of his attendance at the conference, Smotrich said that territory relinquished by Israel in the past had turned into “Iranian forward terror bases,” and endangered the country.
But is Smotrich capable of reoccupying and rebuilding settlements in Gaza? For many Israelis, the matter depends on how the war in the Strip ends.
In an article published by The Times of Israel, Eran Hildesheim accused Smotrich of trying to convince the public of a new narrative that if Israel achieves its goals in the war and defeats its enemies, peace and security will return to the region.
The author said this narrative aims primarily to prepare the public opinion that the war should continue, while at the same time promoting the vision of rebuilding settlements in the Gaza Strip.
According to Hildesheim, “the end of the war, as Smotrich put it, implies a large land seizure in the Gaza Strip.”
In the first phase, the minister said the army would distribute food to the population.
Later, Smotrich plans a full military rule to directly manage the lives of the Palestinian population. The ultimate goal of this plan is to rebuild settlements in the Gaza Strip.
“Smotrich's vision places an unbearably heavy financial burden on Israel,” Hildesheim wrote.
He added that such a plan would cost about NIS 20 billion per year, not taking into account the costs of rebuilding the Strip.
He said while the state does not currently own this amount, Israel will therefore be forced to adopt an “economy based on God’s help” to get out of this situation peacefully.