Yemen PM to Asharq Al-Awsat: Peace Is Weakening, 30% of Budget Is Spent on Electricity

Yemen's Prime Minister Ahmad bin Mubarak during a meeting with officials at the Aden Oil Refinery Company in the interim capital, Aden. (Yemeni Prime Minister’s Office)
Yemen's Prime Minister Ahmad bin Mubarak during a meeting with officials at the Aden Oil Refinery Company in the interim capital, Aden. (Yemeni Prime Minister’s Office)
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Yemen PM to Asharq Al-Awsat: Peace Is Weakening, 30% of Budget Is Spent on Electricity

Yemen's Prime Minister Ahmad bin Mubarak during a meeting with officials at the Aden Oil Refinery Company in the interim capital, Aden. (Yemeni Prime Minister’s Office)
Yemen's Prime Minister Ahmad bin Mubarak during a meeting with officials at the Aden Oil Refinery Company in the interim capital, Aden. (Yemeni Prime Minister’s Office)

In 2015, the Iran-backed Houthi militias kidnapped the Secretary-General of Yemen’s National Dialogue Conference (NDC) not knowing he would soon rally Western powers and work to change their view of the Yemeni crisis.

This effort by the then NDC chief, now Yemeni prime minister, was part of a broader manifesto that includes transparency for Yemen’s domestic issues.

The Houthis are aware, however, that their recent attacks in the Red Sea, claimed to be in support of Gaza, have given a unique opportunity to the government headed by PM Dr. Ahmad Awad bin Mubarak.

These attacks have allowed his administration to leverage a situation that hasn’t been possible since the Yemeni crisis began with the coup on September 21, 2014.

Asharq Al-Awsat sat down for an interview with bin Mubark at the Yemeni Embassy in London. The meeting lasted over 20 minutes during which he detailed his government’s plans for both domestic and international policies.

He answered many questions about peace, recent political developments, his visit to the UK, the US response to Red Sea Houthi attacks, and the challenges of electricity, and public services.

Diminishing peace

Experts on the Yemeni crisis believe Houthi operations in the Red Sea have hurt peace prospects, despite the militias' claims that these actions are unrelated to peace efforts.

The UN said these operations have hindered the work of its special envoy, Hans Grundberg, who has faced indirect criticism from Yemen’s new foreign minister, Dr. Shae Al-Zandani.

Majed Al-Madhaji, head of the Sanaa Center for Strategic Studies, highlighted several challenges for bin Mubarak’s government: political responses to Red Sea developments, potential Houthi military escalation, and the ongoing economic war.

Amid this, it was essential to ask bin Mubarak: Is peace still possible with Houthi escalation?

“For us, peace remains a strategic choice,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat. However, he noted that recent Houthi actions are reducing peace prospects.

“Their ideological stance outweighs the pragmatic benefits they could achieve by accepting proposed solutions,” explained bin Mubarak.

“The world is increasingly wary of the Houthis’ potential role in any future peace agreement,” said the prime minister.

He noted that “the international community is significantly concerned, especially due to the Houthis' capabilities and their close ties with Iran.” This relationship has complicated the peace process.

The prime minister emphasized the need to reconsider linking peace efforts with Red Sea operations.

When asked about Washington’s condition for the Houthis to stop their naval attacks to continue the peace process, bin Mubarak said: “The Yemeni government faces peace initiatives that often lead to more conflict and prolong the crisis.”

“In our discussions with the international community, we’ve always stressed – and you know the pressure we faced to go to Stockholm, where a peace agreement was announced but didn’t last hours – that in all new proposals, whether a truce or the current roadmap, it's crucial the international community supports a genuine peace plan,” he added.

“This plan should not hand Yemen over to the Houthis, who serve Iran’s agenda. This would be disastrous not only for Yemenis, who would reject them, but also for the region and the world,” he warned.

Bin Mubarak then asked: “Would the Houthis become a normal movement if they stopped their Red Sea operations today? Their actions in recent months have shown a clear ideological direction and strong ties to Iran’s agenda, posing a significant threat.”

“It’s less about how the US supports any future framework and more about ensuring support for what is sustainable. This approach helps Yemenis reach a framework where they can coexist and address their issues more effectively.”

Western shift in narrative

The narrative of the Yemeni war has changed significantly, stressed the premier.

“What we used to warn about is now being echoed by Western voices,” he elaborated.

“Previous claims that the Houthis could be brought to peace through economic incentives, that Iran’s influence on them is minimal, that they are just a domestic issue in Yemen, and that they pose no regional or direct threat to Western interests have all been debunked,” asserted bin Mubarak.

He believes this shift should lead to “a strategic change in how the Houthis are viewed—not just as a military or social faction, but as an ideological threat.”

“This ideology impacts not only Yemen but also the region and the world,” he cautioned.

First 100 days

Regarding his first 100 days in office, the PM said: “Certainly they have been tough, given the difficult circumstances. I came into office during a halt in oil exports, which cut off over 70% of the Yemeni government’s revenue.”

“This is a major part of the economic war, with blockades preventing goods from reaching government areas controlled by the Houthis, severely impacting government resources.”

“The halt in domestic gas exports from Marib and the ban on oil exports have intensified the economic pressure on the Yemeni government,” he elucidated.

The prime minister reflects on his first 100 days, acknowledging challenges amidst a backdrop of ongoing conflict.

“Despite some suggesting it is a peaceful phase, we’ve seen over 48 casualties in recent confrontations with the Houthis. Institutional building is also tough due to war conditions,” he revealed.

However, according to bin Mubarak, there have been notable strides.

“I’ve prioritized reform, transparency, and direct citizen engagement. We’ve optimized resource use, reformed key state institutions, and activated them in Aden,” he explained.

“Despite difficulties, we’ve reduced fuel expenditure by 35%-40% through transparent procedures. We’ve also focused on ministries directly impacting revenue generation and citizen service delivery,” said the PM.

Electricity woes

Power cuts have become a regular part of life rather than just a problem. Yemenis have to endure extreme heat or spoiled food due to lack of electricity, so it’s natural for them to complain.

“The energy sector has suffered for various reasons, even before the war. There hasn't been a strategic approach to this issue for a long time, and we’ve relied heavily on temporary fixes,” noted bin Mubarak.

The Yemeni government spends 30% of its resources on energy, with a huge chunk, 75%, going solely to fuel.

Under bin Mubarak’s leadership, the government is aiming to lower fuel prices directly.

“Our strategy first aims to stop excessive spending so we can save for the future,” he explained.

“For instance, we’ve slashed the price of fuel from $1,200 to $760 per ton, saving nearly half. Similar savings are expected in transporting crude oil to power stations, especially in Aden.”

“We're also pushing for a shift to cleaner energy sources like solar and wind power, working closely with partners like Saudi Arabia and the UAE,” revealed bin Mubarak.

According to the prime minister, fixing Yemen’s electricity sector will take time and significant investments, along with genuine partnerships with the private sector.

He stressed that private sector involvement depends on structural reforms, including legislative changes and improving distribution networks.

“We need to stop waste and losses due to weak networks and illegal tapping, and adjust tariffs while increasing collection rates. These are crucial steps for a better energy future,” he affirmed.



Syrian Opposition Leader Says Lebanon Truce Opened Door to Aleppo Assault

An anti-regime fighter tears off a poster depicting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (L) and his brother Maher at the airport in the northern Syrian city of Aleppo on December 2, 2024. (AFP)
An anti-regime fighter tears off a poster depicting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (L) and his brother Maher at the airport in the northern Syrian city of Aleppo on December 2, 2024. (AFP)
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Syrian Opposition Leader Says Lebanon Truce Opened Door to Aleppo Assault

An anti-regime fighter tears off a poster depicting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (L) and his brother Maher at the airport in the northern Syrian city of Aleppo on December 2, 2024. (AFP)
An anti-regime fighter tears off a poster depicting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad (L) and his brother Maher at the airport in the northern Syrian city of Aleppo on December 2, 2024. (AFP)

Syrian opposition fighters began preparations to seize Aleppo a year ago, but the operation was delayed by war in Gaza and ultimately launched last week when a ceasefire took hold in Lebanon, the head of Syria's main opposition abroad told Reuters.

The factions were able to seize the city and parts of neighboring Idlib province so quickly in part because Hezbollah and other Iran-backed fighters were distracted by their conflict with Israel, Hadi al-Bahra said in an interview on Monday.

The Turkish military, which is allied with some of the opposition and has bases across its southern border in Syria, had heard of the armed groups' plans but made clear it would play no direct role, he added.

The assault in northwestern Syria was launched last Wednesday, the day that Israel and Lebanese armed group Hezbollah began a truce ending more than a year of fighting.

"A year ago they started really training and mobilizing and taking it more seriously," said Bahra, president of the National Coalition of Syrian Revolution and Opposition Forces, the internationally-recognized Syrian opposition.

"But the war on Gaza ... then the war in Lebanon delayed it. They felt it wouldn't look good having the war in Lebanon at the same time they were fighting in Syria," he said in his Istanbul office, in the first public comments on the fighters’ preparations by an opposition figure.

"So the moment there was a ceasefire in Lebanon, they found that opportunity ... to start."

The opposition operation is the boldest advance and biggest challenge to Syrian President Bashar al-Assad in years in a civil war where front lines had largely been frozen since 2020.

Syrian and allied Russian forces have launched counter attacks, which Bahra said are "destabilizing" Aleppo and Idlib and pose the biggest risk to civilians, given the earlier opposition advances had sought carefully to avoid such casualties.

IRAN, RUSSIA

The opposition retaking of Aleppo also paves the way for hundreds of thousands of Syrians displaced elsewhere in the country and in Türkiye to return home, Bahra said.

"Due to the Lebanese war and decrease in Hezbollah forces, (Assad's) regime has less support," he said, adding Iranian militias also have less resources while Russia is giving less air cover due to its "Ukraine problem".

Damascus, which is also backed by Iran, did not immediately comment on whether the opposition sought to avoid casualties and whether it risks destabilizing the region with air raids. Assad has vowed to crush the fighters and has launched air raids.

Iran-backed Hezbollah did not immediately comment on whether its war with Israel opened the door to Syrian opposition advances in Aleppo, where it also has personnel.

Tehran has pledged to aid the Syrian government and on Monday hundreds of fighters from Iran-backed Iraqi militias crossed into Syria to help fight the factions, Syrian and Iraqi sources said.

A Turkish defense ministry official said last week that Ankara was closely monitoring the mobilization and taking precautions for its troops.

The opposition fighters are a coalition of Türkiye-backed mainstream secular armed groups spearheaded by the Hayat Tahrir al-Sham group that has been designated a terrorist outfit by Türkiye, the US, Russia and other states.

Bahra's coalition, which does not include HTS, represents anti-Assad groups including the Türkiye-backed Syrian National Army or Free Syrian Army, which took territory north of Idlib over the last week.

It holds regular diplomatic talks with the United Nations and several states.