Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
TT

Hezbollah Resumes Threatening Tone: Internal Crisis or Pre-War Posturing?

Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem
Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General Naim Qassem

In response to recent developments, Hezbollah officials in Lebanon have reverted to a language of threats and intimidation, alongside disparaging remarks aimed at their critics.

This shift comes amid ongoing conflicts in the south and amidst calls to end the country’s presidential vacuum.

Most notably, Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary-General, Naim Qassem, emphasized the exclusive role of resistance in expelling occupation forces, reclaiming independence, and defending Lebanon.

He dismissed those advocating for peaceful means or utilizing social media for their future, asserting that Hezbollah was on the right path, forging ahead while “others play and amuse themselves in their rooms.”

Former Minister and MP Ashraf Rifi views Hezbollah’s return to a threatening tone as a consequence of its divergent choices from those of most Lebanese.

Ghayath Yazbek of the Lebanese Forces (LF) characterized Hezbollah's leadership as erratic, vacillating between rigidity and accommodation, often delivering harsh or mild messages as circumstances dictate, all without popular or political consensus or state support.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Rifi urged Hezbollah to cease its threats, affirming, “Lebanon is a pluralistic nation; no single entity can dictate its choices.”

He criticized Hezbollah’s alignment with Iranian interests, contrasting it with the desires of Lebanese voices rejecting an Iranian hegemony over Lebanon.

Rifi argues that regardless of any settlements, he rejects Hezbollah’s claim of a divine victory internally. He emphasizes Lebanon’s right to determine its destiny, urging Hezbollah to reconsider its stance.

Rifi also points out that Hezbollah, which once boasted 74 parliament seats, now barely holds 51, indicating a loss of influence that could have enabled them to appoint a president.

On his part, Yazbek criticized Hezbollah’s different approach to assessing gains and losses.

“Victory (to Hezbollah) must be total, or it’s meaningless. What’s the use if the people suffer and Israel is destroyed?” questioned Yazbek.

Moreover, Yazbek emphasizes that the challenges with Hezbollah didn’t start on Oct. 7.

“This conflict has worsened the fundamental divide between a state and a non-state entity. While gunfire may temporarily overshadow this deep crisis, its lasting impact remains, and we’ll face it again post-war, reverting to pre-Oct. 7 conditions,” explained the LF official.

These statements reflect deepening divisions exacerbated by recent conflicts and underscore a broader crisis in governance and national identity. They highlight ongoing tensions over Hezbollah’s militaristic stance and the absence of a unified political and popular mandate.

The discourse continues to evolve, with various Lebanese leaders rejecting Hezbollah’s militarization of national discourse and advocating for inclusive dialogue and adherence to international resolutions aimed at disarming militias.

This push underscores a persistent struggle to define Lebanon’s path forward amidst regional conflicts and internal discord.



Israel Cracks Down on Palestinian Citizens Who Speak out against the War in Gaza

The Palestinian health ministry in Gaza said Friday that hospitals have only two days' fuel left before they must restrict services, after the UN warned aid delivery to the war-devastated territory is being crippled. - AFP
The Palestinian health ministry in Gaza said Friday that hospitals have only two days' fuel left before they must restrict services, after the UN warned aid delivery to the war-devastated territory is being crippled. - AFP
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Israel Cracks Down on Palestinian Citizens Who Speak out against the War in Gaza

The Palestinian health ministry in Gaza said Friday that hospitals have only two days' fuel left before they must restrict services, after the UN warned aid delivery to the war-devastated territory is being crippled. - AFP
The Palestinian health ministry in Gaza said Friday that hospitals have only two days' fuel left before they must restrict services, after the UN warned aid delivery to the war-devastated territory is being crippled. - AFP

Israel’s yearlong crackdown against Palestinian citizens who speak out against the war in Gaza is prompting many to self-censor out of fear of being jailed and further marginalized in society, while some still find ways to dissent — carefully.
Ahmed Khalefa's life turned upside down after he was charged with inciting terrorism for chanting in solidarity with Gaza at an anti-war protest in October 2023, The Associated Press said.
The lawyer and city counselor from central Israel says he spent three difficult months in jail followed by six months detained in an apartment. It's unclear when he'll get a final verdict on his guilt or innocence. Until then, he's forbidden from leaving his home from dusk to dawn.
Khalefa is one of more than 400 Palestinian citizens of Israel who, since the start of the war in Gaza, have been investigated by police for “incitement to terrorism” or “incitement to violence,” according to Adalah, a legal rights group for minorities. More than half of those investigated were also criminally charged or detained, Adalah said.
“Israel made it clear they see us more as enemies than as citizens,” Khalefa said in an interview at a cafe in his hometown of Umm al-Fahm, Israel's second-largest Palestinian city.
Israel has roughly 2 million Palestinian citizens, whose families remained within the borders of what became Israel in 1948. Among them are Muslims and Christians, and they maintain family and cultural ties to Gaza and the West Bank, which Israel captured in 1967.
Israel says its Palestinian citizens enjoy equal rights, including the right to vote, and they are well-represented in many professions. However, Palestinians are widely discriminated against in areas like housing and the job market.
Israeli authorities have opened more incitement cases against Palestinian citizens during the war in Gaza than in the previous five years combined, Adalah's records show. Israeli authorities have not said how many cases ended in convictions and imprisonment. The Justice Ministry said it did not have statistics on those convictions.
Just being charged with incitement to terrorism or identifying with a terrorist group can land a suspect in detention until they're sentenced, under the terms of a 2016 law.
In addition to being charged as criminals, Palestinians citizens of Israel — who make up around 20% of the country’s population — have lost jobs, been suspended from schools and faced police interrogations posting online or demonstrating, activists and rights watchdogs say.
It’s had a chilling effect.
“Anyone who tries to speak out about the war will be imprisoned and harassed in his work and education,” said Oumaya Jabareen, whose son was jailed for eight months after an anti-war protest. “People here are all afraid, afraid to say no to this war.”
Jabareen was among hundreds of Palestinians who filled the streets of Umm al-Fahm earlier this month carrying signs and chanting political slogans. It appeared to be the largest anti-war demonstration in Israel since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack. But turnout was low, and Palestinian flags and other national symbols were conspicuously absent. In the years before the war, some protests could draw tens of thousands of Palestinians in Israel.
Authorities tolerated the recent protest march, keeping it under heavily armed supervision. Helicopters flew overhead as police with rifles and tear gas jogged alongside the crowd, which dispersed without incident after two hours. Khalefa said he chose not to attend.
Shortly after the Oct. 7 attack, Israel’s far-right government moved quickly to invigorate a task force that has charged Palestinian citizens of Israel with “supporting terrorism” for posts online or protesting against the war. At around the same time, lawmakers amended a security bill to increase surveillance of online activity by Palestinians in Israel, said Nadim Nashif, director of the digital rights group 7amleh. These moves gave authorities more power to restrict freedom of expression and intensify their arrest campaigns, Nashif said.
The task force is led by Itamar Ben-Gvir, a hard-line national security minister who oversees the police. His office said the task force has monitored thousands of posts allegedly expressing support for terror organizations and that police arrested “hundreds of terror supporters,” including public opinion leaders, social media influencers, religious figures, teachers and others.
“Freedom of speech is not the freedom to incite ... which harms public safety and our security,” his office said in a statement.
But activists and rights groups say the government has expanded its definition of incitement much too far, targeting legitimate opinions that are at the core of freedom of expression.
Myssana Morany, a human rights attorney at Adalah, said Palestinian citizens have been charged for seemingly innocuous things like sending a meme of a captured Israeli tank in Gaza in a private WhatsApp group chat. Another person was charged for posting a collage of children’s photos, captioned in Arabic and English: “Where were the people calling for humanity when we were killed?” The feminist activist group Kayan said over 600 women called its hotline because of blowback in the workplace for speaking out against the war or just mentioning it unfavorably.
Over the summer, around two dozen anti-war protesters in the port city of Haifa were only allowed to finish three chants before police forcefully scattered the gathering into the night. Yet Jewish Israelis demanding a hostage release deal protest regularly — and the largest drew hundreds of thousands to the streets of Tel Aviv.
Khalefa, the city counselor, is not convinced the crackdown on speech will end, even if the war eventually does. He said Israeli prosecutors took issue with slogans that broadly praised resistance and urged Gaza to be strong, but which didn’t mention violence or any militant groups. For that, he said, the government is trying to disbar him, and he faces up to eight years in prison.
“They wanted to show us the price of speaking out,” Khalefa said.