UN Envoy Discusses Preventing Deeper Economic Collapse with Sanaa, Aden

UN envoy Hans Grundberg (Asharq Al-Awsat)
UN envoy Hans Grundberg (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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UN Envoy Discusses Preventing Deeper Economic Collapse with Sanaa, Aden

UN envoy Hans Grundberg (Asharq Al-Awsat)
UN envoy Hans Grundberg (Asharq Al-Awsat)

A representative from the UN Special Envoy’s office for Yemen said discussions are ongoing with Yemen’s central banks in Sanaa and Aden to find sustainable solutions to prevent further economic collapse.
Talks include setting an optimal currency supply and unifying exchange rates across the country.
In a statement to Asharq Al-Awsat, the official said recent talks in Sanaa highlighted that a unified currency and banking system could boost financial stability and economic growth.
These comments come as Yemen’s internationally recognized government battles to halt the steep decline of its currency amid worsening economic and living conditions, nearly a decade after Houthi forces seized the capital, Sanaa.
Yemen’s currency hit a new low Thursday in government-held areas, trading at 2,026 rials per US dollar and 532 rials per Saudi riyal.
Yemeni economic experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that the government needs urgent action to regain trust from citizens, the coalition, and international partners, suggesting it should bring in experienced economic leaders to handle the crisis.
The office of UN envoy Hans Grundberg reported that over 70% of Yemenis live in poverty, with women suffering the most.
In response to Asharq Al-Awsat, Grundberg’s team emphasized that unifying Yemen’s currency and banking sector is essential to pay public sector salaries, which are crucial for millions.
Since April, the envoy’s office has worked with Yemen’s central banks in Sanaa and Aden to find sustainable solutions to stabilize the economy, including maintaining exchange rates, ensuring a balanced currency supply, and supporting government spending.
Recent discussions in Sanaa reaffirmed that a unified currency and banking system can strengthen Yemen’s economy and increase purchasing power. The UN office urged that these issues remain free from political interference.
As Yemen’s currency continues to fall, temporary solutions have shown little effect.
Prime Minister Ahmed Awad bin Mubarak described the currency drop as a battle equal to the military fight to reclaim the state. He pointed out that the sharp decline is “unreasonable” and likely part of a planned scheme, calling for collective action to counter it.
Since returning to Aden on Oct. 15, Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) Chairman Dr. Rashad Al-Alimi has faced major economic challenges, including a sharp currency decline.
He has since held urgent meetings with central bank officials and the crisis management committee.
On May 30, 2024, Yemen’s central bank in Aden suspended dealings with six major banks in Houthi-controlled areas.
The PLC and government later reversed the decision, citing the need to prioritize Yemeni citizens’ welfare amid the country’s severe hardships.
Dr. Mohammed Banajah, Deputy Governor of the Central Bank of Yemen, recently stated that the bank has fully adhered to all agreements with the UN envoy, including the cancellation of plans to withdraw the SWIFT system from banks that have not moved their operations to interim capital, Aden.
He pointed out that the opposing party has not made any concrete moves or issued a goodwill statement.
Regarding the sharp fluctuations in exchange rates, Banajah attributed these changes to Yemen’s worsening economic situation, which directly affects the banking and financial sectors.
He confirmed that the central bank is working hard to address these challenges using available monetary policy tools.
Yemeni economist Rashid Al-Ansi argues that the government must take immediate steps to regain the trust of citizens, the coalition, and the international community.
Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, Al-Ansi stressed that this requires bringing in experienced economic professionals and implementing a comprehensive reform program with clear timelines to improve public finances, cut spending, boost non-oil revenues, and push for the resumption of oil exports.

 



Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
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Half of Yemen’s Population Face Mounting Risks from Climate Change

Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)
Al-Garehi Al-Gharbi camp in the Abs district of north-west Yemen. (Norwegian Refugee Council)

Already suffering from a prolonged conflict as a result of the Houthi coup against the legitimate authority, Yemen is facing mounting risks brought on by climate change, the World Bank warned on Thursday.
Many populations are facing threats from climate change, such as extreme heat, drought, and floods, the WB said in its newly released Yemen Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR).
Stephane Guimbert, World Bank Country Director for Egypt, Yemen and Djibouti said that Yemen is facing an unprecedented convergence of crises — conflict, climate change, and poverty.
He called for immediate and decisive action on climate resilience, a matter of survival for millions of Yemenis.
“By investing in water security, climate-smart agriculture, and renewable energy, Yemen can safeguard human capital, build resilience and lay the foundations for a path to sustainable recovery,” he said.
The WB report said half of Yemenis are already exposed to at least one climate hazard — extreme heat, drought, or flooding — with compounding effects on food insecurity and poverty.
These risks, it showed, are expected to intensify without immediate action and Yemen’s annual GDP could decline by an average of 3.9% by 2040 under pessimistic climate scenarios, largely due to decreased agricultural productivity and infrastructure damage.
Navigating Challenges
Despite these challenges, the CCDR identifies strategic opportunities to strengthen resilience, improve food and water security, and unlock sustainable growth, the WB report noted.
For example, it said, targeted investments in water storage and groundwater management, coupled with adaptive agriculture techniques could lead to productivity gains of up to 13.5% in crop production under optimistic climate scenarios for the period of 2041 to 2050.
The report also spoke about risks to the fisheries sector, considered as a critical source of livelihood for many Yemenis.
Its projections indicate a potential decline of up to 23% in fish stocks due to rising sea temperatures and altered marine ecosystems.

The WB report also said that climate change exacerbates existing health challenges in Yemen, leading to increased healthcare costs and strain on already fragile health systems.
“It is projected that climate-related health issues could cost the country over $5 billion in excess health costs by 2050,” it noted.
“Addressing these challenges requires integrating climate resilience into public health planning, with a focus on vulnerable groups such as women and children.”
Concerning infrastructure, the report said urban areas and critical infrastructure are especially vulnerable, and without adaptation measures, economic shocks will disproportionately affect already fragile communities.
As for the private sector, it has a critical role to play in addressing Yemen’s pressing development challenges, said Khawaja Aftab Ahmed, IFC’s Regional Director for the Middle East.
“Harnessing its potential through innovative financing mechanisms and guarantee instruments and creating a conducive investment climate can help mobilize the climate-focused funding the country urgently needs to build a greener and more resilient future,” he said.
The WB report also said that Yemen also has immense potential for renewable energy, which could serve as a key component of its climate response and recovery.
It showed that harnessing renewable energy resources not only offers a pathway to reduce reliance on fossil fuels but also enables the creation of a more resilient power infrastructure.
“This will be essential in supporting vital services such as healthcare, water supply, and food distribution, particularly in conflict-affected areas,” it said.
Global Coordination
The World Bank highlighted the significant commitments and coordination from the international community to support Yemen in coping with climate shocks and building broader resilience.
It said securing sustainable peace will be required to unlock the financing and take the action needed to build long-term resilience to climate change.
The CCDR then underscored the importance of flexible, risk-informed decision-making to adapt climate actions to Yemen's uncertain political landscape.
Under a “Peace and Prosperity” scenario, it said, a higher level of adaptation can be implemented, yielding greater economic and social benefits.
Yemeni Minister of Water and Environment, Tawfiq Al-Sharjabi, stressed the importance of integrating climate action into development strategies and adapting to climate fluctuations.
The minister was speaking at a special session to discuss the WB report on the sidelines of the 29th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP29) held in Baku, Azerbaijan.
He said the report represents a significant contribution for Yemen in addressing climate change and will facilitate access to various climate financing options amid the structural and technical fragility faced by institutions due to the war.
The report, Al-Sharjabi added, aligns closely with Yemen's urgent priorities, particularly in the areas of water and food security, enhancing livelihoods, and promoting area-based climate adaptation approaches.