Hezbollah Faces a Choice: Adapt to Change or Return to Conflict

An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
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Hezbollah Faces a Choice: Adapt to Change or Return to Conflict

An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP
An image grab shows Hezbollah chief Naim Qasem delivering a televised speech from an undisclosed location. AFP

In his recent speech, Hezbollah's Deputy Secretary-General Sheikh Naim Qassem sent several messages to both Lebanon and the wider world, suggesting that the post-war era will be different from the past.

While he declared victory over Israel, he also signaled a shift towards political engagement under the Taif Agreement, highlighting the changes facing both Hezbollah and the broader “Resistance Axis.”

However, the victory Qassem spoke of does not reflect Lebanon's reality after the war.

Former minister Rashid Derbas argued that Hezbollah may claim victory, but in truth, Lebanon—both as a state and a people—has been defeated. He noted that Qassem's remarks are mainly aimed at rallying supporters, while the Lebanese people continue to suffer.

In a statement to Asharq Al-Awsat, Derbas said that while Sheikh Naim Qassem has the right to address his supporters this way, he views the overall tone of the speech as positive.

Derbas highlighted Qassem’s decision to return to political work under the Taif Agreement, his call for a swift presidential election, and his push for cooperation with the Lebanese army.

In his speech, Hezbollah’s Secretary-General outlined the party’s future vision, including high-level coordination with the Lebanese army, continued support for Palestine, and ongoing reconstruction efforts with the Lebanese state and international partners.

He emphasized that Hezbollah’s role in Lebanon will remain politically and economically influential, with a focus on completing constitutional institutions, starting with electing a new president.

The results of the war have forced Hezbollah to reassess its approach, pushing for deeper political integration in a more pragmatic manner than before.

Derbas praised Qassem’s agreement to withdraw completely north of the Litani River, signaling a shift away from confrontation with Israel. He noted that Hezbollah has come to realize that only Lebanon and the state can protect it, not Syria, Iraq, or Iran.

Regarding Hezbollah’s “army, people, and resistance” equation, Derbas pointed out the reality of Israel's military strength, which is linked to US weapons, and emphasized the need to rely on the state for protection.

He stressed that the party must return to a more realistic approach.

The tone of Hezbollah’s rhetoric after this war is different from its stance after the 2006 July War, which was more aggressive toward political forces.

Political analyst Qassem Qasir noted that the party is now acting with greater rationality, coordinating with the Lebanese state and army to implement UN Resolution 1701.

He called on all political groups to adopt a positive and non-provocative discourse that reflects Hezbollah’s openness toward all Lebanese factions.



Easing of Tensions between Syria, Israel Does Not Erase Tel Aviv’s Concerns about Damascus

 An Israeli soldier opens a gate at the border between the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and Syria, in Majdal Shams, May 4, 2025. (Reuters)
An Israeli soldier opens a gate at the border between the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and Syria, in Majdal Shams, May 4, 2025. (Reuters)
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Easing of Tensions between Syria, Israel Does Not Erase Tel Aviv’s Concerns about Damascus

 An Israeli soldier opens a gate at the border between the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and Syria, in Majdal Shams, May 4, 2025. (Reuters)
An Israeli soldier opens a gate at the border between the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and Syria, in Majdal Shams, May 4, 2025. (Reuters)

The Israeli army continues to bolster its positions inside Syrian territories it occupied near the Golan Heights five months ago. This is in spite of regional and international diplomatic efforts to put an end to Israel’s violations against Syria, meaning Tel Aviv may still have doubts about the intentions of the new rulers in Damascus.

The Israelis believe that the new rulers are sending positive signals to all parties, including Tel Aviv and Iran. They do point out, however, that some armed groups affiliated with Damascus openly declare their hostility to Israel and its allies in the region, which demands that they be approached with caution.

Recent reports have spoken of indirect talks held between Syria and Israel in a third country in April with the aim of easing tensions. The discussions focused on security and intelligence affairs, as well as counter-terrorism efforts and trust-building between the countries that don’t have official ties.

Sources described the talks as positive even as Israel continued its attacks on Syria, going so far as to strike a location close to the presidential palace in Damascus. It claimed that it was defending Syria’s Druze minority, which it alleges is being harassed by parties close to the new rulers in Damascus.

On May 3, Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said a strike near the presidential palace should serve as a "clear message" to Syria's new rulers.

"We will not allow forces to be sent south of Damascus or any threat to the Druze community," he said in a joint statement with Defense Minister Israel Katz.

Israel’s Yedioth Ahronoth said three rounds of unofficial talks have been held between Israeli academics with security backgrounds with three figures who are close to the new Syrian government. Discussions tackled the Israeli strikes on Syria and ensuring the security of the Druze, while Damascus demanded an end to the escalation and allowing the new rulers to arrange internal affairs inside Syria.

The sources told the newspaper that the talks were direct, as opposed to other rounds of talks, reflecting a desire to build trust as Syria recently declared that it has "no intention to threaten any of its neighbors, including Israel."

The newspaper also said that Syrian and Israeli figures met on the sidelines of two conferences in Europe. The members of the Syrian delegation appeared friendly towards the Israelis, stressing that the new regime in Damascus has expelled the Iranians from Syria and will not allow them to return. The Israelis were receptive of the message.

Yedioth Ahronoth said the Syrian delegation was comprised of six officials and had received official approval to meet the Israelis in Europe.

Syrian interim President Ahmed al-Sharaa acknowledged on Wednesday that his country has held indirect talks with Israel.

"There are indirect talks with Israel through mediators to calm and attempt to absorb the situation so that it does not reach a level that both sides lose control over," he said, reiterating blame on Israel over what he described as its "random interventions" in Syria.

Meanwhile, Israel continued to bolster its positions in locations it occupied in Jabal al-Sheikh in Syria and along the border – areas that are just 20 kilometers away from the capital Damascus.

Israel's military said Thursday it opened a mobile medical clinic in southern Syria to support the Druze population, which it has committed to defending in recent weeks.

The military “has begun operating a forward mobile triage facility in southern Syria, in the area of the village of Hader," a statement said.

"The facility is part of several efforts undertaken by the IDF to support the Syrian-Druze population and ensure their safety."

In footage published by the army, military medical personnel can be seen treating a man with his arm in a cast – all of whom have their faces blurred – in what appears to be a mobile cabin.