Fears in Lebanon of Israeli Plan to Empty and Strangle the South Economically

Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
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Fears in Lebanon of Israeli Plan to Empty and Strangle the South Economically

Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.

Intensified Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon late Thursday have heightened fears that Tel Aviv is enforcing a “systematic policy to economically strangle the south and prevent life from returning,” after expanding its bombardment to include civilian and industrial facilities used in reconstruction efforts.

A week after targeting heavy machinery and excavators engaged in rebuilding damaged areas, Israeli warplanes carried out some of their most violent raids in weeks on Thursday evening, striking the Wadi Bsafour area between the towns of Ansar and Sinnay, north of the Litani River.

The bombardment caused extensive destruction in cement factories and industrial workshops, with explosions heard across Nabatieh and Zahrani.

Lebanon’s National News Agency described the raids as “among the most intense in weeks,” noting that the missiles produced an unprecedented flash and powerful tremors felt in nearby villages.

The losses extended beyond industrial and construction sites. The South Lebanon Water Establishment said in a statement that the strikes “hit and destroyed the institution’s strategic fuel depot, resulting in the total loss of its contents.”

The facility reportedly contained about half a million liters of diesel used to power electricity generators for water pumping stations and wells that supply southern towns and villages.

The raids came amid continued Israeli operations that the army said were aimed at pursuing Hezbollah fighters, alongside what it described as repeated violations of the ceasefire agreement.

On Friday afternoon, an Israeli drone struck a car in the southern town of Khirbet Selm, killing one person. Another drone dropped a stun grenade near the Qita al-Zaytouna area in the town of Blida, in the Marjayoun district.

Economic Targeting

The escalation has stirred debate over the nature and intent of Israel’s recent strikes — whether they are part of its ongoing military campaign or represent a deliberate shift toward targeting southern Lebanon’s economic and productive infrastructure.

Residents of the region say the strikes “no longer target potential military sites but have hit the arteries of civilian life.” They added that “the current confrontation is not measured by the number of rockets but by the number of destroyed workshops and workers who lost their livelihoods,” warning that the economic toll could drive residents to flee under the weight of poverty and mounting losses.

MP Mohammad Khawaja, a member of the Development and Liberation Bloc, said the targeting of cement plants and quarries “is no coincidence nor a limited field response, but a systematic policy aimed at economically suffocating the south and blocking any return to normal life.”

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that Israel “is frustrated by the return of hundreds of families to their homes in Aitaroun, Maroun al-Ras, Blida, and Khiam, after betting these towns would remain empty.” He added that residents’ determination to rebuild their homes, “even if starting with one room,” had “upset the occupation, which sought to turn the south into a desolate zone.”

Khawaja estimated the material cost of the latest strikes at over $15 million, citing the destruction of more than 300 engineering machines and trucks, some belonging to contractors working with the Ministry of Public Works. “The real goal,” he said, “is to keep the south paralyzed and prevent any genuine economic recovery or reconstruction.”

Responding to Israeli army spokesperson Avichay Adraee’s claims that Hezbollah uses such facilities to rebuild its military infrastructure, Khawaja said: “These are baseless allegations meant to justify unjustified aggression. The targeted plants are part of licensed development projects overseen by Lebanese ministries and have no link to any military activity.”

He added that Israel is now “using the economy as a weapon to subdue Lebanon politically after failing to achieve its goals militarily,” urging a “unified national stance, because the Israeli threat targets not only the south, but all of Lebanon.”

‘The Decision Lies on the Ground’

From a strategic perspective, retired Brigadier General Naji Malaeb said Israel’s targeting pattern “is no longer purely military; it now focuses on economic and civilian infrastructure such as quarries, concrete plants, and bulldozers, with the aim of crippling reconstruction and preventing the return of normal life to southern villages.”

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that “Israel understands that whoever rebuilds the land controls its political and social fate. It therefore seeks to destroy the material foundations that allow people to remain steadfast.”

“When Hezbollah deployed about 1,200 engineers and technicians after the ceasefire to assess damage and assist residents,” Malaeb added, “Israel realized the group was filling the state’s vacuum — and chose to respond by striking the very infrastructure people rely on to rebuild.”

He described the raids as “economic punishment targeting the social fabric of the south,” explaining that “every workshop bombed and every cement mixer destroyed delays people’s return home and fuels slow displacement.”

“The south today faces a dual threat — fire from the sky and economic strangulation on the ground,” Malaeb said.

On the ground, the devastation speaks for itself: idle factories, burned bulldozers, and workers left without jobs. According to Malaeb, “Israel is using the economy as a long-term weapon — one that erodes people’s resilience and turns reconstruction into a daily war of attrition. Every strike on an industrial plant is a blow to Lebanon’s social structure, not its military one.”

Post-Strikes Scenarios

Malaeb warned that Israel’s current approach “could pave the way for a scenario similar to southern Syria, where demilitarized zones were created and managed by local structures under international oversight.”

“Israel may justify such a project under the pretext of securing its borders against terrorism,” he said, “but the real goal is to depopulate the south.” He stressed that “a national solution can only be achieved through clear demarcation of land borders and full Lebanese sovereignty over its territory.”



Gaza Ceasefire Enters Phase Two Despite Unresolved Issues

 Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
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Gaza Ceasefire Enters Phase Two Despite Unresolved Issues

 Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
Palestinians walk amid buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)

A US-backed plan to end the war in Gaza has entered its second phase despite unresolved disputes between Israel and Hamas over alleged ceasefire violations and issues unaddressed in the first stage.

The most contentious questions remain Hamas's refusal to publicly commit to full disarmament, a non-negotiable demand from Israel, and Israel's lack of clarity over whether it will fully withdraw its forces from Gaza.

The creation of a Palestinian technocratic committee, announced on Wednesday, is intended to manage day-to-day governance in post-war Gaza, but it leaves unresolved broader political and security questions.

Below is a breakdown of developments from phase one to the newly launched second stage.

- Gains and gaps in phase one -

The first phase of the plan, part of a 20-point proposal unveiled by US President Donald Trump, began on October 10 and aimed primarily to stop the fighting in the Gaza Strip, allow in aid and secure the return of all remaining living and deceased hostages held by Hamas and allied Palestinian armed groups.

All hostages have since been returned, except for the remains of one Israeli, Ran Gvili.

Israel has accused Hamas of delaying the handover of Gvili's body, while Hamas has said widespread destruction in Gaza made locating the remains difficult.

Gvili's family had urged mediators to delay the transition to phase two.

"Moving on breaks my heart. Have we given up? Ran did not give up on anyone," his sister, Shira Gvili, said after mediators announced the move.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said efforts to recover Gvili's remains would continue but has not publicly commented on the launch of phase two.

Hamas has accused Israel of repeated ceasefire violations, including air strikes, firing on civilians and advancing the so-called "Yellow Line," an informal boundary separating areas under Israeli military control from those under Hamas authority.

Gaza's Hamas-run health ministry said Israeli forces had killed 451 people since the ceasefire took effect.

Israel's military said it had targeted suspected fighters who crossed into restricted zones near the Yellow Line, adding that three Israeli soldiers were also killed by fighters during the same period.

Aid agencies say Israel has not allowed the volume of humanitarian assistance envisaged under phase one, a claim Israel rejects.

Gaza, whose borders and access points remain under Israeli control, continues to face severe shortages of food, clean water, medicine and fuel.

Israel and the United Nations have repeatedly disputed figures on the number of aid trucks permitted to enter the Palestinian territory.

- Disarmament, governance in phase two -

Under the second phase, Gaza is to be administered by a 15-member Palestinian technocratic committee operating under the supervision of a so-called "Board of Peace," to be chaired by Trump.

"The ball is now in the court of the mediators, the American guarantor and the international community to empower the committee," Bassem Naim, a senior Hamas leader, said in a statement on Thursday.

Mediators Egypt, Türkiye and Qatar said Ali Shaath, a former deputy minister in the Ramallah-based Palestinian Authority, had been appointed to lead the committee.

Shaath, in an interview, said the committee would rely on "brains rather than weapons" and would not coordinate with armed groups.

US Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff said phase two aims for the "full demilitarization and reconstruction of Gaza," including the disarmament of all unauthorized armed factions.

Witkoff said Washington expected Hamas to fulfill its remaining obligations, including the return of Gvili's body, warning that failure to do so would bring "serious consequences".

The plan also calls for the deployment of an International Stabilization Force to help secure Gaza and train vetted Palestinian police units.

For Palestinians, the central issue remains Israel's full military withdrawal from Gaza - a step included in the framework but for which no detailed timetable has been announced.

With fundamental disagreements persisting over disarmament, withdrawal and governance, diplomats say the success of phase two will depend on sustained pressure from mediators and whether both sides are willing - or able - to move beyond long-standing red lines.


Lebanon Charges Four Accused of Kidnapping for Israel’s Mossad

A handout photo from Israeli television made available on July 13, 2008, shows a photograph of Ron Arad, an Israeli Air Force navigator who was captured after his fighter jet was shot down in Lebanon in 1986. (Handout / AFP)
A handout photo from Israeli television made available on July 13, 2008, shows a photograph of Ron Arad, an Israeli Air Force navigator who was captured after his fighter jet was shot down in Lebanon in 1986. (Handout / AFP)
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Lebanon Charges Four Accused of Kidnapping for Israel’s Mossad

A handout photo from Israeli television made available on July 13, 2008, shows a photograph of Ron Arad, an Israeli Air Force navigator who was captured after his fighter jet was shot down in Lebanon in 1986. (Handout / AFP)
A handout photo from Israeli television made available on July 13, 2008, shows a photograph of Ron Arad, an Israeli Air Force navigator who was captured after his fighter jet was shot down in Lebanon in 1986. (Handout / AFP)

Four people accused of a kidnapping in Lebanon for Israel's Mossad spy agency last month have been charged, a judicial official said on Thursday, after a retired security officer whose brother was linked to an Israeli airman's disappearance went missing.

Israel has apprehended suspects in Lebanon before and Mossad is accused of regularly attempting to contact Lebanese people to facilitate its operations, while Lebanon has arrested dozens of people on suspicion of collaborating with Israel over the years.

Lebanese authorities believe the agency known for espionage operations outside of Israel's borders was behind the disappearance of retired security officer Ahmad Shukr last month.

Shukr, whose brother Hassan is suspected of involvement in the 1986 capture of Israeli air force navigator Ron Arad, disappeared in the Bekaa region of eastern Lebanon.

Authorities have arrested and charged one Lebanese man and charged three more who remain at large.

The four were charged with "communicating with and working for Mossad within Lebanon in exchange for money, and carrying out the kidnapping of Ahmad Shukr", a judicial official told AFP on condition of anonymity.

The three are "a Lebanese woman, a Lebanese-French man, and a Syrian-Swedish man," the official said.

The Israeli airman Ron Arad, whose plane went down in southern Lebanon during the country's civil war between 1975 and 1990, is now presumed dead and his remains were never returned.

Hassan Shukr was killed in 1988 in a battle between Israeli forces and local fighters, including from the Iran-backed Hezbollah group, a source close to the family told AFP last month, requesting anonymity.


Israeli Strikes Kill Five in Gaza, Say Local Health Authorities

 Makeshift tents shelter displaced Palestinians stand among buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
Makeshift tents shelter displaced Palestinians stand among buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
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Israeli Strikes Kill Five in Gaza, Say Local Health Authorities

 Makeshift tents shelter displaced Palestinians stand among buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)
Makeshift tents shelter displaced Palestinians stand among buildings destroyed by Israeli air and ground operations in Gaza City Thursday, Jan. 15, 2026. (AP)

Two Israeli airstrikes killed five people, including a 16-year-old, in Deir al-Balah on Thursday, said local health authorities.

The Israeli military did not immediately respond to a Reuters request for comment on the incident.

It was not immediately clear what triggered the attacks, which were in areas outside the control of Israeli forces in the strip.

More than 400 Palestinians ‌and three Israeli ‌soldiers have been reported ‌killed ⁠since a ‌fragile ceasefire took effect in October.

Israel has razed buildings and ordered residents out of more than half of Gaza where its troops remain. Nearly all of the territory's more than 2 million people now live in ⁠makeshift homes or damaged buildings in a sliver of ‌territory where Israeli troops have withdrawn ‍and Hamas has ‍reasserted control.

The United Nations children agency ‍said on Tuesday that over 100 children have been killed in Gaza since the ceasefire, including victims of drone and quadcopter attacks.

Israel and Hamas have traded blame for violations of the ceasefire and remain far apart ⁠from each other on key issues, despite the United States announcing the second phase of the ceasefire on Wednesday.

Israel launched its operations in Gaza in the wake of an attack by Hamas-led fighters on October, 2023 which killed 1,200 people, according to Israeli tallies. Israel's assault has killed 71,000 people, according to health authorities in the strip, ‌and left much of Gaza in ruins.