Fears in Lebanon of Israeli Plan to Empty and Strangle the South Economically

Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
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Fears in Lebanon of Israeli Plan to Empty and Strangle the South Economically

Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.
Reuters photo: Lebanese residents inspect a cement factory hit by Israeli airstrikes on Thursday night.

Intensified Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon late Thursday have heightened fears that Tel Aviv is enforcing a “systematic policy to economically strangle the south and prevent life from returning,” after expanding its bombardment to include civilian and industrial facilities used in reconstruction efforts.

A week after targeting heavy machinery and excavators engaged in rebuilding damaged areas, Israeli warplanes carried out some of their most violent raids in weeks on Thursday evening, striking the Wadi Bsafour area between the towns of Ansar and Sinnay, north of the Litani River.

The bombardment caused extensive destruction in cement factories and industrial workshops, with explosions heard across Nabatieh and Zahrani.

Lebanon’s National News Agency described the raids as “among the most intense in weeks,” noting that the missiles produced an unprecedented flash and powerful tremors felt in nearby villages.

The losses extended beyond industrial and construction sites. The South Lebanon Water Establishment said in a statement that the strikes “hit and destroyed the institution’s strategic fuel depot, resulting in the total loss of its contents.”

The facility reportedly contained about half a million liters of diesel used to power electricity generators for water pumping stations and wells that supply southern towns and villages.

The raids came amid continued Israeli operations that the army said were aimed at pursuing Hezbollah fighters, alongside what it described as repeated violations of the ceasefire agreement.

On Friday afternoon, an Israeli drone struck a car in the southern town of Khirbet Selm, killing one person. Another drone dropped a stun grenade near the Qita al-Zaytouna area in the town of Blida, in the Marjayoun district.

Economic Targeting

The escalation has stirred debate over the nature and intent of Israel’s recent strikes — whether they are part of its ongoing military campaign or represent a deliberate shift toward targeting southern Lebanon’s economic and productive infrastructure.

Residents of the region say the strikes “no longer target potential military sites but have hit the arteries of civilian life.” They added that “the current confrontation is not measured by the number of rockets but by the number of destroyed workshops and workers who lost their livelihoods,” warning that the economic toll could drive residents to flee under the weight of poverty and mounting losses.

MP Mohammad Khawaja, a member of the Development and Liberation Bloc, said the targeting of cement plants and quarries “is no coincidence nor a limited field response, but a systematic policy aimed at economically suffocating the south and blocking any return to normal life.”

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that Israel “is frustrated by the return of hundreds of families to their homes in Aitaroun, Maroun al-Ras, Blida, and Khiam, after betting these towns would remain empty.” He added that residents’ determination to rebuild their homes, “even if starting with one room,” had “upset the occupation, which sought to turn the south into a desolate zone.”

Khawaja estimated the material cost of the latest strikes at over $15 million, citing the destruction of more than 300 engineering machines and trucks, some belonging to contractors working with the Ministry of Public Works. “The real goal,” he said, “is to keep the south paralyzed and prevent any genuine economic recovery or reconstruction.”

Responding to Israeli army spokesperson Avichay Adraee’s claims that Hezbollah uses such facilities to rebuild its military infrastructure, Khawaja said: “These are baseless allegations meant to justify unjustified aggression. The targeted plants are part of licensed development projects overseen by Lebanese ministries and have no link to any military activity.”

He added that Israel is now “using the economy as a weapon to subdue Lebanon politically after failing to achieve its goals militarily,” urging a “unified national stance, because the Israeli threat targets not only the south, but all of Lebanon.”

‘The Decision Lies on the Ground’

From a strategic perspective, retired Brigadier General Naji Malaeb said Israel’s targeting pattern “is no longer purely military; it now focuses on economic and civilian infrastructure such as quarries, concrete plants, and bulldozers, with the aim of crippling reconstruction and preventing the return of normal life to southern villages.”

He told Asharq Al-Awsat that “Israel understands that whoever rebuilds the land controls its political and social fate. It therefore seeks to destroy the material foundations that allow people to remain steadfast.”

“When Hezbollah deployed about 1,200 engineers and technicians after the ceasefire to assess damage and assist residents,” Malaeb added, “Israel realized the group was filling the state’s vacuum — and chose to respond by striking the very infrastructure people rely on to rebuild.”

He described the raids as “economic punishment targeting the social fabric of the south,” explaining that “every workshop bombed and every cement mixer destroyed delays people’s return home and fuels slow displacement.”

“The south today faces a dual threat — fire from the sky and economic strangulation on the ground,” Malaeb said.

On the ground, the devastation speaks for itself: idle factories, burned bulldozers, and workers left without jobs. According to Malaeb, “Israel is using the economy as a long-term weapon — one that erodes people’s resilience and turns reconstruction into a daily war of attrition. Every strike on an industrial plant is a blow to Lebanon’s social structure, not its military one.”

Post-Strikes Scenarios

Malaeb warned that Israel’s current approach “could pave the way for a scenario similar to southern Syria, where demilitarized zones were created and managed by local structures under international oversight.”

“Israel may justify such a project under the pretext of securing its borders against terrorism,” he said, “but the real goal is to depopulate the south.” He stressed that “a national solution can only be achieved through clear demarcation of land borders and full Lebanese sovereignty over its territory.”



Israeli Evacuation Orders Affect 14% of Lebanon, NGO Says

Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
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Israeli Evacuation Orders Affect 14% of Lebanon, NGO Says

Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)

Over an eighth of Lebanon's territory is under Israeli orders for people to leave their homes, an aid group said on Friday, while the United Nations peacekeeping mission said Israeli ground troops were making incursions and erecting roadblocks.

Israel has been carrying out daily strikes on Lebanon since March 2 when the Iran-backed group Hezbollah launched rockets at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader in Tehran on the first ‌day of ‌the US-Israeli war with Iran.

Almost 700 people ‌in ⁠Lebanon have died ⁠in Israeli attacks and over 800,000 have been displaced. Israel's military says it has targeted Hezbollah militants and Iranian forces.

The Norwegian Refugee Council said Israel's evacuation orders for southern Lebanon and parts of Beirut now covered about 1,470 square kilometers or about 14% of the country.

"Israel’s mass evacuation orders have expanded to broad geographic directives, often ⁠demanding immediate movement, creating panic and fear across communities ‌that strikes are imminent – even when ‌they are not," said Maureen Philippon, NRC Country Director in Lebanon.

UN human rights ‌chief Volker Turk has said the blanket Israeli evacuation orders ‌raise serious international law concerns.

NRC's office in Tyre, south Lebanon, was badly damaged, it said, with no injuries. The Israeli military has carried out several strikes on Tyre since March 2, including a Tuesday strike on what ‌it described as a Hezbollah command center in the area.

The International Organization for Migration's Mathieu Luciano told a ⁠Geneva press ⁠briefing that around 600 shelters had been set up across the country, with many of them almost full. Hospitals are increasingly overstretched due to surging trauma cases, a World Health Organization official added.

The UN Interim Force in Lebanon told the same briefing its operations had been limited by the ongoing hostilities which injured two soldiers a week ago. Still, its troops had observed Israeli troop incursions, saying they had travelled up to 7 kilometers inside Lebanon and erected roadblocks restricting access.

“We are deeply concerned that the situation will deteriorate further," UNIFIL spokesperson Kandice Ardiel said by video link from Lebanon.


4 US Service Members Killed in Plane Crash Over Iraq

(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
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4 US Service Members Killed in Plane Crash Over Iraq

(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)

Four of the six crew members aboard a US military aircraft that crashed in western Iraq are confirmed to have been killed, the US military said on Friday, ⁠as rescue efforts ⁠continued for the remaining two.

A US military refueling aircraft crashed in western ⁠Iraq on Thursday, in an incident the military said involved another aircraft but was not the result of hostile or friendly fire.

"The circumstances of the incident are ⁠under ⁠investigation. However, the loss of the aircraft was not due to hostile fire or friendly fire," a statement from US Central Command said.

The plane was taking part in the operation against Iran.

Both President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have warned that the Iran war would likely claim more American lives before it ends.


Iran War Raises Concerns Over Impact on Suez Canal Traffic

A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
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Iran War Raises Concerns Over Impact on Suez Canal Traffic

A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 

The Iran war has sparked growing concern in Egypt over its potential impact on navigation through the Suez Canal, one of the country’s most important sources of national income. Experts say the conflict has already begun affecting traffic through the strategic waterway as security risks for ships increase.

Recent reports indicate that several major global shipping companies—including Denmark’s Maersk, France’s CMA CGM, and Germany’s Hapag-Lloyd—have suspended the transit of some vessels through the canal.

The head of the Suez Canal Authority, Admiral Osama Rabie, expressed hope that regional stability would return soon, warning that escalating tensions could have serious repercussions for maritime transport and global supply chains.

In a statement issued Thursday, Rabie said the authority has moved to upgrade its maritime and navigational services and introduce new activities designed to meet customer needs in both normal and emergency circumstances. These include ship maintenance and repair services, maritime rescue operations and marine ambulance services, alongside continued modernization of the authority’s fleet of marine units.

Early impact on canal traffic

International transport expert Osama Aqil said the war’s effect on the canal had been evident since the first days of the conflict.

“Current indicators show that canal traffic has declined by about 50 percent since the war began,” Aqil told Asharq Al-Awsat. He attributed the drop to rising security risks and higher insurance premiums imposed on vessels passing through the region.

Aqil warned that the impact could deepen if the conflict drags on. Even after hostilities end, he said, it may take considerable time for shipping traffic to return to normal.

“International shipping groups that divert their vessels to the Cape of Good Hope route will likely sign contracts for the alternative passage,” he said. “Ending those arrangements and redirecting ships back through the canal will take time.”

Before the latest tensions, the Suez Canal had been showing signs of recovery following an earlier setback caused by Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea linked to the war in Gaza.

In January, the Suez Canal Authority said navigation statistics showed a “noticeable improvement” during the first half of the 2025–2026 fiscal year. Rabie said at the time that indicators pointed to improving revenues as some shipping lines resumed using the canal after conditions stabilized in the Red Sea.

Wider threat to global trade

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has also warned about the impact of regional tensions on shipping in the Red Sea. During a meeting in Cairo earlier this month with Ajay Banga, president of the World Bank Group, Sisi said Egypt had lost roughly $10 billion in Suez Canal revenues due to the Gaza war, according to the Egyptian presidency.

Aqil said the Iran war could affect not only the canal but global trade more broadly, which he said has already shown signs of slowing.

“If the conflict continues, transport costs will rise, which will push up prices for many goods and commodities,” he stated.

Suez Canal revenues dropped sharply in 2024, falling 61 percent to $3.9 billion, compared with about $10.2 billion in 2023.

Security risk management expert Major General Ihab Youssef noted that the continuation of the war poses a threat to global navigation, not only to the Suez Canal.

Egypt secures ships along the canal and up to the limits of its territorial waters, he remarked. However, vessels traveling to and from the waterway must still pass through areas affected by military operations in the Gulf region and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, prompting many shipping companies to reroute vessels around the Cape of Good Hope.

“Any closure of the Strait of Hormuz would further increase the risks of transit, particularly if the war is prolonged,” Youssef said.