Largest Iraq Bloc Seeks a Prime Minister Who Avoids Becoming a ‘Leader’

Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
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Largest Iraq Bloc Seeks a Prime Minister Who Avoids Becoming a ‘Leader’

Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)

Iraq’s Coordination Framework has reached what insiders describe as almost final criteria for choosing the next prime minister, the most important of which is that the nominee must not be focused on building a partisan model that would position him to join the alliance as a leader.

While the final candidate is expected to serve as a chief executive at the head of the new cabinet, the victorious Shiite parties in the general election are expected to assume responsibility for decisions related to the weapons held by armed factions and the economic crisis.

One week after the November 11, 2025 vote, twelve leaders of Shiite parties within the Coordination Framework signed a declaration naming themselves the largest bloc, qualifying them to nominate a prime minister.

The presence of outgoing Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani at the signing drew attention after internal disagreements about his desire to stay on for a second term.

Al-Sudani’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition won 45 seats, not enough to break with the Framework consensus and form a government under his leadership. Shiite parties collectively secured about 187 seats in the sixth parliament, which has 329 seats.

Long and shortlists

Asharq Al-Awsat has learned that key Shiite forces, led by the State of Law Coalition and Asaib Ahl al-Haq, have been intensively reviewing a wide range of names for the country’s top executive post.

They recently converged on the idea of forming a government headed by a figure who would implement a package of decisions for which the coalition leaders would assume responsibility, particularly on security, relations with the United States, and addressing the economic situation.

Sources said senior figures in the Coordination Framework have temporarily halted their review of candidate lists in order to assess the political formula that will define the premiership in the coming period.

They added that outgoing Prime Minister al-Sudani has made the shortlist, although under different conditions.

Nouri al-Maliki, the former prime minister, strongly opposes allowing al-Sudani to return for a second term, although a few factions in the coalition would not object if the new criteria for the post are applied.

Parties inside the Coordination Framework have leaked multiple long and shortlists of possible candidates. In Iraq, such leaks are typically used to test public reactions to certain figures, eliminate others from contention, or obscure the identities of contenders who have not yet entered the race.

Asharq Al-Awsat has also learned that the Framework stopped leaking names in the past two days after public confusion escalated.

It has decided instead to focus on the requirements of the post. The sources said al-Sudani remains on a shortlist, although they declined to discuss his chances.

The Coordination Framework has experienced sharp divisions both before and after the elections over how to handle al-Sudani’s ambitions. Meanwhile, some leaders within the ruling coalition have come to view the premiership as a factory for producing political leaders.

More leaders at the table

A senior Shiite figure in the Coordination Framework told Asharq Al-Awsat that coalition leaders have lately expressed anger and frustration at the growing number of people seated at the table with the right to vote on major decisions as leaders in their own right.

The Shitte coalition has decided to form two leadership committees to discuss the next phase, develop a unified vision for governing the state, and interview prime ministerial candidates based on professional criteria, according to a statement issued on November 17.

Sources said political discussions among the winning Shiite parties are now centered on finding a prime minister who will never feel anxious about his political future and will not be preoccupied with building a partisan legacy while in office, in any circumstance or at any point in his term.

Three senior Shiite leaders in the Coordination Framework have agreed on the need for what they described as a chief executive with strong powers who enjoys full support, but who is not a political leader.

They added that the new prime minister would represent all forces in the new coalition, which would oversee decision making and assume responsibility for it.

The senior Shiite figure said the final nominee will represent all Shiite factions in the Framework in order to prevent defiance and to give him the strength the post requires in administrative terms.

The sources said the Coordination Framework is trying to make maximum use of what it views as the best electoral cycle Shiite parties have experienced in years, marked by the absence of the Sadrist Movement and a large haul of parliament seats.

But internal and external pressures are imposing a strict agenda on the next government.

According to discussions within the Coordination Framework, the new government is expected to take decisions on armed groups that still retain their weapons, as well as factions that won seats but are under United States sanctions.

The senior Shiite figure said that if the Framework secures its preferred nominee for prime minister, it will strongly support him on this file.



Hezbollah Leader Rejects Lebanon-Israel Direct Talks, Vows to Confront Israel

 People hold up portraits of Hezbollah leader, Naim Qassem, top, and slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as displaced residents drive back to their villages, in Jiyyeh, near Sidon, southern Lebanon, Friday, April 17, 2026, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. (AP)
People hold up portraits of Hezbollah leader, Naim Qassem, top, and slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as displaced residents drive back to their villages, in Jiyyeh, near Sidon, southern Lebanon, Friday, April 17, 2026, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. (AP)
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Hezbollah Leader Rejects Lebanon-Israel Direct Talks, Vows to Confront Israel

 People hold up portraits of Hezbollah leader, Naim Qassem, top, and slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as displaced residents drive back to their villages, in Jiyyeh, near Sidon, southern Lebanon, Friday, April 17, 2026, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. (AP)
People hold up portraits of Hezbollah leader, Naim Qassem, top, and slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah as displaced residents drive back to their villages, in Jiyyeh, near Sidon, southern Lebanon, Friday, April 17, 2026, following a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. (AP)

Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem on Monday rejected Lebanon's planned direct talks with Israel, calling them a "grave sin" that will destabilize Lebanon.

"We categorically reject direct negotiations with Israel, and those in power should know that their actions will not benefit Lebanon or themselves," Qassem said in a statement, calling on authorities to "back down from their grave sin that is putting Lebanon in a spiral of instability".

"These direct negotiations and their outcomes are as if they do not exist for us, and they do not concern us in the slightest," he added, saying "we will continue our defensive resistance for Lebanon and its people".

"No matter how much the enemy threatens, we will not back down, we will not bow down, and we will not be defeated."


Did Israel’s War on Lebanon Drive Syrian Refugees Back Home?

Syrian refugees in Lebanon return to their country through the Masnaa crossing after the fall of the Syrian regime in December 2024. (EPA)
Syrian refugees in Lebanon return to their country through the Masnaa crossing after the fall of the Syrian regime in December 2024. (EPA)
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Did Israel’s War on Lebanon Drive Syrian Refugees Back Home?

Syrian refugees in Lebanon return to their country through the Masnaa crossing after the fall of the Syrian regime in December 2024. (EPA)
Syrian refugees in Lebanon return to their country through the Masnaa crossing after the fall of the Syrian regime in December 2024. (EPA)

Israel’s war on Lebanon has accelerated the return of Syrian refugees, but officials and aid agencies say it has not by itself resolved, or fundamentally transformed, the displacement crisis.

Nearly one million Syrians remain in Lebanon despite Israel’s wars on Lebanon when Hezbollah opened a “support front” in solidarity with Hamas in 2023. Many refugees, meanwhile, still view remaining in Lebanon as preferable to returning to a country where homes and jobs may no longer exist.

Others have left. According to the UN refugee agency (UNHCR), more than 593,000 Syrian refugees have returned from Lebanon since January 2025, while Syrian authorities estimate around 260,000 crossed back between March 2 and April 20, 2026 as hostilities intensified.

Official figures show 95 Syrians were killed and 130 wounded in the latest round of fighting between March 2 and April 17.

For some, however, war has not changed the situation.

Faisal, a 41-year-old construction worker from Deir Ezzor living in Mount Lebanon for a decade, said returning to Syria remains too uncertain.

“Going back now means returning to the unknown,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat. “Here, despite the risks, I can still support my family.”

Lebanese Social Affairs Minister Haneen Sayed argued the rise in returns cannot be attributed mainly to war.

She told Asharq Al-Awsat that a government return plan adopted in June 2025 marked the real turning point, supported by administrative facilitations, financial incentives and coordination between Lebanese General Security and the UN refugee agency.

According to Sayed, 581,107 Syrians had returned before the latest conflict erupted in early March, while another 198,404 left during the war.

“That shows return was already under way before the fighting,” she stated, noting that many refugees could have moved to safer parts of Lebanon but instead chose Syria, suggesting the government’s strategy was gaining traction.

She said Syrian authorities had also contributed through policies intended to facilitate return and reintegration. Still, she stopped short of calling it a lasting solution.

“The displacement crisis is on its way to being resolved, but it has not reached a final settlement,” she underlined, noting Lebanon was preparing a review of the return plan later this year.

At the same time, she warned the war had created a new Lebanese internal displacement crisis, adding another humanitarian burden.

Lisa Abou Khaled, spokeswoman for the UNHCR in Lebanon, said decisions to return still depend less on war than on conditions inside Syria, including shelter, healthcare, education and livelihoods.

The current hostilities may have hastened returns for some, she told Asharq Al-Awsat, but often as a forced response rather than a voluntary shift.

“When refugees feel they have no alternative but to return, our role is to reduce risks and support them through the process,” she remarked.

UNHCR provides returnees with information, transport support and a $100 grant per person to help cover immediate needs.


Syria’s Sharaa, Lebanon’s Jumblatt Discuss Sweida Fallout, Reject ‘Alliance of Minorities’

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt meet in Damascus on Saturday. (SANA)
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt meet in Damascus on Saturday. (SANA)
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Syria’s Sharaa, Lebanon’s Jumblatt Discuss Sweida Fallout, Reject ‘Alliance of Minorities’

Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt meet in Damascus on Saturday. (SANA)
Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt meet in Damascus on Saturday. (SANA)

A meeting in Damascus on Saturday between Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Lebanese Druze leader Walid Jumblatt focused on containing the fallout from violence in Syria’s Sweida province, strengthening Lebanese-Syrian ties and rejecting what both sides described as an “alliance of minorities.”

Jumblatt, former head of Lebanon’s Progressive Socialist Party, met Sharaa at the People’s Palace in Damascus amid heightened regional tensions and strains along the Lebanese-Syrian border.

A statement from the PSP said the talks stressed improving Lebanese-Syrian relations in a way that serves the common interests of both countries, while rejecting the “alliance of minorities” theory and emphasizing the social and geographic ties linking the two neighbors.

The statement reaffirmed Syria’s unity and called for addressing the aftermath of the deadly unrest in Sweida, the predominantly Druze province in southern Syria.

A brief Syrian presidency statement said the two sides reviewed recent regional developments.

Accompanying Jumblatt to Damascus, Lebanese MP Hadi Abou Al-Hassan said the talks focused on deepening bilateral ties based on respecting the sovereignty and independence of each country, while recognizing longstanding historical and social links.

He told Asharq Al-Awsat Syria’s new leadership was seeking to redefine relations with Lebanon after what he called the end of Syrian tutelage following the fall of Bashar al-Assad.

Abou Al-Hassan said “some actors in Syria and Israel were trying to revive the idea of an ‘alliance of minorities’, but that Damascus no longer viewed the concept as relevant and was instead focused on its strategic Arab ties.”

Saturday's talks also touched on what he described as shared concerns over Israeli escalation against both countries, including fears of a proposed “yellow line” security belt stretching across southern Lebanon from Naqoura to Mount Hermon and potentially into southern Syria.

He noted that such concerns reflected worries over “a dangerous Israeli plan that required coordination and joint efforts to confront.”

Developments in Sweida took up much of the discussions, particularly given Jumblatt’s role in containing the repercussions and his rejection of calls to attach the province to Israel or seek Israeli protection for the region.

Abou Al-Hassan said the talks stressed addressing the fallout from the violence and building on a meeting in Amman involving Syria, Jordan and the United States.

Jumblatt also underscored “support for Syria’s unity and for a strong central state guaranteeing equal rights for all citizens, while preventing any forces from challenging state sovereignty,” he said.

The meeting comes as Lebanese-Syrian ties have improved through border coordination and anti-smuggling efforts, despite Syrian concerns over reported weapons-smuggling tunnels and reports of a security cell in Damascus allegedly linked to Hezbollah, an ally of the ousted regime.

Abou Al-Hassan said both countries needed to dispel mutual concerns and build trust.