Largest Iraq Bloc Seeks a Prime Minister Who Avoids Becoming a ‘Leader’

Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
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Largest Iraq Bloc Seeks a Prime Minister Who Avoids Becoming a ‘Leader’

Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)
Iraqis gather at a Baghdad cafe to watch final election results, November 17, 2025 (AFP)

Iraq’s Coordination Framework has reached what insiders describe as almost final criteria for choosing the next prime minister, the most important of which is that the nominee must not be focused on building a partisan model that would position him to join the alliance as a leader.

While the final candidate is expected to serve as a chief executive at the head of the new cabinet, the victorious Shiite parties in the general election are expected to assume responsibility for decisions related to the weapons held by armed factions and the economic crisis.

One week after the November 11, 2025 vote, twelve leaders of Shiite parties within the Coordination Framework signed a declaration naming themselves the largest bloc, qualifying them to nominate a prime minister.

The presence of outgoing Prime Minister Mohammed al-Sudani at the signing drew attention after internal disagreements about his desire to stay on for a second term.

Al-Sudani’s Reconstruction and Development Coalition won 45 seats, not enough to break with the Framework consensus and form a government under his leadership. Shiite parties collectively secured about 187 seats in the sixth parliament, which has 329 seats.

Long and shortlists

Asharq Al-Awsat has learned that key Shiite forces, led by the State of Law Coalition and Asaib Ahl al-Haq, have been intensively reviewing a wide range of names for the country’s top executive post.

They recently converged on the idea of forming a government headed by a figure who would implement a package of decisions for which the coalition leaders would assume responsibility, particularly on security, relations with the United States, and addressing the economic situation.

Sources said senior figures in the Coordination Framework have temporarily halted their review of candidate lists in order to assess the political formula that will define the premiership in the coming period.

They added that outgoing Prime Minister al-Sudani has made the shortlist, although under different conditions.

Nouri al-Maliki, the former prime minister, strongly opposes allowing al-Sudani to return for a second term, although a few factions in the coalition would not object if the new criteria for the post are applied.

Parties inside the Coordination Framework have leaked multiple long and shortlists of possible candidates. In Iraq, such leaks are typically used to test public reactions to certain figures, eliminate others from contention, or obscure the identities of contenders who have not yet entered the race.

Asharq Al-Awsat has also learned that the Framework stopped leaking names in the past two days after public confusion escalated.

It has decided instead to focus on the requirements of the post. The sources said al-Sudani remains on a shortlist, although they declined to discuss his chances.

The Coordination Framework has experienced sharp divisions both before and after the elections over how to handle al-Sudani’s ambitions. Meanwhile, some leaders within the ruling coalition have come to view the premiership as a factory for producing political leaders.

More leaders at the table

A senior Shiite figure in the Coordination Framework told Asharq Al-Awsat that coalition leaders have lately expressed anger and frustration at the growing number of people seated at the table with the right to vote on major decisions as leaders in their own right.

The Shitte coalition has decided to form two leadership committees to discuss the next phase, develop a unified vision for governing the state, and interview prime ministerial candidates based on professional criteria, according to a statement issued on November 17.

Sources said political discussions among the winning Shiite parties are now centered on finding a prime minister who will never feel anxious about his political future and will not be preoccupied with building a partisan legacy while in office, in any circumstance or at any point in his term.

Three senior Shiite leaders in the Coordination Framework have agreed on the need for what they described as a chief executive with strong powers who enjoys full support, but who is not a political leader.

They added that the new prime minister would represent all forces in the new coalition, which would oversee decision making and assume responsibility for it.

The senior Shiite figure said the final nominee will represent all Shiite factions in the Framework in order to prevent defiance and to give him the strength the post requires in administrative terms.

The sources said the Coordination Framework is trying to make maximum use of what it views as the best electoral cycle Shiite parties have experienced in years, marked by the absence of the Sadrist Movement and a large haul of parliament seats.

But internal and external pressures are imposing a strict agenda on the next government.

According to discussions within the Coordination Framework, the new government is expected to take decisions on armed groups that still retain their weapons, as well as factions that won seats but are under United States sanctions.

The senior Shiite figure said that if the Framework secures its preferred nominee for prime minister, it will strongly support him on this file.



Israeli Evacuation Orders Affect 14% of Lebanon, NGO Says

Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
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Israeli Evacuation Orders Affect 14% of Lebanon, NGO Says

Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)
Emergency personnel at the scene after an Israeli airstrike had targeted a neighborhood in the town of Mieh Mieh near Sidon, southern Lebanon, 13 March 2026. (EPA)

Over an eighth of Lebanon's territory is under Israeli orders for people to leave their homes, an aid group said on Friday, while the United Nations peacekeeping mission said Israeli ground troops were making incursions and erecting roadblocks.

Israel has been carrying out daily strikes on Lebanon since March 2 when the Iran-backed group Hezbollah launched rockets at Israel to avenge the killing of Iran's supreme leader in Tehran on the first ‌day of ‌the US-Israeli war with Iran.

Almost 700 people ‌in ⁠Lebanon have died ⁠in Israeli attacks and over 800,000 have been displaced. Israel's military says it has targeted Hezbollah militants and Iranian forces.

The Norwegian Refugee Council said Israel's evacuation orders for southern Lebanon and parts of Beirut now covered about 1,470 square kilometers or about 14% of the country.

"Israel’s mass evacuation orders have expanded to broad geographic directives, often ⁠demanding immediate movement, creating panic and fear across communities ‌that strikes are imminent – even when ‌they are not," said Maureen Philippon, NRC Country Director in Lebanon.

UN human rights ‌chief Volker Turk has said the blanket Israeli evacuation orders ‌raise serious international law concerns.

NRC's office in Tyre, south Lebanon, was badly damaged, it said, with no injuries. The Israeli military has carried out several strikes on Tyre since March 2, including a Tuesday strike on what ‌it described as a Hezbollah command center in the area.

The International Organization for Migration's Mathieu Luciano told a ⁠Geneva press ⁠briefing that around 600 shelters had been set up across the country, with many of them almost full. Hospitals are increasingly overstretched due to surging trauma cases, a World Health Organization official added.

The UN Interim Force in Lebanon told the same briefing its operations had been limited by the ongoing hostilities which injured two soldiers a week ago. Still, its troops had observed Israeli troop incursions, saying they had travelled up to 7 kilometers inside Lebanon and erected roadblocks restricting access.

“We are deeply concerned that the situation will deteriorate further," UNIFIL spokesperson Kandice Ardiel said by video link from Lebanon.


4 US Service Members Killed in Plane Crash Over Iraq

(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
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4 US Service Members Killed in Plane Crash Over Iraq

(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)
(FILES) A US Air Force Boeing KC-135 Stratotanker aerial-refuelling aircraft flies over Tel Aviv on March 4, 2026. (Photo by JACK GUEZ / AFP)

Four of the six crew members aboard a US military aircraft that crashed in western Iraq are confirmed to have been killed, the US military said on Friday, ⁠as rescue efforts ⁠continued for the remaining two.

A US military refueling aircraft crashed in western ⁠Iraq on Thursday, in an incident the military said involved another aircraft but was not the result of hostile or friendly fire.

"The circumstances of the incident are ⁠under ⁠investigation. However, the loss of the aircraft was not due to hostile fire or friendly fire," a statement from US Central Command said.

The plane was taking part in the operation against Iran.

Both President Donald Trump and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have warned that the Iran war would likely claim more American lives before it ends.


Iran War Raises Concerns Over Impact on Suez Canal Traffic

A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
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Iran War Raises Concerns Over Impact on Suez Canal Traffic

A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 
A ship transits the Suez Canal last month (Suez Canal Authority). 

The Iran war has sparked growing concern in Egypt over its potential impact on navigation through the Suez Canal, one of the country’s most important sources of national income. Experts say the conflict has already begun affecting traffic through the strategic waterway as security risks for ships increase.

Recent reports indicate that several major global shipping companies—including Denmark’s Maersk, France’s CMA CGM, and Germany’s Hapag-Lloyd—have suspended the transit of some vessels through the canal.

The head of the Suez Canal Authority, Admiral Osama Rabie, expressed hope that regional stability would return soon, warning that escalating tensions could have serious repercussions for maritime transport and global supply chains.

In a statement issued Thursday, Rabie said the authority has moved to upgrade its maritime and navigational services and introduce new activities designed to meet customer needs in both normal and emergency circumstances. These include ship maintenance and repair services, maritime rescue operations and marine ambulance services, alongside continued modernization of the authority’s fleet of marine units.

Early impact on canal traffic

International transport expert Osama Aqil said the war’s effect on the canal had been evident since the first days of the conflict.

“Current indicators show that canal traffic has declined by about 50 percent since the war began,” Aqil told Asharq Al-Awsat. He attributed the drop to rising security risks and higher insurance premiums imposed on vessels passing through the region.

Aqil warned that the impact could deepen if the conflict drags on. Even after hostilities end, he said, it may take considerable time for shipping traffic to return to normal.

“International shipping groups that divert their vessels to the Cape of Good Hope route will likely sign contracts for the alternative passage,” he said. “Ending those arrangements and redirecting ships back through the canal will take time.”

Before the latest tensions, the Suez Canal had been showing signs of recovery following an earlier setback caused by Houthi attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea linked to the war in Gaza.

In January, the Suez Canal Authority said navigation statistics showed a “noticeable improvement” during the first half of the 2025–2026 fiscal year. Rabie said at the time that indicators pointed to improving revenues as some shipping lines resumed using the canal after conditions stabilized in the Red Sea.

Wider threat to global trade

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi has also warned about the impact of regional tensions on shipping in the Red Sea. During a meeting in Cairo earlier this month with Ajay Banga, president of the World Bank Group, Sisi said Egypt had lost roughly $10 billion in Suez Canal revenues due to the Gaza war, according to the Egyptian presidency.

Aqil said the Iran war could affect not only the canal but global trade more broadly, which he said has already shown signs of slowing.

“If the conflict continues, transport costs will rise, which will push up prices for many goods and commodities,” he stated.

Suez Canal revenues dropped sharply in 2024, falling 61 percent to $3.9 billion, compared with about $10.2 billion in 2023.

Security risk management expert Major General Ihab Youssef noted that the continuation of the war poses a threat to global navigation, not only to the Suez Canal.

Egypt secures ships along the canal and up to the limits of its territorial waters, he remarked. However, vessels traveling to and from the waterway must still pass through areas affected by military operations in the Gulf region and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, prompting many shipping companies to reroute vessels around the Cape of Good Hope.

“Any closure of the Strait of Hormuz would further increase the risks of transit, particularly if the war is prolonged,” Youssef said.