Partial Rafah Rebuilding Risks Delaying Cairo Conference

Two boys shelter from the rain while sitting on a donkey cart in Deir al Balah in the central Gaza Strip (AFP)
Two boys shelter from the rain while sitting on a donkey cart in Deir al Balah in the central Gaza Strip (AFP)
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Partial Rafah Rebuilding Risks Delaying Cairo Conference

Two boys shelter from the rain while sitting on a donkey cart in Deir al Balah in the central Gaza Strip (AFP)
Two boys shelter from the rain while sitting on a donkey cart in Deir al Balah in the central Gaza Strip (AFP)

Discussion has intensified over plans for partial reconstruction in parts of Gaza, even as official Arab statements insist that rebuilding must begin across the entire enclave.

The debate comes nearly two weeks after the postponement of the Cairo Conference on Gaza reconstruction, intended to marshal large-scale funding to revive the devastated territory, amid estimates that rebuilding could cost as much as $35 billion.

Hebrew media leaks about these “partial plans,” targeting areas including the southern city of Rafah, say the government of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has approved financing for them.

Experts who spoke to Asharq Al-Awsat said the move aligns with earlier US plans in case efforts to move to the second phase of the Gaza agreement fail.

They said the Cairo reconstruction conference would be delayed for some time but would eventually take place, although not soon, and that its outcomes would face Israeli obstacles during implementation.

The Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper quoted an Israeli official as saying Tel Aviv had given preliminary approval to cover the cost of removing rubble from Gaza and to take responsibility for the massive engineering operation, following a request from the United States. Israel would begin by clearing an area in Rafah in southern Gaza in preparation for reconstruction.

According to the newspaper’s sources, Israel could be required to remove rubble from the entire Gaza Strip, a process expected to take years and cost more than $1 billion.

The United States wants reconstruction to begin in Rafah in the hope it can serve as a successful model for US President Donald Trump’s vision for rehabilitating Gaza, drawing residents from across the enclave, with other areas rebuilt in later phases, the Israeli paper said.

The Israeli leaks come about two weeks after comments by Egyptian Foreign Ministry spokesman Tamim Khallaf, who told Asharq Al-Awsat that Cairo was working with regional and international partners to prepare the conditions needed for the success of the Early Recovery and Reconstruction in Gaza conference. His remarks came in response to questions about the reason for its delay.

On Nov. 25, an informed Egyptian source told Asharq Al-Awsat the conference would not be held as scheduled at the end of November and would be postponed, citing the escalation in Gaza and Cairo’s desire to see better conditions on the ground to achieve its goals.

The comments coincided with reports of Israeli plans to divide Gaza into two parts, one under Israeli control and the other under Hamas control, covering no more than about 55 percent of the territory.

An emergency Arab summit hosted by Cairo on March 4 adopted a Gaza reconstruction and development plan aimed at early recovery and rebuilding the enclave without displacing Palestinians.

The plan outlines specific phases over up to five years at an estimated cost of $53 billion. Egypt also called for an international conference to support Gaza’s reconstruction, in coordination with the United Nations.

Rakha Ahmed Hassan, a member of the Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs and a former assistant foreign minister, said guarantors and some mediators of the Gaza agreement would not accept such partial plans, viewing them as a violation of the deal.

He said they come amid Israeli moves to obstruct the second phase by arguing that disarming Gaza must come first.

Palestinian political analyst Abdel Mahdi Mutawe said Israel’s approval of partial reconstruction funding and renewed promotion of the idea indicated little chance of reaching a second phase, pushing instead toward an alternative plan previously discussed by Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law.

That plan envisages building in areas outside Hamas control as long as the group does not accept disarmament.

Mutawe said reviving talk of partial reconstruction delays comprehensive rebuilding and sends a message to potential donors that obstacles remain, further delaying the Cairo conference.

In October, Kushner said at a press conference in Israel that rebuilding Gaza in areas under Israeli army control was being carefully studied, with considerations underway in areas controlled by the Israeli military that could be secured to begin building a “new Gaza.”

He said no funds would be allocated to reconstruction in areas still controlled by Hamas. The partial plans run counter to Arab positions.

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al Sisi and Bahrain’s King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa stressed in a phone call on Thursday the need for full implementation of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza and the inevitability of starting reconstruction across the entire enclave, according to an Egyptian presidency statement.

In an interview with US broadcaster Tucker Carlson at the Doha Forum on Sunday, Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al-Thani reaffirmed that the Palestinians will not be abandoned but that cheques to rebuild what others have destroyed won’t be signed.

Hassan said Qatar’s recent call for Israel to bear the cost of the destruction it caused reflected a firm Arab position aimed at preventing a repeat of the devastation.

He added that Egypt was also aware of Israeli moves toward an alternative plan involving partial reconstruction in Rafah, but that Cairo sought to strengthen a unified Arab stance in favor of comprehensive rebuilding, which would begin with the second phase that includes an Israeli withdrawal.

Mutawe said the Arab position would certainly exert pressure, but acknowledged differing views among Arab states.

He said the Cairo reconstruction conference was tied to progress in the second phase and the issue of disarmament in Gaza. It would eventually take place, he said, but not in the near term, and its outcomes would remain vulnerable to Israeli obstacles.



Hezbollah 'Addresses Its Supporters'...Reveals Using Surface-to-Air Missiles

An Israeli helicopter flying in Israeli airspace near the border with Lebanon (EPA)
An Israeli helicopter flying in Israeli airspace near the border with Lebanon (EPA)
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Hezbollah 'Addresses Its Supporters'...Reveals Using Surface-to-Air Missiles

An Israeli helicopter flying in Israeli airspace near the border with Lebanon (EPA)
An Israeli helicopter flying in Israeli airspace near the border with Lebanon (EPA)

Hezbollah has, in recent days, activated the use of surface-to-air missiles to target Israeli drones, in addition to firing them at helicopters and fighter jets, according to statements it issued. It reported the downing of several drones in southern Lebanon and damage to a helicopter, while experts say these announcements are “directed inward to suggest that Israel does not have air superiority over Lebanon’s skies, a claim that is illusory.”

While the group had used this type of missile in the previous war in 2024, it has recently intensified their use, with five such operations recorded last Wednesday, raising questions about the types of missiles it possesses and their ability to alter the course of the battle, given Israel’s air superiority, which remains a decisive factor in favor of Tel Aviv.

Notably, last week the group announced that it had engaged an Israeli warplane over Beirut using a surface-to-air missile, in the first operation of its kind over the capital. This raised concerns about civil aviation, as the launch took place from the vicinity of Beirut International Airport.

Hezbollah has focused on using surface-to-air missiles in the southern border area, specifically in attempts to target and down Israeli helicopters during the evacuation of dead or wounded Israeli soldiers.

A Hezbollah fighter carrying an air defense missile during a previous military exercise (file photo – Asharq Al-Awsat)

What Missiles Is the Group Using?

Regarding the type of missiles used, Dr. Riad Kahwaji, a researcher and writer on security and defense affairs, said: “These missiles are shoulder-fired and are of the Misagh type, a modified and upgraded model similar to the Russian SAM-7. Hezbollah used them in the previous war and downed a number of drones with them.”

He added that the group announces such operations to claim that Israel does not have air superiority and that it possesses air defenses capable of confronting aircraft, in order to create an illusion for its audience.

“In reality, the maximum capability of these missiles is limited to targeting some drones, nothing more, given that Israeli fighter jets have overcome the advanced Russian S-300 air defense system, which is a highly advanced system.”

Kahwaji told Asharq Al-Awsat that “the air defenses possessed by the group do not pose any threat whatsoever, near or far, to Israeli aircraft, which enjoy complete air superiority over the skies of Lebanon and Iran.”

Types of Surface-to-Air Missiles

Misagh-2 missiles are relatively modern and effective against low-altitude targets. They track the heat signature of an aircraft or helicopter engine and are fired from the shoulder by a single soldier, with a range of between 5 and 6 kilometers. By contrast, the Russian S-300 is an integrated air defense system and one of the most well-known and most powerful long-range systems in the world, with a range of between 75 and 200 kilometers. Iran possesses the Russian S-300 system as well as the long-range Bavar-373 system, but it has not succeeded in downing any fighter jet during the ongoing US-Israeli war.

Hezbollah Operations

Hezbollah announced last week that it had launched a surface-to-air missile toward an Israeli warplane over Beirut. It also said it targeted an Israeli helicopter on Tuesday over the town of Yaroun with two surface-to-air missiles, stating that its fighters “achieved a confirmed hit.”

The group also said on Wednesday that it had downed an Israeli military drone of the Hermes 450 (Zik) type over the town of Aita al-Shaab using a surface-to-air missile. It added that its fighters also engaged an Israeli warplane on Wednesday over the town of Jouaiya using a surface-to-air missile.


Syrian Troops Uncover Tunnel Network on Lebanon Border

Syrian soldiers inspect a tunnel on the Lebanon border in the Qusayr area © Bakr ALkasem / AFP
Syrian soldiers inspect a tunnel on the Lebanon border in the Qusayr area © Bakr ALkasem / AFP
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Syrian Troops Uncover Tunnel Network on Lebanon Border

Syrian soldiers inspect a tunnel on the Lebanon border in the Qusayr area © Bakr ALkasem / AFP
Syrian soldiers inspect a tunnel on the Lebanon border in the Qusayr area © Bakr ALkasem / AFP

In rugged terrain along the Syrian-Lebanese border, yellow bulldozers raised earthen berms in front of armoured vehicles while soldiers combed through tunnels they said were used by Hezbollah, as Syria reinforces its side of the border.

Syria is seeking to stay out of the regional war, whose flames have reached neighboring Lebanon, where Hezbollah is fighting a fierce conflict with Israel.

In rural Qusayr, Syrian soldiers showed an AFP photographer -- granted permission by the defense ministry to film the deployment for the first time since reinforcements were brought in a month ago -- several cross-border tunnels that the army has discovered in recent weeks.

Mohammad Hammoud, the official in charge of Syrian border posts facing Lebanon, told AFP the army discovered by "combing the border areas... a network of tunnels connecting the two countries that were used to smuggle weapons and drugs".

An AFP photographer saw at least five such tunnels, including one whose entrance was dug in the basement of a house, with concrete steps descending into narrow, dark passageways.

Other tunnels in the mountainous area were equipped with electrical wiring and ventilation systems.

In another house leading to a tunnel entrance, a picture of the late Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah hung on the wall, alongside another of the late Iranian general Qasem Soleimani.

A Syrian army field commander said Hezbollah used the tunnels.

The rural Qusayr area serves as a crossroads linking Syria's western Homs province to the Lebanese Bekaa Valley.

- Coordinating with Beirut -

It became a bastion of Hezbollah influence after the Lebanese group's intervention in support of former ruler Bashar al-Assad in 2013 during Syria's civil war.

Since Assad's ouster in December 2024 by an alliance of factions led by new President Ahmed al-Sharaa, Hezbollah's supply lines from Syria have been cut off and the new authorities in Damascus say they are coordinating with Beirut to combat smuggling and to control crossings.

On March 28, Syrian authorities announced the discovery of a tunnel near a village in Homs province linking Syrian territory to Lebanon, saying that "Lebanese militias" used it for smuggling.

Israel has announced multiple times that it attacked border crossings, saying the aim was to prevent military supplies from reaching Hezbollah.

An AFP correspondent saw sites damaged by Israeli strikes, including destroyed buildings near one tunnel.

Nearby, Syrian soldiers were on foot patrol and one fighter stood watching a Lebanese army position from a distance.

On March 4, the Syrian authorities announced a reinforcement of the army on the border with Lebanon, deploying "armoured vehicles, soldiers, rocket launchers, and reconnaissance battalions to monitor border activities and combat smuggling".

The goal, it said, was "securing and controlling the border amid the escalation of the ongoing regional war".

According to a diplomatic source, "the Damascus government has been pressured to intervene in Lebanon to end (Hezbollah's) threat in the region, but it refused".

- No military action -

Syria dominated Lebanon for decades following a military intervention in the latter's 1975-1990 civil war, withdrawing only in 2005, making any new military involvement a fraught proposition.

But a Syrian military source told AFP on Wednesday that "the Syrian army has no intention of any military action, and its mission is currently limited to border control only".

Although Syria has not yet been dragged into the regional conflict, on March 10 Damascus accused Hezbollah of shelling Syrian army positions near Serghaya, west of Damascus.

On the same day, Sharaa and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun, in a telephone call, stressed the need to "control the border" and prevent "any security breakdown".

Sharaa reiterated on Tuesday that his country wanted to remain out of the conflict, in a discussion with the Chatham House think tank during a visit to Britain.

"So long as Syria is not directly targeted by any party, it will remain outside this conflict," he said.

"Fourteen years of war in Syria are enough. We have paid a very heavy price, and we are not ready to go through a new experience."


Sudan Appoints Yassir al-Atta Armed Forces Chief of Staff

A man walks while smoke rises above buildings after aerial bombardment, during clashes between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the army in Khartoum North, Sudan, May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah/File Photo
A man walks while smoke rises above buildings after aerial bombardment, during clashes between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the army in Khartoum North, Sudan, May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah/File Photo
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Sudan Appoints Yassir al-Atta Armed Forces Chief of Staff

A man walks while smoke rises above buildings after aerial bombardment, during clashes between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the army in Khartoum North, Sudan, May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah/File Photo
A man walks while smoke rises above buildings after aerial bombardment, during clashes between the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the army in Khartoum North, Sudan, May 1, 2023. REUTERS/Mohamed Nureldin Abdallah/File Photo

Sudan has appointed General Yassir al-Atta, a member of the country's Sovereign Council and assistant to the commander-in-chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, chief of staff of the country's Armed Forces, a military spokesman told Reuters on Thursday.

The move is the most significant personnel shift since the Sudanese army's war with the Rapid Support Forces three years ago, and could lead to shifts in strategy as a new front opens in the war in the southeastern Blue Nile state.

Al-Atta takes over the role of chief of staff from career soldier Othman al-Hussein, giving him less of a political role but tighter control of the armed forces.